Everyone remembers the 2000 presidential election with its excruciating post-election vote counting controversy in Florida and the Supreme Court decision that awarded the presidency to George W. Bush. But how many people remember the Gallup 2000 election tracking poll? I'm sure the Gallup folks would like us to forget it,...

A newly released USA Today/Gallup Poll shows John McCain leading Barack Obama by four points, 49% to 45%, among likely voters. This on the heels of the latest Gallup tracking poll, which is based on a completely separate and much larger sample, that shows Obama leading McCain by 8 points...

When it comes to presidential politics, in the words of the immortal Duke Ellington, "it don't mean a thing if it ain't got that swing." Because presidential elections are decided by the electoral vote and not the popular vote, and because every state except Nebraska and Maine awards all of...