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Checking The Facts On Politicians' Claims About Climate Change, EPA

Climate Change Facts And Myths

First Posted: 04/07/11 05:07 PM ET Updated: 06/07/11 06:12 AM ET

The Center For Public Integrity
By Chris Hamby

On Wednesday, one of this political era’s most contentious issues — climate change — came to a head on Capitol Hill, as both the House and Senate debated and voted on proposals to block the Environmental Protection Agency from regulating greenhouse gas emissions. In the House, the ban prevailed; in the Senate, though, multiple amendments foundered and supporters lacked enough votes to override a threatened veto by President Obama.

As frequently happens during such showdowns, claims and counter-claims on both sides flew fast and furious — among them a few wily distortions and utter fictions you’re likely to hear again because the dueling combatants are just getting warmed up. While the votes were largely symbolic and have no chance of becoming law, the debate allowed partisans on both sides to stake out territory they’ll revisit in the run-up to the 2012 election.

Here’s our latest check of the facts behind some of those claims, from God’s role in global warming to the culpability of cows. In the months ahead, we’ll keep tabs on such claims involving climate change and other topics, so please let us know your nominees for closer inspection.

And while we’re objective, we’re not infallible — so please let us know if you think we’ve got it wrong. (You can send us a tweet @publici or email us at webmaster@publicintegrity.org)

Claim: EPA regulation of greenhouse gases would harm small businesses and farmers.

Facts: The EPA’s current rule applies only to companies that will contribute more than 75,000 tons per year of carbon emissions and that already need a permit because of substantial emissions of other pollutants. Later this year, the rule will extend to companies that don’t currently require permits for other emissions but that will emit more than 100,000 tons per year of carbon pollution. EPA says, “Emissions from small farms, restaurants, and all but the very largest commercial facilities will not be covered by these programs at this time.” The EPA does plan, however, to seek input on the possibility of phasing in more emissions sources in 2013. Whether that could include small businesses and farms is, at least until then, unclear.

Claim: The EPA plans to regulate cow flatulence as a source of greenhouse gases.

House Republicans noted during floor debate Wednesday that the EPA’s own website details the substantial contributions of livestock to methane emissions. Their assertion: Ranchers and dairies will have to pay a hidden levy for bovine releases. “They’re [the EPA] going to blame cattle, they’re going to tax cattle … because that’s what they’re proposing,” said Texas Republican Pete Sessions.

Facts: The government is proposing no levies pegged to cows’ contribution to global warming. EPA Administrator Lisa Jackson, testifying on March 10 before House Committee on Agriculture, explicitly denounced the so-called “Cow Tax” as a myth. “The truth is, EPA is proposing to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in a responsible, careful manner and we have even exempted agricultural sources from regulation,” she said. Even so, ruminants themselves are not exactly wearing white hats when it comes to climate change; as the EPA does note on its Web site, the world’s livestock altogether produce about 80 million metric tons of methane annually, making them the largest source of the greenhouse gas produced in human-related activities — about 28% of all emissions globally.

Claim: Climate change is not caused by human activities.

During floor debate Wednesday, some Republicans questioned the science behind global warming. Rep. Joe Barton, a Texas Republican said, “Man-made CO2 [carbon dioxide] does not contribute to climate change.” And North Carolina Republican Virginia Foxx referenced books by climate-change skeptics and lamented that some environmentalists “think that we, human beings, have more impact on the climate and the world than God does.”

Facts: While people frequently differ on the impact of deities, scientists have reached a broad consensus on global warming. A 2010 report from the National Academy of Sciences found, for instance, that “climate change is occurring, is caused largely by human activities, and poses significant risks for — and in many cases is already affecting — a broad range of human and natural systems.” A congressionally mandated report in 2009 by the U.S. Global Change Research Program, which integrates and coordinates federal research, concluded: “Observations show that warming of the climate is unequivocal. The global warming observed over the past 50 years is due primarily to human-induced emissions of heat-trapping gases.” Not all religious believers concur on global warming, and some Christian evangelists have become evangelists for limiting emissions to ward off the consequences of climate change.

