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Abdulrahman El-Sayed

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The Reckless Folly of Ellsberg's "Will Dropouts Save America?"

Posted: 10/23/11 06:49 PM ET

In a reckless opinion piece in this Sunday's New York Times entitled "Will Dropouts Save America?" Michael Ellsberg argues that higher education robs students of crucial skills that promote success in entrepreneurship -- skills like networking, marketing, and comfort with failure -- and therefore, that job-creation efforts should stop incentivizing post-secondary education. He writes,

I'd put my money on the kids who are dropping out of college to start new businesses. If we want to get out of the jobs mess we're in, we should hope that more will follow in their footsteps.

While there are several problems with this position, let's consider three particularly questionable assumptions implicit in this line of reasoning: that education actually deteriorates entrepreneurial skills; that formal post-secondary education is categorically incapable of improving entrepreneurial capacity; and that the only value of post-secondary education is financial.

To demonstrate that college has a negative effect on entrepreneurial skills, Ellsberg points to the fact that many of the most famous startup founders in our society, including Steve Jobs (Apple), Bill Gates (Windows), and Mark Zuckerberg (Facebook), all dropped out of college. Implicit in this argument is that if Jobs, Gates or Zuckerberg had actually completed college, we wouldn't have Apple, Windows, or Facebook -- which is a sham argument.

The flaw in Ellsberg's reasoning, termed "selection bias" in statistical circles, is that he assumes that the startup founders he named are similar to their peers who chose to stay in college in all categories except their choice to leave college, and therefore, that leaving college itself was the cause for their success. Rather, these highly talented individuals likely differed from their peers on the exact characteristics Ellsberg thinks education erodes -- networking capacity, marketing, comfort with failure, and of course, innate creative talent -- well before they ever chose to leave college.

His point is all the more unfounded when you consider each of these unique people's cases individually: It's possible that Mark Zuckerberg would never have been successful if he hadn't gone to college -- it was only at Harvard that he famously recognized the niche which Facebook now occupies. And in his 2005 commencement address at Stanford University, Steve Jobs credited his unique penchant for design to a calligraphy class he had taken at Reed College.

To cap this point: Bill Gates, Mark Zuckerberg, and Steve Jobs are hardly your average college dropouts -- after all, both Gates and Zuckerberg dropped out of Harvard. While an infinitesimal proportion may, the average college dropout doesn't go on to found a major corporation -- he goes on to work a lower skill job with less pay and worse benefits than he would have had he graduated (if he gets a job at all).

I agree with Ellsberg that higher education can incentivize behavioral patterns that are not consistent with success as an entrepreneur. College can teach students not to take risks and to bound their thoughts within multiple-choice answer sets. And an inherent lesson from the college experience is that students who spend too much time networking (read socializing), rather than studying, lose. But the problem with this argument is that it's a description of a particular type of education system, rather than an inherent description of education itself.

Rather than throw away the entire enterprise, how about rethinking it-- in true, entrepreneurial spirit. After all, education is simply the process of improving human capacities. If we can whittle down the particular capacities most important in entrepreneurship, with some imagination, there's no reason we can't teach them. And universities are catching on. In a recent commentary in Forbes, Mary Sue Coleman, President of the University of Michigan (my alma mater), writes

At UM we've been able to put in place a framework to support a full range of entrepreneurism -- including more than 100 courses, incubator space, venture funding, competitions and, most importantly, a growing culture that embraces and encourages risk taking.
A third inherent assumption in Ellsberg's thought process, and one that bedevils most conservative and libertarian viewpoints on education, is that the only value thereof is the earning potential an "educated" individual may have over her less-educated counterparts. This myopic perspective undervalues education in a dangerous way. Why? While income can improve access to material resources, education transforms the way in which an individual interacts with the world around her -- from the way she makes basic life choices around food, shelter, and community, to the way she negotiates stressful life events, to the very values she holds most dear. From the health literature, for example, low educational attainment predicts higher risk for mental disorder, cardiovascular disease, and mortality, independent of its effect on lower income.

Ellsberg's line of reasoning, that education erodes entrepreneurial abilities, and therefore, that education should be deemphasized in jobs policy is not only patently false, it's disingenuous and irresponsible. According to the latest data from the 2010 Census, fewer than 1 in 3 Americans have completed bachelor's degrees. Not only do these Americans have lower earnings, they are deprived of the many social benefits education brings with it, independent of income. In an effort to provide themselves or their children with these financial and social goods, millions of Americans are struggling to pay tuition costs. They need all the help they can get. Rather than highlighting a small, non-representative minority of college dropouts to misrepresent the importance of education, perhaps it would be better to concentrate on redesigning our higher education system so that it better serves American society.
 

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01:05 PM on 10/25/2011
The last point is the most important. People without an education are simply living in a smaller, simpler, often sadder world. The comments below that are defending Ellsberg's piece and attacking El-Sayed exemplify this.

Of course, college isn't the only place that one can acquire an education. But it is the usual one.
06:53 AM on 10/25/2011
I applaud Ellsberg, and I applaud anyone clever enough to earn a good living without submitting themselves to the diploma industry, that insidious form of indentured servitude (benign euphemism: student loans) that shackles graduates to banks for decades. Anyone who can avoid riding this treadmill to economic hell is well advised to do so.

