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Payroll Tax Cut Deal To Include Controversial Keystone Pipeline (UPDATED)


First Posted: 12/16/11 08:53 PM ET Updated: 12/19/11 08:28 AM ET

WASHINGTON -- Senate negotiators agreed Friday to a two-month deal to extend unemployment benefits and the middle-class payroll tax cut, but Democrats had to swallow a demand by Republicans to include language on the controversial Keystone pipeline.

It was not immediately clear, however, that House Republicans who left Washington for the weekend would go along with the compromise.

The estimated $30 billion deal also includes $4 billion to prevent doctors from having their reimbursement rates slashed by Medicare.

The White House announced its support for the Senate compromise later Friday night, despite President Barack Obama having previously threatened to veto any payroll tax cut plan that was tied to the Keystone pipeline. Republicans insisted, however.

"The President said that Congress cannot go home without preventing a tax increase on 160 million hardworking Americans, and the deal announced tonight meets that test," White House communications director Dan Pfeiffer said in a statement.

"This is an important step towards enacting a key provision of the President's American Jobs Act and a significant victory for the American people and the economy, because as independent analysts have said, failing to extend this tax cut would have had a damaging effect on our recovery and job growth."

A Senate vote on the year-end package is expected Saturday, as well as a vote to fund the government for the rest of the fiscal year. The tax cut is fully paid for over 10 years by hiking fees on banks that do business with Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, raising about $38 billion.

Republicans hailed the decision to add the Canada-to-Texas pipeline as a major victory for their side, arguing that it forces Obama to make a quicker decision on moving forward with the 1,700-mile-long project to transport more oil from northern tar sands to the Gulf Coast. Obama angered some in the fall by delaying approval of the pipeline until 2013, citing a need to work out environmental concerns.

The bill’s language requires the White House to make a decision within 60 days.

"This bill will stop President Obama's delaying tactics," Sen. Richard Lugar (R-Ind.) said in a statement. "This is a tremendous victory for our security and for creating jobs. It is absolutely incredible that President Obama wants to delay a decision until after the 2012 elections apparently in fear of offending a part of his political base and even risking the ire of construction unions who strongly support the project."

If the compromise passes the Senate, as expected, it still isn’t a done deal since House Republican leaders have previously expressed reluctance to accept a two-month plan.

"We'll have to talk to members," said Michael Steel, a spokesman for House Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio).

Republicans say the pipeline will create 20,000 jobs, though other estimates place it at more like 6,500.

While Democrats accepted the pipeline provision, others they opposed were dropped, including one that sought to deregulate emissions from boilers.

Another concession that Democrats appear to have made is that the payroll tax cut is only 2 percent, instead of the 3.1 percent they were seeking.

A White House official dismissed the idea that Republicans scored a victory by forcing Keystone into the tax deal. For one thing, said the official, the Keystone language only requires that Obama make a decision on the pipeline versus requiring construction on it. In addition, the president was already criticized for delaying the project until 2013, so another round of attacks on the issue wouldn't be new.

"They didn't get a pipeline and they didn't get a new weapon they can use against the president. They didn't get the pay-fors that they wanted," the official said of Republicans. "At the end of the day, we have already made the calculation that the president owns this decision…. We've already taken the political hit. You can't sort of take the hit again. We've already taken it."

"We feel good about the way this has shaken out,” added the official.

The White House is also banking on the idea that another fight on the payroll tax in two months works in their favor. Their thinking is that the closer it gets to the November elections, the more difficult it becomes for Republicans to oppose a tax cut that impacts 160 million middle-class people.

Senate Democrats expressed similar thoughts.

"For the next two months, Democrats will work to extend the middle-class tax cut through the end of the year," said Senare Majority Leader Harry Reid said. "Republicans can either join us, or explain why they want middle-class families’ taxes to go up.”

A Senate Democratic leadership aide said that Democrats had pushed for the full year-long extension, but claimed Republicans were trying to pay for the estimated $200 billion cost of the full package by using some non-starters from the House Republican plan, including charging people whose earnings were $85,000 and up more for Medicare. The GOP plan also sought cuts in the federal workforce, and cut spending for preventive medicine in the health care reform law.

A Senate source had said the two sides were in agreement on how to pay for about $100 billion of the cuts before the start of Friday's talks. The sides could not work out how to pay for the rest.

But a Republican aide said Democrats never offered enough savings to pay for the whole plan. And the aide insisted that the GOP Senators abandoned the House Medicare option, which would have raised more than $30 billion.

Still, Democrats seemed intent to brand the GOP as enemies of Medicare.

"If Republicans are going to make cutting Medicare benefits the price of extending a middle class tax cut for one year, we'll take the two month extension and gladly have this fight for American families again in February," a leadership aide said.

