In the long term I suspect that we have little to fear from Iranian influence in Iraq. Iraqi nationalism will overcome any desire of Iran to make Iraq a client state.
While the Shia in Iraq share a religion with their Persian neighbors they do not share a history or a culture. Or even a common language. And I suspect that the many Shia combat veterans from Saddam's army in the Iraq/Iranian War will not look favorably at taking orders from their former enemy. They may no longer hate the Iranians, but I doubt they want them calling the shots.
Nationalism is the greatest political force on the planet. And I have no doubt that it will prevail in Iraq. In the long term.
In the short term: we are screwed, they are screwed, everyone will be screwed. At least until the fools that got us into this mess remain out of prison.
Does anyone believe that the idiots who created this catastrofuck could possibly be smart enough to get us out?
Which is why I support Obama. I HOPE he will be smart enough to figure out how to solve this riddle
P.S. Notice the lack of trolls? How refreshing. People discussing things intelligently!






Posted April 8, 2008 | 10:35 AM (EST)