Hezbollah, Lebanese Government Reach Peace Deal Ending 18-Month Political Stalemate

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HUSSEIN DAKROUB | May 21, 2008 01:59 PM EST | AP

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People celebrate as Prime Minister Fuad Saniora talks on TV, after Lebanese politicians came to an agreement in Beirut, Lebanon, Wednesday, May 21, 2008. Lebanon's feuding factions ended the country's long political stalemate Wednesday, Arab mediators in Qatar announced, after a breakthrough deal that gives the militant Hezbollah group and their allies veto power on any government decision. (AP Photo/Hussein Malla)

BEIRUT, Lebanon — Lebanon's feuding factions reached a breakthrough deal Wednesday that ends the country's 18-month political stalemate, but also gives the militant Hezbollah group and its allies veto over any government decision.

The deal, reached with the help of Arab mediators, was immediately praised by Iran and Syria, which back Hezbollah. But it appears certain to accelerate fears in the West over Hezbollah's new power.

Pro-government politician and parliament majority leader, Saad Hariri, seemed to acknowledge his side had largely caved in, spurred by a sharp outbreak of violence earlier this month after months of stalemate.

"I know that the wounds are deep and my injury is deep, but we only have each other to build Lebanon," he said after the announcement of the deal, which was brokered after five days of talks in Qatar.

Hezbollah's chief negotiator, Mohammed Raad, downplayed the group's win.

"Neither side got all it demanded, but (the agreement) is a good balance between all parties' demands," he said.

The Bush administration seemed to be trying to put the best face on the deal even though it gave more power to Hezbollah, considered a terrorist group by Washington and Israel.

"We view this agreement as a positive step toward resolving the current crisis," Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice said in a statement. "We call upon all Lebanese leaders to implement this agreement in its entirety."

The election of a compromise president _ the head of Lebanon's mostly neutral army _ was expected Sunday, Lebanon's state news agency reported.

The Hezbollah-led opposition won both its demands with the deal: veto power in a new national unity government, and an electoral law that divides Lebanon into smaller-sized districts, allowing for better representation of the country's various sects.

A few bursts of celebratory gunfire broke out in Beirut after the announcement. Lebanese television stations, which broadcast the Qatar ceremony live, showed Lebanese politicians and their Arab hosts congratulating and hugging one another.

The talks in Qatar and the deal were a dramatic cap to Lebanon's worst internal fighting since the 1975-90 civil war. At least 67 people were killed when clashes broke out between pro-government groups and the opposition in the streets Beirut and elsewhere earlier this month.

As Lebanon came close to a new all-out war, Arab League mediators intervened and got the sides to agree to hold last-ditch negotiations in the Qatari capital, Doha, to resolve the crisis.

But the resulting deal was a major victory for Hezbollah.

Opposition-allied Lebanese Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri also spoke at the Doha ceremony, saying that an opposition tent encampment across from the government building in downtown Beirut would be dismantled Wednesday.

Berri called such action a "gift" from the opposition, hailing the Doha agreement.

Within an hour, pickup trucks began hauling mattresses and supplies away from the encampment, which has paralyzed the commercial heart of the Lebanese capital for more than a year. Opposition supporters dismantled tents and took apart wooden boards used in the encampment.

In Iran, Foreign Ministry spokesman Mohammad Ali Hosseini said the Lebanese deal was an "example of regional integration for achieving stability and tranquility."

Syria also promptly endorsed the deal, with Foreign Minister Walid al-Moallem saying "Lebanon's security and stability are important and vital to Syria's security and stability."

French Foreign Minister Bernard Kouchner said he was "personally very happy" about the Doha agreement and said it was now "up to all the Lebanese to use this accord to build the basis for national reconciliation."

Lebanese Prime Minister Fuad Saniora said the Lebanese should draw lessons from what happened and called on them to reject violence. He also called on Arab states to help support Lebanese forces, which kept a neutral role during the latest clashes.

"We must ... pledge never to resort to arms to resolve our political differences," Saniora said at the Doha ceremony. "We should accept each other and hold dialogue to solve the problems. We want to live together and we will continue that. We have no other choice."

French President Nicolas Sarkozy said the deal was a "great success for Lebanon and all the Lebanese, whose courage and patience never failed despite the ordeals they have been through."

As part of the deal reached at dawn Wednesday, Hezbollah and its political allies would receive veto power in the country's new national unity government. The Syrian-backed opposition would get 11 seats in the Cabinet, while 16 seats would go to the U.S.- and Western-backed parliament majority.

The remaining three would be distributed by the elected president. Previously, the opposition held six seats in the Cabinet.

