This just in: President Obama will be re-elected president in 2012.
At least, that's what the newly discovered Academy Awards/Golden Globes Rule suggests.
With only two exceptions over the past 50 years, a Democrat has won the White House when the Golden Globe for Best Motion Picture (Drama) and the Oscar for Best Picture have not gone to the same film. When the same picture takes both honors, a Republican wins.
CNN's OutFront blog spotted the pattern (and yes, even they float the question of whether or not they have too much time on their hands), and the details are pretty intriguing. Of the two times the rule failed to hold true, one can be somewhat easily explained away:
In 1976, when "One Flew Over the Cuckoo's Nest" won both awards, things went crazy, and Gerald Ford failed to win.
But as Ford was never actually elected as president or vice president in the first place, there is an argument to be made he was never a true incumbent.
The other, CNN notes, was when the filmic adaptation of Steinbeck's "East of Eden" won the Golden Globe but failed to capture the Oscar. Steinbeck himself was fiercely political and published a long memo outlining a plan that he hoped would keep Eisenhower from a second term.
Every other election cycle, the award shows have "predicted" the party of the next president. Reagan won his second term the year that "Terms of Endearment" won both honors, and Bill Clinton won in 1996 when "Braveheart" and "Sense and Sensibility" split the statuettes.
This news, if you can call it that, comes amid signs that Hollywood isn't as Obama-mad as it used to be. Four years after the likes of Oprah Winfrey, George Clooney and Halle Berry effusively praised the "Yes We Can" candidate, the relationship appears to have cooled considerably.
Stars including Matt Damon have sharply criticized the president, and early returns indicate that donations to Democrats from those in the industry are millions lower than they were at this point last election cycle.
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This just in: President Obama will be re-elected president in 2012.
At least, that's what the newly discovered Academy Awards/Golden Globes Rule suggests.
With only two exceptions over the past ...
This just in: President Obama will be re-elected president in 2012.
At least, that's what the newly discovered Academy Awards/Golden Globes Rule suggests.
With only two exceptions over the past ...
The only thing you can predict from award shows is that the most anti-Americans always win. This is no indication of the elections results except in the frevid imagination of the far left that includes most celebrities. Look at the hate mongering that goes on in all the left's political films. Margret Thatcher victimized, Sarah Palin slandered, etc. It's no wonder most are box office bombs.
PandaUnbound: The only thing you can predict from award shows is
We better pray to God that man doesn't get re-elected. He was not experienced enough to be the Prez and has done everything he said he wouldn't. He also said, "If the economy isn't fixed....I'll be a one term president." It's not, now say good-bye.
Get all the nanny care issues out of Congress and let the American people think for themselves instead of invading our wallets and our bodies.
Read up on Ancient Rome and the Chinese Dynasties and see how History is repeating itself.
Dangerous.
hollyscom: We better pray to God that man doesn't get re-elected.
Wow now I understand Liberal thinking. Since Octavia Spencer won a
award for playing a maid who took a dump in a pie logically......Obama
wins another term. Is Billy Crystal's black face a good or bad sign for
Barack Hussein Obama ???
ssullymets: Wow now I understand Liberal thinking. Since Octavia Spencer won
Talk about a ridiculous story. Can you not focus on lowering the price of gasoline, getting 25 million Americans back work and turning around the economy so we can lower our $15 trillion national debt.
BocaMom: Talk about a ridiculous story. Can you not focus on
Do you really think those issues are not being worked on. If you want gasoline to go down, then demand that the oil speculators stop playing with the American peoples pocketbook. If you want more people to be put back to work, then tell the Republicans in congress to stop filibustering everything that will help the economy. If you want to reduce the national debt, then support ending the tax breaks for the richest Americans and support ending the billions of dollars in subsidies that the oil industry gets. Those would be good steps in the right direction, if you really want more improvement.
softvoice: Do you really think those issues are not being worked
The Artist DID when both the Golden Globe and The Oscar...This theory is really silly. But, yes, Obama will win. The Republican Party has become like a SNL skit with the likes of Sarah Palin and now Mitt Romney. Laughable.
Buck_Winthrop: The Artist DID when both the Golden Globe and The
I remember watching Meryl and Rosanne bar in the most underrated She Devil. I think Streep tried mainstreaming her comedy in things like that movie she did with Goldy Hawn and Isabella Rossellina and Catherine Bell. Her comedy was fantastic.
Jonathan_Robert: I remember watching Meryl and Rosanne bar in the most
You've got to be kidding. They are basing an election based on the Golden Globes. This country is in dire trouble and this is what they think of election a president. No wonder we are in such trouble. This liberal media needs to take a reality pill BIG TIME.
kah614: You've got to be kidding. They are basing an election
The article recounts the statistical probabilities based on a fifty year sample. It also notes two exceptions. There are similar predictors based on candidates height, name length, and a myriad of other anomalies. You seem to be the one that needs to relax, and work on your reading comprehension. There will still be an election in November...I promise.
twain307: The article recounts the statistical probabilities based on a fifty
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First Posted: 03/ 1/2012 5:02 pm Updated: 03/ 1/2012 5:17 pm