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Dow Jones Industrial Average Passes 13,000 Point Mark For First Time Since Before Financial Crisis

By CHRISTINA REXRODE 02/21/12 05:32 PM ET AP

Dow Jones Industrial Average

NEW YORK — It came and went in a flash each time, a number on a board for mere seconds, but its symbolic power couldn't be dismissed.

The Dow Jones industrial average, powered higher all year by optimism that the economic recovery is finally for real, crossed 13,000 on Tuesday for the first time since May 2008.

The last time the Dow was there, unemployment was 5.4 percent, and Lehman Brothers was a solvent investment bank. Financial crises happened in other countries, or the history books.

The milestone Tuesday came about two hours into the trading day. The Dow was above 13,000 for about 30 seconds, and for slightly longer at about noon and 1:30 p.m., but couldn't hold its gains. It finished up 15.82 points at 12,965.69.

Still, Wall Street took note of the marker.

It was just last summer that the Dow unburdened itself of 2,000 points in three terrifying weeks. Standard & Poor's downgraded the United States' credit rating, Washington was fighting over the federal borrowing limit, and the European debt crisis was raging.

A second recession in the United States was a real fear. But the economy grew faster every quarter last year, and gains in the job market have been impressive, including 243,000 jobs added in January alone.

"Essentially over the last couple of months you've taken the two biggest fears off the table, that Europe is going to melt down and that we're going to have another recession here," said Scott Brown, chief economist for Raymond James.

The tumult of last summer and fall left the Dow as low as 10,655. It closed Tuesday 22 percent above that low. The Dow is 1,199 points from an all-time high, a 9 percent rally from here.

A long-awaited bailout to help Greece prevent a potentially catastrophic default, announced before dawn in Europe after 12 hours of talks, helped the Dow clear 13,000.

Greece will get euro130 billion, or about $172 billion, from other European nations and the International Monetary Fund. In a separate deal, investors in Greek bonds will be asked to forgive euro107 billion in debt.

After months in which talks crawled along and vague headlines yanked the market up and down, the conclusion was almost anticlimactic because the markets were already expecting an agreement.

European markets didn't take the news as well. Stocks closed down 3.5 percent in Greece, where stocks have lost 80 percent of their value since 2007. Stocks declined less than 1 percent Tuesday in Germany, France and Britain.

Investors noted that Greece remains in a deep recession. Its bond investors will take a 53.5 percent loss on the face value of their bonds, which could discourage future investment.

In the U.S., investors were cheered early by earnings from Home Depot, watched closely as a barometer of American spending on homes, and Macy's. Wal-Mart missed Wall Street expectations, and its stock lost 4 percent, worst among the 30 stocks in the Dow.

The index has climbed steadily this year. It has gained 6 percent and has not lost 100 points on any day. The Greek debt crisis may be receding, but high gasoline prices are emerging as a threat to the economic recovery, and thus the stock market.

A gallon of regular gas costs $3.57 on average, the highest on record for this time of year. With tension building over Iran's nuclear ambitions, Iran has halted oil exports to Britain and France and threatened to stop shipping to other European countries.

The price of oil settled at $106.25, up $2.65 for the day and its highest level since last May. The price jumped more than $1 in about 20 minutes after Iran's foreign ministry spokesman told reporters that a U.N. team visiting Iran has no plans to inspect the country's nuclear facilities and will only hold talks with Iranian officials.

"That was the olive branch the market was holding onto," said Phil Flynn, an analyst for the brokerage PFGBest. "If they're not going to discuss the nuclear program, then we're a lot closer to a conflict than further away," he said.

Airline stocks got clobbered. United Continental lost 9 percent, Delta Air Lines 7 percent. The Dow transportation average lost 1.5 percent.

Materials, telecommunications and energy companies led the industries gaining ground. Health care companies, makers of consumer staples and utilities, traditionally stocks to own in more cautious times, were lower.

The Standard & Poor's 500 index surpassed 1,363, its peak from April 2011, during the day but closed at 1,362.21, up 0.98 point. The Nasdaq composite, which is heavy with technology stocks and trading at levels not seen since December 2000, closed down 3.21 points at 2,948.57.

Metals prices jumped because of expectations that demand may improve after the Greek bailout package was approved and China took another step to stimulate economic growth. Silver finished up 3.7 percent, and platinum, copper and palladium all rose 3 percent or more. Gold ended up 1.9 percent.

The Dow last closed above 13,000 on May 19, 2008. The next day, it crossed under 13,000, not to return for almost four years. It fell as low as 6,547 on March 9, 2009. A reading of 13,094 would double that.

Dan McMahon, director of equity trading at Raymond James, called the 13,000 mark "just a big round number" as a matter of market fundamentals. But he added: "Psychologically, it matters."

