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The House Of Representatives Members Most Likely To Back Immigration Reform

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WASHINGTON -- As the immigration reform debate begins in earnest in the House, one of the biggest issues is the math. The bill needs 218 votes to pass. Democratic leaders said they think they can convince most of their party's 201 members to vote in favor. That means they'd need around 20 Republicans to join them. But House Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio) has repeatedly insisted he will only allow the House to vote on an immigration reform plan if a majority of Republicans support it.

That would mean finding about 120 Republicans willing to back a plan that includes a pathway to citizenship for undocumented immigrants, which former GOP leadership aides said is almost impossible. Somewhere between 50 and 80 is a more realistic number, they said -- which means a potentially overwhelming majority of House members in favor of reform.

If it becomes clear that the House has far more votes than needed to pass comprehensive immigration reform, the pressure on Boehner to "let the House work its will," as he's fond of saying, increases exponentially. That pressure may be the only way to get comprehensive immigration legislation through the House that includes a pathway to citizenship, along with border security and changes to legal immigration and enforcement policies.

HuffPost will be tracking support as the debate goes on. The following count is based on the combined intelligence of several immigration groups and informed House staffers, along with a look at lawmakers' past votes, public statements and district demographics. It maps out which House members will either support immigration reform or, at the very least, remain quiet on it. If Boehner refuses, as he has said he will, to pass the bill without a majority of Republicans, below are the politicians reformers will try to win over, including some skeptical Democrats and those likely entrenched on either side.

This is not a final count, and will continue to be updated as more information becomes available. If your representative has sent you a letter or made a statement on immigration, please email it to us here with "immigration whip count" in the subject line.

218 votes needed to pass
Yes/Likely Yes
No/Likely No

Yes/Likely Yes 191

Ala. Sewell Ariz. Barber Grijalva Kirkpatrick Pastor Sinema Calif. Bass Becerra Bera Brownley Capps Cárdenas Chu Costa Davis Eshoo Farr Garamendi Hahn Honda Huffman Lee Lofgren Lowenthal Matsui McNerney George Miller Napolitano Negrete McLeod Pelosi Peters Roybal-Allard Ruiz Loretta Sanchez Linda T. Sánchez Schiff Sherman Speier Swalwell Takano Thompson Vargas Waters Waxman Colo. DeGette Perlmutter Polis Conn. Courtney DeLauro Esty Himes Larson Del. Carney Fla. Brown Castor Deutch Diaz-Balart Frankel Garcia Grayson Hastings Murphy Ros-Lehtinen Wasserman Schultz Wilson Ga. Bishop Johnson Lewis David Scott Hawaii Gabbard Hanabusa Iowa Braley Loebsack Ill. Bustos Danny K. Davis Duckworth Enyart Foster Gutierrez Kelly Quigley Rush Schakowsky Schneider Ind. Carson Ky. Yarmuth La. Richmond Mass. Capuano Keating Kennedy Lynch McGovern Neal Tierney Tsongas Md. Cummings Delaney Edwards Hoyer Ruppersberger Sarbanes Van Hollen Maine Michaud Pingree Mich. Conyers Dingell Kildee Levin Peters Minn. Ellison McCollum Nolan Walz Mo. Clay Cleaver Miss. Thompson N.C. Butterfield Price Watt N.H. Kuster Shea-Porter N.J. Andrews Holt Pallone Pascrell Payne Sires N.M. Luján Lujan Grisham Nev. Horsford Titus N.Y. Bishop Clarke Crowley Engel Israel Jeffries Lowey Maffei Sean Patrick Maloney Carolyn B. Maloney McCarthy Meeks Meng Nadler Rangel Serrano Slaughter Tonko Velázquez Ohio Beatty Fudge Ryan Ore. Blumenauer Bonamici Pa. Brady Cartwright Doyle Fattah Schwartz R.I. Cicilline Langevin S.C. Clyburn Tenn. Cohen Cooper Texas Carter Castro Cuellar Doggett Gallego Al Green Gene Green Hinojosa Jackson Lee Eddie Bernice Johnson Sam Johnson O'Rourke Veasey Vela Va. Connolly Moran Scott Vt. Welch Wash. DelBene Heck Kilmer McDermott Smith Wis. Kind Moore Pocan

Unknown 135

Alaska Young Ala. Bachus Ark. Womack Ariz. Franks Salmon Schweikert Calif. Calvert Campbell Cook Denham Issa LaMalfa McCarthy McKeon Gary G. Miller Nunes Royce Valadao Colo. Coffman Gardner Tipton Fla. Buchanan Mica Radel Rooney Ross Southerland Webster Young Ga. Barrow Collins Idaho Labrador Simpson Ill. Rodney Davis Hultgren Kinzinger Lipinski Roskam Schock Shimkus Ind. Brooks Messer Visclosky Ky. Barr Massie La. Alexander Scalise Mich. Amash Camp Huizenga Miller Upton Minn. Kline Paulsen Peterson Mo. Hartzler Luetkemeyer Smith Wagner Miss. Nunnelee N.C. Ellmers Hudson McIntyre Meadows Neb. Terry N.J. Frelinghuysen Lance LoBiondo Runyan Smith N.M. Pearce Nev. Amodei Heck N.Y. Gibson Grimm Hanna Higgins King Owens Ohio Boehner Gibbs Jordan Joyce Kaptur Renacci Tiberi Turner Okla. Bridenstine Cole Lankford Ore. DeFazio Schrader Walden Pa. Dent Fitzpatrick Gerlach Meehan Pitts Rothfus Thompson S.C. Duncan Gowdy Mulvaney Tenn. Blackburn Texas Barton Brady Culberson Farenthold Flores Granger Hensarling McCaul Olson Poe Sessions Thornberry Utah Bishop Matheson Va. Cantor Goodlatte Griffith Rigell Wittman Wolf Wash. Hastings Herrera Beutler Larsen McMorris Rodgers Reichert Wis. Duffy Petri Ryan W.Va. Capito McKinley Rahall

No/Likely No 107

Ala. Aderholt Brooks Roby Rogers Ark. Cotton Crawford Griffin Ariz. Gosar Calif. Hunter McClintock Rohrabacher Colo. Lamborn Fla. Bilirakis Crenshaw DeSantis Miller Nugent Posey Yoho Ga. Broun Gingrey Graves Kingston Price Austin Scott Westmoreland Woodall Iowa King Latham Ind. Bucshon Rokita Stutzman Walorski Young Kan. Huelskamp Jenkins Pompeo Yoder Ky. Guthrie Rogers Whitfield La. Boustany Cassidy Fleming Md. Harris Mich. Benishek Bentivolio Rogers Walberg Minn. Bachmann Mo. Graves Long Miss. Harper Palazzo Mont. Daines N.C. Coble Foxx Holding Jones McHenry Pittenger N.D. Cramer Neb. Fortenberry Smith N.J. Garrett N.Y. Collins Reed Ohio Chabot Johnson Latta Stivers Wenstrup Okla. Lucas Mullin Pa. Barletta Kelly Marino Murphy Perry Shuster S.C. Rice Sanford Wilson S.D. Noem Tenn. Black DesJarlais Duncan Fincher Fleischmann Roe Texas Burgess Conaway Gohmert Hall Marchant Neugebauer Smith Stockman Weber Williams Utah Chaffetz Stewart Va. Forbes Hurt Wis. Ribble Sensenbrenner Wyo. Lummis

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