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Jon Ward

Senior Political Reporter, The Huffington Post

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CPAC Straw Poll Changes Hurt Ron Paul's Hat-Trick Chances

Posted: 02/09/12 12:17 AM ET  |  Updated: 02/27/12 09:55 AM ET

WASHINGTON -- The organizers of a major conservative conference here over the next three days are trying to widen participation in a straw poll, a not-too-subtle attempt to give a Republican presidential candidate other than Rep. Ron Paul (R-Texas) a chance to win.

For the past two years, Paul has won, by large margins, a straw poll of attendees at the annual Conservative Political Action Conference. The results have been something of an embarrassment for CPAC, organized by the American Conservative Union, which comes from a more traditional conservative point of view than Paul's libertarian-tinged version.

This year, the American Conservative Union and CPAC are moving from paper ballots to electronic voting that will be accessible from a computer or a handheld device, said Al Cardenas, the conservative union's current president. He told The Huffington Post that he hopes this will increase the number of attendees who participate in the straw poll.

"Obviously, in the past, it's been somewhat compromised because only a third of the people who attend voted," Cardenas said in an interview. "It used to be a fairly cumbersome process because you had to do it manually. Now, for the first time this year we're instituting an electronic vote.

"So people can vote through Saturday afternoon, and before, that wasn't the case," he said. "And we're hoping that instead of having a third of those in attendance vote, we'll have two-thirds or more vote."

More than 10,000 people are expected to attend, Cardenas said. He said that he wasn't "worried" that Paul would win the straw poll for a third year in a row.

"Curious is more like it," Cardenas said. "In the past, to his credit, about 80, 90, 100 percent of people who were there and liked Ron Paul voted, and probably a very small percentage of those who liked others bothered to vote."

And this year, the straw poll result will have more weight than in most years past, because it comes at a unique moment in the Republican primary. The race is in flux after former Sen. Rick Santorum (R-Pa.) swept three contests on Tuesday, caucuses in Minnesota and Colorado and a non-binding primary in Missouri that had no impact on winning delegates that help a candidate win the nomination, but nonetheless signal grassroots opposition to former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney.

The primary contest has swung back and forth between Santorum, Romney and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-Ga.). All three will be at the conference on Friday to give speeches. And together, the speeches and the straw poll results on Saturday afternoon will resonate with voters and the media looking to see whether Santorum is continuing to develop an organic momentum among grassroots conservatives.

The impact could be all there is to talk about for several days, since besides Maine Republican caucus results that will be announced Saturday night, there are no more primary contests until Feb. 28, when Arizona and Michigan hold primaries.

Paul himself will not attend CPAC. He will campaign in Maine on Saturday. His son, Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) will speak at the conference on Thursday afternoon.

For those worried that Paul's campaign will be organizing to get supporters to come to CPAC and vote in the straw poll, Paul's campaign manager, Jesse Benton, said there is no such effort underway.

"We're not participating in this year's event," Benton told HuffPost. He said he wasn't sure if Paul's name would be on the ballot. "We haven't paid attention."

Also on HuffPost:

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WASHINGTON -- The organizers of a major conservative conference here over the next three days are trying to widen participation in a straw poll, a not-too-subtle attempt to give a Republican president...
WASHINGTON -- The organizers of a major conservative conference here over the next three days are trying to widen participation in a straw poll, a not-too-subtle attempt to give a Republican president...
 
 
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12:14 AM on 02/13/2012
RON PAUL the worlds only hope for sanity.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
moetbubble
04:53 PM on 02/12/2012
I'm voting for Ron Paul...which I was told by someone that my vote for Ron Paul is like a vote FOR Obama.....because Ron Paul can't win so my vote will just be one less vote for whoever the GOP opposition will be at that time. I don't care if that is true.....I live in a DEMOCRAT STATE where the Republican candidate doesn't have much of a change anyway. I don't even think George W campaigned here in New Jersey - well maybe once, but didn't give us much of a thought. I wish American's weren't SO AFRAID to just vote for who they like instead of trying to think of their voting strategy. If everyone voted for who they ACTUALLY LIKED....Ron Paul would be our next President.
01:59 PM on 02/12/2012
I wonder when it's really going to sink in that the GOP cannot win without the Paul supporters and we will never vote for any other nominee but Paul?
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blindsquirl
Compliance is not a virtue
03:27 AM on 02/12/2012
NO issue, ever, should be more important than preserving the Constitution. The current governance is rife with corruption and has usurped the priciples laid down in OUR Constitution.
Legislators have committed treasonous acts by conspiring to subjugate the "letter AND intent" of the Constitution, which they have ALL sworn to "defend and uphold".

