iPhone app iPad app Android phone app Android tablet app More

Featuring fresh takes and real-time analysis from HuffPost's signature lineup of contributors
Alastair Crooke

GET UPDATES FROM Alastair Crooke
 

The Saudi Counter-Revolution

Posted: 03/31/11 02:06 PM ET

BEIRUT -- The first wave of the Arab awakening, which led to the euphoric overthrow of autocracy in Tunisia and Egypt and then the uprising in Libya, is giving way to the next turn of events: the emergence of the counter-revolution led by Saudi Arabia.

The brutal military suppression of protest in Bahrain as well as Yemeni President Saleh's massacre of 50 protestors by sniper fire reflect the urgings of the al-Saud family and the line taken by King Abdullah that he will "never accept a Shia government in Bahrain -- never." Bahrain is 70 percent Shia, and most have family and tribal links with the Shia of Eastern Saudi Arabia (who are linked more closely to Ayatollah Sistani and the "quietists" in Najaf than to emulation of the theocratic mullahs in Qom. Unlike the theocrats of Qom in Iran, the quietists of Najaf in Iraq eschew political power).

The disconnect between the West's implicit endorsement of the Yemeni and Bahraini leaderships, on the one hand, and military intervention in Libya, on the other, could not be more obvious.

Despite widespread sympathy for the Libyan rebels, an antipathy is nonetheless growing among the Arab public against Western intervention as the hypocrisy of policies is laid bare.

The newly "awakened" Arab world will not simply ignore the plight of the Bahrainis or Yemenis. Like the Tunisians and Egyptians, they are also demanding their dignity and an end to the disdain and contempt with which their rulers have treated them. Nor will the recent Bahraini military suppression mark the end of a political insurgency that has been festering for the last 20 to 30 years. It is hard to underestimate the depths of the underlying animosities that have surfaced with the Saudi intervention in Bahrain, sanctioned by the Gulf Cooperation Council.

As events in the region play out under the double standard of Western policy, many in the Arab world fear that the end result in Libya won't turn out like the indigenous revolts in Egypt or Tunisia. Instead, the West is likely to be drawn into the machinations of Libya's complex tribal conflicts and the fight over who finally ends up controlling the oil.

There seem to be grounds for such suspicions. It is surely optimistic that, through air power alone, the West will be able to find a resolution in Libya that is "saleable" to Western publics, and yet not throw up some Karzai-type manufactured Western partner. In short, there is a paradoxical danger that Western intervention on behalf of the Libyan rebels will end up subverting the homegrown nature of the revolt itself.

If the West truly wants to see freedom flower in the Arab world, it needs to take sides against the Saudi counter-revolution while resisting the temptation to shape the Libyan revolution in its own image.

Alastair Crooke, a former top British MI-6 agent in the Middle East, is author of Resistance: The Essence of Islamic Revolution.

© 2011 Global Viewpoint Network; Dist. by Tribune Media SERVICES.

 
 
 
  • Comments
  • 69
  • Pending Comments
  • 0
  • View FAQ
Comments are closed for this entry
View All
Favorites
Recency  | 
Popularity
Page: 1 2 3  Next ›  Last »  (3 total)
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Atif Ahmed Choudhury
J.D. Candidate, William and Mary College of Law
05:26 PM on 04/04/2011
"...and the line taken by King Abdullah that he will "never accept a Shia government in Bahrain -- never."

Alas that issue is not up to "His Majesty" or anyone else to decide, but solely that of the BAHRAINI PEOPLE. The sooner the people pulling the strings (those representing corporate and neo-imperial interests, fellow neighboring and regional despots, etc.) the world over understand this basic principle, the better off the world will be.
06:07 AM on 04/04/2011
Hello from Saudi Arabia. You are wrong that 70% of the population is oppressed, it is just 99% of the population that is oppressed. The justice system treats foreigners as subhuman, be they male or female. Regulations of industry are non existent, we can put growth factors into food and make GMO foods that you are afraid of (think a bell pepper the size of your thigh). All while drugs are common and rehab centers open up quietly all over Riyadh. Painkillers I can buy myself at a pharmacy, what's a prescription?

But the oil comes from here so nothing will change. The Saudi Press makes FOX news look like the BBC, news, internet, press, blogs, all are censored. A call day of protests for rights fell upon deaf ears, the Saudi people are happier being ignorant and accepting a paycheck in exchange for their rights.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
photo
07:15 AM on 04/04/2011
Interesting to hear from someone in the KSA.

Do you think the Saudi Arabian monarchy will keep, absolute power, in a Free Middle East?
08:39 AM on 04/04/2011
They will until they have a civil war or an uprising by the extremely mistreated foreign workers. The Saudi citizens won't bother, they are above the justice system. They can torture and kill their maids (this weeks news, google saudi maid torture), and they are happy with how their government will keep cutting them checks. Unemployment is high, but when you are rich you don't need a job.

With that said, the King is old and his health isn't good. The crown prince (next in line) is also very ill. Next after him is a very conservative (no rights for ANY foreigners) brother who wants to be king. But the sons of the current king also want to be king, so it does not look good for stability here.

