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iPad Takes A Chunk Out Of PC Sales, Say Analysts

By RACHEL METZ   04/13/11 07:12 PM ET   AP

Pc Sales 2011

SAN FRANCISCO -- Last year, the popularity of Apple Inc.'s iPad hurt PC sales. This year, that trend is continuing, as new data from two market research firms indicate PC shipments declined in the first three months of 2011.

On Wednesday, Gartner Inc. said that its research shows PC shipments dipped 1.1 percent compared to the same period last year, to 84.3 million. IDC said its numbers show PC shipments fell 3.2 percent to 80.6 million. The companies measure the market in different ways.

Gartner had expected 3 percent shipment growth, while IDC was looking for 1.5 percent growth.

Gartner principal analyst Mikako Kitagawa said that during the January-March period consumers weren't as drawn to cheap PCs – usually a category that keeps the market growing. Rather, they were interested in tablet computers and other consumer electronics.

"With the launch of the iPad 2 in February, more consumers either switched to buying an alternative device, or simply held back from buying PCs," Kitagawa said. "We're investigating whether this trend is likely to have a long-term effect on the PC market."

For years, companies tried to popularize tablets, but it wasn't until Apple released the iPad last April that the category took off. Last month, Apple started selling a new version of the device, and a bevy of companies including Hewlett-Packard Co., Dell Inc. and BlackBerry maker Research In Motion Ltd. are trying to catch up by offering their own takes on the tablet.

IDC attributes the PC shipment decline to several factors, including frugal businesses and a lack of consumer interest. To be successful over time, PC makers must find a better way to sell computers than simply touting their hardware specifications, IDC senior research analyst Jay Chou said.

"'Good-enough computing' has become a firm reality, exemplified first by Mini Notebooks and now Media Tablets. Macroeconomic forces can explain some of the ebb and flow of the PC business, but the real question PC vendors have to think hard about is how to enable a compelling user experience that can justify spending on the added horsepower," he said.

In the U.S., IDC said shipments fell 10.7 percent to 16.1 million. Gartner has PC shipments falling 6.1 percent, also to 16.1 million.

Both firms have Palo Alto-based Hewlett-Packard Co. as the world's top PC maker: Gartner said HP had nearly 18 percent of the market in the first quarter, while IDC pegs it at almost 19 percent.

But Gartner puts Taiwan's Acer Inc. in the No. 2 spot, with almost 13 percent of the market and Round Rock, Texas-based Dell Inc. as No. 3, with nearly 12 percent. IDC, meanwhile, has Dell in the second-place spot, with almost 13 percent of the market, and Acer third, with slightly more than 11 percent.

Stateside, they both agree HP and Dell took the No. 1 and No. 2 spots, respectively, but Gartner's data placed Acer and Japan-based Toshiba Corp. in third and fourth, while IDC's data showed Toshiba in third and Apple, of Cupertino, in fourth.

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SAN FRANCISCO -- Last year, the popularity of Apple Inc.'s iPad hurt PC sales. This year, that trend is continuing, as new data from two market research firms indicate PC shipments declined in the fir...
SAN FRANCISCO -- Last year, the popularity of Apple Inc.'s iPad hurt PC sales. This year, that trend is continuing, as new data from two market research firms indicate PC shipments declined in the fir...
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
slocomgp
10:48 AM on 04/16/2011
This is one of the reasons. Check awesome app!! IK Multimedia the makers of the iKlip™ are featuring Orator as their "App of the week"

http://www.ikmultimedia.com/NewsDisplay.php?Id=3082
05:27 PM on 04/15/2011
survival of the fittest design?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Michael Johnson 1
09:05 PM on 04/14/2011
Lol at these "analysts".
08:07 PM on 04/14/2011
I still need a new computer but my ipad holds me over for now.
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06:35 PM on 04/14/2011
They are still selling boatloads of PC's.
The Growth in sales just isn't as robust as it was before the iPad.
06:14 PM on 04/14/2011
The shift is towards to mobile computing as a whole...the explosion of netbooks showed that. Like the article showed : "good enough" is really good enough.

I think there is a shift to laptops from home bound computers just like the shift from home phones to cell phones....people just prefer the versatility (and typically lower prices) of the mobile devices.

The the vast majority of people use computers for 4 things:
1. web browsing
2. basic computing (spreadsheets, documents, etg)
3. social media and communication (email & social networking)
4. as media player

These are the few things the iPad does pretty good...so it's not such a versitile device...but it is a product of good research. It's long battery life helped seal the deal for most people.