The milestone could motivate cautious investors to pump more money back into the stock market. The yield on the government's benchmark 10-year Treasury note rose to 2.06 percent from 2.01 percent Friday, a sign that fewer investors wanted the bonds and were instead willing to buy riskier stocks.

"You need notches along the way to measure things," and Dow 13,000 is as good as any, said John Manley, chief equity strategist for Wells Fargo's funds group. "Is 50 older than 49 and a half? Yes, by six months. Do those six months really make a difference? Probably not. But it does give us a fixed point, something we can look at."

The Dow is also an imperfect measure of the economy's health. It is made up of just 30 companies, and it's weighted so that the few with the highest stock prices carry the most heft.

A small percentage change in the stock of IBM, which is trading around $193, sways the index much more than a large change in the stock of Bank of America, which is trading around $8.

Last year, the Dow rose 5.5 percent. But strip out IBM and McDonald's, the two stocks with the highest prices last year, and it rose just 1.8 percent, according to calculations by Birinyi Associates.

Dow Jones, which decides which 30 companies are the best barometer, says the index can accurately represent the economy because the 30 stocks make up 25 to 30 percent of the market value of all U.S. public companies.

Among the big movers:

_ Barnes & Noble fell 4 percent after missing expectations. Rising costs offset higher sales of both traditional books and digital books. The bookstore chain, a survivor in an era that has felled competitors like Borders and Waldenbooks, plans to introduce a cheaper Nook to compete with Amazon's Kindle Fire.

_ J.C. Penney, which is trying to reinvent itself and just brought in an Apple veteran as CEO and changed its logo, fell 3 percent after Fitch Ratings dropped its credit grade to junk status.

_ High-end department store Saks rose 3 percent after beating analysts' expectations.

___

AP Business Writer Sandy Shore contributed to this report.

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NEW YORK — It came and went in a flash each time, a number on a board for mere seconds, but its symbolic power couldn't be dismissed. The Dow Jones industrial average, powered higher all year b...
NEW YORK — It came and went in a flash each time, a number on a board for mere seconds, but its symbolic power couldn't be dismissed. The Dow Jones industrial average, powered higher all year b...
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Moxo
Our enemies are in the GOP.
09:17 PM on 02/22/2012
So, once again a Democratic president is better for the Stock market than a Republican!

http://www.businessweek.com/politics-policy/joshua-green-on-politics/archives/2012/02/dow_13000_thank_democrats.html
iam99
To know what you prefer...
12:15 PM on 02/22/2012
Chart the value of the deflated dollar with the rise in the DJIA over the long run, say since 1975 - and correlate.
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09:36 AM on 02/22/2012
Ahhh gage your efforts as the waves hit and the tallies come in, from the conservative right, and the liberal left, I'm hoping to enjoy all the currents and torrents eddies and waves. That with capital fluidity, the numbers will settle and adjust without disruption and progress and companies as a collective whole can re-adjust, re-value, and compensate for the markets and recover and build their inventories as a whole and can begin to grow, then the market and the economy will have shown real recovery, real promise, and gain.
08:24 AM on 02/22/2012
Republicans will decry this news as false, or at the very least, that it will hurt Job Creators &
probaly result in more unprotected sex amongst Dems.

