Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae Woes Worry Stock Market

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MADLEN READ | July 7, 2008 05:39 PM EST | AP

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NEW YORK — Wall Street lost more ground in extremely volatile trading Monday, as investors recoiled at a cautious economic outlook from a Federal Reserve official and the possibility of more financial troubles of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

The market found only slight solace in retreating oil prices.

San Francisco Federal Reserve President Janet Yellen said in a speech the financial markets remained fragile, and that it will take time for conditions to improve. "My expectation is that market functioning will improve markedly by 2009," she said. "But things could get worse before they get better."

The comments added to concerns raised in a note by Lehman Brothers analysts that Fannie and Freddie may need to raise more capital as the credit crisis continues. Worries about the ailing financial sector deflated a stock rally early in the day that had been fueled by a $4-a-barrel pullback in oil prices.

The market managed, however, to rebound from its lows of the day, when the Dow Jones industrial average sank to its worst level since mid-August of 2006. Some investors bought back into the market to take advantage of the low prices.

"The market is so skittish and so scared that half the people believe that this is just another leg of the down market and the other half believes that we're forming a bottom," said Frank Ingarra, assistant portfolio manager at Hennessy Funds.

The Dow fell 56.58, or 0.50 percent, to 11,231.96. Over the course of the day, the blue chips rallied, tumbled, rebounded, and then fell once more. The Dow fell as much as 167.80 to 11,120.74 _ its lowest trading level since Aug. 15, 2006 _ but was also up more than 100 in early trading.

Broader stock indicators also declined. The Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 10.59, or 0.84 percent, to 1,252.31, and the Nasdaq composite index fell 2.06, or 0.09 percent, to 2,243.32.

The technology-dominated Nasdaq got a modest boost from Yahoo Inc., which rose $2.56, or 12 percent, to $23.91 after Microsoft Corp. expressed support for investor Carl Icahn's effort to oust Yahoo's board next month. Microsoft said a successful rebellion would encourage it to renew its takeover bid for Yahoo, or negotiate another deal.

Light, sweet crude fell $3.92 to close at $141.37 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, after falling by more than $5 a barrel at times.

The retreat did little to assuage fears about high energy prices, however. Wall Street, which has been hurtling stocks lower for the past few weeks, remains fearful that consumers are trimming their spending to pay for gasoline. With consumer spending accounting for more than two-thirds of U.S. economic activity, a pullback could create big ripples.

Government bonds rose. The 10-year Treasury note's yield, which moves opposite its price, fell to 3.91 percent from 3.98 percent last Thursday.

Volatility on Wall Street, as measured by the Chicago Board Options Exchange's volatility index, on Monday briefly hit its highest point since March, when worries about the financial markets peaked during the buyout of Bear Stearns Cos.

"It indicates that there was more fear entering the market than there had been in previous weeks," said Todd Salamone, director of trading and vice president of research at Schaeffer's Investment Research.

Fannie Mae fell $3.04, or 16.2 percent, to $15.74 and Freddie Mac fell $2.59, or 17.9 percent, to $11.91, after Lehman Brothers analysts said new accounting rules could require Fannie to raise $46 billion more capital and Freddie to raise $29 billion.

Citigroup Inc., JPMorgan Chase & Co., and Bank of America Corp. also saw their shares fall ahead of their earnings reports later this month. Citi fell 42 cents, or 2.5 percent, to $16.40; JPMorgan dropped $1.27, or 3.6 percent, to $34.04; and Bank of America fell 87 cents, or 3.9 percent to $21.53.

In addition to financials, Merck & Co. dragged on the Dow, falling $1.85, or 4.8 percent, to $36.60. A UBS analyst downgraded the drug maker, citing slowing sales of its HPV treatment Gardasil.

Meanwhile, General Motors Corp. is considering cutting more white-collar jobs and getting rid of some brands, according to a person familiar the company's discussions. The person asked not to be identified because no decisions have been made. GM shares, which recently sank to all-time lows, rose 12 cents to $10.24.

Investors haven't been as optimistic lately about the prospects for an economic recovery in the second half of 2008 as they once were. The Dow has fallen the last three weeks while the S&P 500 index and the Nasdaq have logged five straight weeks of declines. With drops of more than 20 percent from their October highs, the Dow and the S&P 500 entered bear market territory last week as rising oil stirred inflation concerns.

