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New Home Sales Plunge After Worst Housing Year In Half A Century

New Home Sales

DEREK KRAVITZ   02/24/11 10:43 AM ET   AP

WASHINGTON — Sales of new homes fell significantly in January, a dismal sign after the worst year for that sector in nearly a half-century.

New-home sales dropped to a seasonally adjusted rate of 284,000 homes last month, the Commerce Department said Thursday. That's down from 325,000 in December and less than half the 600,000-a-year pace that economists view as healthy.

Bad winter weather likely hampered some sales, although the industry has been struggling since the housing bubble burst in 2006.

Last year was the fifth consecutive year that new-home sales have declined after hitting record highs during the housing boom. Buyers purchased 322,000 new homes last year, the fewest annual total on records going back 47 years. Economists say it could take years before sales return to a healthy pace.

Builders of new homes are struggling to compete in markets saturated with foreclosures. High unemployment and uncertainty over home prices have kept many potential buyers from making purchases.

Poor sales of new homes mean fewer jobs in the construction industry, which normally powers economic recoveries. On average, each new home built creates the equivalent of three jobs for a year and generates about $90,000 in taxes, according to the National Association of Home Builders.

New-home sales were uneven across the country. In January, sales fell 36.5 percent in the West and 12.8 percent in the South. But they rose 17.1 percent in the Midwest and 54.5 percent in the Northeast.

The big declines in the West came after a huge increase in December. Buyers had rushed to take advantage of a state tax credit of up to $10,000 on new home purchases in California at the end of the month, said Joshua Shapiro, chief U.S. economist for MFR Inc.

"It would make sense that a surge in such activity took place in California during December and there was payback in January," he said.

Sales of previously occupied homes have not fared much better. While sales rose slightly last month, the seasonally adjusted annual pace of 5.36 million is still far below the 6 million homes a year needed to maintain a healthy market.

Mortgage applications are now near their lowest levels in 15 years.

The average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage this week dipped to 4.95 percent from 5 percent, Freddie Mac said Thursday. It hit a 40-year low of 4.17 percent in November, and has been trending upward since.

About 188,000 new homes were for sale at the end of January, the lowest level since 1967. The number of homes that have received permits to begin construction has held steady over the past year while the number of those under construction and finished has plummeted.

The median sales price of a new home sold in January was $230,600, down 1.9 percent from the month before. Given the pace of new-home sales, it would take nearly 8 months to clear them off the market. Economists say a six-month supply of homes is healthy.

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WASHINGTON — Sales of new homes fell significantly in January, a dismal sign after the worst year for that sector in nearly a half-century. New-home sales dropped to a seasonally adjusted rate ...
WASHINGTON — Sales of new homes fell significantly in January, a dismal sign after the worst year for that sector in nearly a half-century. New-home sales dropped to a seasonally adjusted rate ...
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
USNDC
Smartest President ever ? ... not even close.
01:58 PM on 02/25/2011
If 2010 was a record year with just over 1,000,000 foreclosures ... and we started out 2011 with 7,000,000 properties some stage of foreclosure ... you can safely assume that the current "plunge" in property values is just the beginning.

Hang on ... this downward spiral is gaining strength with every new foreclosure ... and isn't going to stop until we stop foreclosures.

The unresolved foreclosure crisis threatens us all.

Except maybe Barack Obama ... he doesn't seem to care.
01:38 PM on 02/25/2011
Oh I am sure it was bad weather that caused this, maybe it was more like a depression created by free trade, Globalization, off shoring and outsourcing. We got rid of our wealth to benefit retirees who have stocks and to have cheap Walmart goods.
11:56 PM on 02/24/2011
I think the severe winter storms back East had something to do with last months reporting as well. Don't see too many people being excited about shopping for a major purchase when there's feet of snow and below zero temperatures outside.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Erinaleks
Architectural Artisan, Free Thinker
07:59 PM on 02/24/2011
Overpriced vinyl drywall junk with granite counter tops. Maybe people are wising up to the junk they call new homes?
05:05 PM on 02/24/2011
The good news is that once all the distressed sales are completed new home sales won't have nearly as much competition. Bad news number one is that prices are continuing to fall. Falling prices put more homeowners underwater. Underwater homeowners are another source of distressed sales. Bad news number two is falling prices means more competition to new homes from existing home sales. Bad news number three is job growth is still anemic and wages are still stagnant. Many new jobs are low paying creating fewer customers for any home purchases.

The home building business is still years away from returning to anything like what was considered to be normal. Home prices are projected to fall another 20 to 25%.
03:54 PM on 02/24/2011
OK, buy a house if you feel so compelled, but will the banks let you keep it for the length of your mortgage?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ta8ersalid
The End of the GOP Starts in Nov. 2012
02:47 PM on 02/24/2011
Yesterday, the report was new home sales were up in January.

Which is it people?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
DebtNavigation
Attorney and Author
02:42 PM on 02/24/2011
A floor could be put under housing prices today by restoring pre-Nobelman cramdown of primary residence mortgage principal in Chapter 13. It won't be pink cotton candy an unicorns if that goes through, but it beats the brimstone and scorpions we got now... Alternatively, Americans can simply revolt.

