Alastair Crooke
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Poutine est incité à être moins conciliant avec l'Occident pour se préparer à la guerre

(0) Comments | Posted May 22, 2016 | 8:58 AM

Poutine incité à abandonner son approche conciliatrice envers les Occidentaux pour se préparer à la guerre

BEYROUTH - Quelque chose d'important s'est produit dans les derniers jours d'avril, mais il semble que le seul à le remarquer ait été Stephen Cohen, professeur émérite d'études russes...

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Putin Is Being Pushed to Abandon His Conciliatory Approach to the West and Prepare for War

(352) Comments | Posted May 17, 2016 | 1:07 PM

BEIRUT -- Something significant happened in the last few days of April, but it seems the only person who noticed was Stephen Cohen, a professor emeritus of Russian studies at New York University and Princeton University.

In a recorded interview, Cohen notes that a section of the...

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Russia Isn't Really Withdrawing From Syria

(47) Comments | Posted March 17, 2016 | 4:12 PM

BEIRUT -- Russian President Vladimir Putin caught nearly everyone by surprise with his Syria drawdown announcement. Little wonder: the Syria-led coalition forces had momentum behind them; they were on a roll, gaining ground sometimes even without a fight. Pat Lang, a former U.S. defense intelligence officer, noted that...

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シリア内戦はもはや泥沼化していない 今起きているのは...

(0) Comments | Posted February 18, 2016 | 2:23 AM

シリア内戦は軍事的に明らかな結末へと向かっているように見える。

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La guerra de Siria no está estancada, Putin y Al Asad van ganando

(0) Comments | Posted February 12, 2016 | 12:22 AM

BEIRUT - Entrada la noche del pasado 2 de febrero, Elijah Magnier, un reconocido corresponsal de guerra del Alrai Media Group publicó lo siguiente: "Se ha cortado todo tipo de comunicación y vías de suministro entre Turquía y Alepo". Y parece que es cierto: el Ejército sirio y...

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The Syria War Will Not Be a Quagmire -- Because Putin and Assad Are Winning

(346) Comments | Posted February 8, 2016 | 11:13 AM

BEIRUT -- Late in the night on Feb. 2, the news hit: "all communication and supply line[s]" between Turkey and Aleppo had been severed, according to a Elijah Magnier, a renowned Arab war correspondent with Alrai Media Group. It seems to be so: the Syrian army and allied...

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America Is Dramatically Changing its Syria Policy. Here's Why.

(49) Comments | Posted December 18, 2015 | 2:27 PM

BEIRUT -- It seems it Washington has decided that trying to corner Russia is a bad idea.

Rather than show President Vladimir Putin as a weak paper tiger and as a hopelessly inadequate, flawed model of alternative leadership -- John Kerry has had to warn President Obama that the...

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Les attentats de Paris montrent qu'Al-Qaïda avait peut-être raison à propos de Daech

(16) Comments | Posted November 20, 2015 | 8:18 AM

TERRORISME - A ce stade, beaucoup de questions restent en suspens: la destruction de l'avion russe dans le Sinaï, les multiples attentats suicides de la semaine dernière à Beyrouth et ceux de Paris ont-ils été planifiés au plus haut niveau de Daech, et coordonnés depuis...

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Die Paris-Attentate zeigen den Strategiewechsel von ISIS hin zum globalen Terror ala Al Qaeda

(4) Comments | Posted November 18, 2015 | 4:51 PM

BEIRUT - Gegenwärtig fehlen noch wichtige Details zu den aktuellen Geschehnissen: Wurden die Pläne für den Abschuss des russischen Passagierflugzeugs im Sinai, die zahlreichen Selbstmordattentate letzte Woche in Beirut und die Bombenattentate in Paris von der Führerschaft des Islamischen Staats vorbereitet und die Angriffe nach den...

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Paris Attack Shows Why Al Qaeda Might Have Been Right About ISIS All Along

(32) Comments | Posted November 17, 2015 | 12:47 PM

BEIRUT -- At this point, there are important components to events which are not clear: Were the plans for the downing of the Russian airliner in Sinai, last week's multiple suicide attacks in Beirut and the bombings in Paris, conceived within the Islamic State leadership and the operations...

