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Amb. Marc Ginsberg

Amb. Marc Ginsberg

Posted: June 15, 2009 08:32 PM

Is Katherine Harris in Tehran?


The bloodshed and civil disorder in the streets of Tehran -- unseen since the 1979 revolution that overthrew Shah Reza Pahlavi -- constitutes an appropriate civil rebuke to Iran's ruling mullahs, who badly miscalculated how unpopular their brutish President Mahmoud Ahmadenijad really is among wide swaths of Iran's population.

In just 4 years, through international isolation and rampant corruption, Ahmadinejad has brought Iran's economy to the brink of collapse. And while Iranians yearn for an end to their isolation and resent Ahmadenijad's global juvenile delinquency, what has driven hundreds of thousands to the polls and subsequently into the streets is the boiling resentment against Ahmadinejad's overzealous religious brown-shirt goon squads and his utter indifference to Iran's middle-class economic suffering.

Iranian reporters based in the Persian Gulf with whom I have been communicating are actually shocked that the regime (which has so many secret policemen) could have been so tone deaf as to allegedly attempt to rig this presidential election leaving behind so so many telltale muddy footprints to be contested by anyone who has a fundamental understanding of Iran's jury-rigged electoral system. An election that by all accounts brought out a unprecedented protest vote directly against Ahmadinejad and indirectly, against the Supreme Leader himself. It's as if Florida's 2000 election fraud maven -- Katherine Harris -- was up to her old tricks, this time as a hired gun in Tehran.

For weeks, it was increasingly clear from the electoral fervor that Iranians who had sat out the last election were determined not to commit the same mistake again. The spike in voter turnout among younger, more educated and more affluent Iranians who sat out the election in 2005 suggests that the election had to have been far closer than the comical vote count breathlessly issued by the Ayatollahs' hand-picked vote counters less than 30 minutes after the polls closed.

Did "Supreme Vote Counter" Ali Khamenei actually believe that the voting had to be extended by hours because so many Iranians were driven to express their joyous approval of his hand-picked protege and his bankrupt policies?

While there were no independent international observers to monitor the polls, local polling reports from many Iranian cities where challenger Mir Hossein Mousavi was known to be widely popular point to the strong possibility of a manipulated count. Indeed, Ahmadinejad's Interior Ministry cronies put out voting totals suggesting that their leader overwhelmingly won in Mousavi strongholds, i.e. he piled up huge margins in urban as well as rural areas and allegedly won in Mousavi's home city and home province. Now, we're talking about Ahmadenijad beating a very, very popular opponent on his own turf. Its akin to asserting that "W" beat Gore in New York City and every other metropolitan area in the east and west coasts.

And the way the result was announced was unprecedented. Usually, in all previous elections, the vote came in and was announced province by province. This time, as if on cue from a higher hand, the results came in blocks of millions of votes -- in percentages of the vote in a country where there are no network predictions as soon as the polls close. Votes are hand counted, yet the results were announced in unison as if someone gave the signal to issue the results simultaneously.

It is all very, very suspicious, to say the least!

The fate of the Ayatollah's Shiite paradise may be hanging in the balance. The next few days will determine whether Khamenei can quell the civil disorder.

But do not underestimate the determination of Ahmadinejad and his legions of blindly loyal Revolutionary Guards to use the very violence in the streets of Tehran against Iran's citizens that the Shah himself refused to use against his people in 1979, which ultimately led to his downfall and exile. Just like the Chinese at Tiananmen, the Iranian theocracy has no qualms throwing thousands in Evan -- Iran's notorious prison of torture or killing them. And tonight, Ahmadinejad's police did just that -- fire upon and kill protesters.

In what likely will be a vain attempt to separate himself from the street commotion, Ayatollah Khamenei stated today that he has ordered the Guardian Council to conduct an "investigation" into Mousavi's assertion that the election was fraudulent. A report is supposed to be issued in 10 days.

That has the malodorous odor of a Florida recount!