The agreement, a copy of which was obtained by The Associated Press, states that the factions "pledged to refrain" from taking up weapons to resolve disputes and that the "use of arms or violence is forbidden to settle political differences under any circumstances."

The government had sought a concession in Doha that Hezbollah would not again turn its guns on fellow Lebanese as in fighting earlier this month, but the broad clause referring to all Lebanese armed groups was apparently as much as it achieved.

Lebanese Telecommunications Minister Marwan Hamadeh said while the agreement "forbids internal use of weapons," it also "calls for dialogue ... on the whole subject of arms."

Hamadeh also said both sides were satisfied with the new election law. The legislation is significant because it will determine how the sides distribute power in the capital and directly influence the outcome of the next parliamentary elections in 2009.

Lebanon has been without a president since Emile Lahoud stepped down in November, and rival factions have been unable to resolve their differences over a future government.

Both sides have agreed on Gen. Michel Suleiman, the army chief, as a consensus candidate. But parliament had been unable to muster a quorum to meet because of disagreement on other remaining issues _ including the formation of the national unity government and electoral law.

Hamadeh also said legislators from the parliament majority, who have been living abroad fearing for their safety after a wave of bombings targeting mainly anti-Syrian lawmakers and politicians, would be asked to return to Beirut to vote for the president in parliament.

The agreement was struck after host Qatar stepped up pressure Tuesday, offering the rival factions two drafts on how to end the deadlock and a day to consider the proposals.

The 18-month standoff started when Hezbollah-led opposition lawmakers resigned from the government in November 2006 to protest the Cabinet's refusal to grant them enough seats to ensure veto power.

The Qatar deal was also a triumph for the tiny energy-rich Gulf state. The Lebanese stalemate had defied mediation efforts by other Arab and European countries, including shuttle diplomacy in the last year by the foreign minister of France, Lebanon's former colonial ruler.

 
 

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Since Bush started his war on terror:

Hamas (a terrorist organization) has been elected

Hezbollah (a terrorist organization) now has veto power in Lebanon

Created new recruiting pool for terrorists.

Has managed to increase the price of oil from $25 to $135

Has managed to destroy the middle class, thanks to tax breaks for the rich

Is it safe to call this administration a disaster?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:48 AM on 05/22/2008

Iran and Syria support Hezbollah who are mainly Shia.
US and Saudi Arabia support the Christians, Druze and Sunnis
I can understand why Saudi Arabia, Iran and Syria have an interest in Lebanese politics if ethnic minorities from their culture are affected but what is America doing there?

Finally, after many months of stalemate, the US was isolated and people from the region sat down and in 5 days brokered a solution. 5 days! Everyone gave up something and Lebanon will be stable again. It is really simple for Lebanon to reach peace agreement with Israel, even without co-recognition; the debate around the Sheba'a farms needs to be resolved.

Secretary Rice and President Bush have been humiliated by this show of diplomatic power in the Middle East by Iran. They are further humiliated by the fact that talks between Syria and Israel being coordinated by Turkey and not the United States. We should absolutely guarantee Israel's security from a distance and buy oil from the Saudis on a commercial basis and STAY OUT of Middle East politics if we cannot be constructive.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:14 AM on 05/22/2008

The allies of Hizb include

(1) Christians - Michel Aoun, Suleiman Franjieh. In the last election Aoun's new party made significant gains and had the support of hte majority of Christians.

(2) Sunnis - The Karami Family (which includes two previous Prime Ministers of Lebanon)

(3) Druze - Talal Arslan and Druze from the south (Hasbiya).

(4) Shi''ah - Amal

(5) Various secular parties - Murabitun (Nasserite/Arab Nationalist), SSNP (largely Greek Orthodox), and other parties many of whom are leftist/socialist.

In terms of representation of the population, the Hizb coalition represents the majority of Lebanese.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:04 AM on 05/22/2008

Sorry I forgot to mention another dangerous radical group associated with Hizb.

The majority of (Christian) Armenians.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:54 AM on 05/22/2008

Rog49Thomas:

I just want to thank you for your accurate and insightful post regarding Lebanon and other ME issues. It refreshing to read your sophisticated and thoughtful discussions on sometimes very complicated issues.

Over the last several years, the "us against them" mentality that has swept the USA, and the simplistic lumping together of anyone we don't like as "terrorists", does us all a great disservice when trying to negotiate the world which we live in.

