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U.S. Retail Sales Flat In August Amid Weak Consumer Confidence

First Posted: 09/14/11 12:17 PM ET Updated: 11/14/11 05:12 AM ET

Retail

Growth in retail sales stalled in August, hurt by a pitched battle over spending in Congress and raising fresh questions about the country's ability to steer clear of a double-dip recession.

Sales were unchanged from a month earlier, a Commerce Department report showed on Wednesday.

It was a weaker reading than expected and sales growth during June and July were revised downward.

Consumer confidence plunged in August after a bruising battle over the budget slammed stock prices and pushed the nation to the brink of default.

"The consumer reacted to the debt ceiling, the downgrade and the equity market swoon by basically hunkering down and not spending," said Tom Porcelli, senior U.S. economist at RBC Capital Markets in New York.

Consumer spending accounts for about two-thirds of U.S. economic activity, and the data suggests growth in the first two months of the third quarter was weaker than many economists expected.

Congress let a debate over spending go down to the wire early last month, nearly leaving the government unable to pay its bills. The country's debt was then downgraded by a major rating agency.

Major stock indexes opened up and Treasury debt prices fell after the head of the European Commission said it would soon present options for the introduction of euro area bonds, a move investors have seen as helping address the region's crisis.

RECESSION FEARS

A Reuters poll showed economists see a nearly one-in-three chance the United States could reenter recession and many economists expect the Fed will unveil new measures to boost growth following its Sept 20-21 policy review.

A separate report from the Labor Department showed U.S. producer prices were unchanged in August, held down by a drop in energy goods costs.

The producer price report sends the Fed mixed signals about price pressures, with energy costs abating but core prices showing some pass-through of recent surges in energy and food costs.

President Barack Obama is lobbying Congress to approve a stimulus plan delivered to lawmakers on Monday.

Economic growth slowed sharply during the first half of the year, and the economy is vulnerable to potential shocks like an escalation of Europe's debt crisis.

"(The data) shows the slowdown in the economy is real," said Steven Ricchiuto, chief economist at Mizuho Securities in New York.

On Wednesday, Moody's cut the credit ratings of two French banks because of exposure to debt from troubled Greece, while the European Commission signaled it would soon present options on how the euro zone might issue bonds jointly -- a measure that would be aimed at propping up the zone's weaker members.

Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner tried to shore up confidence in Europe's ability to solve its crisis, saying they had the financial and economic capacity to do so.

In the retail sales report, an increase in sales of electronics, gasoline and food was balanced with drops in purchases of cars, furniture and clothes. Spending at restaurants and bars also dipped.

Stripping out sales of gasoline, autos and building materials, so-called core retail sales rose 0.1 percent in August, pointing to some resilience. Excluding just autos, sales also were up 0.1 percent.

INVENTORY GROWTH SLOWS

Business inventories rose slightly less than expected in July, suggesting firms remained cautious about future demand at the start of the third quarter.

Inventories climbed 0.4 percent, following an upwardly revised 0.4 percent rise in June, the Commerce Department said in another report on Wednesday. Economists had expected a rise of 0.5 percent in July.

(Additional reporting by Mark Felsenthal in Washington and Richard Leong and Emily Flitter in New York; Editing by Andrea Ricci and Neil Stempleman)

Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions.

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Growth in retail sales stalled in August, hurt by a pitched battle over spending in Congress and raising fresh questions about the country's ability to steer clear of a double-dip recession. Sa...
Growth in retail sales stalled in August, hurt by a pitched battle over spending in Congress and raising fresh questions about the country's ability to steer clear of a double-dip recession. Sa...
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12:20 PM on 09/15/2011
This year we spent a meager $200 on supplies and clothes for two kids, one entering high school and another finishing middle-school. That's exactly $200 more than I wanted to spend.
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martigras
10:03 AM on 09/15/2011
It's because the middle class has no money. They have lost their jobs, had their salaries and hours cut, are struggling with 37% higher food prices, higher gas prices and worried that Social Security and Medicare won't be there when they retire. The rich can only buy so much. Go visit a food pantry in the suburbs. You'll be shocked at the number of people who need help and who they are. America is sinking fast and all the Republicans care about is winning the White House in 2012 so they can gouge the middle class some more.
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Candide33
I heart Bernie Sanders
09:47 AM on 09/15/2011
it is not lack of confidence.... it is lack of money.... period!

The top 2% have it all and they already have all the school supplies they will ever need.
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atexasdem
Pointing out the foolishness of republican voters.
02:14 AM on 09/15/2011
I recently was a witness to school shopping by massive numbers of parents. Unfortunately all the shopping was taking place at local Goodwill and Charity Thrift stores.
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Seablue2u
I'm an idealist without illusions. JFK
09:35 AM on 09/15/2011
Why would anyone do any differently in these trying times? We go to thrift stores first, then fill in from sales, but only if ABSOLUTELY necessary.

