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David Miliband: Afghanistan Could 'Explode' Without Political Solutions

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David Miliband

WASHINGTON -- With early troop removals by key contributors to the war in Afghanistan, military factors have dominated war news over the past few weeks.

But three days before NATO leaders meet in Chicago to discuss Afghanistan strategy, British Member of Parliament David Miliband said political factors are being overlooked by Western nations, potentially harming progress toward a successful conclusion to the war.

Speaking about the "dangers of a continuing imbalance between the political and the military efforts," Miliband, a Labor Party member, told reporters on Thursday that without concentrated effort to reach a political settlement in Afghanistan, NATO runs the risk that "the obvious tensions that exist within Afghan society explode on the back of allied withdrawal. ... Without it, the risks for Afghanistan, for the wider region and for the legacy of our intervention are very serious indeed."

Miliband's comments accompanied the release of a report from the Center for American Progress in which the liberal think tank argued for greater focus by NATO on political solutions in Afghanistan.

"Missing from the NATO conference’s agenda and U.S. government planning efforts is a meaningful discussion of the
political dimensions of the transition -- how NATO’s security transition and international troop drawdown will affect the tenuous power balance that has existed in the country since 2001," wrote Caroline Wadhams, Colin Cookman, and Brian Katulis, the report's authors.

NATO neglect, however, may be only part of the problem. Both the report and Miliband said that the government of Afghan President Hamid Karzai is not only corrupt, but highly centralized -- a new and difficult system in a country that is highly fractured along geographic and ethnic lines. Many of the report's suggestions centered on governance and elections, arguing that the U.S. and NATO must help improve the integrity of voting, create checks on the power of the presidency and reach out to opposition parties to bolster political stability for Karzai's successor, who will be elected in 2014.

To give teeth to political efforts, the report proposed linking security aid to political progress in Afghanistan. "The United States and other international donors must convey the clear reform baselines for their continued support of the Afghan government," the authors wrote.

"A transition to Afghan ownership and the drawdown of foreign forces is the right approach for the long-term interests of Afghanistan, the region, and the United States and its NATO partners. But much more work needs to be done to prioritize and carry out the steps necessary for a durable resolution to the political issues at the core of the conflict," warned the report.


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WASHINGTON -- With early troop removals by key contributors to the war in Afghanistan, military factors have dominated war news over the past few weeks. But three days before NATO leaders meet in C...
WASHINGTON -- With early troop removals by key contributors to the war in Afghanistan, military factors have dominated war news over the past few weeks. But three days before NATO leaders meet in C...
 
 
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10:47 AM on 05/27/2012
Until the religious schools in the middle east stop teaching hate and intolerance nothing will get better in that part of the world.
10:45 AM on 05/27/2012
Pakistan is where Bin Laden was hiding and killed.

Pakistan is where other top Al Queda leaders were captured or killed.

Pakistan is where the support for attacks on NATO troops is coming from.....

Seems like Pakistan is the problem.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
omobob
left coast, usa
08:03 PM on 05/19/2012
> NATO neglect, however, may be only part of the problem. Both the report and Miliband said that the government of Afghan President Hamid Karzai is not only corrupt, but highly centralized -- a new and difficult system in a country that is highly fractured along geographic and ethnic lines.

The Karzai Government is powerless outside the city limits of Kabul. That it should be abundantly clear as Afghan insurgents are attacking kabul as part of their spring offensive. Who will fight for the corrupt Karzai Government. The most battle hardened and most powerful Military on earth could not beat the Afghan Insurgents in 11 years. The splintered, corrupted, wholly compromised and under trained Afghan Army has no chance. The time to leave was yesterday. fubar
05:06 PM on 05/19/2012
Could? It will.
03:21 PM on 05/19/2012
British Lawmaker Warns Afghanistan Could Explode(Pun intended?)
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Alexey Braguine
Author of Kingmaker, a novel
10:44 AM on 05/19/2012
The NATO Chicago conference is nothing but face saving delusions and back stage arm twisting. An opportunity to use the meaningless frase strategic partership so many times in a speech.
10:38 AM on 05/19/2012
Afganistan desperately needs corruption. Corruption is the very essence of their economy.
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BrutusHonestus
Don't Ask Me for the Answer You Want to Hear
01:28 AM on 05/20/2012
Don't forget the poppies . . .
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Seablue2u
I'm an idealist without illusions. JFK
09:31 AM on 05/19/2012
History dictates what will happen there--not NATO, the US, or anyone else. We must leave, and do it forthwith. Bring our military home.
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Val Mercy
In war, truth is the first casualty.
09:01 AM on 05/19/2012
The idea that we can impact Afghanistan's political corruptions after thoroughly leveling many of their cities and killing thousands of innocent civilians is as absurd as Osama Bin Laden thinking that he can change the US's foreign policy after hitting the World Trade Center.