Scott Fullman, director of derivatives investment strategy for WJB Capital Group in New York, said some negative technical indicators on Thursday presaged the market's weakness Monday. Notably, there were no companies that set 52-week highs on the New York Stock Exchange on Thursday, Fullman said. "It's unusual to see a drop-off like that."

On Monday, the dollar traded mixed against other major currencies, while gold prices fell.

Declining issues outnumbered advancers by more than 2 to 1 on the New York Stock Exchange. Consolidated volume came to 5.21 billion shares, up from 3.19 billion shares on Thursday.

The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies fell 7.52, or 1.13 percent, to 658.26.

Overseas, Japan's Nikkei stock average rose 0.92 percent. Britain's FTSE 100 rose 1.85 percent, Germany's DAX index rose 1.97 percent and France's CAC-40 advanced 1.80 percent.

___

On the Net:

New York Stock Exchange: http://www.nyse.com

Nasdaq Stock Market: http://www.nasdaq.com

 
 

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- FreedomCorpse See Profile I'm a Fan of FreedomCorpse

Armando Falcon, a former director for the federal housing enterprise oversight office, was canned by bush 1 day after he released a report warning of systemic crisis in these GSE's back in 2003. Armando, whereever you are, thanks for doing your job....the rest of the government will not.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:43 PM on 07/08/2008
- WIpatriot See Profile I'm a Fan of WIpatriot

I find it absolutely hilarious that just now the stock market is getting worries about Freddie and Fannie....a$$clowns, all.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:09 AM on 07/08/2008
- FogBelter See Profile I'm a Fan of FogBelter

Isn't there supposed to be a tsunami of "Liar" Loans resetting in 2009? From what I've heard there are double the number of those as the subprime ones currently going down the tubes. The Rust Belt and the South will be the major victims of those. I think 2009 is optimistic to get the economy back on track ... I heard a Brit on CNBC say that 2012 was more like it.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:32 AM on 07/08/2008
- FogBelter See Profile I'm a Fan of FogBelter

A "fun" story from the NYSun ... December 2006.

http://www.nysun.com/business/liars-loans-could-make-many-moan/45441/

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:44 AM on 07/08/2008
- UnknownSoldier See Profile I'm a Fan of UnknownSoldier

CNBC is the Fox News of the Financial Industry. While the overall health of our economy is in question, there are some areas that are doing ok, have a look at the Steel Industry

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:37 AM on 07/08/2008
- leftLibertarian See Profile I'm a Fan of leftLibertarian

I'm playing my tiny violin for them.

Poorly managed companies deserve to fail.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:38 PM on 07/07/2008
- JJK See Profile I'm a Fan of JJK

In general, I'm the first to agree with that sentiment, especially when it applies to bloated and mismanaged corporations; "Those that cannot survive must die."

But I'm afraid that this news falls in a different category and is a sign of very, very bad things to come. What the markets are saying is that they don't believe there is enough strength (read "value") in the single most important sector of our economy to sustain acceptable levels of capital in the two most important institutions that define and enable that sector.

Three scenarios for the future of the US and the Global economies have been in play for the last several months: one, the worst is over and we'll see an uptick in the late fall; two, things will be bad for a little while longer but we'll be out of the woods by the end of the year and things will pick up by next spring; three, this crisis is going to be worse than anyone can imagine or even understand.

I'm afraid that this suggests that "three" is the answer. The deeper the lack of confidence in the underpinnings of the economy, the more likely it is that housing values will continue to plummet, perhaps by another 30--50%. This will lead banks to tighten already stringent Mortgage and Personal credit. This will result in more and more families and individuals facing bankruptcy.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:14 AM on 07/08/2008
- darthdarcy See Profile I'm a Fan of darthdarcy

They won't let them fail you'll be paying for their mistakes and corruption and greed..keep playin that violin...

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:52 AM on 07/08/2008
- WIpatriot See Profile I'm a Fan of WIpatriot

True, dd, we'll be paying in the end. In the end...get it?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:09 AM on 07/08/2008
- darthdarcy See Profile I'm a Fan of darthdarcy

We could have solved the Sub Prime Mortgage Crisis that Phil Gramm McCain's Chief Economic Adviser help create working for UBS....