Claim: EPA regulation of greenhouse gases is a workaround method of achieving the cap-and-trade system that failed in Congress in 2009.

Republicans characterized the EPA regulation as an attempt by “unelected bureaucrats” to push President Barack Obama’s agenda even after cap-and-trade legislation failed to pass in Congress. “Democrats forced passage of the controversial cap and trade legislation. Americans quickly learned of the thousands of dollars in new energy costs that would be imposed on their families each year,” complained Illinois Republican Adam Kinzinger in an April 5 newspaper column. “While cap and trade failed in the Senate, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency is still attempting to enforce a backdoor cap and trade system on the American people.”

Facts: While those who worry about climate change clearly are trying to find multiple ways of limiting greenhouse gases, there’s no sign that Obama or Democrats in Congress are making another stab at cap and trade. They’re after some of the same results that would have been achieved with cap and trade — reduction in emissions — but not through a cap and trade system. California Democrat Henry Waxman tried to make the denial official by reading into the record Wednesday a letter from the EPA in response to Congressional inquiries. In the letter, the agency said it had not considered — and has no plans to consider — a cap-and-trade system.

Claim: The EPA’s regulation of greenhouse gases as pollutants is an impermissible misuse of the Clean Air Act.

Facts: The Clean Air Act instructs the EPA to set standards for emissions of a wide range of air pollutants that could endanger public health.In 2007, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled that greenhouse gases are pollutants under the Clean Air Act. In 2009, the EPA issued a finding that these emissions may endanger public health, allowing the agency to regulate them.

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The Center For Public Integrity By Chris Hamby On Wednesday, one of this political era’s most contentious issues — climate change — came to a head on Capitol Hill, as both the House and Sena...
The Center For Public Integrity By Chris Hamby On Wednesday, one of this political era’s most contentious issues — climate change — came to a head on Capitol Hill, as both the House and Sena...
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COMMUNITY PUNDITS
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elfish 05:33 PM on 04/07/2011
Man-made Global Warming Deniers must refute a lot of evidence to prove your case.

Which of the following can you prove to be false?

1. We are burning more and more coal, oil and natural gas. (Doubled since 1960.)

2. Burning oil, coal, and natural gas releases CO2. (Doubled since 1970)

3. The Oceans have a fixed volume of water and have a  Read More...
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jimboy71
Hen Diapheron Heautoi
08:06 PM on 04/23/2011
New Dr. Who. Gotta run. Happy Spring.
absolument
Debate the policy. But first, LEARN the science.
08:47 PM on 04/23/2011
:-) Enjoy.
05:13 PM on 04/23/2011
FACTS - in this case are factual lies.
absolument
Debate the policy. But first, LEARN the science.
05:26 PM on 04/23/2011
:-D

In some cases, that's true. For example, YOUR CLAIM that "Greenland is cooling" is a bald-faced LIE.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/social/absolument/climate-change-costs-report_n_850810_85394403.html
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jimboy71
Hen Diapheron Heautoi
06:59 PM on 04/23/2011
Solid work on this deniar.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jimboy71
Hen Diapheron Heautoi
06:58 PM on 04/23/2011
You know what is great about your analysis?

Nothing.
This comment has been removed due to violations of our [Guidelines]
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Publicola
Facts are stubborn things
07:37 PM on 04/20/2011
U.S. National Academy of Sciences, 2010:

There is a strong, credible body of evidence, based on multiple lines of research, documenting that climate is changing and that these changes are in large part caused by human activities­. While much remains to be learned, the core phenomenon­, scientific questions, and hypotheses have been examined thoroughly and have stood firm in the face of serious scientific debate and careful evaluation of alternative explanation­s…

From a philosophical perspective, science never proves anything... In practical terms, however, scientific uncertainties are not all the same. Some scientific conclusions or theories have been so thoroughly examined and tested, and supported by so many independent observations and results, that their likelihood of subsequently being found to be wrong is vanishingly small. Such conclusions and theories are then regarded as settled facts. This is the case for the conclusions that the Earth system is warming and that much of this warming is very likely due to human activities.

http://www.nap.edu/openbook.php?record_id=12782
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Robco1
08:34 PM on 04/21/2011
This is why PR is so effective at disinformation. PR propagandists prey on uncertainty and tell their audience exactly what they want to hear. All they have to do is make the public think that the questions are not resolved enough to act upon.

