LATINO VOICES
05/30/2013 04:42 pm ET Updated May 30, 2013

Republicans Should Chase White Vote, Center For Immigration Studies Says

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Republicans should go for the white vote, a prominent anti-immigration think tank said Thursday.

On Thursday, the conservative, nonpartisan think tank Center for Immigration Studies based its recommendation on a review of newly released Census data showing that white voters without college degrees stayed home in larger numbers than other ethnic groups.

"As Republicans think about how they can expand their voter base, the new data suggest that one of their biggest problems in the last presidential election was that so many less-educated whites sat home," Steven Camarota, the Center's Director of Research and author of the report, said in a press release. "These voters, who have been hard hit by the recession, have traditionally supported Republicans. It seems likely that by supporting the Schumer-Rubio amnesty, GOP legislators would further alienate these voters."

The report says that if Romney had won 3 percentage points more of the white vote, he would have won the popular vote. By contrast, he would have had to win 23 percentage points more among Hispanics to win the popular vote.

Those tallies wouldn’t necessarily have altered the final outcome, which depends on the Electoral College. The Latino vote is not concentrated in swing states, though Hispanic voters play a key role in the battleground state of Florida.

The growing importance of the Latino vote has prompted strategists to rethink the political landscape after the 2012 elections, with some predicting the demographic shift could put reliably red states into play.

The Houston Chronicle predicts the growing Hispanic vote may turn Texas purple within three presidential election cycles. The Morrison Institute for Public Policy at Arizona State University predicted last year that by 2030 Latinos would jump to 25 percent of registered voters, up from 15 percent in 2010 -- and likely pushing the state towards the left.

The CIS recommendation for the GOP to focus on the white vote came less than a week after conservative activist Phyllis Schlafly called the need to reach out to Latino voters a “great myth” during an interview on conservative radio program “Focus Today.”

"The Hispanics who have come in like this will vote Democrat and there's not the slightest bit of evidence that they will vote Republican," Schlafly said, according to Talking Points Memo. "And the people the Republicans should reach out to are the white votes, the white voters who didn't vote in the last election and there are millions of them."

This post was updated on Thursday, May 30, 2013 at 5:45 p.m. to modify the lead sentence.

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