Update: 10:15 p.m. This story has been rewritten to add more details.

Nine Poison Pills In The GOP Payroll Tax Extension Bill:
Blocks Environmental Review of Keystone Pipeline
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The bill would prevent the State Department from finishing its review of the Canada-to-Texas Keystone pipeline, and mandate its construction before environmental concerns are fully addressed. 


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WASHINGTON -- Senate negotiators agreed Friday to a two-month deal to extend unemployment benefits and the middle-class payroll tax cut, but Democrats had to swallow a demand by Republicans to include...
WASHINGTON -- Senate negotiators agreed Friday to a two-month deal to extend unemployment benefits and the middle-class payroll tax cut, but Democrats had to swallow a demand by Republicans to include...
 
 
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01:24 PM on 12/19/2011
President Jello hasn't really created any jobs, now he has the opportunity to and is punting.
01:09 PM on 12/19/2011
What happened to that laser focus on jobs??
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
piceaglauca
The picture says it all....
11:55 AM on 12/19/2011
Nothing but a pipe dream.
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InisLass
But for the grace of God, go I.
02:15 PM on 12/18/2011
Had wanted to share this URL from earlier this year. "Koch Brothers Positioned to Be Big Winners If Keystone XL Pipeline is Approved"

http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/02/10/idUS292515702420110210
AntiSocialSailor
Ain't no luggage racks on a hearse
09:28 PM on 12/17/2011
Cornell GLI’s new report, Pipe Dreams? Jobs Gained, Jobs Lost by the Construction of Keystone XL examines the job impacts of TransCanada Corportation's Keystone XL Pipeline, the proposed pipeline that would transport tar sands oil almost 2,000 miles from Alberta, Canada to the Gulf of Mexico in Texas. The report reviews claims made by TransCanada and the American Petroleum Institute that the project will create 20,000 construction and manufacturing and 119,000 (direct, indirect and induced) jobs.

The report concludes that the job estimates put forward by TransCanada are unsubstantiated and the project will not only create fewer jobs than industry states, but that the project could actually kill more jobs than it creates. Main findings include:

The project budget that has a direct impact on U.S. employment is between $3 and $4 billion or about half of what industry claims.
50% or more of the steel pipe, the main material input used for Keystone XL, will be manufactured outside of the U.S.
Jobs will be temporary and between 85-90% of the people hired to do the work will be non-local or from out of state.
The Perryman study, which estimates around 119,000 (direct, indirect and induced) jobs is a poorly documented study commissioned by TransCanada.