"The scientific debate remains open. Voters believe that there is no consensus about global warming within the scientific community. Should the public some to believe that the scientific issues are settled, their views about global warming will change accordingly. Therefore, you need to continue to make the lack of scientific certainty a primary issue in the debate, and defer to scientists and other experts in the field." --Frank Luntz, 2002
http://www.politicalstrategy.org/archives/001330.php

Which is why they fund fake experts and "think tanks" that behave like PR firms, and create fake grassroots organizations as a part of their campaign.

http://www.greenpeace.org/usa/en/news-and-blogs/news/exxonsecrets-2007/
http://climateprogress.org/2010/04/02/david-koch-industrations-acid-rain-climate-denial-polluter-front-groups/
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10:09 PM on 04/21/2011
Such conclusion s and theories are then regarded as settled facts.

Absolut stupidity. Even the real credible climate scientist understand the science is not settled. Which is why most of the posters here are full of cr*p.
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06:26 PM on 04/20/2011
Why I think you folks are mostly full of cr*p.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=67dcK5sjHsE&feature=player_embedded
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Publicola
Facts are stubborn things
07:37 PM on 04/20/2011
Q. Why do science deniers conflate opinion by some activists and/or scientists with established scientific consensus?

A. Because they are science deniers, of course.
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Robco1
08:13 PM on 04/21/2011
158 reasons why I think denier trolls are full of cr*p.

http://www.skepticalscience.com/argument.php
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Publicola
Facts are stubborn things
01:07 PM on 04/20/2011
Evolution is a hoax.

http://antidarwinism.com/evolutionisahoax.html

Science denier rhetoric is stupefying.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jimboy71
Hen Diapheron Heautoi
08:41 PM on 04/22/2011
Take a swim in a coal tar pond and get back to me, ok?
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Publicola
Facts are stubborn things
10:50 PM on 04/18/2011
The sun revolves around the earth.

http://www.galileowaswrong.com/galileowaswrong/

Science denier rhetoric is stupefying.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jimboy71
Hen Diapheron Heautoi
11:09 PM on 04/18/2011
Please tell me this is a joke?
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Publicola
Facts are stubborn things
12:12 AM on 04/19/2011
Granted: it's a joke in the same sense that pappy50's link below is a joke.
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Publicola
Facts are stubborn things
12:18 PM on 04/19/2011
By the way about two-fifths of Americans (29%) do not know that the Earth revolves around the Sun.

No joke.

http://science.drvinson.net/polls
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09:26 PM on 04/18/2011
The world is cooling.

http://mainehuntingtoday.com/bbb/2011/01/28/nasa-data-confirms-solar-hibernation-and-climate-change-to-cold-era/

Science denier rhetoric is stupefying .
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jimboy71
Hen Diapheron Heautoi
10:10 PM on 04/18/2011
Black Bear Blog is where I always go to get the latest in science and fashion.
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Publicola
Facts are stubborn things
10:47 PM on 04/18/2011
Pappy-"I have no agenda"-50­­­: "The world is cooling"

Yawn.

From the start of Pappy50's link:

"The Space and Science Research Center (SSRC)..."

Yawn.*

Pappy50: "Science denier rhetoric is stupefying ."

Indeed.

--------------------------------------
*
The Space and Science Research Center (SSRC) is (apparently) a for-profit company located in Orlando, FL. They appear to have an anti-global warming agenda, though their arguments have yet to be examined in detail. They present an appearance of scientific grounding, but they do not seem to have any peer-reviewed papers on their theories.

