Smart Advice for the HuffPost Investor: The Smart Way to Maximize Your Investments

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Posted April 15, 2008 | 09:24 PM (EST)



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The quest for maximum returns with limited risk is an eternal one. However, chasing big returns ignores the fact that the average investor actually loses money, when you consider the ravages of fees, taxes and inflation.

How could this be?

Most investors use brokers or advisors who place them in actively managed portfolios and mutual funds in an effort to "beat the markets." These investors typically underperform the markets due primarily to the high cost of active management.

You can easily capture market returns. I set forth a simple portfolio that would permit you to do so in a previous blog: It's So Easy Your Broker Could Do It! .

Now for the frosting on the cake. The availability of a wide array of ETFs gives you the possibility of adding to market returns, without stock picking, market timing or manager picking.

I deal with this subject in this week's column.

Thanks for your questions. Please keep them coming.

Question: You have convinced me to avoid active management. But how do I put together a portfolio with the best asset allocation?

Answer: For most investors, the Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund (VTSMX) and the Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund (VGTSX) provide adequate diversification for both the domestic and international stock markets. These two mutual funds, plus an index fund that benchmarks the Lehman Bros. Aggregate Bond Index (like the Vanguard Total Bond Index Fund [VBMFX]), would result in a vast improvement in the returns of the average investor, based on historical data.

There is considerable academic data that tilting your stock asset allocation to capture the excess returns historically found with small and value stocks will produce higher returns with less volatility. Much of this research is based on the ground breaking studies published by Eugene Fama and Kenneth French.

For example, over a period of 74 years, the small cap value index had a total return 12 times the S&P 500.

So, why not invest all of your money in small and value stocks?

Because this portfolio would be too volatile for almost any investor.

The funds managed by Dimensional Fund Advisors permit investment advisors to utilize its wide assortment of global large and small value stocks. The typical DFA portfolio consists of approximately 15 mutual funds and includes a globally diversified mix of value and small stock funds, as well as domestic and foreign stock funds, all passively managed. (Full disclosure: I own DFA funds and recommend them to my individual and institutional clients).

Sophisticated investors who feel comfortable replicating the small and value tilt in their portfolios on their own now have the means to do so. Consider the following ETFs:

  • iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index Fund (EEM);
  • iShares MSCI EAFE Small Cap Index Fund (SCZ);
  • iShares Russell 2000 Index (IWM).

You would need to be sure the balance of your portfolio included the other sectors in the domestic and foreign stock markets as well as exposure to domestic and foreign bonds.

Finally, since all of your returns depend upon the right asset allocation, you should take an asset allocation questionnaire to determine your capacity for risk. There is a free, interactive one on my website.

The views set forth in this blog are the opinions of the author alone and may not represent the views of any firm or entity with whom he is affiliated. The data, information, and content on this blog are for information, education, and non-commercial purposes only. Returns from index funds do not represent the performance of any investment advisory firm. The information on this blog does not involve the rendering of personalized investment advice and is limited to the dissemination of opinions on investing. No reader should construe these opinions as an offer of advisory services. Readers who require investment advice should retain the services of a competent investment professional. The information on this blog is not an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any securities or class of securities mentioned herein.

 
 

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Solin is right on for anyone who does not like learning about money management, or is unskilled at it, and that's most of us. I agree with Ken Fisher, except that he likes individual stocks, but I'll stick with Index funds thank you, it works just as well. He stays with his benchmark, (think 'allocation') but he will take small risks when he thinks he knows something. I think this is reasonable, and with respect to the S&P500 it's driven an extra couple points of return the past 5 years for me (after fees), but I also think this is one area I might have some talent; unlike, for example, skeet shooting. I also agree with Ken that it is ok to periodically deviate from your plan, but only, that's ONLY, if you have reason to expect a significant market crash, as I do now. However, to keep it simple, check out 'lazy portfolios' on marketwatch. Simple, good, and almost a guarantee of reasonable returns relative to the market (See Fisher on this also). If you don't like learning this stuff, then keep it simple like this and rebalance, otherwise you'll get creamed. I'm always trying to bail out my Dad from his poor decisions... because he doesn't really like this stuff, he learns just enough to put his portfolio in mortal danger, ugh!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:43 AM on 04/17/2008

Just give me a savings account that returns inflation plus 1% and you can have all the IRAs and 401(k)s I have lost money in.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:06 PM on 04/16/2008

(And that goes double for my silly tweak of Lammert. Oh wait...)

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:52 PM on 04/16/2008

(No need to post:

Dan or guys,

If you're going to delete -- after it already appears -- silly chatter between RuleofLaw and myself about dissappearing posts, you might as well delete mine from 1:09pm.

And this one too.

Sheesh.)

