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MN-2012 Caucus: 33% Santorum, 24% Romney, 22% Gingrich, 20% Paul (PPP 2/4-6)


First Posted: 02/ 7/2012 8:13 am Updated: 02/ 7/2012 8:29 am

Public Policy Polling (D)
2/4,6/12; 864 likely Republican primary voters, 3.3% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
PPP release

Minnesota

2012 President: Republican Caucus
33% Santorum
24% Romney
22% Gingrich
20% Paul

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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Symanski
None of the above 2012
04:45 PM on 02/07/2012
Obama re-election number hit 60% on Intrade today, a remarkable turn around when it was as low as 46% in mid-October. I knew I should have bought at 46%! Oh well, never been a gambler. Why start now? Carry on.
05:30 PM on 02/07/2012
You probably don't gamble because there is no such thing as a sure thing.

As the saying goes..............."That's why they play the game"
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Symanski
None of the above 2012
07:05 PM on 02/07/2012
It wouldn't be gambling if it was a sure thing!

Really, I don't gamble because I simply learned too much about game statistics and common sense along the way to waste money on something I derive little entertainment from. That said, a low limit blackjack table with single deck (and no one noticing I'm counting cards) can be a fun time for a few hours...once in a blue moon anyway.
12:22 PM on 02/07/2012
Lat, Romney will gain a good deal of delegates and will put distance between himself and the rest of the pack, Santorum right now is #3 in delegates and could move to #2 but the spread from Romney to the #2 guy will expand from the current 56 delegate spread. There is only 76 delegates up for grabs today so RS would have to sweep by a wide margin even though these are nonbinding caucuses.

So even at the end of the day Romney will be the frontrunner and stands to possibly widen his spread over the #2 position even if he does lose some state(s).

As long as the Gingrich/Santorum back and forth continues in the polls Romney benefits. If one of those two drop out then Romney's chances diminish (even though he'll still be a favorite).
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Lat1
09:29 AM on 02/07/2012
Hmm... Santorum could win 2 of 3 contests today, but Stillow and Stats will tell us that this doesn't mean anything because Romney is the man.
10:03 AM on 02/07/2012
Santorum was hurt by the "Romney wins Iowa" narrative that came out, even though Santorum was the one to actually win. If the narrative had been "Santorum wins Iowa," maybe Newt would have never surged again.

Santorum makes so much more sense than Moon president.
10:29 AM on 02/07/2012
Assuming Santorum wins Minnesota and Missouri and finishes 2nd in Colorado, it will be interesting to see how much support Gingrich continues to lose to him. Could the conservative base finally coalesce around someone?
10:43 AM on 02/07/2012
For "literally" the 100th time................no candidate that is not an incumbent wins "every" state....not even your precious Obama, who I remind you lost his own party's popular vote! MO is meaningless today, don't even know if Romney campaigned there. He should win CO, MN, RS has a solid shot to carry, has for a while.

Sheeesh.......
01:02 PM on 02/07/2012
Al Gore did in 2000. And before you point out that he was Vice President at the time, I will point out that he wasn't running for Vice President, but President, so he wasn't the incumbent.