The SSRC appears to have been created sometime in late 2007 or early 2008; their domain, spaceandscience.net, was registered on 2007-11-10, and a press release dated 2008-01-14 mentions says that it is "In just its first days of activation".

It seems likely that this group is essentially in the business of getting paid to come up with scientific-sounding justifications for any anti-global-warming message the customer wants to get across.

http://issuepedia.org/Space_and_Science_Research_Center
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07:19 PM on 04/18/2011
"Everyone’s God and if we don’t wake up to that there’s going to be no weather because our polar caps are melting because we’re doing bad things to the atmosphere."

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1378178/Charles-Manson-breaks-20-year-silence-40th-anniversary-gruesome-Sharon-Tate-murders.html#ixzz1JtxtfISL
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Publicola
Facts are stubborn things
07:54 PM on 04/18/2011
Hey pappy-"I have no agenda"-50­:

I asked you this question downthread but you seem to have missed it - here it is again:

Are you basic science-li­­terate? Do you understand­­, for example, basic high school-lev­­el statistics­­?

Please answer; thanks.
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Publicola
Facts are stubborn things
10:38 PM on 04/18/2011
Hey pappy-"I have no agenda"-50­­:

{{ ... crickets ... }}
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08:17 PM on 04/18/2011
The ice caps melted before. More than once. There have been ice ages since the beginning of time. It's supposed to happen, it will happen, and there is nothing any one can do about it. Thank mother nature and get over it.
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Publicola
Facts are stubborn things
08:55 PM on 04/18/2011
rogiec123's momma, a generation ago:

"Cancer happened before people began smoking tobacco. More than once. There has been cancer since the beginning of time. It's supposed to happen, it will happen, and there is nothing any one can do about it. Thank mother nature and get over this ridiculous notion that smoking causes cancer. "

Science denier rhetoric is stupefying.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jimboy71
Hen Diapheron Heautoi
10:11 PM on 04/18/2011
Not in recorded human history they haven't. "Getting over it" in your glib parlance may mean the de/ath of hundreds of thousands, and massive social upheval. Hey, it's all good. Let's sit back and enjoy the ride.

People with your disposition are the first to say they won't lift a finger and the first in line whining for help when the s%^t hits the fan.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ClimateHawk
Think before posting.
08:32 PM on 04/17/2011
The Popular Technology web site claims there are 850 papers that suggest we do not need to worry about global warming. The first paper on the list actually provides strong evidence of AGW (keep reading).

The paper reconstructs global average temperatures for the last 2000 years, and its main conclusion is:

“While instrumental data are not strictly comparable, the rise in 29 year-smoothed global data from NASA GISS (http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp) from 1935 to 1992 (with data from 1978 to 2006) is 0.34 Deg C. Even adding this rise to the 1935 reconstructed value, the MWP peak remains 0.07 Deg C above the end of the 20th Century values, though the difference is not significant.”

But there is another conclusion within easy reach (using latest data).

During the last 100 years, there has been a rise in global temperature of .62 degC (using 29 year averages of GISS data centered around the years 1897 and 1996).

During the 2000 years of the Loehle reconstruction, the largest rise during any 100 year period was only .49 degC (for example, the 100 years starting in 1194 or the 100 years starting in 1670).

So the rise in global temperature during the last 100 years is 25% larger than at any time in the last 2000 years. Using the same data sets the authors used.

Please, feel free to check my math.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ClimateHawk
Think before posting.
08:33 PM on 04/17/2011
References:

Loehle and McCulloch paper, available for free at: http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/other/correction_2000_year_tree_ring_proxies.html

Loehle and McCulloch data: see the file LoehleMcC.csv that the paper links to.

