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Pew Research: Record Support For Afghanistan Troop Withdrawl

Afghanistan Troops

First Posted: 06/21/11 05:18 PM ET Updated: 08/21/11 06:12 AM ET

WASHINGTON -- A new survey from the Pew Research Center finds a record number of Americans now want to bring the troops home from Afghanistan, confirming the trends of other recent polls showing majorities now opposed to the nearly decade-long war.

For the first time since Pew Research began asking the question in 2008, a majority (56 percent) now say they want the U.S. to remove American troops from Afghanistan "as soon as possible," while 39 percent say they they want to leave troops "until the situation has stabilized." That result represents a reversal since last year, when leaving the troops in place was preferred by a majority of 53 percent to 40 percent.

2011-06-21-Blumenthal-PewResearchAfghanistan.png

This latest result confirms the findings from four other recent national surveys, all of which indicate majority support for bringing some or all of the troops home. The numbers are bigger when pollsters allow options for returning "some" troops or "reducing" their number rather than implying a total drawdown. But majorities now support troop withdrawal, regardless of question phrasing:

  • A CBS News poll in early June found nearly two-thirds of Americans (64 percent) want the number of troops in Afghanistan decreased, rather than increased (8 percent) or kept at the same level (22 percent).
  • A CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll from early June found even more who want to bring home all (39 percent) or some (35 percent) of the troops rather than keeping their number the same number deployed (18 percent) or send more (6 percent).
  • An ABC News/Washington Post poll found nearly three quarters of adults, 73 percent, say the U.S. should withdraw "a substantial number of U.S. combat forces" from Afghanistan, while 23 percent say the troops should not be withdrawn.
  • A Gallup poll in early May found a majority, 59 percent, agreeing that "the U.S. has accomplished its mission in Afghanistan and should bring its troops home," while only 39 percent chose the alternative, "the U.S. still has important work to do in Afghanistan and should maintain its troops there."

Both the Pew Research and CBS News polls, which have tracked these questions for two or more years, indicate a big jump in desire to withdraw U.S. forces since the killing of Osama bin Laden in early May. The Pew Research survey shows an eight-point jump over the last month (from 48 to 56 percent). The CBS News survey shows a 16-point jump (from 48 to 64 percent) since a survey conducted in the immediate aftermath of bin Laden's killing.

2011-06-21-Blumenthal-cbspewtroopshome.png

The increasing desire to bring the troops home tracks with general opposition to the war in Afghanistan, which has steadily increased over the last two years on surveys conducted by ABC/Washington Post, CNN/ORC and AP-GfK, as shown in the chart below. (This data is via the Polling Report.)

2011-06-21-Blumenthal-postcnnapoppositionrising.png

The Pew Research analysis shows that support for removing troops from Afghanistan over the last year "has increased across nearly all political and demographic groups." Although Democrats are more willing to drawdown troops (64 percent) than Republicans (43 percent), the Republican number has increased 12 points (from 31 percent) since June 2010. They also show that support for withdrawal has increased most among Tea Party Republicans, nearly doubling from 21 percent to 42 percent over the last year.

Read the full Pew Research report here.

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WASHINGTON -- A new survey from the Pew Research Center finds a record number of Americans now want to bring the troops home from Afghanistan, confirming the trends of other recent polls showing major...
WASHINGTON -- A new survey from the Pew Research Center finds a record number of Americans now want to bring the troops home from Afghanistan, confirming the trends of other recent polls showing major...
 
 
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COMMUNITY PUNDITS
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tony wise 04:38 AM on 06/22/2011
heres a way forward: 

leave. 
tell karzai if he lets the taliban, any of the 50 al-quida, or obl have a foothold in his government­­­­­, we will remove him by force. we did not invade and remove the taliban for no reason. I am not ok with thier return to power. that should be karzais fight, not ours. the afghan military should be capable of vetting security forces and  Read More...
01:15 AM on 07/13/2011
The colossal arrogance of thinking we can "win" in Afghanistan. I spent a month in Kandahar in southern Afghanistan some years ago. It is one of the most rugged places on earth, and one of the least developed. In fact there are essentially only two major roads in the entire country!

In such a place supply lines become a huge - and absurdly expensive - problem. The Army has admitted that it can cost hundreds of $$$ a gallon to deliver gas through difficult and dangerous terrains where "insurgents " can hunt them down.

Result: Unwinnable and costly war. DUH.
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OGigi
It is NOT only about the Economy
12:48 PM on 06/24/2011
Well, then if we the people are saying it, can assume like others issues, no one who cares who has their listening ears on. They are yawning.
They have trained us. If the majority wants it, well.......
REDSTATEREFUGEE
Texan by birth ; Californian by choice
08:57 AM on 07/01/2011
Couldn't agree more, Gigi.....Whether its the Obama administration or the Bushreich, they both are insensitive to the people. November 2012 may be a rude awakening for both parties. Perhaps the public is growing weary of business as usual.....
08:39 PM on 06/22/2011
Good move Mr. Obama

At 30,000 troops over the next 12 months, means 45,000 by 01/01/13?