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:51 PM on 04/16/2008


Dan,

It seems to me that you are not so much 'rearranging the deck chairs on the Titianic' as you are advising people on the most comfortable chair from which to witness the destruction.

Vanguard apparently represents the best in deck chair cushions but I expect you will get wet none the less.

Bon voyage!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:43 PM on 04/16/2008

Dan, love your column. Have to say I didn't have time to read it this morning, but I'm gonna take a wild stab at it and guess the answer is, Index Funds!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:38 PM on 04/16/2008

Yo, HuffPo.

My comment apears in my profile, but not here. "Comments 0; Pending 0". Weird.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:09 PM on 04/16/2008

thanks

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:42 PM on 04/16/2008

Reason, happens often--I've had them hang up for over 8 hours. Try this--go above where it says oldest/newest, and hit those back and forth a couple of times. I've seen them reveal posts that were seemingly lost that way. Good luck.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:40 PM on 04/16/2008

Dan,

I have tried to do an ad hoc Asset Allocation strategy with an assortment of Fidelity Funds, though not the Index Funds, or ETFs. Big mistake.

1) Style drift.

2) Churn. While I thought I was "buying and holding," internally these MANAGED funds were churning like butter. I just ate a big tax hit on the internal, and nominally invisible, sales within these funds. Furthermore, though I had held these funds LONGER than a year, the internal churn on internal holdings of LESS than a year put the gains in the HIGHER tax bracket.

This experience is not unique. There was an article in Bloomberg and many other outlets yesterday that said the IRS was anticipating a RECORD year for Mutual Fund-related taxes. It's all about the churn. And TAXES, not FEES.

"Cost Versus Tax

"So much is written about the high cost of mutual-fund fees,'' which average 0.76 percent a year when weighted by investors' assets, Roseen said. "The tax bill is twice that.''

He expects more investors to buy indexed funds and exchange-traded funds, which can be more tax-efficient than actively managed funds because they make fewer transactions, reducing capital-gains distributions. An ETF can also sell shares without incurring capital gains through arbitrage strategies that keep the fund price tied closely to the net asset value. "

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601103&sid=a.3GpNR14hrM&refer=us

Sheesh.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:14 AM on 04/16/2008

16 April 2008 - The Final Lower High US Asset Valuation Saturation Area

A prudent political financial economic system would create policies that promote utilitarian investments in savings, in useful job growth, and in innovations useful to public concern. At the same time interest rate, monetary and economic policies would discourage malinvestment and speculative bubbles whose destructive lengthy aftermaths are well documented throughout recorded history. At the current 150 year US generational macroeconomic saturation area, all assets except US debt instruments will undergo significant depreciation. Fractal analysis predicted the Wilshire's 11 October 2007 interday high. Because of the relative valuation size of the Wilshire to the US CRB, either 19 July 2007 (with its higher real estate valuation)- likewise predicted by saturation asset valuation fractal analysis or 11 October 2007 likely represented the zenith of US asset valuation. Housing valuations and equities and now the composite CRB are rotationally undergoing lower growth saturation valuations in this devolution process. Central banks have intervened and provided nearly a trillion dollars of revolving short term credit to cash flowless lending institutions. Heretofore this has tremendously supported asset valuations- greatly overvalued relative to ongoing wages, debt, non liquid real estate negative equities, and ongoing contraction of the real economy. 16 April 2008 is likely a significant lower high for the commodity basket CRB, gold, and likely US equities. It is likely a final high or lower high for the Swiss Franc and a final higher low for the US dollar.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:23 AM on 04/16/2008

I would agree in full if I understood even in part.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:44 PM on 04/16/2008

He means the markets are about to drop again, significantly. Ignore the 'fractal analysis', the more you know about money, the more you realize how easy it is to sound far more educated than you are. I do agree the markets are heading down for too many reasons to state here, picture credit conditions as scooping the ground out from beneath our feet, but we don't feel it until it caves away. Our only hope is that world central banks can fill it with water temporarily and keep us above ground until they can pump some dirt back into the metaphorical hole. I'm usually 95% stock in my 401K (long time horizon), but I'm 50% stock 30% Bonds 20% money market now. It's a big risk to be so conservatively invested (risk being I won't have enough to live on when I'm 65, listen up 1% dude) but because I'm lucky to have options in a very strong company that I currently work for, I'm hedged, meaning that if I'm wrong and the market goes up, my options will almost certainly drive returns fairly close to what I gave up by going so conservative on my 401K portfolio. Over 14 years, after taxes and fees, my avg annual return 9.8%, even after riding out the post 2000 crash. My portfolio, except for just now and for the reasons above, has always been diversified and entirely Index funds... btw check out Minyanville.com for excellent education and current commentary.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:24 AM on 04/17/2008

"10"-4.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:55 PM on 04/18/2008
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