IA-2012 President: 48% Santorum (R), 42% Obama (D) (Des Moines Register 2/12-15)

Des Moines Register
2/12-15/12; 611 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
Des Moines Register poll

Iowa

2012 President
49% Paul (R), 42% Obama (D)
48% Santorum (R), 42% Obama (D)
46% Romney (R), 44% Obama (D)
51% Obama (D), 37% Gingrich (R)

Obama Job Approval,/em>
46% Approve, 48% Disapprove

Also on HuffPost:

Comments

[alanrsnipes]

01:54 PM on 02/22/2012

I think this poll is just wrong. In the first place, Obama in 2008 carried Iowa with a bigger percentage than his nationwide total. His numbers have gone up nationally, so it stands to reason that he is ahead in Iowa. Also, this is the only statewide poll to show Obama losing in Iowa.
I don't believe the pollster is biased, but sometimes a bad poll does happen.

[Field Marshall]

10:08 PM on 02/21/2012

Looks like Iowans have woken up.

[columbusbuck]

08:53 PM on 02/21/2012

This poll doesn't look right.

[docboss83]

06:33 PM on 02/21/2012

Santorum is clearly the most electable Republican. The Republicans should nominate him.

[Xenobion]

04:19 PM on 02/21/2012

To have Obama at that approval level and the races that much off just means there is a party makeup problem in the methodology of the poll. I would figure Iowa to be on the battle ground state list... especially if Santorum was the nominee.

[StatsNo1fan]

05:24 PM on 02/21/2012

It's a Likely Voter poll, so party makeup goes out the window. You're just used to seeing RV polls in head-to-head matchups. GOP still has a significant enthusiasm gap in every poll but PP.

[Joe Pithier]

02:59 PM on 02/21/2012

Clearly the Des Moines Register should stick to projecting the caucus.

[Political Shakespeare]

03:48 PM on 02/21/2012

And lay off the hallucinigenics.

[AaronTX]

02:52 PM on 02/21/2012

Paul leading by most. Absurd.

[Rightbrainedleftwinged]

07:21 PM on 02/21/2012

Where the hell are the good pollsters polling these races? PPP and rasmussen are the only ones doing senate races lately, that have any validity.

[Field Marshall]

01:21 PM on 02/21/2012

Saboto didn't even have Iowa in play for 2012. Interesting.

[StatsNo1fan]

05:26 PM on 02/21/2012

I am no Saboto, but I also don't have it in play for 2012. It's gone red.

[docboss83]

06:32 PM on 02/21/2012

Thank you God.

[teron678]

08:12 PM on 02/21/2012

LOL ... they only thing that's going red on election day is you after Mitt loses ...

p.s ... for the last time IA will remain blue ... bank on it ..

[ColoradoMeansRed]

02:23 PM on 02/22/2012

Yes, he did. According to Sabato, CO, IA, NH, NV, FL, OH, and VA are the seven key swing states in this year's election.

If Santorum is the nominee, that probably changes. I don't think Santorum can compete in New Hampshire or possibly Nevada. But I do think he brings Wisconsin into play, and I also think he beats Obama in Iowa. He'll also play well in Coloraod and Ohio, though I'm not sure how he does in VA and FL.

[Symanski]

01:16 PM on 02/21/2012

Tic Toc...