Of course, Anyway remember that while Pres. GWB was in office, such a thing would called
"Un-Patriotc" and "Cut and Run"by the GOP Crabs in Office. Who, Got us into this mess in the first place!

Even the GOP Crabs, know when to "Fold 'Em".

Poor old form VP., Dick ("Darth Vader") Cheney probably choked on his "Ensure" when he heard the announcement. Guess he'll have sell "Hallibutron" to the Koch Bros., so he won't end up like a "99er" in a few months!

No more War Profiteering at someone else's expense.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Longtimeliberal
06:35 PM on 06/22/2011
According to the NY Times the President will draw down 30 K troops by next summer which is probably the right pace to get them out of a remote part of the world safely. The change at the top also should give us a clue about the future pace of drawdown. With Panetta, a deficit hawk and the new generals it looks to me like VP Biden has won the arguement. I see the need for some amt of military to deal with Afganistan but it heartens me to see a larger drawdown in a quicker pace than expected if the article is correct. Keeping fingers crossed. The whole mess cost us a ton on money and Iraq also will fail.
REDSTATEREFUGEE
Texan by birth ; Californian by choice
09:00 AM on 07/01/2011
LTL, what do you mean by your comment, "....probably the right pace to get them out of a remote part of the world safely"? When the Russians finally saw the light, packed up, and left, they proceeded up the highway in orderly fashion. 30K by next summer 2012 is clearly unacceptable. By then, we will have lost more American lives and spent billions of borrowed money that we will have to eventually repay. We need to exit now.....
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Longtimeliberal
06:29 PM on 06/22/2011
According to the NY Times latest update it appears 30 K will be withdrawn by next summer which is probably a justifiable number based on the time it takes to bring troops home from a remote situation. The military are not happy which is a good thing. Also, the new
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ewldest
I don't care "whose" war it is - end it now
01:21 PM on 06/22/2011
The public opposition to these costly neocolonial miltary ventures is mounting. The question now is how to organize it into a protest that can be heard above the corporate media spin.
I suggest, begin at the schools, and begin with the unemplyed or those without job security - remind them that these wars are the major reason the economy tanked, and why their futures look so bleak. And demand of political candidates - for any office - that they support a 'jobs, not war' agenda.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
wforvendetta
Entitled to my opinion, not my facts
01:10 PM on 06/22/2011
We don't need troops on the ground in Afghanistan. We can monitor the country with drones.If any of the 100 AQ left in Afghanistan pop their heads up, turn them into greasy spots -- from the air
REDSTATEREFUGEE
Texan by birth ; Californian by choice
09:02 AM on 07/01/2011
Your idea sounds rational, but, remember, that many innocent civilians, including village women and children, have been slain by our drone weapons....
11:18 AM on 06/22/2011
Many of us thought the U.S. had learned its lesson in Vietnam. Sadly, we seem to have under estimated the power and $ of the Military/Industrial Complex and their influence on our so called elected officials.

We now seem to be in a "Who's on first" situation. The puppet government we installed talks against us. We SAY we believe in democracy but if the Afghan people WANT to vote for the Taliban we say it is unacceptable. Then come the spin doctors. How on earth could anyone think the U.S. is imperialistic and wants to enforce its will on sovereign countries.

Perhaps.....past history?
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toxicshock
Sassy, snarky, smart
12:28 PM on 06/22/2011
If the Afghan people vote for the Taliban, what kind of impact would that have on the rest of the world?
09:11 PM on 06/22/2011
Very variable.
REDSTATEREFUGEE
Texan by birth ; Californian by choice
09:04 AM on 07/01/2011
It would demonstrate that democratic voting often results in outcomes that the electorate does not expect, but, then, if that is what the Afghan people want, so be it. Or we can continue down a blind alley with the corrupt Karzai regime, just like we did in Vietnam decades ago with the dismal succession of corrupt leaders....
10:21 AM on 06/22/2011
The "Boogie Man" is dead, the only justifiable reason we stood by the US in the first place. We win, they lose, let's come home. No doubt in my mind that Canadian soldiers were probably excellent in performing their duties. We are good people. The politicians have "spin doctors" however, twisting and turning the events so much, no one knows who or what to believe. The only way to solve Afghanistan's problems is to completely demilitarize the country and to let the people evolve into the 21st century at their own pace.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
RickCoMatic
End WAR Spending! Rebuild AMERICA!
10:13 AM on 06/22/2011
The United States of America is not at war in Afghanistan. Young America does not care what the Country has the Military do because today's young people are not required to serve their Country.
Consequently, there are no demonstrations against what the Country is doing with the Military.
We take volunteers who sign-up for two years and keep them over their contract obligation. The specialized training promised in TV ads are forgotten about soon after the Recruit is issued gear and a weapon. The volunteer faces deployment, extended tour, stop loss and re-deployment before being rotated Stateside to await their discharge to Reserve status. The paid-for college educations are put on hold while the Trooper remains on-duty or winds-up in the Walter Reed Hospital. Without relief personnel following them in any great numbers; Privates remain Privates long after they have earned another stripe or two. The process we run the All-volunteer Armed Forces by has become do demoralizing that record numbers of G.I.'s are committing suicide rather than live as an American Serviceman. What a crying shame.
Th Government will not open the Draft Boards to enlist some badly needed help for our G.I.'s; because if they do the Nation will begin to demonstrate and the war profiteers will have to find another way to stay rich.
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innerpuppie
The truth is an absolute defense...
10:02 AM on 06/22/2011
Obama is going to step in it and won't be able to wipe it off his shoe tonight. The Afghanistan war will become his and the American people will be screaming at their teevees hurling expletives at him in the millions.