BTW, you must have been shopping those place, too! Glad to see it.
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atexasdem
Pointing out the foolishness of republican voters.
10:24 AM on 09/15/2011
There is both great truth and great irony in your statement. There was a time in the not so distant past when working class Americans bought their children school clothes at variety stores like Target, Wal Mart and numerous others. Hand me down, used and donated clothes were considered an embarrassment and never admitted to by children.That would have meant that your family was to poor to afford new clothes.
That today thrift stores, Goodwill, hand me down and used has become the norm instead of the exception says much about what has happened to America's working class.
06:26 PM on 09/14/2011
I, for one, am glad to see that none of the economists are encouraging consumer spending. It used to sound irresponsible. Nowadays I find them morally repugnant.
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Patriot86
Compassion is the basis of all morality.
01:47 PM on 09/14/2011
No kidding we made out kid start school with a couple of new pairs of jeans....and school supplies...she used her bookbag from last year and most of her clothes from last year...just can't spend the money now.
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Kye154
12:32 PM on 09/14/2011
Duh!!! This should be a no brainer for economists. No one has got any money to shop! It is NOT an issue about consumer confidence. The problem is, economists have a service market mentality, therefore they think we, as consumers, are walking around with deep pockets of an endless supply of money and can spend our way out of a recession, if they could just find a way to reel us in, without ever thinking that there is a financial resource limit to what the consumer has available to spend. Measuring retail sales as a gauge of how the economy is doing is pure and simply a distortion, because it doesn't measure the economic benefits to the consumer in the overall assessment of the economy, but rather, whether or not they were successful in exploiting the consumers for their own success.
12:46 PM on 09/14/2011
The longer this economic climate continues the more my family realizes there is much that we considered necessarily that we are comfortably doing without. I never like to go shopping but I would go with the children to window shop or purchase some things, now we stay home of pursue other activities. Like the people who lived through the great depression these economic times are going to change a generation. IMHO
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Neets101
watch this space for important updates
06:13 PM on 09/14/2011
Maybe they are hoping people will charge it!!!

Just like olde times!
11:57 AM on 09/14/2011
When will Wall St. wake up and realize that it's been the middle and working class with families who actually buy stuff. The top 1% will not prop up the commerce in this country.
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joni brit
The road to success is always under construction.
06:19 PM on 09/14/2011
but that top 1% sure must be boosting up that the stock market in the last 3 days, cause it sure ain't the rest of America that's buying.
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SoylentGreenIsPeople
Hmmm........Tastes Like Chicken !
11:53 AM on 09/14/2011
I was disappointed by the back to school sales this year. Not very good.
11:43 AM on 09/14/2011
People I know could care less about the debt ceiling. It is this we are all in this together mentality the media tries to hype.
The people who are suffering did not cause the debt-the financial and military industrial complex did.
Who cares about supporting corporations whos only intent is to squeeze the pheasants for more.
Maybe they can ask their buddies in congress for a tax cut.
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Yam716
For CurlTalk, Visit: lillian-mae
11:57 AM on 09/14/2011
F&F'd.

Who would spend their money frivolously during this time! I bet second hand stores are doing very well right now.

I think kids should wear uniforms anyway.
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Patriot86
Compassion is the basis of all morality.
01:49 PM on 09/14/2011
Not me, I would spend more money then I do on uniforms...no thanks.
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Izzy66
Agree to Disagree
11:38 AM on 09/14/2011
"The consumer reacted to the debt ceiling, the downgrade and the equity market swoon by basically hunkering down and not spending," said Tom Porcelli, senior U.S. economist at RBC Capital Markets in New York.

Yes! THATS it! Working only part time and over 50 with almost no chance of acquiring full time work after three years of job loss has absolutely NOTHING to do with it!
His insight is amazing!
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Patriot86
Compassion is the basis of all morality.
01:49 PM on 09/14/2011
It has nothing to do with that...people are getting laid off again and we have no money.
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Candide33
I heart Bernie Sanders
09:57 AM on 09/15/2011
Their selective blindness is amazing isn't it?
11:32 AM on 09/14/2011
What a country-they lower wages, cut hours, lower the quality of merchandise and increase the price-yet they wonder why everyone is not lining up to buy things on a credit card with 40percent interest.
People I know are trading and learning to make clothing and such.
If you scan sales you can find things like notebooks for ten cents and such.
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Izzy66
Agree to Disagree
11:45 AM on 09/14/2011
Japan recognized 5 years into their 'lost decade' that skills for saving money were MUCH harder to undo, than getting people back to spending. Its as if the fear that motivates it sticks within the human psyche far more deeply. Before the tsunami, Japan's economy was growing again, but they couldn't shake the indelible stamp of saving everything. An entire generation had been created from that decade - akin to our Great Depression generation.
faved.
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Patriot86
Compassion is the basis of all morality.
01:53 PM on 09/14/2011
That is what I did ...Staples had great deals as did others...and Walmart matches prices so between them all I spend about 25 bucks on school supplies ..this included stocking up for later. My duaghter got some jeans fromn the store ....on sale and hand me down t-shirts from her older sisiter who is in college now. I spent $69.00 for three pairs of jeans, five tank tops for under her shirts and a pair of shoes on clearance...that is it.