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Alexandra Gillies

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Nigeria's Chance for Reform

Posted: 01/13/2012 6:28 pm

Since the Nigerian government ended longstanding gasoline subsidies as of New Year's Day, Nigerians have responded with nationwide strikes and protests, resulting in several deaths. The government has a chance to respond in turn, by addressing the rampant corruption and mismanagement of the country's oil industry.

The gasoline subsidy embodied the worst characteristics of the country's economic governance. In 2011, the subsidy on gasoline cost the government over $9 billion, more than the entire federal government capital budget and about double the subsidy's cost in 2010. Global fuel prices did not, of course, double during this time period. Nigeria's tab skyrocketed thanks to the costly, corrupt system by which the country produces and imports gasoline, as well as rising interest charges and insurance premiums as government failed to pay fuel importers on time.

By the end of 2011, Nigeria owed importers over $4 billion. Relying on the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC), the national oil company, the government devised complex, opaque methods for covering import costs, including swap deals where crude oil was awarded to commodity traders in exchange for gasoline and other refined products.

Officials allowed the subsidy to rise because it included lucrative opportunities for corruption. In 2009, then President Umaru Yar'Adua called the manipulation of prices and supplies "the greatest institutional corruption in the history of the nation." Only when NNPC faced bankruptcy -- owing billions of dollars to importers as well as to the treasury -- did the government decide to end the subsidy.

This will not eliminate corruption in the oil sector. That would require the kind of coherent reform that the administration of President Goodluck Jonathan has so far postponed. The Petroleum Industry Bill, which would restructure the industry, has idled in parliament for years. NNPC, which is unique among the world's largest national oil companies in its total reliance on international traders to sell its crude, has similarly resisted change. Unable to pay its share of operating expenses, it maintains financing deals with international oil company partners that cut deeply into national earnings. Yet it is allowed to regulate itself and manage the country's four refineries, which produce at 40 percent capacity on the best of days.

Transparency and oversight are limited throughout the sector. The petroleum ministry and regulatory bodies provide no information to the public, and NNPC fails to disclose even an annual financial report much less its audit statements. Most of the sector's financial transactions -- including NNPC's earnings, and transfers to the diminished Excess Crude Account -- do not appear as part of the budget thereby sidestepping legislative and public scrutiny. Nigeria's reports under the Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative suffer delays, so far covering only the years through 2008. Executive discretion prevails over most decisions, including the allocation of valuable exploration, production and export licenses.

High oil prices and increased production should have made 2010-2011 the most profitable years yet for the Nigeria. However, the country's economic health worsened. Budget deficit estimates exceeded $8 billion in 2011 and, over the last three years, foreign reserves dropped by 40 percent and public debt doubled.

Only a package of reforms will correct the paradox of robust revenue potential and declining fortunes. Removing the subsidy will not solve the larger economic problems unless additional reforms take place, including the re-drafting, passage and implementation of the Petroleum Industry Bill in a manner that eliminates the current system's opportunities for inefficiency and graft.

Much can be done to make the sector more accountable to the public interest. NNPC should make public its financial reports. Discretion and secrecy should be removed from the allocation of licenses and the regulation of exports and imports. The status of the Excess Crude Account requires explanation, as does that of the proposed new sovereign wealth fund. And these reforms must include clear deadlines for action.

To generate economic development, the government will also need to fulfill its promise to transparently use these savings to improve infrastructure and social services. It will also need to implement the public sector cuts announced by President Jonathan on Dec. 8, including a 25 percent reduction in civil servant pay. Moreover, public trust will only be rebuilt through committed investigation and prosecution of corruption, and measures such as declaration of assets.

The problems are well known, but so are the concrete steps that can increase transparency,
accountability and the earnings of the state. They have worked in other countries and can help Nigeria too.

It is not too late for Nigeria's government to make the end of its fuel subsidy the beginning of reform. Citizens will bear the cost of the higher fuel prices. This sacrifice will be worthwhile only if the nation's oil wealth begins to serve the public's interests rather than those of only a favored few.

Also see: "Nigeria Unions suspend strikes in fuel dispute": read the full article here.

 
 
 
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LMPE
I connect the most dissimilar things
06:48 PM on 01/15/2012
Or better yet, a chance to ditch petroleum entirely.
11:14 AM on 01/15/2012
It is great we know how much the government spent in fuel subsidy - $9 billions. The question is how much the politicians and government officials cost us in corruption - $200 billions?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Free Your Mind
We do not need wars to prosper.
10:47 PM on 01/14/2012
Good article, I hope the standard of living there will be increased soon!

"The IMF and US African Command (AFRICOM) Join Hands in the Plunder of the African Continent"

http://globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=va&aid=28520

"Like so many other nations, Nigerian people have suffered from a systematically reduced living standard after being subjected to the IMF’s Structural Adjustment Policies (SAP). Before a loan can be taken from the World Bank or IMF, a country must first follow strict economic policies, which include currency devaluation, lifting of trade tariffs, the removal of subsidies and detrimental budget cuts to critical public sector health and education services."
04:59 PM on 01/15/2012
The problem is stated clearly in the first para of your link:

'' While Lagos has one of Africa’s highest concentration of billionaires, the vast majority of the population struggle daily on less than $2.00 USD. ''
04:52 PM on 01/14/2012
I'd love to talk to you about ideas I have for you to get your message out more effectively and to more people! How can I reach you?
11:30 AM on 01/14/2012
Thanks Alex, you know what the problem is. Not like Jeff Sachs and Paul Colliers who are ignorant about what we fighting for. Without solving the problem of corruption no matter the amounts that go to government nothing will come out of it. Terfa
02:20 AM on 01/14/2012
Oil being vital to the world economy, one has to wonder about the wisdom of our saber-rattling in the Middle East or our indifference to the impoverished people of Nigeria. 
Whatever the cost of the fuel subsidy to the Nigerian government, it is far less than the cost of an oil shutdown to the ailing global economy.  
Indeed, should we pause to figured this cost out, we would send our leaders rushing to the aid of Nigeria. 
When are we going to learn that it is no longer "us" or "them" anymore.  It is only us now.  
We're in this together, as a world family. And like a  family we must help each other in times of need. 
No matter who we are or where we are, we all breathe and bleed the same; we all love and cry the same; and we all hope and dream the same.  Infinitely more unites us than whatever sets us apart. 
It's about time we accept this basic truth and try to solve our problems as a world family that we are.Â