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Fitch Warns U.S. Of Credit Downgrade Unless Debt Problem Is Solved

Fitch Ratings

First Posted: 12/22/11 09:07 AM ET Updated: 12/22/11 09:07 AM ET

NEW YORK (Daniel Bases) - Fitch Ratings on Wednesday warned again that the United States' rising debt burden was not consistent with maintaining the country's top AAA credit rating, but said there would likely be no decision on whether to cut the rating before 2013.

Last month, Fitch changed its U.S. credit rating outlook to negative from stable, citing the failure of a special congressional committee to agree on at least $1.2 trillion in deficit-reduction measures.

"Federal debt will rise in the absence of expenditure and tax reforms that would address the challenges of rising health and social security spending as the population ages," Fitch said in a statement.

"The high and rising federal and general government debt burden is not consistent with the U.S. retaining its 'AAA' status despite its other fundamental sovereign credit strengths," the ratings agency said.

In a new fiscal projection, Fitch said at least $3.5 trillion of additional deficit reduction measures will be required to stabilize the federal debt held by the public at around 90 percent of gross domestic product in the latter half of the current decade.

Fitch, when it lowered its outlook to negative, had said it was giving the U.S. government until 2013 to come up with a "credible plan" to tackle its ballooning budget deficit or risk a downgrade from the AAA status.

"A key task of an incoming Congress and administration in 2013 is to formulate a credible plan to reduce the budget deficit and stabilize the federal debt burden. Without such a strategy, the sovereign rating will likely be lowered by the end of 2013," Fitch reiterated.

Rival ratings agency Standard & Poor's cut its credit rating on the United States to AA-plus from AAA on August 5, citing concerns over the government's budget deficit and rising debt burden as well as the political gridlock that nearly led to a default.

On November 23, Moody's Investors Service, warned that its top level Aaa credit rating for the United States could be in jeopardy if lawmakers were to backtrack on $1.2 trillion in automatic deficit cuts that are set to be made over 10 years.

The plan for automatic cuts was triggered after the special congressional committee failed to reach an agreement on deficit reduction. Moody's said any pullback from the agreed automatic cuts to take effect starting in 2013 could prompt it to take action.

(Reporting By Daniel Bases; Editing by Leslie Adler)

Copyright 2011 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions.

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NEW YORK (Daniel Bases) - Fitch Ratings on Wednesday warned again that the United States' rising debt burden was not consistent with maintaining the country's top AAA credit rating, but said there...
NEW YORK (Daniel Bases) - Fitch Ratings on Wednesday warned again that the United States' rising debt burden was not consistent with maintaining the country's top AAA credit rating, but said there...
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
RC Hindle
"Power isn't all that money buys"
06:49 AM on 01/02/2012
Nothing more than a monied interest looking for more of it. No mention made of revenue expansion, just budget cuts.

A tp/gop ploy if ever there was one.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Michael D Ballantine
Former Presidential Candidate - Amer Elect 2012
03:56 AM on 12/23/2011
This is an irrelevant gimmick. The US can never default on its debt because it has a printing press. Since there is no risk of default, then what Fitch is rating is the currency. Further, if the US rating is lowered, then every business in the US must be lowered as well because the government is always better than the underlying businesses that depend on the currency and the legal framework. This is purely marketing and does not reflect the real risks facing the US.
frank1946
Tell the Truth
12:17 AM on 12/23/2011
Are Americans as Dumb as they are acting and borrowing ?

Monetary Crisis is not Fun, makes you poor, destroys your Family and Business.

So What ? DEMS/GOP are the same Party, taking America to Hell !
11:29 PM on 12/22/2011
When the ratings agencies start threatening a downgrade, it's because it's become blatantly obvious to the financial world that these companies and governments are in major trouble. The ratings agencies then have to downgrade them in order to save face. The reality is that when they begin downgrading companies & countries from AAA to AA, they should be downgrading them from AAA to Junk.

Credit Ratings Agencies are paid not according to the Quality of their ratings, but according to the Quantity of the debt that they rate. The system is rigged folks.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
authorized-user
No right way to do a wrong thing
07:05 PM on 12/22/2011
Fitch, a day late and a dollar short.

Credit ratings??? You gotta be kiddin'!
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Si1ver1ock
So long, and thanks for all the fish...
06:38 PM on 12/22/2011
Lawrence Summers
Several years ago I had a meeting with Senator Tom
Daschle and then-Assistant Treasury Secretary Lawrence
Summers. I had been discussing these innocent frauds with
the Senator, and explaining how they were working against
the well-being of those who voted for him. So he set up this
meeting with the Assistant Treasury Secretary, who is also a
former Harvard economics professor and has two uncles who
have won Nobel prizes in economics, to get his response and
hopefully confirm what I was saying.
I opened with a question: “Larry, what’s wrong with the
budget deficit?” He replied: “It takes away savings that could
be used for investment.” I then objected: “No it doesn’t, all
Treasury securities do is offset operating factors at the Fed. It
has nothing to do with savings and investment.” To which he
retorted: “Well, I really don’t understand reserve accounting,
so I can’t discuss it at that level.”
Senator Daschle was looking on at all this in disbelief. This
Harvard professor of economics, Assistant Treasury Secretary
Lawrence Summers didn’t understand reserve accounting?
Sad but true.

The above excerpted from "The 7 Deadly Innocent Frauds of Economic Policy."

Americans chase money their entire lives and know virtually nothing about what it is and where it comes from.

Also, read Ellen Brown's book Web of Debt.