Rumor has it Boehner required extra tanning fluids to mask the pallor brought on by this unwelcome news. The brain trust ( an oxymoron ) at the GOP is trying to figure out how to drag Girl Scouts into the contraceptives discussion as a further obfuscation of the fact that they have no plans for the country nor a leg ( bet Kantor's are spindly) to stand on......
08:18 AM on 02/22/2012
Great but waiting for the fall and it will happen. The market is not stable just being manipulated
by the high roller
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withonor
Progressive Liberal Independent
07:26 AM on 02/22/2012
The stock market barely represents reality. For all I care it could disappear forever. Company value should be created by and given to employees. Not bystanders who have no impact on real results.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Mistinguette Grandison
No. Corporations are NOT people
08:22 AM on 02/22/2012
It plays a factor and is a good sign. There are also jobless claims hitting a four year low and unemployment going down.
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withonor
Progressive Liberal Independent
08:29 AM on 02/22/2012
It only plays a sign that investors are profiting. Pay attention to the last few years. The largest corporations are cutting jobs and increasing profit.
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06:26 AM on 02/22/2012
"Dow Jones Hits Symbolic Market"? No one proof reads the front page teaser headlines?
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KarmaPatrol
Fair and balanced and sugar-free
02:11 AM on 02/22/2012
Moving on up but has it caught fire yet? You know, when everyone is recommending a hot tip? Hmmmm.
01:22 AM on 02/22/2012
This has nothing to do with the President and I wouldn't even take credit for this rally if I was offered it. This has to do with foreign earnings and the FED. With basically 0% rates (negative real rates) on anything other than stocks, most people are forced to put their money in riskier assets to earn some kind of return, especially since the return after inflation is negative. Low volume all the way up since the crash has left traders like me with very little conviction about how vibrant the markets are. If people were truly convinced of a true recovery, then volume would not be at 1991 levels. Volume distorts gains since very few people are trading; it’s mostly large institutions and HFTraders that do all the daily bidding. Retails left this market a long time ago. Earnings are strong but that’s b/c corporates have slimmed their labor force and are earning more revenue from overseas while buying back their own shares, which when their earnings are coupled with a lower dollar due to Fed policy, increases their repatriated earnings. "Phantom" earnings we call them. People are fixated on nominal gains and not focusing on the fact that the stock market is an awful reflection of the true economy since this rally is driven by "phantom" profits and unconventional monetary policy, which distorts valuations, and hurts Main St. since it destroys their purchasing power and profits come at the expense of low wages and less employment.
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06:28 AM on 02/22/2012
Interesting, thanks.
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Mistinguette Grandison
No. Corporations are NOT people
08:23 AM on 02/22/2012
If something goes bad, it's his fault. But if something is good, he has nothing to do with it.
01:21 AM on 02/22/2012
This is a Fed engineered rally and just like in Zimbabwe, where they had the best performing market last year nominally, in real terms, it was the worse since their currency had lost so much purchasing power and people were poorer than they were when their market was at a lower level. Don't be deceived by the stock market. It is being engineered by the Fed to cause a wealth effect where they intentionally drive investors/savers out of safe assets and into riskier ones like stocks while lowering the currency to boost earnings with the hope of companies hiring, but cash has been sitting on balance sheets since profits have been soaring. The effect is supposed to drive consumption since "net worth" increases and people feel richer just like they did when their houses increased by 4x in a couple years, leading to a higher consumption levels. Only this time, the transmission mechanism is completely broken and I'm sure I don't need to explain why.
01:21 AM on 02/22/2012
Whoever trusts this market anymore, which is not to say that money can't be made, is not paying attention to the true dynamics and big players that make $ on an-always-late-to-the-party-retail-investor who ends up getting played time and time again. Hence, the lack of conviction, volume and belief in sustainability in this market if not for policies that are still in play that continue to juice it up. $106 WTI Oil/$120 Brent Oil - $1750 Gold anyone? Central banks inundating markets with cheap money and low rates as far as the eye can see. Sure don't mind that keep looking at 13,000 and wait til it says 14,000.
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KarmaPatrol
Fair and balanced and sugar-free
02:43 AM on 02/22/2012
Small fry have been mostly absent after being burned in summer 08. Too bad, since the easy money is made when there's blood in the water (when everyone freaked as cries of socialism shrieked from the Republican leadership - as the latter bought stock).
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rg4there
I use my brain. I must be Liberal.
12:47 AM on 02/22/2012
Nice to hear some good news for once...
12:35 AM on 02/22/2012
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/02/21/dow-jones-industrial-average-financial-crisis_n_1290986.html?ref=business#comments

As the U.S. dollar strengthens against other currencies, the phantom corporate profits generated by a devaluing dollar will vanish.

One of the dirty little secrets of the stock market rally is that the rising corporate profits that powered it are largely phantom profits. Why are they phantom? Because they are artifacts of currency devaluation, not an increase in efficiency or production of goods and services.

Though few domestic observers make mention of it, the large, global U.S.-based corporations are now dependent on non-U.S. sales for about 40% of their revenues (50% and up for many companies) and virtually all their profit growth.

Overseas sales are made in the local currency, and the profits are stated in U.S. dollars on corporate profit and loss statements.

In 2002, 1 euro of profit earned by a U.S. global corporation equaled $1 in profit when converted to U.S. dollars.

That same 1 euro profit swelled to $1.60 in 2008 as the U.S. dollar depreciated against the euro. That $ .60 of profit was phantom, an artifact of the depreciating dollar; it did not result from a higher production of goods and services or greater efficiencies.

Now that the Federal Reserve has lowered interest rates to zero, trying to depreciate the dollar further is like pushing on a string.
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06:31 AM on 02/22/2012
Another good read, thanks.
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builderman55
Featherless Biped
12:23 AM on 02/22/2012
How terribly sad that the Republican Party is daily losing its only chance to beat Obama--keeping our economy tanked. I guess McConnell will have to eat a lot of crow, since his stated goal for the GOP was only one thing: make Obama a one term president. I guess that will make McConnell a 100% failure... Which, of course, most of us already knew...
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06:31 AM on 02/22/2012
It might be better to wait for the actual election...
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11:34 PM on 02/21/2012
mr dow jones and me, love that song