www.ilr.cornell.edu/globallaborinstitute/research/upload/GLI_KeystoneXL_Reportpdf.pdf
AntiSocialSailor
Ain't no luggage racks on a hearse
09:22 PM on 12/17/2011
By draining Midwestern refineries of cheap Canadian crude into export-oriented refineries in the Gulf Coast, Keystone XL will increase the cost of gas for Americans.
TransCanada’s 2008 Permit Application states “Existing markets for Canadian heavy crude, principally PADD II [U.S. Midwest], are currently oversupplied, resulting in price discounting for Canadian heavy crude oil. Access to the USGC [U.S. Gulf Coast] via the Keystone XL Pipeline is expected to strengthen Canadian crude oil pricing in [the Midwest] by removing this oversupply. This is expected to increase the price of heavy crude to the equivalent cost of imported crude. The resultant increase in the price of heavy crude is estimated to provide an increase in annual revenue to the Canadian producing industry in 2013 of US $2 billion to US $3.9 billion.”
Independent analysis of these figures found this would increase per-gallon prices by 20 cents/gallon in the Midwest.
According to an independent analysis U.S. farmers, who spent $12.4 billion on fuel in 2009 could see expenses rise to $15 billion or higher in 2012 or 2013 if the pipeline goes through. At least $500 million of the added expense would come from the Canadian market manipulation.
www.tarsandsaction.org/spread-the-word/key-facts-keystone-xl/
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
idisVA
08:10 PM on 12/17/2011
Most of those who accuse Obama of being weak and indecisive are the same folks who accuse him of being a dictator who " ram things through against the will of the "American people." I have trouble reconciling the two.
AntiSocialSailor
Ain't no luggage racks on a hearse
08:51 PM on 12/17/2011
They're mostly not the same people. Conservatives squeal about him "ramming things through", even though he doesn't, i.e. 18 months of hearings on health care reform that the Cons are blissfully unaware of. Liberals' biggest complaint is that he capitulates to the right far too easily and has the naive notion that Republicans are interested in compromise, bipartisanship, governance or some such silly concept.
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03:22 PM on 12/18/2011
It took eighteen months to complete the bribes of members of his own party
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Dave4ObamaSinceDay1
Never sit out any election
03:39 PM on 12/17/2011
Look at the fine print... There will end up being no pipeline....
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03:22 PM on 12/18/2011
No jobs either. Here, BHO is consistent
arb24529
Micro Bio? sounds like an abbreviated tweet
03:19 PM on 12/17/2011
We ship crude oil from all over the world to Houston to refine it. Why arent we refining the oil in some cases where it will be consumed?
If shipping the oil is a dnnger that the environmental groups are really concerned about, rather than shipping crude 1500 miles down from Canada and then having to ship it right back up north for consumption, why not refine it up north?
There are numerous old industrial sites on the great lakes from old steel works to shipyards that would be well used by a refinery, and since the soils on many are currently too damaged for any use other than industrial it works. It also will provide new jobs, and the consumers cost of fuel would drop due to the lower shipping cost.
AntiSocialSailor
Ain't no luggage racks on a hearse
08:54 PM on 12/17/2011
Because it's harder to ship overseas from refineries up north. There are already refineries up north, and there is a glut of oil there, resulting in lower prices. That oil needs to be diverted to Texas, then to Europe and Asia, so the price of fuel can increase.
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Chubbster
Partisanship is a mental illness
02:44 PM on 12/17/2011
Like healthcare, the pipeline's main function in America today is symbolic, something to rally around.
If it's not built I already have a bicycle.
AntiSocialSailor
Ain't no luggage racks on a hearse
08:57 PM on 12/17/2011
You seem to think the price of domestic gas will be affected one way or another to any significant degree.
There's no reason to believe that.
The pipeline's function is not symbolic. It's function is to enrich the refineries, exporters and investors in Tar Sands and to provide fuel, mostly diesel, to Europe and Asia.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
rory talbot
Former Dem but they r now wing of Corp. party
02:25 PM on 12/17/2011
I'm so tired of hearing how Obama was "held hostage" "cornered" "checkmated" or anything of the like. You never heard of W. being any of the like. He's just weak. Let's all admit that.
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Dave4ObamaSinceDay1
Never sit out any election
03:53 PM on 12/17/2011
What the media, including this site, says about these outcomes are far different from the reality... That pipeline will not see the light of day... There are too many ways to delay it or defund it. Look beyond appearances instead of being fooled by them...
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03:23 PM on 12/18/2011
Private fundingcomrade
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07:37 PM on 12/17/2011
Weak, really? I think it's the height of weakness to send other people over to fight a war for you!
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InisLass
But for the grace of God, go I.
01:45 PM on 12/17/2011
Thanks to Rudderman, I'd like to share this URL again.
Tar Sands Oil Extraction - The Dirty Truth

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YkwoRivP17A
arb24529
Micro Bio? sounds like an abbreviated tweet
03:30 PM on 12/17/2011
If you want to voice objection to tar sands oil thats fine, but irrelevant here. This oil WILL be refined somewhere, be it the US or China. That being considered I would rather see US dollars buying the crude from Canada, than from a middle eastern country.
AntiSocialSailor
Ain't no luggage racks on a hearse
09:11 PM on 12/17/2011
The Canadian crude is dirtier to transport and refine. I'd rather not see it anywhere in the country. As it is, we export more crude than we import. If your concern is energy security, we could cut off imports from the M.E. and obtain our crude from Alaska, crude that is currently being exported because it's cheaper. That, however, would cut into oil company profits, so don't bet on it.
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tan2123
+ sec 2 123°
12:58 PM on 12/17/2011
What utter nonsense! Yes, there are far worse than Obama...STILL, he's full of cr@p!
He compromises at the last minute on EVERYTHING! He bait and switches, he was never going to veto this!
Keeping these 'tax cuts' is piddly compared to what this pipeline will do, not to mention that the multi billionaires that will make more and more and more ...and profit big from this pipeline aren't being taxed appropriately
Guess who will be getting subsidies??? The oil barons/execs who make more profit than all of us combined in our life time!
The worlds rich control everything/everyone on a puppet string- this is not a conspiracy theory- it's completely evident!
Jack Canuckski
Canadian Observer of the passing scene
12:55 PM on 12/17/2011
You knew that it was only a matter of time before the Dems would cave in again, didn't you.

It has become what they do.
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tan2123
+ sec 2 123°
01:36 PM on 12/17/2011
Quit the partisan thinking, it's nonsense, especially by this point! It's filthy greedy money hoarders, the government they control, and the billions of people struggling to live out today waiting for them to decide our tomorrow.
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JayDDrew
Facts are neither conservative or liberal.
12:53 PM on 12/17/2011
This benefits no one but the oil companies and the politicians who took money from them. This is a huge net negative for America and it is disgusting that the Repubs are fighting for it, and just as disgusting and disappointing the Dems caved on it.