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PC Market Q4 2011: Shipments Sag Amid Lackluster Conditions

Pc Market

First Posted: 01/11/12 06:21 PM ET Updated: 01/12/12 09:53 AM ET

SAN FRANCISCO (AP) — Personal computer shipments dipped during the final three months of last year amid a shortage of key parts or compelling innovations.

A portrait of a lackluster PC market emerged in separate reports Wednesday from Gartner Inc. and IDC.

Worldwide PC shipments ranged somewhere between 92 million and 93 million during the fourth quarter, based on preliminary figures compiled by the research firms. The numbers could be adjusted after PC makers release their own data as part of quarterly earnings reports due out in the next week.

For now, Gartner is pegging the worldwide shipment decline at 1.4 percent from the same period in 2010. IDC calculated the decrease at just 0.2 percent.

The slight downturn had been expected for several reasons, chiefly the growing popularity of mobile devices that are more convenient, less expensive and almost as powerful PCs.

Smartphone sales have been booming since Apple Inc. introduced the iPhone in 2007 and Google followed with a free Android operating system now used in more than 200 million handsets world. In the past two years, computer tablets such as Apple Inc.'s iPad have been undercutting PC sales.

The global pecking order among PC makers remained the same in the fourth quarter. Hewlett-Packard Co. led with roughly 16 percent of the market, followed by Lenovo Group with 14 percent and Dell Inc. with roughly 13 percent.

The challenge of competition was compounded in the fourth quarter by hard-disk drive shortages and the fact that many products were either uninspiring or overpriced, according to analysts at Gartner and IDC.

The disk-drive shortages arose after massive floods in October in Thailand, which accounts for about one-fourth of the world's production of that vital PC part.

And the machines that made it to the market didn't help.

"There didn't seem to be enough innovation to give people a reason to go out and buy a computer," said IDC analyst Jay Chou.

The shortages are expected to get worse during the current quarter, raising the specter of even larger PC shipment declines.

At this point, many consumers may hold off on buying a computer until the second half of this year when machines running on a dramatic makeover of Microsoft's Windows operating system are likely go on sale. Microsoft hasn't set a target date for the release of Windows 8, but most analysts expect it will occur in the late summer or early autumn. Windows 8 will overhaul the operating system so it can run on PCs or computer tablets and be controlled by touch, computer mouse or keyboard.

Windows 8 is expected to steer many so-called "ultrabook" PCs — the term being widely used to describe more nimble versions of laptop computers.

A few ultrabooks went on sale on the fourth quarter, but they weren't revolutionary enough to lure consumers into paying the higher prices that PC makers were demanding, said Gartner analyst Mikako Kitagawa.

The PC market was especially feeble in the U.S., where Gartner and IDC estimated fourth-quarter shipments fell 5 percent to 6 percent from the same period in 2010. That represented the biggest year-over-year quarterly drop in the U.S. in a decade, according to IDC.

HP remained the top seller of PCs, despite a 16 percent drop in its fourth-quarter shipments. Gartner blamed the steep slide on confusion triggered by HP's announcement last August that it might sell its PC business. That plan was scrapped after HP hired Meg Whitman as CEO in September.

In the U.S. the top three PC makers were HP, Dell and Apple.

For the full year, worldwide PC shipments ranged from 352 million to 353 million, based on the preliminary numbers from Gartner and IDC. By Gartner's math, the full-year shipments edged up 0.5 percent from 2010; in IDC's book, the full-year shipments increased 1.6 percent.

Also on HuffPost:

Take a look through the slideshow to see 7 Ultrabooks from the latest class of laptops that could give Apple's MacBook Air a run for its money in 2012.
HP Envy 14 Spectre
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Hewlett-Packard jumps into the Ultrabook game with an extension of its Envy line of premium laptops. It packs a 14-inch screen into a body that is coated with "midnight black glass" on the outside and "silver glass" on the inside -- read all about it on HuffPost here.