She and Warren are both bloggers here at HuffPo
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Lochness71
Here I am.
01:57 PM on 12/22/2011
Does anyone really care what these rating agency say anymore?
They never get it right when it really counts. i.e. prime morgages, S&L, etc...
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ruolivert
05:56 PM on 12/22/2011
The only people that care are the people that we borrow money from to fund our government...
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Lochness71
Here I am.
06:07 PM on 12/22/2011
Shouldn't they want a more accurate account of credit worthyness then?
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
deminmo
just looking for answers
01:29 PM on 12/22/2011
Didn't debt just roll over to 100% of GDP?
02:34 PM on 12/22/2011
Wouldn't matter if it did. Japan's debt to GDP is over 200% and their interest rates are lower than ours. We could incur much more debt with no problem at all.
NOSOCIALNETS
My bravestance against FACEBOOK
01:24 PM on 12/22/2011
Too bad these rating agencies were not downgrading the sub prime toxic products before the crash. Could have saved some pain.

The rating agencies were never punished for their crimes.
12:22 PM on 12/22/2011
TheSilverJournal.com

The US is so broke it isn't even funny. If we lop of eight digits we can get our minds around the US financial situation. It would be like if someone with an income of $22,000 put $13,000 onto their credit card with a currency balance of $150,000 who is just making the minimum payment and has an extremely low adjustable rates that are bound to rise. The $150,000 doesn't include all of the off balance sheet debt such as Fannie / Freddie / FHA/ student loans, etc., that won't be payed. On top of that, the current value of all of the future promises that this person has made is $1,000,000.

Here's a link if you want to watch Rick Santelli make government math easy: http://thesilverjournal.com/?p=285
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
mater
mater
12:28 PM on 12/22/2011
Great info! Very fragile situation.
12:38 PM on 12/22/2011
Can that person print all the money it needs to pay its debts? Why do you think the U.S. can borrow trillions of dollars for 10 years at 2% with no collateral. Bill Gates can't do that. Is he broke too?
01:40 PM on 12/22/2011
The US borrows at such low rates because the rest of the world is being fooled into thinking that they need to buy our debt so Americans can ship them dollars from a printing press that take no real effort to make in exchange for real goods that took real work and real resources to make. The world is in the process of figuring out that they are getting a raw deal, and the world is about to stop shipping us their goods.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
btbamfan
STOP Listening to Republicans.
11:34 AM on 12/22/2011
Do people still care what ratings agencies think? Where were these guys when all the fraudulent trading was going on? What is the point of a ratings agency if they do their job after everything has gone down the tubes?

It's like being a fireman, showing up after the house has burned down, and spraying water on the ashes.
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BBackSoon
Hello, I must be going.
11:34 AM on 12/22/2011
The last time we were downgraded, there was a buying spree of US treasuries. We are still the safest place to put your money.
12:13 PM on 12/22/2011
...until we're not. The safest place to put your money is in silver. Governments can't print silver and silver won't hyperinflate away.
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BBackSoon
Hello, I must be going.
12:18 PM on 12/22/2011
Nice plug.
12:41 PM on 12/22/2011
Wait, What???

I just sold everything and bought GOLD! Now you tell me that silver is the safest place! What's next, Copper?
11:23 AM on 12/22/2011
Debt is the problem, but not managing that debt magnifies that prblem to a power of 100.Everybody go to your local community college and take ecnomics 101 and you will understand.Credit markets especially those betwee nations are complicated, they are not a simple as balancing a checkbook.I understand we need to reign in spending, that is important, very important, but you cant cut off both legs and an arm and a half and expect to survive in the ecomnic markets in the long run after you do that. If we follow what the house Republicans want, that is essentialy what we will be doing.
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BBackSoon
Hello, I must be going.
11:33 AM on 12/22/2011
Good comment. Nice anology.

The one I use is that if you lose your job you don't pay off your home right off the bat You try to find more work, bring in more money, cut back on unnecessary spending but you still have to make the house payment, pay the utilities and buy food.
12:43 PM on 12/22/2011
Debt is not a problem for the U.S. government at all. We could have twice as much debt and we still wouldn't have as much as Japan which can borrow at lower interest rates than we do. All our debt is in dollars which we can print in infinite amounts at any time.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ruolivert
06:00 PM on 12/22/2011
Currency debasement isn't a problem for you? The only reason we can print is because other countries need dollars to participate in the global market. That is not going to last forever and when the dollar losses its reserve currency status and demand for US treasuries falls what then?
nothingchanges
too soon old, too late smart
11:15 AM on 12/22/2011
"Credit Agency Warns Debt Could Lead To U.S. Downgrade"

IMPO.........Debt isn't nearly the problem, that it's underlying cause is.

Campaign finance in this country is nothing more (and nothing less) than legalized State sanctioned bribery. As long as that holds true, corruption rules, and we will continue our downward spiral, both as a world economy, and as a country.

Debt could lead to a "downgrade"?

Corruption could lead to our "DOWNFALL".

Time to WAKE UP America............it's later than we think.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
btbamfan
STOP Listening to Republicans.
11:32 AM on 12/22/2011
Fanned and faved. Nailed on the head.
10:44 AM on 12/22/2011
By all means, downgrade our credit rating. Can things really get much worse than they already are for the average American?
12:24 PM on 12/22/2011
Things have to get worse before they get better. All of these bad investments that were made need to be wiped out so resources stop getting piled into unproductive areas. After that, though, productive will boom because resources will once again be allocated much more efficiently.

TheSilverJournal.com
12:45 PM on 12/22/2011
The last time we were downgraded by S & P, our interest rates dropped. So downgrade would be a good thing.