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Andrew Kohut says the Tea Party's hard line on spending divides the GOP.

PPP finds Obama leading all potential 2012 GOP opponents in nine swing states.

Joe Lenski explains why an upcoming exit poll in a SC special election will test GOP presidential preference for 2012.

Alan Abramowitz finds incumbents in Obama's position rarely lose.

Sean Trende assesses Obama's reelection chances.

David Hill says Florida will be ground zero in 2012.

Gary Langer recommends watching job creation and gas prices as keys to economic sentiment.

Greg Marx takes on questionable reporting of public opinion on spending.

The Bliss Institute finds Ohio early voting favored Democrats in 2010 (via Political Wire).

Mark Mellman reviews what Egyptian polls say about Egypt's future.

Daniel Larison analyzes a telephone survey of urban Egypt (via Sullivan).

Bob Groves compares the official Census counts to other population estimates.

FlowingData shares notes and key points from the O'Reilly Strata "Making Data Work" conference.

OkCupid studies its massive match-making dataset to determine "the shallow stuff to ask when you want to know something deep" on a first date.

Is it better to rent or buy? Depends on where you live.

A Toronto statistician reverse-engineered a lottery game's random number algorithm.

These statistical cookies look significantly delicious.

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