Please keep it up. I will be watching for your posts and no doubt, learning from them.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:47 PM on 05/22/2008

Any comment from Condolezza Rice? No? Too busy spreading Democracy. It's hard work. Condi's working hard, it's hard work, working hard on Democracy-says George Bush.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:53 PM on 05/21/2008

"Yeah, heh, heh. Spreading Democracy is hard. It's like Democratizin the whole region. We can't appease the terrorists though. No we have to keep them peased, not appeased. And that's why Hezbollah is gettin the right to veto stuff an stuff. So that they don't participate in makin the gubbernment laws, but just veto them. I veto stuff all the time and its hard work. All that democratizin, yessiree."

"Texas rocks."

- Our President.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:36 PM on 05/21/2008

Pyrrhus - Posted 08:36 PM on 05/21/2008

pretty good!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:38 PM on 05/21/2008

Wow, Rice and Bush "allowed" Hezbollah to gain more power in Lebanon?

Now, what was that speech he gave last week in Israel? Something about peas. No that's not it. It had something to do with Chamberlain I think. And some guy named Hilter.

It's amazing how the Republicans pick and choose their fights.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:46 PM on 05/21/2008

Well, "allowed" in the sense that they also "allowed" the sun to rise today.

The Doha conference recognized reality. It didn't create reality.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:10 AM on 05/22/2008

I can only hope that Obama doesn't allow Hezbollah veto rights over any of his administartion's plans, nor Hamas for that matter.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:26 PM on 05/21/2008

Hezbolla is radical Shiites organization... It is unfortunate to see many liberals/democrats/independents siding with Hezbolla because their bitter (to quote sen. Obama), or have become bitter due to G.W. Bush's policies in and outside the US.
I am against Hezbolla as much as I am against president Bush, but I am not willing to stand with either one of them if their stand against each other.
THE ENEMY OF MY ENEMY IS NOT and WILL NEVER BE MY FRIEND when it comes to those 2.

I am Lebanese, I am atheist who belongs to a larger Christian community. What Happened in DOHA is a win for the Iranian/Syrian axis. As much as I am sad that the people who represent me(the gov, the cedar revolution, the loyalist, March 14, or whatever you want to call them) agreed to the terms of Hezbolla and co. ( the co. being very very very very very insignificant), I have an overwhelming sense of relief knowing that we will have a calm and economically prosperous summer in Lebanon.

A question that I ask you the readers of this blog. Don't you think it is awfully suspicious that an agreement would be reached overnight in DOHA while news about Syrian-Israeli peace talks start surfacing?
It might end up being a package deal to further a bigger regional agenda.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:00 PM on 05/21/2008

One theory (and I'm sure you're well familiar with the conspiracy mindset of the area) is that the tradeoff is Golan for shutting off Hizb's resupply. Maybe also involving closer control over the border with Iraq.

Then turning inward domestically to deal with Hizb's arms.

But,

(1) Unless Hizb voluntarily surrenders its arms, force will be required

(2) There is no domestic force strong enough to do this

(3) And, even if the Army were, would it do this or be able to do it - without fracturing

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:01 AM on 05/22/2008

Can you explain if Hizbullah is such a bunch of bad guys, radical Shi'ites to a man why ...

(a) Michel Aoun and his Christian party are allied with them

(b) Talal Arslan and his Druze party are allied with them as well as significant members of the Hasbiya Druzes

(c) The Karami Family from up north (Sunnis to a man, and former PMs of Lebanon) are allied with them

(d) Franjieh (good Christians to a man) are allied with them

Could it have something to do with fighting corruption and utlimately ensuring real democracy in Lebanon?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:26 AM on 05/22/2008

See - you just can't deal with terrorists!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:25 PM on 05/21/2008

Iran called it "integration?" I'll say!

They just picked up a count(r)y with no contiguous border!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:18 PM on 05/21/2008

Just imagine living in a country where a minority party of militaristic **s**les could overrule the will of the majority of Constitution-loving citizens.

With no fear of veto over-ride.

No wonder Bush has been silent.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:16 PM on 05/21/2008

If you're speaking about Lebanon, I think this may help clarify.

The Shi'ah are 40% at least (probably more) of the population. Sunnis are 20-25% % or so. Christians maybe 30%, Druze 6 to 8%. Unfortunately, there hasn't been a honest census in the country for decades - because to do so would reveal the undemoncratic nature of the allocation of power.

Christians (despite their minority status) are guaranteed 50% of the seats in Parliament. The remaining groups have to split the other 50%. Electoral districts are gerrymandered to favor Sunnis.

The President of Lebanon must always be a Christian (Maronites preferred).
The PM a Sunni.
The Speaker of the House a Shi'ah.