The Envy 14 Spectre goes on sale in February 2012 and will start at $1,400.
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SAN FRANCISCO (AP) — Personal computer shipments dipped during the final three months of last year amid a shortage of key parts or compelling innovations. A portrait of a lackluster P...
SAN FRANCISCO (AP) — Personal computer shipments dipped during the final three months of last year amid a shortage of key parts or compelling innovations. A portrait of a lackluster P...
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04:26 PM on 01/14/2012
The trend for PCs vs mobile devices is so clear. Yet, what is Microsoft doing to transition? Ballmer looks like a modern day business version of Nero, fiddling away company value while the organization turns to ashes. Forbes predicts Microsoft will soon be a failure because leadership refuses to recognize trends, and do something about its strategy http://onforb.es/z3g9Hw
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
Dennis
No matter how cynical I get I can't keep up.
09:17 AM on 01/13/2012
Two words: market saturation. PCs have been more than capable of meeting the needs of the average user for years. Big boxes will never be obsolete for those of us who are hard core gamers or 3D modelers, but for those whose main activities are social networking and email they're definitely overkill.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Humanity Beyond Profits
one mind at a time, one step a generation...
12:16 AM on 01/13/2012
at this point i use my macbook pro just for projects and doc/music/photo/vid storage, most of my internet browsing is done through my iphone.

im assuming this is an increasing pattern across the board.
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Karma2U
Blessed are the Peacemakers
06:51 PM on 01/12/2012
Many people had more important expenses - like food, mortgage, electricity and gas for work.
06:20 PM on 01/12/2012
When my office's newer Dell Vostros (3 years old) puked out and Dell couldn't replace the bad On-Off Switch, I had to dig out my 10 year old one and put it back to use. It runs XP SP3 Pro. Other than a little speed lost, who needs a machine capable of running Windows 7, 8 or whatever.
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05:57 PM on 01/12/2012
I wouldn't buy ANY computer that tied me into an operating system.
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JohnTheMac
Now, why don't you go home and get your shine box?
09:16 PM on 01/12/2012
You'd love an Apple then! You could run Mac OSX, and or any Windows or Linux you want.
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VetKor51
05:52 PM on 01/12/2012
When Windows 8 is released, the ability to use a touchscreen on a desktop will become the new norm. Will Apple follow or lead with something new of their own?
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JohnTheMac
Now, why don't you go home and get your shine box?
09:19 PM on 01/12/2012
We had that idea, and no one really wants to sit at a desk and reach up to touch a screen, even on a laptop.
It SOUNDS cool, and so those machines are out there, but actually doing it sucks. A trackpad capable of multi touch is much easier.
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Almondo
Agnostic Realist Tradevknaught
09:43 PM on 01/12/2012
I've been using touch for heading toward 2 years now.

It works great if you get the hang of it, definitely faster than nav in a little box.
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VetKor51
11:57 PM on 01/12/2012
Of all the ways to maneuver around a computer screen the trackpad is my least favorite. I just find touch screens much easier and faster.
09:42 PM on 01/12/2012
And I can spend all day staring at fingerprints. No thanks.
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VetKor51
11:51 PM on 01/12/2012
How much effort is needed to wipe the screen occasionally? OR . . . to use a stylus so that there won't be so many fingerprints. I mean, anything we use does need care. Ovens need to be cleaned; pots need to be washed. I find touch screens much easier and faster than using a mouse.
04:20 PM on 01/12/2012
Lets be serious here, how much more computing power do people really need, my granddaughter texts her day, while both in the same house, not more the 3 yards away from each other. absolutely pathetic
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04:57 PM on 01/12/2012
You have to think further than 3 yards away, IMHO.

In 50 years personal computing will have morphed into personal robotics.

Intel is already investing in personal robotics with it's purchase of Aldebaran.
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Almondo
Agnostic Realist Tradevknaught
09:50 PM on 01/12/2012
For some it is driven by requirements. I run a 16G i7 but it replaced not only the prior desktop but also two other physical machines in a server rack. This is because I run anywhere from 6 to 12+ virtual machines on a given project. Before, I accessed them over the network, now they run on that same phys machine as my desktop.