The treatment of workers from anywhere but the US and Europe is horrendous. Maids are tortured and the courts rule that they disfigured themselves. Some are killed and their bodies vanish or are dumped into wells, those are all 'suicides'. A man who's employer did not pay him for months (very common here) ate a piece of chicken from his employer's restaurant, for which he gets 18 months and 80 lashes. The poor beg weekly after prayer, they only get welfare if they are Saudi. In the meantime, I see Lamborghini, Ferrari, Aston Martin and Rolls Royce all day long. Being from the DC area, I'd see one a month if lucky. Here, a Honda is rare.
11:24 PM on 04/03/2011
Qaddafi is the real Libyan revolutionary and the rebels are agents of the Saudi counter-revolution. Their flag gives them away as such.
04:05 AM on 04/03/2011
"If the West truly wants to see freedom flower in the Arab world, it needs to take sides against the Saudi counter-revolution while resisting the temptation to shape the Libyan revolution in its own image." I don't believe the occident is that ambitious.
03:09 AM on 04/03/2011
Well said. Our foreign policy is a double standard. We support whom Saudis support. We have no interest in freedom.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
photo
11:26 AM on 04/02/2011
50% of the citizens (women), and 20% of religious minorities (Shia, Christian, Jew), are oppressed in Saudi Arabia.

A dictatorship that oppresses 70% of the people will not last in the new Middle East.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
shaitan
The Devil's Advocate
07:54 AM on 04/02/2011
It is best to stay out instead of being Fools who rush into countries about whose peoples we are mostly ignorant and have only a faulty understanding
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Ishmael1
A Man Born To Hang Ain't Gonna Die Of Drowning
07:36 AM on 04/02/2011
Unfortunately, Mr. Crooke, THAT fix is ALREADY in. Read Pepe Escobar's pieces at Asia Times Like THIS one:

http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/MD02Ak01.html
04:00 AM on 04/02/2011
Americans and Europeans are whining about radical Islam well your the ones who funded it and started it, The collapse of the Ottoman empire the future kings made deals the British who agreed to get oil from them and could expand there radical version of Islam, same with the US selling weapons to the Saudi's exchange for cheap OIL + Saudi's get to build Mega mosques in Europe and the USA that are spreading Wahabism so to be fair its not the Only the Saudi's fault but the Americans and Europeans as well.
09:29 AM on 04/02/2011
So ur saying the west funded the creation of it's future enemy and hence fuel for it's military economy and empire building?

hmmm…. U might have a point….
MayaBeach
Tower of Babble
03:26 PM on 04/01/2011
We need more voices like that of Alastair Crooke to be heard. He knows what he is talking about. It would be a grave mistake to further arm the Libyan rebels without even knowing who they are, or who the leaders are, or what their plans are. The bank is broken here, and the public is sick of unsanctioned, endless wars. The double standard of Western policy, the Saudi counter-revolution calls out for clear policies on our part. We are sending mixed signals no one can trust. There doesn't seem to be any moral high ground here.
09:32 AM on 04/02/2011
Well we do know who they're leaders are:

"But oddly, the Libyan revolution has been led by inauspicious technocrats from within the Gadhafi regime. One of these is Mahmoud Jibril, a US-educated professor who became secretary of the national planning council under Gadhafi. Jibril spent years working with Gadhafi's son Saif on political and economic reforms, and while many of those efforts were stifled by reactionary elements in the regime, the job put him in contact with international diplomats...But the chairman of the National Council is Mustafa Abdel Jalil, who was much more of a public figure under Gadhafi. He rose through Libya's legal system to become justice minister…"

http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,,14952376,00.html

The familiar tale of puppets and puppeteers…..
03:01 PM on 04/01/2011
Saudi ARabia has been such a force for repression around the world, and the way that they treat women in the naition although ignored by the rest of the world, is inhuman and akin to enslavement. The best thing that could happen to the middle east would be the collapse of the Saudi regime and the loss of their petrol dollars funding the Wahaabist nightmare.
photo
unitron
Reverse Chron Order never stays checked
02:57 PM on 04/01/2011
Whatever we do, even if we do nothing, will be the wrong thing, because there is no "right thing" option.

There is nothing that can be done or not done that will the right thing to do or not do.
photo
MikeDu
Both salubrious and lugubrious concurrently.
08:02 PM on 04/02/2011
If Obama were to walk into the Rose Guarden and stand on one leg a third of the posters here would immediately complain that he's standing on the wrong leg.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
pooka47401
Reality is the leading cause of stress!
02:40 PM on 04/01/2011
Most of the 9/11 terrorists came from and were trained in Saudi Arabia, yet Bush helped the Royal Family to flee America. Why haven't the Saudi's been treated like we have treated Afghanistan and Iraq?? Now THAT is the American disconnect.
03:51 PM on 04/01/2011
Bush helped not only the Saudi royal family, but also the bin Laden family escape after 9-11.
12:59 PM on 04/01/2011
And by the way, anybody who does not know that Gaddafi and the King of Saudi Arabia absolutely cannot stand each other has absolutely no clue about the MIddle East.....
04:41 AM on 04/02/2011
The Saudis are backing the Libyan rebels. Coincidentally, the US also supports the Libyan rebels.
12:58 PM on 04/01/2011
When all the countries surrounding Saudi Arabia turn democratic and start enjoying their freedom... my guess is that Saudis will start being at least a little envious...hopefully.... Good interview of a Saudi who has a very interesting explaination of thoughts and ideology in Saudi Arabia...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vyCpJPwu4_s&feature=related