There has never been a better time for a change of direction than now and NOW is the time to do something GOOD for our country and ourselves, as a Nation.

Heed the call...Vote for Ron Paul
12:55 AM on 02/12/2012
Somethings smelly, I got this live alert at 5:06 PM Washington ET from Holly Henne of foxnews, reported last night with the headline in bold saying "CPAC 2012: PRESIDENTIAL STRAW POLL RESULTS ARE IN" that Ron Paul won with 30% of the vote and Romney got 23%. Than I noticed February 12 on the second results page and Holly say this was the second year in a row that Paul won. This is the 3rd year of CPAC, not the second. Holly's first page said it was 2012. The news ticker below the two pages was continuous. Watching the video today as opposed to late last night (HT) the video stopped at 1:40 and does not continue.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fruh7udUa7U

Alex Jones explains what happened in the Florida debate and it happened again in CPAC. I always said Fox was a turncoat channel.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VwKP3pWP_sU&featur­e=related
09:48 PM on 02/11/2012
Somethings smelly, I got this live alert at 5:06 PM Washington ET from Holly Henne of foxnews, reported last night with the headline in bold saying "CPAC 2012: PRESIDENTIAL STRAW POLL RESULTS ARE IN" that Ron Paul won with 30% of the vote and Romney got 23%. Than I noticed February 12 on the second results page and Holly say this was the second year in a row that Paul won. This is the 3rd year of CPAC, not the second. Holly's first page said it was 2012. The news ticker below the two pages was continuous. Watching the video today as opposed to late last night (HT) the video stopped at 1:40 and does not continue.
09:07 PM on 02/11/2012
Diebold - who owns that company?
Steven Eugene Kuhn
If not now, when. If not us, who?
06:11 PM on 02/11/2012
It all depends on the delegates, straw poles are only used by the press to try and sway public opinion, what a waste of energy...Santorum did not "sweep" anything, the delegates are still out there to be "won" so leave the faulty reporting please, it is misleading and dare I say, being used dishonestly.
05:17 PM on 02/11/2012
Don't tell CPAC, but Ron Paul has the most conservative voting record of all GOP candidates.And his supporters are the most tech savvy. Unless their planing on fraud through the new electronic system, I feel good about Ron Paul's chances of another win.
01:11 PM on 02/11/2012
So true... compromised? Not if it's a fair vote which it was in '10 and '11.
12:18 PM on 02/11/2012
Hahaha, this was kind of brilliant of the Paul campaign. They try to make it more inclusive, and at the same time he opts out. So if Paul doesn't win, you have to question whether it was because the sample was more representative or just because Paul ignored it, while if Paul does win it means even more just BECAUSE he ignored it.
09:41 AM on 02/11/2012
"The results have been something of an embarrassment " Actually, those recent results showing Paul as the leader were the only ones they could have been proud of - ever.
09:40 AM on 02/11/2012
"the American Conservative Union and CPAC are moving from paper ballots to electronic voting"

ELECTRONIC VOTING --- much easier to tamper with and fabricate. Mark it down. Ron Paul will win the vote, but the Diebold voting machines will tell another story that is more fit for the elite.
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Scvoter1
Success can be achieved as failure is not know fa
01:13 PM on 02/11/2012
As this article comments in the beginning, I believe the purpose of electronic voting by Computer or handheld device is the Republican Party's way to keep Ron Paul from winning and to dilute the Ron Paul supporter's votes.

Republicans who don't care about Ron Paul's supporters now, will miss them when they do not vote in the general election, or vote Democrat.
03:33 PM on 02/11/2012
We won't vote repugnicrat...but Gary Johnson on the LP ticket??? For sure!!
01:20 AM on 02/12/2012
Getting delegates is more important than a caucus, he told us that weeks ago. He's racking up more delegates than anyone else. Scvoter1, Ron Paul supporters will vote, our country is depending on it.
07:16 AM on 02/11/2012
They are going to electronic voting machines so they can commit voter fraud and not let people like Ron Paul win. This is sickening and criminal.
07:16 AM on 02/11/2012
Oh great. So now they can easily do voter fraud with electronic voting machines. If its fair and proper Ron Paul wins with 70% of the vote 2 years in a row, but now with their new electronic machines I'm sure Romney is going to be the big winner.

What a bunch of corrupt, lying, criminals. These people need to be in jail and not in positions of power where they can abuse this power.