By simply pegging these mortgages at 3% above The Fed Rate or even Prime Rate not to go below 6.25 or 6.5% and forgiving all penalties to date 1/2 of which are illegal if not more and the banks and lenders would not have lost money and the borrowers would have kept their homes..it's a simple solution and would not have cost one dime of tax payer money....

To bad our government is so inept and corrupt..and our Candidates so bad at economics...

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:14 PM on 07/07/2008
- JJK See Profile I'm a Fan of JJK

There's no proof that such intervention works. Over the last 20 years, global capital markets have taken on lives of their own, driven by the facile movement of trillions of dollars and the introductioin of arcane financial instruments, with little understanding of their underlying risks or impact on institutional capital.

Artificially tamping down returns and altering the Risk/Reward equation in one sector only pushes the problem somewhere else. Think of it like an elongated balloon. You squeeze one end into a smaller shape and the other end expands. If you squeeze too much, as you must to right the Housing sector, the whole balloon bursts.

This was brought on by stupidity and greed. Stupidity of bank and fund managers who gave the keys to the family car to someone with no Drivers License or maybe just a Learner's Permit. Greed on the part of those same managers as well as on the part of "average citizens" who tried to build their own wealth by buying into a seemingly unlimited Housing Market with minimal capital and betting that they could refinance before their ARM's reset. (Please note that I am NOT talking about people who were the victims of fraud, but very few were. Most just wanted to get in on the boom).

It's time now for everyone to pay the piper. Those who behaved responsibly will, unfortunately, not be rewarded as the others are taking the entire economy down with them.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:39 AM on 07/08/2008
- WIpatriot See Profile I'm a Fan of WIpatriot

Dunno, dd, check the lining of their pockets lately??

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:08 AM on 07/08/2008
- Danny See Profile I'm a Fan of Danny

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are into helping to house people, right?

Have a look at what's been going on in their backyard (Washington, D.C.) --

http://www.streats.tv/

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:38 PM on 07/07/2008
- Robert59 See Profile I'm a Fan of Robert59

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac weren't in great shape, but they were in better shape than the rest of the mortgage industry...........until the mortgage industry and the administration and the heads of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac decided it would be better if they assumed riskier loans.

The chickens have come home to roost. The company insuring those loans (in case they go into default) is going broke. Hmmmm, must be alot of foreclosures for that to be happening or the insurance company was underfunding its accounts. Heck, they might have even taken the money paid them and invested in the housing market (wow, ain't that a kick in the pants).

The banks and mortgage companies who are going to survive the housing meltdown are the ones who didn't buy the crap being peddled by the real estate, construction, and finance sectors. They didn't shelve good business practices in favor of short term profit.

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac should not be encouraged to take more risk, but to do the opposite. If we're not careful, we're going to see a shell game take place before our very eyes. Wall Street will take all that bad debt (home mortgages) and quietly move it from their balance sheets to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac's. Those institutions will fail and we the taxpayer will be stuck with the bill.

Only this time it will be 1.4 trillion dollars, not the mere peanuts (150 billion) from the S&L scandal.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:28 PM on 07/07/2008
- UnknownSoldier See Profile I'm a Fan of UnknownSoldier

that is almost the same amount as Bush's Massive Tax Cut a few years back

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:32 AM on 07/08/2008
- Marlyn See Profile I'm a Fan of Marlyn

The Federal Reserve is going to be faced with a general inspection by the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The story printed on Wednesday last week, but you didn't hear about it on your favorite cable news station, now did you?

IMF officials have informed Ben Bernanke about a plan that would have been unheard of in the past, a general examination of the US financial system. The IMF's board of directors has ruled that a so-called Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) is to be carried out in the United States. It is nothing less than an X-ray of the entire US financial system. No Fed chief in U.S. history has been forced to submit to the kind of humiliation that Ben Bernanke is facing.

from EverBank's newsletter:

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:11 PM on 07/07/2008
- elpollo See Profile I'm a Fan of elpollo

Went to their homepage. Couldn't find it. Do you have a link?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:23 PM on 07/07/2008
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