How Will Hillary End Her Campaign?
Barack Obama is, by almost every measure and by almost every unmeasurable impression, on the precipice of being able to declare victory and have his declaration be accepted by the media and his party. Hillary Clinton needed to find a way to give superdelegates their "Holy Moly" moment, and she failed. Absent an extraordinary intervening event, the question for Hillary Clinton now is how she ends the race. Obama has made it clear that he will not pressure her. It's her decision.
OBAMA's MARGIN in North Carolina was three times that of Clinton's, even before the margin in Indiana narrowed. He earned more pledged delegates than she did. They're likely to see it as a vindication of their gut feeling that Obama could survive the roughest weeks of his candidacy. There is no evidence that Obama's supporters were any less enthusiastic than they were before -- and that metric, more than anything else, I think, will drive their calculations going forward. The uncommitted superdelegates are inclined to like Obama and dislike Clinton personally; they see more energy on his side than hers; they've given him the benefit of the doubt over and over again.



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The Atlantic | Marc Ambinder | May 7, 2008 09:48 AM