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Dan Maes and Tom Tancredo -- Can Either Win?

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With only days left to the general election, here are some answers to questions commonly asked by viewers of "Colorado Election 2010."

Q: Will Dan Maes drop out of the Governor's race?

A: Maes won't drop out. While he is no fan of John Hickenlooper, he loathes Tom Tancredo -- who he correctly sees as someone who first made a commitment to guarantee Maes would not win the race and then as someone who intensified his attacks on Maes in an effort to get him out of the race (because Tancredo soon far surpassed Maes in the polls and became the only viable competition for Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper).

Furthermore, Maes never had a long-term relationship with or deep ties to the Republican Party and, therefore, simply does not have the same concerns about the importance of not ceding the office to the Democrats due to the upcoming reapportionment and redistricting. And because "positive incentives" are a no-no these days (and are more difficult to hide than ever -- cf. the "job offers" to Joe Sestak in Pennsylvania and Andrew Romanoff here in Colorado), everyone is too scared to suggest Maes might get a well-paying job in the event he leaves the race. The bottom line is there simply isn't anyone who can influence Maes to quit and, because he won the primary election, he feels strongly he should continue as the standard bearer of the Republican Party.

Q. What about the fact the Republican Party will become a "minor" party if Maes, as its gubernatorial candidate, gets below 10% of the vote?

A: It is highly unlikely Maes will get below 10% but, even if he does, the 2011 General Assembly probably will change the law in recognition that the Colorado Republican Party has more registered voters than any other party. This is a great way for Democrats to scare Republicans into voting for Maes rather than Tancredo, but the reality is this likely is a fabricated issue.

Q: Can Maes win the race for governor?

A: No, he cannot, primarily because his fundraising is so anemic he simply does not have the resources to reach voters. While most people, after meeting Maes in person, come away with a positive impression and even find it hard to believe how different he is from his image in the press, the reality is that he has unwittingly created severe problems for himself and he does not have the resources to overcome them. Without the depth of support or the resources to overcome the hole he is in (mostly self-dug), Maes is stuck for the remainder of the campaign.