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Alan Dershowitz

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The "Rorschach" Facts in the Killing of Trayvon Martin

Posted: 04/11/2012 2:36 pm

The time has come for the cheerleading on both sides to stop in the killing of Trayvon Martin and for everybody to unite around the need for the truth -- or as much of it as we can recapture -- to emerge as to precisely what happened on that dark, rainy night. Once the facts have been established, by scientific, forensic and other evidence, then we can begin to analyze whether these facts constitute a defense under Florida's stand your ground statute, which, for better or worse, strongly favors the defendant.

At the moment, the facts in the case -- at least those known to the public -- are ever shifting. One journalist aptly characterized the case as, "a narrative Rorschach that each side will interpret as it wishes." Now it has been announced that the special prosecutor may soon release new information that may change both the public perception of the case and its legal strengths and weaknesses.

Several points can be made even now with a high degree of certainty.

First, the decision by George Zimmerman's lawyers to stop representing him portends a disastrous reversal of fortune for Zimmerman as he faces the prospect of being charged with manslaughter for the killing of Trayvon Martin -- a charge that Zimmerman might well have been able to beat if he had hired competent lawyers and followed their advice. Instead, he had an unprofessional relationship with media-driven lawyers -- he called them "legal advisors" -- and refused to follow their advice, talking to the media, to the public via a website and to the prosecutor. Wildcat clients who operate outside of the lawyer/client framework are the bane of criminal defense lawyers. I know, because I've had several such clients.

Zimmerman's "lawyers" were right to end their legal relationship with their client, but they went about it in the wrong way. They simply should have notified the prosecution and the public in a one sentence statement that they no longer represented Zimmerman (if they ever really did!). They should not have explained the reason why they quit, because that inevitably revealed lawyer client privileged information such as the fact that Zimmerman was not following their advice, that he may be suffering from post-traumatic stress disorder and that they can't reach him. They also had no right to discuss possible defenses, especially a claim of insanity, since that might undercut Zimmerman's absolute defense of justification.

The special prosecutor may soon announce whether she plans to indict and arrest Zimmerman -- a likely outcome. She may have been pressured by the lawyers' statements to arrest him even more quickly than she had originally intended, because the lawyers acknowledge that they don't know where he is.

Even Zimmerman's mysterious location is subject to differing interpretations. The Martin family sees it as flight suggestive of a guilty conscience and the need for a quick arrest, while Zimmerman's supporters view it as a rational response to the bounty put on his head by the Black Panthers.

Second, On the basis of the evidence currently in the public record, one likely outcome of the case against George Zimmerman is a mixed one: There may be sufficient evidence for a reasonable prosecutor to indict him for manslaughter, but there may also be doubt sufficient for a reasonable jury to acquit him.

Any such predictions should be accepted with an abundance of caution, however, because the evidence known to the special prosecutor, but not to the public, may paint a different picture. It may be stronger or weaker.

Media reports suggest that police found Zimmerman with grass stains on the back of his shirt, bloody bruises on the back of his head and other indicia that may support his contention that Trayvon Martin was banging his head against the ground when Zimmerman shot him.
We don't know what Martin's body or clothing show, other than the fatal bullet wound. If there are no comparable bruises or grass stains and if the bullet wound and powder residue establish that the gun was fired at very close range, this too might support a claim of self-defense.
Then there is a recorded cry for help, which, if it turns out to be the voice of Martin, would undercut the defense -- if the voice analysis passes scientific muster and is deemed admissible into evidence.

There may be additional forensic evidence -- or witnesses -- of which we are now unaware, though it is unlikely there is a "smoking gun."

Finally, there is the overarching and historically painful reality that an unarmed black teenager lies dead at the hand of an armed Hispanic man who ignored a dispatcher's advice not to follow and engage the "suspect," and who may have -- and this too is forensically unclear -- uttered a racial epithet while chasing him.

These "facts" give rise to several possible scenarios of what may actually have occurred on that dark rainy night. Under the Florida self-defense statute, it matters greatly what happened, most especially who "initially provoke[d] the use of force," and who started the physical encounter.

If Zimmerman initially provoked the deadly encounter, then he cannot invoke any "stand your ground" defense. He would then be under a legal obligation to "exhaust ... every reasonable means to escape."

Though this statute is anything but a model of clarity, it does suggest that whoever "provokes" a deadly encounter has a heavy burden of justification in claiming self-defense. But the statute doesn't define "provokes," and that ambiguous word may hold the key to the outcome of this tragic case.

