Poll: Obama Has Slim National Lead

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Time   |   June 27, 2008 09:19 AM


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Illinois Senator Barack Obama enters the General Election with a tight lead, 43% to 38%, over Arizona Senator John McCain, according to a new TIME Magazine poll of registered voters. The poll shows Obama gaining only a slight bounce from Hillary Clinton's departure from the campaign early this month.

When undecided voters leaning towards Obama and McCain are accounted for, the race narrows to a mere 4 percentage points, barely above the poll's 3.5% margin of error. Thirty percent of those who remain undecided said they lean towards McCain, 20% said they were leaning toward Obama with 46% citing no preference. Overall, 28% said they could still change their minds in the four months left before the November election.

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- hippybaby1970 See Profile I'm a Fan of hippybaby1970

these 'polls' invariably use a small survey group and DO NOT INCLUDE PEOPLE WHO USE CELL PHONES ONLY.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:47 PM on 06/27/2008
- closetodemfection See Profile I'm a Fan of closetodemfection

YES THEY DO. Gallup, Rasmussen and most reputable polls all use cell phones. That argument is dated.

From Gallup:
Interviews are conducted with respondents on land-line telephones (for respondents with a land-line telephone) and cellular phones (for respondents who are cell-phone only).

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:20 PM on 06/28/2008
- Americanium See Profile I'm a Fan of Americanium

Trust nothing that the Time-Warner conglomerate says about Obama. The Time-Warner conglomerate includes CNN Time Magazine and AOL.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:39 PM on 06/27/2008
- avvocato See Profile I'm a Fan of avvocato

Ten points is a SLIM lead? WTF, over!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:58 PM on 06/27/2008
- closetodemfection See Profile I'm a Fan of closetodemfection

He does not have a ten point lead. The majority of polls reflect he has a 0-6 pt lead with 10-15% undecided i.e. ex-HRC voters.

The LA Times and Newsweek polls were too heavy on Dems in their polling and it inflated O's lead.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:40 PM on 06/27/2008
- lennix See Profile I'm a Fan of lennix

the msm have no respect for them selfs or the american people they will do any thing to help the old man becuase these big corpora tion that has taken over the msm is telling the cowards we call news men what to say even if it's made up not this time and way is mccain behind stop the bull not tthis time not this time

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:46 PM on 06/27/2008
- RememberTheAlamo See Profile I'm a Fan of RememberTheAlamo

Hi All,

What happened to Obama's big lead yesterday?

Thought this was a foregone conclusion . . . what happened?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:04 PM on 06/27/2008
- AdLib See Profile I'm a Fan of AdLib

MEGA MEDIA CORPORATION DOWNPLAYS 0BAMA'S LEAD

That might have been a more accurate headline. TimeWarner which is one of the massive media corporations and owner of anti-0bama CNN and increasingly irrelevant Time magazine, incredibly frames 0bama's lead as a negative. Add to this, they show his lead as far smaller than the two most recent polls from other media organizations.

Do they attack McCaln for being behind even though he had 3 straight months of no competition while 0bama had him, Hlllary, the GOP and the MSM trying to tear him down?

I think you know the answer to that.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:30 AM on 06/27/2008
- ibsteve2u See Profile I'm a Fan of ibsteve2u

If Obama wants to keep that slim lead, I surely hope the nation doesn't read too many more stories about Obama's involvement in "public-private partnerships" that run decaying low income housing projects like this one:

http://www.boston.com/news/nation/articles/2008/06/27/grim_proving_ground_for_obamas_housing_policy/

A sample paragraph:

[bq]
The campaign did not respond to questions about whether Obama was aware of the problems with buildings in his district during his time as a state senator, nor did it comment on the roles played by people connected to the senator.

Among those tied to Obama politically, personally, or professionally are:

Valerie Jarrett, a senior adviser to Obama's presidential campaign and a member of his finance committee. Jarrett is the chief executive of Habitat Co., which managed Grove Parc Plaza from 2001 until this winter and co-managed an even larger subsidized complex in Chicago that was seized by the federal government in 2006, after city inspectors found widespread problems.
[eq]

Obama either reacts to that story very proactively (and very truthfully), or he is very vulnerable to accusations such as

"Huh...the Clintons are corporatists, but what does this make Obama? A real estatist?".

Such stories give the Republicans the ammunition they need...

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:20 AM on 06/27/2008
- edwarvir See Profile I'm a Fan of edwarvir

ibsteve2u The last time I looked at Senator O he was man, not a GOD.

It is up to you to keep your own neighborhood clean and work together as
neighbors to keep it safe.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:40 PM on 06/27/2008
- PumaAnn See Profile I'm a Fan of PumaAnn

That poll strikes me as accurate in that it accounts for a huge percentage of people yet undecided.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:30 AM on 06/27/2008
- Trollstakeyourmeds See Profile I'm a Fan of Trollstakeyourmeds

Guess you're gonna' need those Clinton supporters after all, huh.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:04 AM on 06/27/2008
- MaxMosley See Profile I'm a Fan of MaxMosley

When did Obama say he didnt need them?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:58 AM on 06/27/2008
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