US-2012 Primary: 38% Romney, 32% Santorum, 13% Gingrich, 12% Paul (Fox 3/10-12)

Fox News
3/10-12/12; 912 registered voters, 3% margin of error
341 liekly Republican primary voters, 5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
Fox release

National

Obama Job Approval
47% Approve, 45% Disapprove (chart)

2012 President: General Election
46% Obama (D), 42% Romney (R) (chart)
53% Obama (D), 35% Gingrich (R) (chart)
51% Obama (D), 39% Santorum (R) (chart)
50% Obama (D), 38% Paul (R)

2012 President: Republican Primary
38% Romney
32% Santorum
13% Gingrich
12% Paul
(chart)

Comments

[Lat1]

05:07 PM on 03/15/2012

You people keep reinforcing my argument. Listen to yourselves. The fact that Romney is even in this situation is absurd. He has a full organization in place, he's outspent his opponents by a country mile, and he has done what he needs to in terms of delagate slates. Yet, he's still grinding this out? I don't agree with RS on anything, but give the man credit or is Romney really that bad. Maybe a combination of both.

[StatsNo1fan]

06:12 PM on 03/15/2012

Why was B0B0 grinding it out until June. He even lost the total popular vote. He must have been awful, and surely gone on to a crashing defeat in the general.

[AaronTX]

07:34 PM on 03/15/2012

Obama was facing a credible set of opponents, most prominently Hillary Clinton, wife of the most popular living former president.

Hillary was facing the most dynamic, telegenic, and most effective orator to hit the political stage since Ronald Reagan. That kind of charisma comes around once a generation (Clinton gave good interviews and pressers, small group settings, but rarely gave memorable speeches).

[Xenobion]

08:34 PM on 03/15/2012

I can't wait to see Mitt Romney give Rick Santorum vice president or secretary of state. It'll be a great coalescing of the party!

[funkeepickle]

03:23 PM on 03/15/2012

It looks pretty certain by now that Romney will capture at least a plurality of delegates by the convention. Whether he gets an outright majority remains to be seen. Right now I'd probably give him 2:1 odds for getting a majority if Gingrich doesn't drop out this month and 2:1 odds against if he does.

[StatsNo1fan]

12:28 PM on 03/15/2012

Sabato just released a projection showing that between today and the end of April, Mitt will win 70% of the delegates - 268 to Rick's 117. Larry's forecasting track record truly is phenomenal.

[StatsNo1fan]

12:28 PM on 03/15/2012

http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/

[ashenthorn]

01:28 PM on 03/15/2012

The key is Illinois (where Sabato has Romney favored). Santorum would have to win both Illinois & Louisiana to remain viable. Santorum must be furious that Newt is planning to hang around as long as people are willing to pay attention to him.

[StatsNo1fan]

01:35 PM on 03/15/2012

I think part of Mitt's delegate lead in IL is due to the fact that Rick has not filed a full slate of delegates there. Another failure of his organization.