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Jobs Still Absent From Recovery

The Huffington Post   First Posted: 02/07/11 09:46 AM ET Updated: 05/25/11 07:30 PM ET

Economic Forecast

As the economy increasingly shows positive signs of recovery, one crucial piece lags: jobs.

After companies cut payrolls to boost profits during the downturn, they're now reluctant to hire workers again, the Wall Street Journal reports. Earnings have improved and sales are up, but many workers have yet to share in the bounty.

The worst economic downturn since the Depression has prompted many companies to hoard cash, to protect against losses. In the third quarter of last year, U.S. corporations increased their cash holdings by 7.3 percent, setting a new record with $1.9 trillion in liquid assets, according to Federal Reserve data. That's money they're largely not spending on workers.

While in this defensive crouch, companies in the S&P 500 index saw fourth-quarter earnings rise 28 percent above the same period a year earlier, the WSJ notes. Sales were up 7.7 percent.

Other signs, too, point to a recovery: Yields on Federal government debt have been rising in the past week, indicating that inflation may be creeping into the economy, the WSJ reports in a separate story. Investors rushed to put their money in bonds when economic prospects seemed grim, but now, bonds' popularity may be fading. The sharp rise in yields indicates the economy may be picking up steam, and it makes the long-term commitment of a bond less attractive.

But workers have largely been left out. The economy added a measly 36,000 new jobs in January. While the unemployment rate fell to 9 percent from 9.4 percent, that figure reflected a shrinking of the workforce, as many of the jobless gave up looking for employment. Nearly 5 million discouraged workers were left out of that 9 percent rate, HuffPost reported.

Even when companies' revenue fell in the wake of the recession, many were able to pull in profits by reducing their expenses. They laid off workers, and squeezed higher productivity from the workers who remained.

Now, with the recovering seemingly gathering strength, companies seem inclined to stick to these new practices. And with commodity prices high, companies may look to make additional cuts.

That's part of the reason why the recovery itself feels uneven. In addition, home prices continue to fall, eroding household wealth and making homeowners more vulnerable to default and foreclosure.

Homeowners' equity, or the stake they can claim in their homes, fell 2 percentage points in the third quarter of last year, according to Federal Reserve data. The drop ended five quarters of steady growth since the figure hit its all-time low in the beginning of 2009.

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As the economy increasingly shows positive signs of recovery, one crucial piece lags: jobs. After companies cut payrolls to boost profits during the downturn, they're now reluctant to hire workers ...
As the economy increasingly shows positive signs of recovery, one crucial piece lags: jobs. After companies cut payrolls to boost profits during the downturn, they're now reluctant to hire workers ...
 
 
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12:19 PM on 02/23/2011
There are two things you can do. Boycott everything and NEVER EVER FORGIVE AND FORGET. I want my money back. I lost at least $300,000 between my job loss and my investments and I want every single penny back.

THE FALLACY OF THIS ARTICLE IS THAT CORPORATE AMERICA WILL NEVER EARN BACK MY TRUST.
http://ezinearticles.com/?Getting-Through---How-Corporate-America-Can-Earn-Back-Trust&id=2555877
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demilieu
Texas liberal...with reservations
02:00 PM on 02/21/2011
Still, as the ecnonomy picks up demand will make companies start to hire.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Americulchie
12:07 AM on 02/10/2011
The Republicans want to waste time trying to undo HCR,and getting more tax breaks for the wealthy;they have no desire to get us out this ever deepening economic down turn.Not to mention wasting trillions on wars we cannot win.
04:11 PM on 02/09/2011
As long as DC supports H-1b work visas you know they are not on your side. The only purpose work visas serve is to create unemployment and to drive down wages. H-1b is direct federal interference in the labor market on behalf of employers. It's class warfare...guess whose losing?
luminavi
Love kicking over anthills on both left and right.
04:21 PM on 02/09/2011
Yep. Look at any big company's local I.T. department nowadays. Staff is 70% from India. Now replicate that across a million companies here in the U.S.

Heck, people about to get laid off are forced to TRAIN their replacements from India. Talk about adding insult to injury.