If provocation is limited to a physical assault, and if Zimmerman's account that Martin blindsided him with a punch is believed, then Zimmerman did not provoke the encounter. But if provocation includes following the victim and harassing him, then Zimmerman may well qualify as a provocateur. Moreover, a jury may believe that Zimmerman started the physical confrontation by grabbing Martin. This would almost certainly constitute provocation.

But to complicate matters further, even a provocateur has the legal right to defend himself under Florida law if he can't escape and if he is in imminent danger of death or great bodily harm, as Zimmerman claims he was.

All this goes to show how factually driven this case is under Florida law. And we don't yet know all the facts. The special prosecutor, who has said she will not use a grand jury to decide whether to indict Zimmerman, has an obligation to consider all the evidence and to apply the law to the facts.

All she needs in order to indict is probable cause that a crime has been committed. A jury that ultimately decides whether the defendant is guilty needs much more: proof beyond a reasonable doubt. But what if a prosecutor concludes that there is both probable cause and a reasonable doubt?

That is the nightmare scenario that this prosecutor may well face. In ordinary circumstances, most prosecutors would not bring such a case, because it would be a waste of resources to indict someone who will probably be acquitted. But this is anything but a run-of-the-mill case.

Moreover, the Florida statute provides an additional layer of protection to a defendant claiming self-defense: A judge must decide whether the defendant is "immune from prosecution," that is, if the judge believes his actions fall under the law of self-defense.

So the following mixed outcome is certainly possible: The special prosecutor indicts; the judge does or doesn't grant immunity; if he doesn't, the jury acquits.

Many people would be unhappy with such a mixed outcome, but it is not the job of the law to make people happy.

Parts of this blog appeared on CNN.com and The Daily News.

 
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shothot
same, same, but different
01:37 PM on 05/02/2012
The question arises, can he be tried in federal court if acquitted, as I believe some of policemen in the Rodney King case. Could he be tried in civil court as well?
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Kevin Jewell
03:16 AM on 04/15/2012
Get real, Zimmerman got out of his car with a fire arm in hand and followed the Treyvor, that is stalking, AFTER his superiors in the police force told him there was no need to , Zimmerman took the initiative into his own hands, that fact and the gun in hand makes him the stalker...Where the defense may claim he was attacked could have been self imposed, anyone can throw themselves onto their back with a minimum of quick thinking and roll around in the grass...so he was laying in the lawn or the pavement??which is it?????????????????? Can he keep his story straight???Post traumatic syndrom? he was afraid to talk and stutter different stories to his lawyers.
09:37 AM on 04/16/2012
Can we really blame Zimmerman? I mean, OF COURSE HE HAD TO SHOOT HIM, I'm sure that package of Skittles that the kid had must have been really scary and it's no wonder Zimmerman felt threatened. I guess we better make sure this guy is under lock and key, next Halloween - God only knows how he'll "defend" himself against a whole bunch of kids armed with a all kinds of candy.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
DushanRadovic
Everyone is Entitled to My Opinion
01:11 PM on 04/20/2012
Who said he had firearm in hand?
07:57 PM on 04/13/2012
It is no surprise that the successful defender of slasher/murderer O.J. Simpson would question the case against George Zimmerman, He never met a murderer he didn't like.This time however it won't be Marcia Clark a defendant is facing. I hope MSNBC and other networks have provisions in their contracts with "legal pundits" preventing them from becoming involved in cases they comment on. Or else this is just Dershowitz trying to grease into a seat at the defense table.
lqw
Justmyopinion
03:01 PM on 04/13/2012
Finally someone who actually knows what they are talking about.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
pezmusic
singer songwriter looks great in a cowboy hat
01:26 AM on 04/13/2012
I saw Prof Dershowitz comments on MsNBC; here is a link
http://www.mediaite.com/tv/harvard-prof-alan-dershowitz-zimmerman-arrest-affidavit-irresponsible-and-unethical/
06:19 PM on 04/12/2012
I just saw this guy on msnbc and had to come see evidence of his bias online (I knew it existed, lol). He accused the special prosecutor of overcharging Zimmerman. Well, as a mom I prefer a man who admits to killing my unarmed son just trying to get home from the rain with his skittles, I prefer an overcharge of 2nd degree murder v. 44 days going uncharged. Just me?