What we quaintly refer to as higher education in this country has become just another racket, a triangle trade of bankers, academics, and industry that promotes white-collar slavery to the benefit of all concerned -- except, of course, the slaves.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ifquilt
12:15 AM on 10/25/2011
Great story! There will always be enough dropouts to fill entrepreneurship positions in our society. No shortage I assure you as an educator myself. And all I know is that when I go to a Doctor, Lawyer, Dentist, or Architect, I not only want them to have a college degree, but I want the guy who got A's not C's and D's. Yes I love the lady that gives massages she is great, I am glad she has that skill it benefits me. We all have a place in society. My father use to say, be a bartender if you want to, but do it with a college degree. He had a sixth grade education and came from a foreign country. He knew the importance of having that piece of paper to get in the door. There are plenty of drop outs. We don't need to encourage more. Unless of course this is a plot by some foreign power to make Americans even stupider than we already are!
11:18 PM on 10/24/2011
Education doesn't reduce entrepreneurial ability - but it provides options that may make the great risk of starting a business less attractive. If I have an education and contacts that provides a highly probable career of considerable comfort, why start a business. And If I want to start a business in the technology area, having a scientific or engineering background can be highly helpful.

I have been involved in several technology startups - and I have a BS in Physics and a Ph.D. in Engineering.
07:56 PM on 10/24/2011
The three "dropouts," two from Harvard, one from Reed, have reasonably high IQs. Jobs skipped 5th grade and could've skipped more, estimated IQ >140. Zuckerberg is estimated at least at 125, and Gates at 160. Yeah, just your average college dropouts. Each one of these men was DRIVEN at an early age. The grades K-12 teach us how to learn, above that we are taught how to think. They were also extremely focused on what they wanted to do with their lives, which is something else college helps us with, and they, obviously, didn't need. So, we need to rethink the entire collegiate education system? Not based on these three exceptions, we don't.
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dmgoss
Sapere Aude
06:38 PM on 10/24/2011
Yes, and further, what if my own life interests simply do not include entrepreneurship? Or STEM subject-based employment? Or any of the other politically motivated, highly touted prescriptions for a "better" America, most often made by people who, themselves, have succeeded in life to a point without the benefits of either?

Otherwise, nice piece. This argument (Ellsberg's) is so transparent, yet receives so much attention with little vetting, it makes me question the general intelligence and basic honesty of those who feel it necessary to continue to give it air.
04:27 PM on 10/24/2011
someday, the employment world will be forced to realize that a college education does not determine whether a person can contribute. the current prevailing belief is that a person without a college education cannot contribute anything.

if you believe people are useless without a college education, you are sadly mistaken, and have undoubtedly hired many of the wrong people and passed up hiring many valuable contributors.
01:36 PM on 10/24/2011
What has ignoring the depreciation of all of the junk sold by entrepreneurs done for America? When was the last time you heard a PhD economist talk about the

NET Domestic Product?
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
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12:16 PM on 10/24/2011
Hey DOC,
Trade schools,art schools all lead to big debt and little hope of landing a job earning more than min. wage.Truth be told the average student will become more likely to drop out and still have a debt that will follow due to these trade schools.FOR PROFIT MONEY MAKING MACHINES.Did you know the trade school tutition for 1yr. average is more then triple a 2yr,community college?
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stuoverit
"What year did Jesus think it was?"-GC
10:56 PM on 10/24/2011
"Trade schools,ar­t schools all lead to big debt and little hope of landing a job earning more than min. wage."

Statistics suggest otherwise.
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Boodieugwumba
Crusader
11:17 AM on 10/24/2011
The Ellsberg person is undoubtedly a conservative Republican who thinks they're smart but are only smart by half. You see his type everywhere, represented notably on TV by Bill O'Reilly. They make half baked arguments aimed at deceiving the unwary and keeping their conservative audiences deceived.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
DocJoseph
A bleeding heart will heal; a cold heart will not
11:04 AM on 10/24/2011
Generalizations based on rare exceptions are indeed foolhardy, particularly when the implication is that what worked for a rare few will work for everyone, and therefore we need to change everything.

Statistics show that dropouts from college generally do better than high school graduates but less well than college graduates. Some will do worse, some better, than college graduates, but we don't make policy based on exceptions.

Personally, I think we may be under-emphasizing trade schools, technical schools or other venues of education that might be more practical than college with a liberal arts degree or other degree that doesn't provide job-ready skills, but that is not the same as being a college dropout.
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epiding
10:17 AM on 10/24/2011
from the mouth of SV legend Michael Arrington himself...
"The payouts for starting a business are just terrible when you account for risk. A tiny minority of entrepreneurs ever get rich. And the majority of entrepreneurs would probably make far more money, and have more stable personal relationships, if they just worked for someone else."
http://techcrunch.com/2010/10/31/are-you-a-pirate/
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
live by the golden rule
10:14 AM on 10/24/2011
These companies were built on the hard work and creative vision of thousands of highly educated and skilled graduates of engineering schools.
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dmgoss
Sapere Aude
06:40 PM on 10/24/2011
Seriously. Nice one.
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Robert Frank
My last name is FRANK so thats what I am..
09:48 AM on 10/24/2011
yeah lets have more drop-outs in society so that the average intelligence/education level in this country can drop to elementary school level...that way we can have more low-skilled labor for all the McDonalds jobs
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BlairCase
09:16 AM on 10/24/2011
According to an article in today's Washington Post, South Korea has discovered that it has too many college graduates. Like American families, South Koreans makes tremendous finanical sacrifices to sent their children to college. About 60 percent of South Koreans go to college and about 40 percent of the country's graduates wind up working alongside vocational school graduates on assembly lines. South Korea is now encouraging families to send their sons and daughgters to vocational school rather than college.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/in-south-korea-too-many-college-grads-too-few-jobs/2011/10/21/gIQANu7eAM_story.html?hpid=z2
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stuoverit
"What year did Jesus think it was?"-GC
10:58 PM on 10/24/2011
The United States has half the students in college (per capita) compared with South Korea...