If Congress abolished the H1-B and L1 visa program tomorrow, by Monday the unemployment problem would be resolved.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
spinotter11
Spinning through life and trying to understand it.
04:45 PM on 02/09/2011
Maybe the Indians are just better workers and more intelligent.
11:48 PM on 02/10/2011
If they're not hiring the Indians here, they are outsourcing to India, or opening corporate offices directly in India (as the outsourcing doesn't work, they've realized how incompetent they are, and think they're solve the problem by hiring them directly themselves). There's even a bit of the old boys network developing in IT departments.

And yeah, people are training their replacements in India, insulting to say the least.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
spinotter11
Spinning through life and trying to understand it.
04:42 PM on 02/09/2011
That "guess who's losing," guy or girl. You are losing in the English grammar competition, at least. Make yourself presentable grammatically.
luminavi
Love kicking over anthills on both left and right.
05:18 PM on 02/09/2011
That's 'grammatically presentable,' glass house dweller.
11:50 PM on 02/10/2011
Are you a teacher?
luminavi
Love kicking over anthills on both left and right.
03:05 PM on 02/09/2011
"The U.S. visa programs that allow companies to hire skilled foreign workers is "out of control" and is costing Americans hundreds of thousands of jobs, according to an analysis from the Economic Policy Institute. The H-1B and L-1 visa programs currently account for 1 million guest workers in the United States. Many of these foreign workers are employed at companies that have embraced offshore outsourcing of high-wage, high-tech workers as their primary business model.

IBM now has more people working in India than it has working in the United States, according to data compiled by The Economist magazine. In 2003, IBM's U.S. headcount was 135,155, while it had 6,000 workers in India. By 2009, its U.S. headcount had shrunk to 105,000, while its Indian workforce numbered 100,000. Deloitte has tripled its headcount in India, from 11,000 to 33,000. "None of this gets reported in the United States," says Hira."

Read: http://www.manufacturingnews.com/news/newss/outsourcing111.html
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
spinotter11
Spinning through life and trying to understand it.
04:43 PM on 02/09/2011
Why should it not be this way? Perhaps the Indian employees are more talented, with more brain power, than the Americans. Does this disparity ever get reported?
luminavi
Love kicking over anthills on both left and right.
05:16 PM on 02/09/2011
Busted. You're definitely a Desi yourself to actually be saying this. Indian employees are NOT more talented or smarter than Americans. You guys only just recently learned to stop crapping in your streets for goodness sake (the majority tho still have to learn that).

What you guys are good at is working for peanuts, faking qualifications, covering for each others incompetence, stealing knowledge and ideas from American workers, and working for peanuts.

Nothing personal. India basically has a half billion indentured slaves who exist to keep the upper class caste in riches and power. Sort of like here, except we know how to use toilets.
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laaambchop
Cheerfulness is a sign of wisdom
09:06 AM on 02/10/2011
Perhaps. But it is more likely that IBM is using labor costs to drive their hiring decisions.
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BannedInBoston
Everyone is entitled to my opinion.
02:41 PM on 02/09/2011
Haven't I read this story before? In fact, haven't I BEEN reading it for something like the past two years??? The economy HAS recovered except for jobs, and read that the creation of new jobs was WAY up for December and January. I'm not saying we're out of the woods yet, but can we at least keep the negative _hype up to date?...
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Nobody78
A little left of Center
02:36 PM on 02/09/2011
You mean extending the Bush tax cuts didn't cause the business and the wealthy to start hiring.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
spinotter11
Spinning through life and trying to understand it.
04:44 PM on 02/09/2011
No, but who cares about employees anyway, as long as our profits are secure?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Nobody78
A little left of Center
12:01 AM on 02/10/2011
Heck yea! It's party time on the middle classes bill. What's the best champagne in the house? Live it up!
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laaambchop
Cheerfulness is a sign of wisdom
09:08 AM on 02/10/2011
That's the crux of it.
This comment has been removed due to violations of our [Guidelines]
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StevieRae
2012 Choice-Oligarchy or a Republic
11:12 PM on 02/08/2011
Growth in jobs cannot occur in the private sector unless demand increases. What am I missing????

