OH-2012 Senate: 47% Brown (D), 36% Mandel (R) (PPP 1/28-29)

Public Policy Polling (D)
1/28-29/12; 820 likely voters, 3.4% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
PPP release

Ohio

2012 Senate
47% Brown (D), 36% Mandel (R)

Job Approval / Disapproval
Sen. Brown: 42 / 34

Favorable / Unfavorable
Josh Mandel: 14 / 25

Also on HuffPost:

Comments

[Rocketsfan]

12:35 PM on 02/07/2012

I've been mum about this race because I haven't heard many other Ohioans I know complain about Brown.

However seeing several polls now that show his JA barely topping the 50% mark and this one not coming to it I think this race may be Mandel's for the taking. Granted he has to sell himself to the people and according to this he's largely unknown even though holding a statewide seat. Albiet State Treasurer in Ohio isn't much of a headline maker.

Being that he's a decorated military member and was an Intelligence specialist he could easily make a case that he has a better understanding of foreign affairs than Brown. Also he could enthuse the Jewish Republicans around Cincinatti like he did in 2010.

The biggest thing about this race is Brown will do it without the benefit of being able to run against Bob Taft which is how he was able to take the seat in the first place, Dewine having shown that he can win statewide races and it was Taft's unpopularity that brought the GOP down statewide in '06.

[ColoradoMeansRed]

03:30 PM on 02/03/2012

The approval numbers are the most surprising part of this poll. I don't know how well-known Mandel is (he is, after all, a first-term treasurer), but his underwater numbers are probably due only to his party affiliation. In Ohio, it seems, there is a big turn away from the Republican brand.

Ohio is so much more liberal than people might suspect, and Brown's numbers prove it.

[StatsNo1fan]

03:53 PM on 02/03/2012

There is actually a poll on this just out today. OH's net liberalism is a negative 24.2, which places it between VA and KY. CO, for example, is considerably more liberal, at only negative 17.8.

Of course, it's just one poll.

There are plenty of cases of very conservative states electing Dem Senators of Governors, and vice-versa for liberal states. Sometimes people just like a particular politician. Especially when he hauls a ton of pork into the state. (don't know if Brown does or not)

[StatsNo1fan]

03:55 PM on 02/03/2012

Probably should have included the link.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/152459/Mississippi-Conservative-State-Liberal.aspx#2