I think what will help PC sellers is to keep looking into the future and start developing what people will be looking for 5 years from now
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Lynda Filler
Telling it the way I see it.
09:49 PM on 04/14/2011
It must be me.... I have iPad one, not a fan. Can't get Yahoo chat to work. Does it really work on the iPad. Can't keep two windows open at once to play a proper game of cheating Lex with my sis on FB and no USB. Really don't like the touch key pad, too sensitive. I usually love new gadgets.
When it's perfected, can do all the above, actually what I really want is Apple to give me a sexy small laptop w e i g h t l e s s ! to travel with. Am I asking for too much?
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Onutz
11:48 AM on 04/15/2011
((It must be me.... I have iPad one, not a fan.))

And you didn't return it during your grace period because....
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Channa
Everyone is entitled to my opinion.
07:41 AM on 04/16/2011
No you are not asking too much. You did not ask enough. If you had asked for a small lightweight laptop at the Apple store, I'm sure they would have sold you one.
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12:52 AM on 04/16/2011
Mobile computing is going to run up against a brick wall real soon.

The hard reality is it is physically impossible to create more wireless data bandwidth. Ever Hz of RF bandwidth is already in use and the people that have the various segments will literally kill to keep what hey have.

Even before the earthquake, ALL of the wireless networks in Japan were super saturated and the effective data rates were rapidly decreasing into the unusable range. The same thing has happened to many parts of the AT&T network (CES in Las Vegas in January is a fine example). The primary reason AT&T is buying T-Mobile is for the extra bandwidth, not the extra customers nor extra profit from being the GSM monopoly in the US. AT&T has simply run up against the physical brick wall of limited bandwidth, no matter how small they made the cells.

Once the wireless data networks become saturated, the usage of wireless devices will stall.
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jgeurian21
03:32 PM on 04/14/2011
Kind of funny to see that Huff quotes the guy as saying "With the launch of the iPad 2 in February, more consumers either switched to buying an alternative device, or simply held back from buying PCs," Um......lets see: global depression. Massive political unrest. I am sure those factors had 0 effect on PC sales. Um...I wonder which of the 2 has had a larger effect on PC sales? Well I know that huge percentages of companies held off in 2010 for their IT upgrades. I know ours did. And know with 2011, and a better economy, we are going through our IT upgrade in May.
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theveggiedude
my body is a temple, not a living graveyard
05:58 PM on 04/14/2011
It's not just iPads, the Mac sales are through the roof several quarters in a row. There has been no recession for Apple.
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06:36 PM on 04/14/2011
sshhhhh.
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DRaymond
Network administrator, voiceovers
03:47 AM on 04/15/2011
Actually in the last reported quarter Mac desktop revenue was flat, on a decrease of units sold.  Mac portable sales did show an increase in revenue, but that was in large part because the new Macbook Air is such an expensive unit.
02:35 PM on 04/14/2011
The iPad is the right product, at the right time, with the right form factor, and the right user interface. This is a combination that almost defies probability.

Given his record with the Apple II, the Macintosh, the NEXT computer (which was the computer of choice fo the creators of the World Wide Web), Pixar, the iMac, OSX, the iPod, the iPhone, the MacBook, iOS, and now the iPad, I think it may be time to check and see if Steve Jobs has an assistant named Mephistophilis.
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stape45
Spin this!
03:13 PM on 04/14/2011
We'll let Trump look into it.
02:04 PM on 04/14/2011
Call it cyclical. Also tablets, being relatively new to mainstream, get the attention of the moment. And probably some people don't really need a desktop.

But the desktop is here to stay. It will probably change shape in the future, being more integrated with the house in a form of a central network where your mobile devices all link together.

One can't live on tablets alone.
05:50 PM on 04/14/2011
Agreed.
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06:38 PM on 04/14/2011
I ditched my laptop for a desktop now that I have a tablet.
Super portability with the tablet and increased computing power with the desktop.
01:32 PM on 04/14/2011
check local inventory level at best buy, walmart and target with this easy table that links right into each companies inventory system.
http://kiernanvandoorn.wordpress.com/40-2/ipad2/
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06:39 PM on 04/14/2011
why?
11:41 AM on 04/14/2011
I would love to have an ipad but I simply can not give up having a physical keyboard and huge screen. Until they stop making laptops I will continue to purchase them.
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CaptainObvvious
Calling me a liberal is a compliment!
02:14 PM on 04/14/2011
I am one of the biggest fans of Apple mobile products and I agree... I have a brand new $2300 (non-Apple) laptop... I love my iPad but it isn't a REPLACEMENT for a laptop.

I don't use it as much as I used to because the iPad does what I spend the largest bulk of my time doing like reading news, browsing the web, music, videos... General online BS.

If I need to do something incredibly involved or play real high end games I go to my laptop or PC... But I find myself using it less and less.
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12:31 AM on 04/16/2011
Wow, you paid only about $1500 too much for your laptop!

Are the games really that important to you? Especially since the average usable life for a laptop is three years (before it is broken and costs too much to repair or it is stolen).

