Screen Actors Guild 2013 Nominations: Winners & Losers

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Screen Actors Guild 2013 nominations: Javier Bardem was a winner.
Screen Actors Guild 2013 nominations: Javier Bardem was a winner.

The Screen Actors Guild 2013 nominations were announced on Wednesday morning -- hours after the nods actually leaked online via dummy pages on the SAG Awards website -- and expected favorites like Daniel Day-Lewis, Jennifer Lawrence, Anne Hathaway and Jessica Chastain were singled out for their screen work in 2012. More important: Since the actors branch votes for which stars receive Oscar nominations, the Screen Actors Guild awards provide insight into the coming 85th annual Academy Awards nominations in ways that all those critics' awards do not. Last year, SAG members were the first major group to snub both Albert Brooks and Michael Fassbender, and they put previously-on-the-outside candidates like Demian Bichir and Jonah Hill on the map.

So, with that in mind, here are some winners and losers from the Screen Actors Guild 2013 nominations.

WINNER: Bradley Cooper, "Silver Linings Playbook"
Oscar buzz has been building for Cooper's tricky star turn in "Silver Linings Playbook" -- he's playing an unlikable character who has to be extremely likable -- and his SAG nomination for Best Actor alongside Daniel Day-Lewis, John Hawkes, Denzel Washington and Hugh Jackman does nothing to slow that down. At this point, it would be fairly surprising to not hear Cooper's name announced during the Academy Award nominations on Jan. 10, 2013.

LOSER: Joaquin Phoenix, "The Master"
If Cooper gets in at the Oscars, that means Phoenix might get his Academy Awards wish: "I don't want to be a part of it," he famously told Elvis Mitchell, before slightly backtracking in a later interview. So far, so good on that one.

WINNER: Javier Bardem, "Skyfall"
Never mind that Best Supporting Actor is a category with 12 legitimate candidates (Tommy Lee Jones, Alan Arkin, Matthew McConaughey, John Goodman, Robert De Niro, Philip Seymour Hoffman, Leonardo DiCaprio, Christoph Waltz, Eddie Redmayne, Samuel L. Jackson, Ewan McGregor and Dwight Henry) not named Javier Bardem: a past Best Supporting Actor Academy Award winner for his iconic role in "No Country For Old Men," Bardem swooped in and grabbed one of the five SAG Supporting Actor slots. Assuming Tommy Lee Jones, Alan Arkin and Philip Seymour Hoffman are locks to carry over to the Oscars, that leaves De Niro, Bardem and the rest of those names to fight it out for the final two nods. Does Bardem's showy Bond villain role in "Skyfall" have enough juice to push him over those other big names? It might, especially because of his Oscar history. Of course, you can also take this nod with a grain of salt (especially if you're a DiCaprio supporter): According to Awards Daily blogger Sasha Stone, screeners for "Django Unchained" (and "Zero Dark Thirty") didn't arrive in time for SAG voters.

LOSER: Matthew McConaughey, "Magic Mike"
This snub was not all right, all right, all right.

WINNERS: Helen Mirren ("Hitchcock") & Naomi Watts ("The Impossible")
Mirren and Watts have been on the fringe of the Best Actress race, and earning nominations in the category from SAG only bolsters their Oscar chances.

LOSERS: Helen Mirren ("Hitchcock") & Naomi Watts ("The Impossible")
That boost might be short lived. "Beasts of the Southern Wild" breakout star Quvenzhane Wallis wasn't eligible for a SAG nomination -- the film was made outside of the actors' union -- meaning either one of these actresses may still wind up without a nomination. Both, in fact, if "Amour" star Emmanuelle Riva, who was also ignored by SAG, gets an Oscar nod as well.

WINNER: Nicole Kidman, "The Paperboy"
While Anne Hathaway, Helen Hunt and Sally Field are firmly entrenched as presumed Best Supporting Actress nominees, the fourth and fifth slots are somewhat more fluid. As such, what better performance to highlight than Kidman's "Paperboy" work, since it relied so heavily on fluids. (She urinates on Zac Efron in one of the film's most bizarre moments.) Can Kidman, a well-respected past Oscar winner, carry this nod over to Best Supporting Actress? Fingers crossed, if only because what could they possibly choose for her Oscar clip?

LOSER: Amy Adams, "The Master"
If the Academy follows the SAG lead and nominates Kidman and "Best Exotic Marigold Hotel" co-star Maggie Smith, Adams -- who gave one of the best performances of the year -- will unfortunately stay home on Oscar night.

WINNER/LOSER: "Zero Dark Thirty"
No nomination for Best Ensemble (the SAG equivalent of Best Picture) slows down the "Zero Dark Thirty" train, but only slightly: If, as Stone noted, screeners didn't go out in time, there's reason to think that misstep hurt "Zero Dark Thirty" with the Screen Actors Guild. Of course, Jessica Chastain did get nominated, meaning either SAG voters just put her there on the strength of assumption (it was a good one, if so; she's great in the film) or didn't love "Zero Dark Thirty" as much as the critical community.

For a full list of the SAG nominees, head here. The SAG Awards will be handed out on Jan. 27. 2013.

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