Business owners, big and small are not going to increase their capacities unless the demand for their products and services supports such an increase. The only way to get the economy going again, initially, is by government investing in it. But given the anti-government, we can't afford public spending anymore craze, our nation's recovery is going to be very slow, like several years, not months.
luminavi
Love kicking over anthills on both left and right.
01:41 AM on 02/09/2011
Government investing in WHAT exactly? Investing as just another euphemism for more mindless, bottomless spending? The government has blown nearly $2 trillion in QE1 and QE2, and practically doubled the deficit in less than 2 years (mind-bloggling) --- with nothing to show for it but higher unemployment.

Banks still aren't lending. No-one in Wall St. has gone to jail despite all the crimes and perjury and fraud. All the big states are buckling under the weight of their debts and deficits.

And the answer is to let the government SPEND even more?
How about instead of spending more, the government focus on erecting fair trade barriers and closing corporate tax loopholes, so that the several million jobs that have flown overseas get sent back home here?

There is LITTLE demand because there is SO MUCH unemployment. It isn't the government's job to create jobs. It's responsibility lies in creating the statutory environment (through either persuasion or coercion), so that not only jobs are preserved and created, but the technological and industrial base isn't wiped out due to UN-MANAGED globalization.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
spinotter11
Spinning through life and trying to understand it.
07:36 AM on 02/09/2011
Now here you and I are on the same page exactly. F+F for this comment. We are in a world of economic hurt and our leaders are merely throwing the deck chairs overboard rather than doing anything useful to remedy the situation.
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StevieRae
2012 Choice-Oligarchy or a Republic
08:51 AM on 02/09/2011
Hi Luminate - First, let's be clear. The reason we are showing a deficit is Obama, unlike Bush isn't running two wars or the drug plan for elders OFF THE BOOKS. The deficit we're seeing is what it taking to "run things, and, yes, there's much to cut, particularly in Defense. Social programs will also have to be "on the table" as the parlance goes.

The federal government could spearhead r&d and infrastructure financing of a new industry, energy industry. All forms. We also have infrastructure collapsing everywhere and with states $129 billion short in their budgets, their ability to fix essentials is bleak. So, what's left the "market driven capitalistic system". Ha. The jobs that you describe as having "flown overseas" went because we're a global economy, competing with third world nations with the slave level wages and working conditions. And as long as market or company performance on Wall St. is measured on profit, companies will continue to move work overseas because your mutual fund manager, broker, you with your IRA expect that from the companies you invest in.

And, yes, demand is down because of unemployment, which was exactly my point. Thanks for sharing your thoughts.
09:43 PM on 02/08/2011
The small manufacturing and professional services sector provides dignified, high-wage employment to 50% of America.  In Dec 2007, overnight, the banks stopped lending to us and never resumed.  Those of us who have survived this long have done so by cutting back employees even while demand in our markets has remained strong.  We have therefore shown declining income over the last 2 years, poor cash flow, shrinking infrastructure, we are steeped in credit card debt - all the things that companies that have weathered the worst economic crisis in nearly a century would show.
 
And under current underwriting rules, it is for this very reason that we don't qualify for loans.
 
The companies that do qualify for loans are companies that can show stable income month to month over the past two to three years, strong cash flow, low-overhead...in other words convenience stores, dry cleaners, fast food franchises.  Marginal employers.  Minimum wage employers.
 
And the underwriting standards are as stringent as they are because no bank is going to be fixed to lend for years - for as long as it takes to anticipate the law suits that have to be resolved because of the fraud that the consumer banks committed.  The investment banks engineered that fraud, of course, but the consumer banks seem to be holding the bag for it.  And of course no one is going to jail for it.
 
Now everyone will say:  There's always the SBA and that $30b in funding that Congress passed last year.  But in the case of the former, lenders have to meet the bank's underwriting standards in order to qualify for SBA money.  So tough luck there.  And in the latter case, well, Geithner just issued the rules under which banks can apply to the Treasury to participate in Small Business Lending Fund on Dec 22.  We're all dying to see who can and can't still.  But if Geithner attaches the same kind of rules to this fund that he did to the foreclosure fund, we're SOL.
 