Unlike his predecessor Jimmy Carter, who grossly miscalculated what the Iranian Revolution would mean to American interests in the Middle East, President Obama's measured statements this evening expressing empathy for the protesters while steering clear of giving any ammunition to Ahmadenijad against the U.S. struck the right measured and sophisticated balance. But this balancing act is going to be hard to maintain if the violence in Tehran's streets sharply escalates. Yet anything more than what Obama stated this evening would clearly risk transforming the situation into an anti-American clarion call by the Ayatollah's henchclerics, and that must be avoided at all costs given the stakes for Obama's policy of engaging Iran.

The whole world is watching, because even if Ahmadinejad is able to cling to power, the rioting has shaken Iran's clerical establishment to the core. The consequences may not be seen for weeks, or even months, but for once there is little doubt that Ayatollah Khamenei is the one not sleeping well at night while Ahmadinejad plots his next repressive moves against Iran's protesters.

The bloodshed and civil disorder in the streets of Tehran -- unseen since the 1979 revolution that overthrew Shah Reza Pahlavi -- constitutes an appropriate civil rebuke to Iran's ruling mullahs, who ...
The bloodshed and civil disorder in the streets of Tehran -- unseen since the 1979 revolution that overthrew Shah Reza Pahlavi -- constitutes an appropriate civil rebuke to Iran's ruling mullahs, who ...
 
 
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06:15 PM on 06/16/2009
While it may be true that the media has lost track of Ms. Harris, what is going on in Iran is so badly done that she has to be exonerated of it. She is far too skilled in these matters (as is Mr. Rove - whom the Iranian government should have hired as a technical adviser). The Iranian government rejects all things from the USA, but this is one area where the GOP has shown insolent skill. They should have bought American.
05:33 PM on 06/16/2009
Marc, thank you for the humourous headline !!!!!! Unfortunately, Iran reads as the shrub in the USA.

We all know that Katherine had her hands in that one.
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11:18 AM on 06/16/2009
Iran Election Results: Ahmadinejad, Rival Both Claim Election Win
Ahmadinejad has hired campaign consultant Katherine Harris and has vowed to take his case to the Florida Supreme Court if results are challanged.

posted Jun 13, 2009 at 07:45:42
11:15 AM on 06/16/2009
If the former Ambassador is so concerned with voter fraud, let him write a column on the Minnesota race where after a solid lead won by Norm Colman, Al Franken miraculously overcame not only Coleman's lead but registered a solid lead over his opponent. Ginsberg is guilty of selective outrage. He writes only about matters he agrees with.
11:24 AM on 06/16/2009
Yah, sure, I'll have a cuppa that, along with a piece of that deflection pie...
11:39 AM on 06/16/2009
I don't know what the heck you are saying. Speak English.
dmac
I'll explain later.
02:53 PM on 06/16/2009
Do you seriously equate MN with Iran?
10:50 AM on 06/16/2009
quite the funny guy,,, maybe it was closer to Philadelphia where Black Panthers for Obama were intimidating voters
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csavage
01:57 PM on 06/16/2009
As opposed to Pittsburgh where McCain campaign workers were drawing "B"s on their faces and saying they were assaulted at ATM machines?
Story broken to Drudge by McCain's own campaign staff, BTW.....
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pkafin
04:46 PM on 06/16/2009
Be honest with us csavage. That was a backwards "B" she drew on her own face.

"B" for Bwhahahahaha!
10:30 AM on 06/16/2009
This election doesn't matter as long as Iran continues to be ultimately run by the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei with strict accordance to Islamic Law. The president of Iran is 2nd in command and has only authorization over setting the country's budget. The problem with Iran becoming a nuclear state has nothing to do with who is president of Iran. This whole matter about Iran's elections is being blown out of proportion as far as diplomacy is concerned and more importantly has no bearing on the United States foreign policy towards Iran.
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csavage
02:07 PM on 06/16/2009
It makes all the difference in the world. The Iranian people elected what they thought was a moderate 4 years ago and saw their country pushed in a direction they didn't want it to go. Now they see they leaders rattling sabers with the only country on the planet to use nuclear weapons in war. I'd protest too!
dmac
I'll explain later.
10:09 AM on 06/16/2009
Since an astounding number of people here seem to have no clue as to the depth and breadth of Katherine Harris' impact on the 2000 "elections", may I suggest they google 'Katherine Harris purge voters'. It wasn't hanging chads or confusing ballots; it was disallowing eligible voters, primarily AA (there's a shock), from excersising their right to vote that allowed Bush to do all that he did to this country. The sad thing is that there weren't any riots in the streets.