The brutal truth is 90% of the people on earth will be very productive with $350 Netbook or a $500 full laptop, which is LESS than the cost of a minimally functional pad.
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pita143
Virtue mine honour
09:13 PM on 04/15/2011
Try looking at this.
http://www.zagg.com/accessories/zaggmate-ipad-case

I do not have one of these, but this allows your IPad to work almost like a lap top.
05:31 PM on 05/12/2011
I would much rather get a screen protector from http://xoskins.com and a light bag..
10:59 AM on 04/14/2011
Here is what I seem to see that most people either ignore or refuse to accept. The majority of people who own or buy a computer these days, will buy the highest specs they can afford, and yet all they ever do is e-mail, word processing, and internet. Maybe skype. 90% of the computers potential or possibilities that they paid for is wasted. And then when the computers start slowing down or not working as well, they just accept it as being old because they don't have the knowledge (or just don't care) to do the maintenance that most PCs require to stay running like new.

THAT is why tablets like the Ipad are so popular. It isn't rich people with money to spend. It has nothing to do with image or the idea that Apple products are trendy. It is the simplicity and ease of use and portability that they like. They don't have to worry or think to much about it. They just pick it up and use it. And they can do their internet, email or skype all the same.

I plan on picking up an Ipad2 in the near future. I have a two year old son who is already surrounded by technology that I couldn't have imagined when I was that young. But because of the touch screen and simplicity of my Ipod touch, he can already use it and play with it in a way he can't on our PC.
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Onutz
01:27 PM on 04/14/2011
(( I have a two year old son who is already surrounded by technology))

Wow, can you imagine being a kid growing up with an iPad? Pure Elroy Jetson!
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CaptainObvvious
Calling me a liberal is a compliment!
02:15 PM on 04/14/2011
Yea but they will have no idea the gravity of what they're doing.

If I had seen an iPad when I was 8 it would have BLOWN MY MIND... They will grow up with it and never see how amazing it is.

Like we think of airplanes... We think nothing of them but to an earlier generation they were beyond magic.
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Lynda Filler
Telling it the way I see it.
09:53 PM on 04/14/2011
can't skype on ipad1
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10:01 AM on 04/14/2011
PC's have fallen quite dramatically in quality. Even the big names. They are no longer durable. The fact that a Flashless iPad can outsell the PC is pretty bad news.

I also highly resent that PC's are pretty much made to last like light bulbs. You cannot get a decent computer under 1500. And there is virtually no manufacturer support of the products. And the batteries, has there been a laptop that hasn't been sold without battery defects?
10:48 AM on 04/14/2011
There have been lots of laptops sold w/o battery defects perhaps you havent been able to find one
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09:23 PM on 04/14/2011
In both personal and professional instances this has been a problem. I work in MIS for a large company that has been changing over to deploying laptops. The battery issue has been a general nightmare for the last few years.
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theveggiedude
my body is a temple, not a living graveyard
06:02 PM on 04/14/2011
"The fact that a Flashless iPad can outsell the PC is pretty bad news"

Yep. It means Flash is inconsequential and no one misses it.
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09:24 PM on 04/14/2011
Adobe will miss the income revenue. :)
09:39 AM on 04/14/2011
Correlation does not necessarily imply causation.

I think that "PC" sales would have declined no matter what, in part due to the macroeconomic climate but also the sense that PC hardware has broadly reached a "good enough" performance level for all but the most demanding gamers and multimedia professionals. The biggest performance gains are coming from software improvements, and usage patterns are shifting toward services which are almost completely limited by network performance.

Nearly all tablet consumers already have "good enough" PC hardware.

Tablets are not immune from this trend, either. The performance of tablet (and smartphone) hardware is improving by leaps and bounds, but this maturation phase will settle down in a couple years, and these platforms are subject to cellular networks that can not and will not keep up.

At a certain point, the only reason to buy a new handheld device will be to circumvent vendor lock-in tactics which may prevent consumers from updating or switching their software platform. The hardware will become "good enough", the software will be the predominant arena of tangible improvements, and everything will be limited by the scarcity of network bandwidth.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
clsmithj
Wanna Raise Some Hell
09:38 AM on 04/14/2011
I look at it this way, the rich are able to afford to plunk money down on the latest IPads, iphone gadget Apple puts out each year while the working and shrinking middle class can't afford to upgrade their PC anymore.
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10:02 AM on 04/14/2011
I hate to tell you this, but it's not the idle rich I see running around with iPads or iPhones.
02:27 PM on 04/14/2011
Then don't tell him.
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CaptainObvvious
Calling me a liberal is a compliment!
11:13 AM on 04/14/2011
I am far from rich.

I have a job making $40,000 a year and my wife works part time.

We both have an iPad 2.

It also isn't Apple who releases something new and flashy every year... There is a new GREATEST ANDROID PHONE EVER every month.
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Onutz
06:30 AM on 04/16/2011
So is BB the Android Killer, or Android the BB Killer?