For your average user most people are already in overkill city, gamers and high resource geeks not so much.
03:53 PM on 01/12/2012
Hmmm, an article stuffed with statistics about declining PC sales but no mention that Apple was positive in sales for the year? The only PC maker that INCREASED sales for the year? Important stat left out for some reason.
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Rivetjester
04:33 PM on 01/12/2012
It may be because they are probably talking about desktop systems and not Ipads, Iphones, or Ipods. Desktops just don't sell very much these no matter who the manufacturer is. If you read enough of the tech articles on Huffington Post, you'll notice that the writer's tend to speak positively about Apple and it's products.
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Highball
In Blackest Night
04:46 PM on 01/12/2012
Apple's sales numbers for Macs (not iPads or iPhones or iPods -- Macs) were up both for the year and for the quarter.
03:24 PM on 01/12/2012
It was only a matter of time before mobile devices really showed their impact on the PC market. All the more reason for businesses to consider the importance of having a mobile presence, starting today! Mobile apps is exponentially expanding market, get your piece of the pie!

Allison Birr
www.brandedbusinessapps.com
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
Phreaked
In Brightest Day, In Blackest Night
02:52 PM on 01/12/2012
This is what happens when the market is saturated and there is no real need to get the next best thing.

The hardware is so far beyond software requirements these days that a computer is still running top of the line software 3 years later.

The only thing i've had to do to my computer in the past 6 years was replace the power supply (burnt out) and buy a new video card. a decade ago i was buying/building new computers every year or so
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02:49 PM on 01/12/2012
Talking about compelling innovations, people that want high performance pc's build their own machines and are waiting for Intel's 22nm Ivy Bridge CPUs with 3D Tri-Gate transistors rolling out on April 8.
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DanInAustin
Got 99 problems but dang that's a lot of problems.
03:42 PM on 01/12/2012
Again, what's the purpose of an ultra-high-end CPU? Most high-end PC's are built for gaming, and that portion of the budget is almost always better-served by getting a nicer (or an additional) video card.

*rocking my Athlon II X3 with pride*
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04:44 PM on 01/12/2012
Fired up over a $70 chip are you? LOL
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05:32 PM on 01/12/2012
"people who PLAY GAMES people that want high performanc­e pc's build their own machines and are waiting for Intel's 22nm Ivy Bridge CPUs with 3D Tri-Gate transistor­s "

might be more accurate.
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Anybodyseenthepopos
אני כלום בלעדיהם
02:49 PM on 01/12/2012
I miss Windows XP. :-((
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Blackspeare
02:48 PM on 01/12/2012
It's not the size that matters----it's the SSD. Anyone who has used a computer with an SSD can never go back to a mechanical HD. Though SSD's are relatively expensive you can do with a smaller memory SSD and use the "Cloud" for most major storage----of course anything sensitive should be retained on the local SSD.
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DanInAustin
Got 99 problems but dang that's a lot of problems.
03:25 PM on 01/12/2012
SSD's fail after a few million writes. Until that changes, they'll never fully replace hard drives. You wouldn't want your swap partition on an SSD, for example! Also, there are really only two times when the hard drive is a bottleneck: loading programs (especially large ones, as when starting up) and hibernating/resuming. And in the latter case, the SSD's write cycle limitations would come into play.

SSD's are badass for mobile devices due to portability, but the desktop and server market will continue to be dominated by hard drives for the forseeable future.
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Blackspeare
04:47 PM on 01/12/2012
I'm not exactly certain, but I believe the keyboard and/or display would probably fail before a "few million" writes on the SSD!
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drumz
The less you know the more you believe.
02:36 PM on 01/12/2012
The fact that HP is the top seller says a lot about American consumers!
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Highball
In Blackest Night
04:50 PM on 01/12/2012
HP sells machines at a small margin for a reasonable price. And really, there isn't that much difference between a Dell, an HP, an Acer ... etc.

And before you start spouting benchmarks and tech specs, etc: 99% of consumers don't care about that. 99% of businesses don't care about it, either. They want a machine that works, and is reasonably priced.
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drumz
The less you know the more you believe.
05:02 PM on 01/12/2012
I look at who their CEO is and anything Mag Whitless has part of I want nothing to do with it. Disagree about your Dell assessment too.