It's a whole new definition of democracy.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:32 AM on 05/22/2008

Their objective achieved, now Hezbollah can get ready to attack Israel.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:15 PM on 05/21/2008

Believe you've missed a bit of history.

Hizb has been attacking Israel since 1982.

And so far despite massive efforts, Israel has not been doing so well in the struggle.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:27 AM on 05/22/2008

If they attack Israel they'll be destroyed. That's the chance they take.
We can't make every country a democracy just because Israel is there.
Israel can defend themselves very well. They've shown it time and time again.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:52 PM on 05/21/2008

I guess that would be similar to the crushing defeat in July/August 2006?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:28 AM on 05/22/2008

When the people who live there get what they want, but WE and the ISRAELIS consider it a disaster, you have to ask yourself - who are the foreign intruders who should shut up and get out of the way ? Who do we think we are to tell the Iranians what's good for them, or the Iraqis, or the Syrians, or the Lebanese, or the Afghans ? They all know we don't give a crap about them. Most of the American right wingers who are so hot about this have no clue where these countries even are, much less know anything about what matters to them. We have right wing hillbilly government, back woods bible thumpers trying to run the world. Guess what ? IT DOESN'T WORK.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:09 PM on 05/21/2008

Brilliant !

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:21 PM on 05/21/2008

You have hit the nail on the head.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:49 PM on 05/21/2008

Misprint. I believe the headline should read "Iran and Lebanese Government". Another success story for Bush forign policy.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:05 PM on 05/21/2008

Lebanon is a great example of what Iraq will look like if we pull troops out too early. If Obama gets his way we'll pull out before the Iraqi's can stand on their own and Al Quaeda will set up shop with complete control over the Iraqi government.

The good thing is that Obama's lieing through his teeth when he says he'll pull the troops out, even he knows that's foolish. That's why he's already stated that if he pulls them out and Al Quaeda sets up shop he reserves the right to go back in.

It's pandering at it's best.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:37 PM on 05/21/2008

The invasion of Iraq was illegal and immoral. The occupation of Iraq is illegal and immoral. The time to invade and occupy is never. The time to leave is and has always been now.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:45 AM on 05/22/2008

There are a few of the commons that have survived the the last 30 years ...
one is your local public library...
go check it out ... 900's , world history ...
you will learn that for any occupying force , there is no exit that is
"fast enough"

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:48 PM on 05/21/2008

Just by comparing the situation in Iraq to the situation in lebanon shows that you know very little about either.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:38 PM on 05/21/2008

You speak w/ a voice that *knows* without substantiating *anything*. What if the world were full of citizens like you, who - like bush - just *know* and don't need facts or other opinions?

Your likes are this country's and the world's problem.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:23 PM on 05/21/2008

Some people rely on trusted parties to inform them. Those in the know.

Now if you had the benefit of having Pan tell you about the world and you knew how many times facts had proven his assertions "right", I'm sure you'd know whether or not to take what he says about Lebanon as ontological truth.

You know like the presidential candidate who things Iran is supporting AlQaeda. Or the president who didn't know there were Shi'ahs and Sunnis in Iraq. And probably had no idea what the difference was?

Guys swtiched on and tuned in.

What better source for truth?

And then there's always Faux News.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:12 AM on 05/22/2008

al-Qaeda has little to no popular support in Iraq, unlike Hezbollah and Hamas, which have substantial constituencies in Lebanon and Gaza. They are only in Iraq to embarrass the United States, and they have no intention of governing Iraq.

Iraq is a hot potato. If we really despise Iran, all we have to do is leave. The last thing Iran wants to happen, especially given their current economic situation, is for the United States to drop Iraq in their lap. Everybody wants to meddle in Iraq, but nobody wants to own it. Unfortunately for Iran, the immutable geopolitical reality is that Iraq is their problem if nobody else wants to take responsibility.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:23 PM on 05/21/2008

On the contrary: after nearly two decades of Israeli and Syrian occupation, Lebanon is an example of what you get when you STAY, not when you go.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:07 PM on 05/21/2008

"before the Iraqi's can stand on their own "

If we do not pull out before Iraq's army can stand on their own we will never get out. We have been at this longer than World War II with no light at the end of the tunnel.

Since we foolishly removed Iran's most dangerous enemy, Saddam Hussein, we simply have to accept the reality of Iranian influence in Iraq unless we want to fight a war without end there.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:50 PM on 05/21/2008

Refusing to talk to Iran has proven to be too costly for us all across the region.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:31 PM on 05/21/2008

I dare say it, but peace might break out all over once the Dorothy electorate of America throws a bucket of water on the Wicked Witch of the West, Republican Party.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:30 PM on 05/21/2008