But I digress: this little essay starts out as though we're going to stick to only what we know. Then goes on to say according to media reports Zimmerman has scratches & grass stains? K? And further that grass stains & a scratched head lend credibility to Zimmerman's claim of being banged on the pavement? Yeah?

I think it's so much more respectable when someone has an obvious bias to state said bias vs. pretending to be impartial, hide behind your Harvard Law job, and spout Zimmerman talking points.

make up? We need a touch up over here, his bias is showing lol
06:24 AM on 04/13/2012
The police report said grass stains were on Zimmermanns back.
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Wyeyes
You heard about Pluto? That's messed up, right?
10:33 AM on 04/13/2012
You think Alan Dershowitz is biased? Becasuse he is saying it is not going to be an easy conviction?
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TRUTHHURTS500
01:44 PM on 04/12/2012
Cheerleading? Rush to judgement? The fact of the matter is if this family had never stood their ground in their quest to find out what happend to their son, Zimmerman would have never had his day in court. That what people fail to realize. This family had to fight to get his case looked into. Had the situation been handled professionally instead of disrespectfully we would have had a need to be cheerleading. Who can talk about the facts all you want, there was probable cause to arrest him that night and it didnt happen.
08:14 AM on 04/12/2012
Does anyone remember what happened in L.A. when the policemen who beat Rodney King were acquitted? If GZ is acquitted. It will have the same results. I think I'm going to call my insurance agent and increase my coverage.
11:29 AM on 04/12/2012
I guess at least you didn't say you were going to buy more guns before the race riots started.
03:06 PM on 04/12/2012
You must be a mind reader.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
Stephen Stafford
Be the answer to somebody's prayer!
12:02 PM on 04/12/2012
How would George Zimmerman be acquitted?

Tell us about how you and your community riot when there is a result you do not like. What makes you think the people of that community are less capable of handling negativity and less well than you and yours?

There has been absolutely no indication of any violence whatsoever in way since Zimmerman stalked and pulled the trigger on his gun, exacting the violent death of this child.
07:06 PM on 04/12/2012
To your first question, Zimmerman could be acquitted if the prosecution can't prove to a every individual on the jury that he is guilty beyond a reasonable doubt. It's a high standard we're all aware of. If he's acquitted, it of course doesn't mean the person didn't do the crime. Perhaps your question was rhetorical.

As to communities rioting, is it such a stretch to imagine that happening if Zimmerman is acquitted? We have a well known history of rioting in this country, especially among groups who feel they've been wronged by the system. I'm a Latino who lives in a community where rioting happened in 1991 after a case of police brutality. It happens sometimes. Do I know it will happen if Zimmerman is acquitted? No. But it's a reasonable possibility in my opinion.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Hardtostop
An idea whose time has come to pass
07:16 PM on 04/12/2012
Stephen I saw dershowitz on hardball tonight. Clearly he is doing some ambulance chasing and looking for a case. He used zimmermans words as fact - broken nose, grass stains etc. - and blamed prosecutor for over reaching. Just watch if he becomes part of the defense team and pundit on fox
08:06 AM on 04/12/2012
Mr. Dershowitz writes:
"Finally, there is the overarching and historically painful reality that an unarmed black teenager lies dead at the hand of an armed Hispanic man who ignored a dispatcher's advice not to follow and engage the "suspect," and who may have -- and this too is forensically unclear -- uttered a racial epithet while chasing him."
Travon Martin was a "SUSPECT" only in George Zimmerman's mind. Walking home in America is no reason to loose your life. He had never met Zimmerman, did not approach him, posed no danger to him, did not follow or confront him,screamed for help as Zimmerman killed him. What about those facts justify reffering to Travon Martin as a "SUSPECT"?
Mr. Dershowitz clinical analysis of the death of Travon leaves out the salient fact that Zimmerman on the night that he took and innocent life had no authority to have a gun on him or impede Travon from simply walking home. He did lethally impede Travon for simply walking home while being Black and wearing a hood to fend off the rain.It is madness to presume that Travon was in any way SUSPECT except in Zimmerman;s imagination. The 911 dispatcher told George Zimmerman "We do not need you to follow him". It is at that point that Zimmerman decided to hunt and kill an innocent young man whose screams for help Zimmerman ignored as he took aim an executed Travon Martin.
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ussuri
ask questions, question answers
09:09 AM on 04/12/2012
amen!
09:55 AM on 04/12/2012
There is a common theme in which Attorney Dershowitz captures the word suspect in quotation marks; notice that he does the same for the words--facts, lawyers, and provokes. Dershowitz's analysis of this tragedy is the best I've read thus far.
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jcwtts1
Elections have consequences
07:58 AM on 04/12/2012
to all the lawyers out there my question is simple... why doesn't Trayvon have a "stand your ground" right? He was chased through the street by a man, clearly out of breath, pursing him, hunting him... he tried to escape and was corralled. Why isn't his state of mind, his fear for his life the main thing. An armed man chases a child through the streets... and people think that somehow zimmerman was acting in self defense... self defense as the 911 operator told him to stay in his car, to not follow, to stop following... . Dersh misses the elephant in the room. If the race of the people were reversed... if a black man pursued and hounded a white middle class youth to a confrontation and then killed him, no one would believe that it was justified in any way. Ever. This is a case about race and perception as much as anything else. And just so Dersh gets it... the grand standing on both sides... bs. One side was demanding that the police actually run an investigation.. ever, or at all. That isn't grandstanding or cheer-leading that is begging an imperfect system for justice. Begging for fairness in equity in our own nation, in our own neighborhoods, for our CHILDREN. That isn't cheer-leading it is a prayer.