And so is anyone who would like to be employed as a designer or project manager or craftsman...
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spinotter11
Spinning through life and trying to understand it.
02:16 PM on 02/09/2011
Dignified? Shows what century you are stuck in.
09:45 PM on 02/09/2011
I am drawing a distinction between the jobs in the manufacturing and professional servces sector like skilled craftsmen, project managers, production managers, designers, artists, etc. which pay high salaries and benefits - aka, dignified employment.
 
As opposed to jobs in the service industry which typically offer temporary, part-time, or otherwise marginal employment at minimum wages, not steady employment such as mature families can build security on.
 
And I am drawing this distinction by way of saying that this administration is supporting the latter but not the former.  And while I have worked in more service jobs than you can shake a stick at, and would again if I had to, because I certainly don't mean to say that one form of employment is less honorable than another...
 
STILL I THINK GIVEN OUR DRUTHERS, AMERICANS WANT TO HAVE DIGNIFIED EMPLOYMENT  - PERMANENT, FULL-TIME, LIVING WAGE, WITH BENEFITS, THAT PERMIT THEM TO BUILD LIVES THAT INCLUDE LEISURE TIME.
 
So I for one am mystified as to why this president has completely written off this country's professional services and manufacturing base.
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demilieu
Texas liberal...with reservations
02:15 PM on 02/21/2011
2-years out of work licensed architect here. When will this end? Aside for some work on roads and bridges the construction industry has not been helped out one bit in all the federal intervention. They bailed out Wall Street and then retired to the den for cigars and brandy.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
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05:48 PM on 02/08/2011
BOMBSHELL REPORT: Goldman Sachs Got Billions From Taxpayers Thru AIG For Its OWN Account, Crisis Panel Finds; Contradicting SWORN Testimony From Execs
http://dailybail.com/home/bombshell-report-goldman-sachs-got-billions-from-taxpayers-t.html

Inside Job.
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hrpmap
Retired man still active..
05:29 PM on 02/08/2011
Awhile back I posted an article where American taxpayers put out millions to get a solar panel company going then the company moved the production to China. It never was posted, Why, there was a kink proving it.
luminavi
Love kicking over anthills on both left and right.
05:56 PM on 02/08/2011
It's posted a lil further down below, buddy. I see it. Useful info, thanks!!
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hrpmap
Retired man still active..
06:00 PM on 02/08/2011
Back at you.
luminavi
Love kicking over anthills on both left and right.
03:58 PM on 02/08/2011
When are people going to WAKE UP and realize that corporations are HIRING.

Hiring ABROAD.

Offshore outsourcing has NEVER had it better. Heck, they're struggling to keep up with demand from U.S. companies. It's a OUTSOURCING FRENZY going on right now in the corporate world because they're all seeing the loopholes in trade and tax laws that will allow them to benefit from sending jobs overseas.

If you've got a job right now, watch your back. Nearly EVERY and ANY job can be outsourced. You think it's bad now, wait till Latin America gets into the game.
12:35 PM on 02/08/2011
With one-sided free trade deals with communist China, H-1b work visas and millions of illegal workers in the US...there never going to be rising wages or a growing middle class again. But profits will be up.
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spinotter11
Spinning through life and trying to understand it.
04:35 PM on 02/08/2011
Let me suggest that all of us Americans are partly to blame for what is happening, because we have tolerated and voted for the philosophy that money is the only important factor in the universe. You get what you vote for, people. So where was that kinder, gentler streak of human empathy for one another that we maybe thought might give us some hope for change? Might it still be in all of our hearts, if we chose to recognize what is happening and turn away before it is too late?
missprissanna
the weight of the news nearly broke my back
10:22 AM on 02/09/2011
May I suggest that the Americans who are to blame for what is happening are the ones who are profiting from it. Average working Americans want jobs. Doesn't really matter who we vote for, we get what corporations want.
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UberdanSounds
I make music(al), funnies.
11:41 AM on 02/08/2011
They're just doing the same or more with less people. Then, they sit on that cash & let it collect interest, or they invest it proprietary investment vehicles. Forget the fact they laid off a 1/4 or 1/3 of their work force.