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Why Russia Perceives Syria as Its Front Line

(24) Comments | Posted October 28, 2015 | 4:05 PM

BEIRUT -- Russia believes that it sees the situation of the Middle East very plainly. Vladimir Putin sees nation-states across the region weakening and eroding: Iraq fractured, Syria in conflict, Lebanon without a state, Yemen in anarchy, Libya in chaos -- North Africa in general is vulnerable -- Saudi Arabia...

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Russia's Aim in Syria Is to Strategically Defeat ISIS and Al Qaeda

(231) Comments | Posted October 9, 2015 | 6:15 PM

BEIRUT -- As soon as Russia launched the first stages of its military campaign in Syria, world media erupted with epic slights on President Vladimir Putin and the deprecation of Russia's strategic motives in Syria. Is this information operation simply a recrudescence of Cold...

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If Syria and Iraq Become Fractured, So Too Will Tripoli and North Lebanon

(27) Comments | Posted June 1, 2015 | 12:38 PM

BEIRUT -- The talk now is all about whether Syria and Iraq will end up as divided states. The impetus for such speculation derives firstly from the latest Saudi, Qatari and Turkish joint resolve to mount huge numbers of jihadists on Syria's borders. According to two senior political figures...

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With Saudi Arabia Faltering in Yemen, Power in the Region Has Begun To Swing East

(48) Comments | Posted April 29, 2015 | 12:28 PM

BEIRUT - Saudi Arabia has announced the end to its campaign in Yemen, but nevertheless air attacks against Ansar Allah and former President Saleh-allied components of the Yemeni army still continue -- albeit on a lesser scale. A Saudi newspaper (without any trace of irony) has announced "mission...

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America Immobilized as Iran-Saudi Arabia Proxy War Turns Bloody

(78) Comments | Posted April 6, 2015 | 7:32 PM

BEIRUT -- The Middle East plainly gets it now: the U.S., after wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, inter alia, does not want to decisively intervene with military force in the region's many complicated conflicts. Rather, it wishes to "re-balance" the region's major powers -- to strike an equilibrium of antagonisms...

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Why the Conflicts in Tikrit and Yemen Signal a New Middle Eastern War

(96) Comments | Posted March 26, 2015 | 6:33 PM

BEIRUT -- With the Iranian involvement against the Islamic State in the assault on Tikrit, and the Saudi invasion of Yemen to stem the tide of Iranian influence, we have entered a new Middle Eastern war.

Tikrit has become something of an augury and symbol of ISIS'...

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ダーイシュ(イスラム国)の行動は常に意図的である

(2) Comments | Posted February 24, 2015 | 3:30 PM

これは非常に意図的な行動であり、その残酷な行為は衝動的なものではない。事件自体の背後にあるもの、またその背景を超えたところにあるのは何なのか、それを理解することが重要だ。

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Is Jordan Facilitating ISIS' Grand Strategy?

(59) Comments | Posted February 13, 2015 | 1:50 PM

BEIRUT -- Last September, I wrote that "Nothing that ISIS has done has been whimsical, rather it reflects serious planning and intentionality. A map of ISIS-intended conquest of territory with its oil wells all carefully marked out, dates back to 2006. Its strategy for taking Mosul...

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Non-Dollar Trading Is Killing the Petrodollar -- And the Foundation of U.S.-Saudi Policy in the Middle East

(26) Comments | Posted December 2, 2014 | 12:18 PM

BEIRUT -- A profound transformation of the global monetary system is underway. It is being driven by a perfect storm: the need for Russia and Iran to escape Western sanctions, the low interest rate policy of the U.S. Federal Reserve to keep the American economy afloat and the increasing demand...

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ISIS: A Cognitive, Systemic Failure

(13) Comments | Posted October 13, 2014 | 2:26 PM

As we watch the Middle East seemingly tearing itself to bits in an orgy of violence, many observers are disbelieving: how can this be happening? How did it become such a mess? It apparently shocked all by its unexpectedness. Is this just another intelligence failure, they ask?

No,...

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