GISS graph: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/Fig.A2.gif

GISS data set: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt

Things to consider: http://tinyurl.com/3zk9knl

Why this could happen: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/modelforce/RadF.gif

Analysis done in Excel, with min, max, and average. Takes about 15 minutes.
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DocSkull
My questions aren't rhetorical.
08:46 PM on 04/17/2011
Loehle failed to falsify the larger studies because the trend is robust. Even cherry picking through the data wasn't enough to disrupt it. When McCulloch helped him control for geography and sample size he ended up recreating Mann et al 1998's "hockey stick" graph.

Loehle's results in comparison with Mann et al.:

http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2666/3914214320_261cba1cf2_o.png
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
CBasilJr
62 Retired Vet
04:36 AM on 04/18/2011
An excellent summation with references, so I can only write, F&F
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
LoneRanger2011
Hi-yo, Silver! Away!
07:31 PM on 04/17/2011
So those Republicans that question the science behind global warming, are they the same that also question the science behind evolution?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jimboy71
Hen Diapheron Heautoi
05:51 PM on 04/17/2011
Genosse Joe:

"I am not alarmed by us cutting CO2. Luckily we can not do it and Mother nature emits enouph of it."

and

1. It is relevant to the real hunger which could be caused if we would significan­­tly reduce CO2

Which is it please?
02:35 PM on 04/17/2011
Why di Global Warmist had decided to change their favorite term from Global Warming to Climate Change?

Is is because Mother Nature had started to throw some global cooling at them lately?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ClimateHawk
Think before posting.
05:09 PM on 04/17/2011
Frank Luntz, Republican pollster, suggested the change in terminology.

He thought it would help President Bush.
05:19 PM on 04/17/2011
Yes, sadly Sun Deniers come in all shapes and parties.

Ready for snowrides in Equador yet?
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gallon
Those who fail to remember history are, um
05:47 PM on 04/17/2011
Genosee Joe here is trolling this site with easily disproven junk science lies. His purpose is to confuse any issue about climate science.
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02:08 PM on 04/17/2011
Thankfully all these arguments will end soon due to " Solar Hibernation ". No more worries of warming disasters. Now we can stop bickering and look forward to " mass migrations, famines, food riots, regional conflicts and a loss of human life that could be measured on an apocalyptic scale."
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jimboy71
Hen Diapheron Heautoi
05:39 PM on 04/17/2011
Solar hibernation? Whatever are you on about?
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gallon
Those who fail to remember history are, um
05:48 PM on 04/17/2011
This sounds like another fantasy fabrication by one of our resident climate deniers, pappy50.
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08:26 PM on 04/17/2011
You mean you rocket scientist know nothing about this. I thought you were so informed.
11:39 AM on 04/17/2011
Fact: CO2 is food for trees.
Fact: CO2 is not the main so called greenhouse gas. Water vapor is much more important and three is much more of that vapor in the atmosphere. So stop sweating.
Fact: EPA's first battle was about banning the Coca Cola based on ridiculous quasi scientific theory. They lost that first fight.
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ClimateHawk
Think before posting.
11:46 AM on 04/17/2011
You might want to read a bit more widely.

There are some other relevant facts out there.
absolument
Debate the policy. But first, LEARN the science.
12:22 PM on 04/17/2011
"Higher Carbon Dioxide, Lack of Nitrogen Limit Plant Growth"
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2006/04/060412204831.htm

For example.
02:38 PM on 04/17/2011
Yes, like something about the power of Sun and its affect on our climate.
absolument
Debate the policy. But first, LEARN the science.
11:46 AM on 04/17/2011
So what has caused the steady increase in atmospheric water vapor concentration over the past four decades, Joe?
12:14 PM on 04/17/2011
Sun caused it. That was the case for many ice ages and warnings between them over the last half a billion years.
absolument
Debate the policy. But first, LEARN the science.
12:17 PM on 04/17/2011
"The evidence from SSM/I for the global ocean suggests that recent trends in precipitable water are generally positive and, for 1988 through 2003, average 0.40±0.09 mm per decade or 1.3±0.3% per decade for the ocean as a whole, where the error bars are 95% confidence intervals."
http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/cas/Staff/Fasullo/refs/Trenberth2005FasulloSmith.pdf