You go to war to make a point of dominance or to make conquests (or the ever increasingly absurd notion of "defense"). Not to enact meaningful change.

GET OUT.
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09:51 AM on 05/19/2012
How out of touch are you? Osama Bin Laden DID CHANGE US Foreign policy and U.S. INTERNAL POLICY (EXTREME) after hitting the WTC. Too easy to pick you off.
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Val Mercy
In war, truth is the first casualty.
10:23 AM on 05/19/2012
In the way he intended? He asked us to get off the Arabian Peninsula. He asked us to stop supporting tyrannical regimes. He told us to stop supporting Israel.
Did we do that? 
argved
Less socialism (for the wealthy)
10:41 AM on 05/19/2012
Sadly the neocons were in charge when Bin Laden precipitated that change, they thought it was a great idea to remake Iraq and Afghanistan. This resulted in our military being bogged down in two countries that are more broken than when we started. We are currently left with no good options as a result of their ill advised over reach.
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VileOverlord
Vile Overlord is pleased by the carnage
07:16 AM on 05/19/2012
good politics does not equal no corruption, in fact it usually make the corruption easier and more wide spread because good politicians seldom do what is needed to quell the corruption because they talk where action is needed.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Val Mercy
In war, truth is the first casualty.
09:03 AM on 05/19/2012
Since no one wants us there, the only government that is allowed to ascend to power is, by default, corrupt.

This isn't a good thing.
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VileOverlord
Vile Overlord is pleased by the carnage
11:56 AM on 05/19/2012
but revolution certainly is
06:52 AM on 05/19/2012
TAP.
06:00 AM on 05/19/2012
We need more dead Americans to increase the unpopularity of war for it to end. Come on Afghanistan, you can do it.
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Val Mercy
In war, truth is the first casualty.
09:04 AM on 05/19/2012
They die everyday and no one cares. No one approves of this war. This is tyranny!
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straightuptalker
What ever happened to common sense?
05:42 AM on 05/19/2012
"the obvious tensions that exist within Afghan society explode on the back of allied withdrawal"

More reasons to get out ASAP. Nothing we do there will change the antiquated culture and mind-set of Afghan society, so let's pack it in and stop supporting corrupt Afghani officials. They alone hold the keys to their personal treasure chests filled with U.S. dollars, and it's past due time to plug up the money pipeline that feeds them. They get richer while our troops put their lives at risk to defend whom, exactly?
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stavba
09:38 AM on 05/19/2012
the antiquated culture and mind-set of Afghan society...sorry, but we need to look at our sorry culture .
05:34 AM on 05/19/2012
let it explode
it is not our problem
let the crazy islamics solve their own problems
let allah solve their problems
the sooner they realize allah doesn't do anything the sooner they will be able to join the rest of the world
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Julia Bailey
09:08 AM on 05/19/2012
YAh, its not like they are going to come over here and fly airplanes into buildings or anything.
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piul05
Are you looking at my ears?! (Mo-om!!!)
02:59 PM on 05/19/2012
Let's get one thing straight; the US is not in Afghanistan for some altruistic cause. It's there because of because of Trans-Afghan Pipeline, the brainchild of Unocal (now part of Chevron) with the Saudi oil company Delta, which will transport oil and gas from rich oilfields in Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, and Kazakhstan, running from the Caspian Sea through Afghanistan and Pakistan and finally to India.

Karzai was a former functioning corporation consultant for UNOCAL, and is now full-time US puppet. Hence the support for his "government".

The pipeline is supposed to be operational in 2014; until then, nobody should count on any troops leaving Afghanistan or on the puppet's strings being cut loose
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10:07 AM on 05/21/2012
Zactly.

BTW, Nina...? Looking awesome!
01:10 PM on 05/21/2012
you are correct and I am aware of that
however building a pipeline in the middle of a hostile arab country means that they dont have to travel to incite anarchy they can spend their time blowing up a pipeline in their back yard

pipelines and terrorists don't mix
04:52 AM on 05/19/2012
How about letting Afghanistan deal with it's own problems and we deal with our own problems here at home. It's a novel concept but it might just work.
08:43 AM on 05/19/2012
I thought our whole aim was to interfere with everyone else