J
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
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11:29 AM on 04/12/2012
Under many likely construals of the event, both Martin and Zimmerman had the right to stand their ground and meet force with force, if that is any consolation. SYG laws really only benefit the last one standing.
renoir
Comfortably Numb
02:13 PM on 04/12/2012
Beautifully stated and heart-felt. Thank you. I could not agree more.
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Patriot86
Compassion is the basis of all morality.
07:49 AM on 04/12/2012
I don't believe that Zimmerman will be acquitted. This is a good prosecutor...she has a case.
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09:30 AM on 04/13/2012
Better listen & read all the evidence before predicting. - & Corey: possible improper ethics charges.
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fearthebetenoire
Lying's like 95% of what I do. In your job? Sure.
04:19 AM on 04/12/2012
Thanks, Mr. Dershowitz, for the clear and objective analysis. Your wise advice to all of us to calm down and refrain from cheerleading as we wait for the evidence to emerge and for the justice system to work helps people of good will to better understand and rationally interpret what we see and hear and to improve public discourse. Perhaps when we know more, we can all work together to better understand each other, reduce racial mistrust and heal the deep rifts that this tragic event has revealed.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
Stephen Stafford
Be the answer to somebody's prayer!
12:07 PM on 04/12/2012
That is a bunch of mess. His use of the term cheerleading is patently disrespectful and patronizing, insulting and demeaning.

Myself and many others know exactly what we have been looking at, what it means, and what it is about. People are united in seeking justice, and have no problem with you being uncomfortable as we pursue the correct things for the correct reasons.

Mental health professionals will be happy to help you and the author work through your issues. The rest of us are fine, and know what we see and feel.
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fearthebetenoire
Lying's like 95% of what I do. In your job? Sure.
08:28 PM on 04/12/2012
You're correct, people should be united in seeking justice. That doesn't make me uncomfortable. I believe it's very likely that Mr. Zimmerman isn't telling the truth and is responsible, and I believe he should face the consequences of his actions. Further, I believe the Sanford PD and the original prosecutor failed to do their jobs, and it certainly appears that racism entered into that failure, if not into the killing itself.

What makes me uncomfortable is that I don't really know all of the facts yet and neither do you. I don't want a rush to judgment, and I don't want to convict Mr. Zimmerman in the court of public opinion. I believe doing so undermines the pursuit of real and lasting justice and only gives ammunition to racists.

I respect what you see and feel. I too want to see the killer face justice in a court of law, and I want to see the investigation of the Sanford PD and the prosecutor vigorously pursued to root out any racism and incompetence and make sure this doesn't happen again, anywhere. But it must be done by the law.