He was elected to be the president of the American people. He has shown himself to be the president of whatever he decides at the moment but it sure isn't the people who voted for him. After the mess he made giving the wealthy a continued Bush tax cut (more welfare), he is going to add to his list of crappy, rotten and contrary to public opinion decisions. I don't care what he says or how he says it - the citizens of America aren't going to accept his reasoning for continuing with a war in a country where we are hated. The American people are not going to accept pouring billions into Afghan infrastructure when our own schools and roads are crumbling.

He's in for a h*ll of a fight to get elected. All its going to take is for a half-way decent Republican to keep promising to get us out of Afghanistan (which will reduce our deficit) and Obama will be a one term president.

I voted for him. I don't like him anymore and I won't vote for him again - even if he promised to wash my kitchen floor for the rest of my life☺
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toxicshock
Sassy, snarky, smart
12:23 PM on 06/22/2011
I was really upset when the Bush tax cuts got passed. Obama has now said that was a mistake to keep them for the rich, though. But is he going to do anything about it? CAN he do anything about it? I honestly don't know, and I'm disappointed that I can't rely on him.

Hopefully he will make the right decision regarding this war. It looks like the majority of Americans want us out. He needs to remember "for the people, by the people". His decision could also make or break his re-election.
REDSTATEREFUGEE
Texan by birth ; Californian by choice
09:07 AM on 07/01/2011
I am patiently waiting for any new, reasonably progressive face to appear at the Democratic convention next year. Personally, I am frustrated with Obama and his consistent middle of the road policies, but I would vote again for him, rather than any Republican....
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Stacy Harris
08:00 PM on 06/23/2011
how absolutely ridiculous..... The American People want our men and woman home. He committed to making that happen responsibily and has again kept his committment.
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Ldyforce6
Don't Tread on the U.S.A.
09:32 AM on 06/22/2011
Declare VICTORY and bring them home...one down, two to go.
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sillygames
09:10 AM on 06/22/2011
During Vietnam, the majority of the protest marches took place between 1967 - 1969. It still took
until 1975 before we got out. Politicans pandering to us peons.
REDSTATEREFUGEE
Texan by birth ; Californian by choice
09:09 AM on 07/01/2011
Yep.....As an old f.....t, I recall how Nixon told us in 1968 that "he had a plan" for removing us from the Vietnam quagmire. Well, he did. It was called "Peace with Honor" and his "plan" only took another seven years.... Afghanistan will fall the moment the last American troop boards a transport plane.
07:49 AM on 06/22/2011
If the US is now negotiating with Karzai and the Taliban, we know where we stand after 10 years.
We can't beat the Taliban, they will take back their power and take out Karzai sooner or later.
We need to get the hell out of there and bring all our soldiers home. The Mission was to get
Bin Laden, we did that, thanks to a good President who actually wanted him caught and killed.
Both Iraq and Afghanistan have proved to be a huge mistake that cost the US dearly in every way.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jcaunter
Profile: schizoid, INTJ, IQ145
07:47 AM on 06/22/2011
There's record support for bringing the troops home? And almost no presidential candidate will even think about doing it after he's elected to office in 2012. Except for Ron Paul. Ron Paul has promised to start bringing the troops home the very first day he's in office. If you love endless war and bank bailouts, vote for Obama or any other Republican candidate. If you want peace and an end to voluntary foreign interventions at the behest of Wall Street bankers, war profiteers, and the international oil companies then Ron Paul is the only candidate you can/will support and vote for in 2012.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
cornel
wuf wuf
09:27 AM on 06/22/2011
I do not like many of his views, but like you state he is the only one that will end those wars! He is the evil of last resort and I have to admit, I'll vote for him comes 2012! Putting an end to these wars and stop policing the world is way more important then raising the debt ceiling or making cuts to entitlement programs. We will never, never be able to balance the budget as long as we finance unending wars.
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toxicshock
Sassy, snarky, smart
12:26 PM on 06/22/2011
I wonder how trustworthy Paul would be if he were elected. Obama made some incredible promises, too. Unfortunately there's no way to tell how successful Paul would be until he's elected! I'm sure Paul would get us out, but after the disappointment with Obama, I have no faith in anyone.