POLITICS
09/25/2012 07:57 am ET | Updated Nov 25, 2012

9/25/12 Pollster Open Thread

This open thread is to discuss all of the day's polls -- what they tell us about the election, their methodological strengths and weaknesses, notable findings others have missed or whatever else you want to talk about. Each day's open thread will appear in the morning and remain open for 24 hours. We also encourage you to use the "favorite" button to identify the most interesting or insightful comments.

Monday featured comments
"I'm very interested in knowing what pollster is going to nail the Dems swing state turnout advantage. Is PPP right on the money, or will the outcomes be closer to Rasmussen landline only polling methods. The PPP poll of Florida last night gave Obama a plus 6 turnout advantage when 2008 was +3. I'm definitely thinking a +4 is possible, but I think 6 is outside the margins." - Briansfunpage

"I still think the polls are overstating Democratic standing in Wisconsin. The recalls were exhausting and embarrassing for Democrats, and I think their turnout will be sluggish for this election. As for Republicans, their turnout was driven by Scott Walker's agenda, but he is not on the ballot, and has distanced himself a bit from Romney. And Tommy Thompson is no Tea Party favorite. But despite that, I think Republican turnout will perform better than the Democrats. I would discount any Obama or Baldwin leads by 2 points." - SergeantSuj

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