By all means be watchful, stand up and don't hesitate to demand justice. But let reasonable people reflect upon this tragedy and respect each other, and let justice take it's course before we condemn Mr. Zimmerman. There will, sadly, be plenty of time for condemnation and then, hopefully, for rebuilding the trust which seems to be in short supply right now.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Edward Lee
It's impressive to be progressive
04:19 AM on 04/12/2012
I'm not a lawyer and frankly I don't give a you-know-what about it. What I do know is that a teenager unarmed was shot to death for no good reason. We all know the details, don't we? Is there anything that will be discovered later that we don't know already? I doubt it. All these mumbo-jumbo from so called law experts are nonsense. The case is simple: Zimmerman killed Trayvon and should be charged with murder. The motive: racism. It's nothing more than that.
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alferrer
07:30 AM on 04/12/2012
Wow! You don't think there are any other details missing? Wow!
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Patriot86
Compassion is the basis of all morality.
07:50 AM on 04/12/2012
I don't either...it is very clear.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Indrid Cold
All that glitters . . . is . . . Cold . . .
08:45 AM on 04/12/2012
And then the pesky Constitution got in the way . . .
06:30 PM on 04/12/2012
Yeah, because it's worked so well for people of color for two hundred odd something years.
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
Laura Tompkins
Whatever you do, don't listen to the facts ... Tha
04:16 AM on 04/12/2012
I sure hope that Trayvon's parents are not expecting justice for him. The second degree manslaughter charge will be a plea bargain and Zimmerman will be set free. But in the meantime, this media fiasco will bring the revenue of Florida justice department to a new high...its all politics and economics now kids. This is not a country interested in justice. This is a country interested in money.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
nenitaB
Not the talk. What good result would it hav
09:52 AM on 04/12/2012
You're right, Laura T. The focus now is more on politics and economy and money, too, with this deficit crisis. The reason this incident is way dragged and trailed for months.
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Laura Tompkins
Whatever you do, don't listen to the facts ... Tha
02:21 PM on 04/12/2012
Yes, nenita...and the show has only just begun. There is an election right around the corner and this whole incident is a gift to the GOP.
12:00 PM on 04/12/2012
"this media fiasco will bring the revenue of Florida justice department to a new high"

Just how exactly is this going to produce revenue for the Florida justice department?
It will be the opposite of that because it will very costly to prosecute the case.
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Laura Tompkins
Whatever you do, don't listen to the facts ... Tha
02:16 PM on 04/12/2012
The GOP is now funding this...specifically Mitt Romney since he is about to choose a Florida running mate...and the special prosecutor will (already is) be promoted. It's all a political chess game now and Zimmerman gave the republicans a gift and he is merely a pawn in their game.
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
Laura Tompkins
Whatever you do, don't listen to the facts ... Tha
02:29 PM on 04/12/2012
Here you go...

Choosing a running mate often involves a delicate balancing act between demographics and geography. The candidate will frequently pick a campaign partner who could deliver a swing state or appeal to a voting bloc that otherwise might be lost.

For Romney, one name seems like a strong bet to do both — Florida Sen. Marco Rubio.

“Rubio checks almost all the boxes,” said Berkovitz. “He’s Hispanic-American, a popular politician from a major battleground state, and is charismatic.”

Read more: http://www.nydailynews.com/news/election-2012/florida-sen-marco-rubio-fit-mitt-romney-vice-presidential-nominee-article-1.1058369#ixzz1rqtW4fIp
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sallybutt45
To thine own self be true.
01:45 AM on 04/12/2012
Now, Zimmerman is described as a Hispanic? I believe he is only a quarter Hispanic, Mr.D. I can almost read between your lines, and you seem to be vying for the job as Zimmerman's attorney, there is not enough money in this case for you, but it just might prove to be a very high-profile case---which is right up your alley. The "cheer leading" as you call it, was the pressure that Sanford needed in order to handle this case the way it should have been from the start. He is being charged with 2nd murder, so you are wrong about that too!
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ussuri
ask questions, question answers
09:12 AM on 04/12/2012
Zimmer`s father is Jewish.
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mwsomerset
This is not the life I ordered.
08:43 PM on 04/12/2012
and his mother is from Peru...so he is a jewish hispanic...
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pezmusic
singer songwriter looks great in a cowboy hat
01:46 AM on 04/13/2012
The Zimmermans are Roman Catholics and in fact George was alter boy.
01:10 PM on 04/12/2012
Thanks, I was wondering why his position was so skewed towards the contrary of a logical outcome resulting in Zimmerman being convicted. I guess I forgot just who Alan Deshowitz is. Hopefully he'll soon go back in hiding.
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mwsomerset
This is not the life I ordered.
08:44 PM on 04/12/2012
He's one of the guys who defended OJ...and we all know how that turned out..
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sallybutt45
To thine own self be true.
01:04 AM on 04/13/2012
He is always on the lurch, and gives his opinions almost after the facts-----can't stand his hype. He, like so many rightists, always adds a little twist to his opinion, as though it is the truth. Because he says so!