In Mexico in the mid-'90s Wall Street engineered a currency coup that tripled the debt owed by small businesses and family farms and also allowed for them to be massively ratejacked on top of it. Mexicans consequently formed the "el Barzon" movement and pushed back Wall Street and deposed their ruling party of 60+ years. In this country YouTube phenom Ann Minch has already declared the debtors' revolt and begun going after them http://www.revoltstartsnow.com

If you've been pushed under, you can read every other page of my book for free: http://www.scribd.com/doc/25443175/Debt-Hope-Down-and-Dirty-Survival-Strategies-Evaluation-Version-Complete
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Grimway
04:06 PM on 02/24/2011
Nice post Sir!
02:25 PM on 02/24/2011
The housing crisis won't stop until prices return to market levels.  Prices won't return to market levels until the banking sector is reformed and the big insolvent banks are winded down in bankruptcy.
02:22 PM on 02/24/2011
Home sales won't return to normal levels until prices decrease.  Trillions of dollars in wealth have been stolen by the banksters, and that money is no longer in the public's hands, so they can't buy houses anymore.  I'm not buying anything until prices go down.  Houses are extremely overpriced now.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
johnfkennedyjr
Look to my left & to my right, I'm in the Center!
01:18 PM on 02/24/2011
April Fools day will usher in new Federal regulation­s that will further cripple the mortgage industry. Loans will be harder to get, will cost more and will result in the loss of tens of thousands of mortgage industry jobs. The effects on the Real Estate market will be devastatin­g.

Mortgage brokers and loan officers have been under attack from the government for years now, since the start of the mortgage meltdown mainly caused by the banks by offering products which were removed within weeks of the meltdown. The banks got bailouts, the brokers got the blame and the punishment­s which are never ending.

The intent is obvious, to remove brokers from the industry to give the power and money tot he banks. Consumers will suffer, so to the industry and the tens of thousands of us struggling to make a living.

This is not the change I voted for Mr. President!
02:14 PM on 02/24/2011
While banks and wall street share a large percentage of the meltdown a smaller percentage can be attributed to mortgage brokers, loan officers, real estate agents and appraisers. The difference is that the later doesn't have near the lobbying dollars as the former (banks). Yes even the homeowners and flippers bear some responsibility. I do agree with you that it is highly likely that Obama will cave to the republican congress and wall street lobby further hurting the consumer (fees/penalities etc.) and reducing the mortgage brokers role. Given the loose lending I wouldn't be opposed to harsh borrower debt to income ratio standards and strong credit worthiness even if it means less paper is pushed through the mortgage and real estate industries but I am completely against throwing anymore bones wall streets way.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
johnfkennedyjr
Look to my left & to my right, I'm in the Center!
04:59 PM on 02/24/2011
I would argue the problems were fixed years ago. All the feel good measures attacking the brokers and salespeople, appraisers and so on - are just a business grab from the banks all wrapped up in the American flag in the name of consumer protection. It is a conspiracy.

You can list all the ills of the industry but take away the problem products (liar loans) and everything else doesn't add up to anything of a real problem that couldn't be fixed with existing laws against fraud. The banks responsible for the products that should never have been on the market are unscathed by the new regulations and are attacking brokers and salespeople in the process for their own gain.

All these new regulations and measures are the proverbial throwing the baby out with the bathwater....
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
kevin j williams
01:04 PM on 02/24/2011
here in ohio every house on the market is a steal
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
johnfkennedyjr
Look to my left & to my right, I'm in the Center!
01:21 PM on 02/24/2011
Its not just Ohio!
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ta8ersalid
The End of the GOP Starts in Nov. 2012
02:50 PM on 02/24/2011
Yup, and the banks and rich are stealing them.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
kevin j williams
01:02 PM on 02/24/2011
suprise suprise
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uniquindividual
I'm unique and so are you
12:47 PM on 02/24/2011
Hows the exporting of industrial capasity toy a totalitarian system lacking freedoms of speech, press, association, assembly, religion and electoral choice working out for middle class homebuyers?

It's the fruition of a 30 year trend, tough to buy a home even after the crash when the middle class continues to shrink...

http://www.cbpp.org/cms/index.cfm?fa=view&id=3220

And of course it's related to the 30 year republican plan...

http://zfacts.com/p/1195.html
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
spoonbill1963
12:06 PM on 02/24/2011
Didn't I just post the other day that we're far from the bottom.
Don't buy any US real estate for at least five years if you can possibly help it. One exception: If you can practically steal it, that go for it.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ta8ersalid
The End of the GOP Starts in Nov. 2012
02:53 PM on 02/24/2011
Really, you some real estate guru now?

I bet you told people to get back in the market at DJIA at 11,000 too. That bubble is ready to implode.

Here is the best advise i can give anyone when it comes to investing. Go in the opposite direction of what the majority thinks and you will come out a winner.
07:40 PM on 02/24/2011
My money is with Spoon. The NAR lie their butt off when it comes to home sales. They overestimated home sales by 20% going back to 2007. Inflation is here..... mideast/corn/wheat/cotton.... interest rates will go up......the government may take away the tax/mortgage interest deduction putting downward pressure on home prices. The best or worst depending if you're a buyer or seller is yet to come.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
babyspittle
Fox Fake News kills brain cells
01:43 AM on 02/25/2011
I did what you suggest and more than doubled my investment over 2 years.

I plan to get into the housing market while its down.