It was, of course, subtle. And that famous Liberal Media (sic) we all hear so much about (of course, we also hear a lot about Santa Claus and the Easter Bunny) didn't quite make it headline news. But, gee, those 'hanging chad' jokes were just so darn funny. Rigging an election. Yup, a kneeslapper.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Florida_Central_Voter_File
09:52 AM on 06/16/2009
If I remember correctly, just like the media did in Florida, the election was called for Ahmadinejad a couple of hours before the polls closed. I mean, if you want to talk about similarities.
10:14 AM on 06/16/2009
Anyone who seriously compares Iran's election to Florida in 2000 needs to put down the koolaid pitcher. Florida was legal. Democrative lawyers decended on Florida as Al Gore cherry picked the most Democratic counties in the state to "count every vote" except the military votes he tried to throw out. Read Bill Sammon's book and you'll see where the Bush campaign actually sued to save military ballots from being thrown out, even if they were registered Democrats. http://theclosetconservative.com
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RobertHenryEller
I saw Ray Charles perform.
10:51 AM on 06/16/2009
Read again: Harris disqualified literally thousands of correctly registered and eligible voters, without notifying them. They just happened to be mostly poor and Black. Harris somehow didn't similarly disqualify any Hispanic voters, who polled conservative and Republican.

The vote count didn't matter as much as the fact that thousands of voters were not allowed to vote.

Sammon's book, whoever Sammon is, worth it's weight in toilet paper.
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Tsar Bomba
Socialism Now!
10:51 AM on 06/16/2009
Bill Sammon a shill for GWB.
09:31 AM on 06/16/2009
They had their Mullahs decide, we allowed the surpreme court to decide. At least, Minnesota people aren't aggresive.
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RickO
Musician, Atheist
09:22 AM on 06/16/2009
"You know, comrades," says Stalin, "that I think in regard to this: I consider it completely unimportant who in the party will vote, or how; but what is extraordinarily important is this — who will count the votes, and how."

From Boris Bazhanov's "Memoirs of Stalin's Former Secretary", translated from Russian.
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carpdd
Carpenter, Dad, Independent
09:20 AM on 06/16/2009
Dr. Brezinski appeared on Morning Joe (Mika) and was very articulate as to how the President Obama administration should proceed so as not to dampen the efforts for Iranian ground swell for Democracy.
The true leaders of Iran recognize the fact that they must address this situation if they want to maintain a sense of unity in this puppet regime. I think the EU was too quick to accept the obviously faulty claim of the present figure head. I think the GOP could actually learn something from our President, words matter and definitely has consequences. I hope and pray that the Iranian citizenry gets to have their vote counted ! I also pray that this nation never again puts in office someone so devoid of character or unbelievable ignorance again. The Bush administration has taken this nation in such a crippled state on the world stage and I do believe that it was none other than Katherine (brown noser) Harris that single handedly is responsible.
09:09 AM on 06/16/2009
There's a very interesting piece on Stratfor (free access) on why the West doesn't really understand Iran.

http://www.stratfor.com/weekly/20090615_western_misconceptions_meet_iranian_reality

And therefore why it continues to harbor illusions.
09:08 AM on 06/16/2009
No, it's not kathryn. It's ICORN
09:05 AM on 06/16/2009
Mr. Ginsburg is being disingenuous and taking a cheap shot. Comparing Harris who simply followed the law in Florida to the despots in Teheran. Quite frankly that's beneath him and he should know better. The election was going to be a fraud anyway, and President Obama has missed a golden opportunity. He could say to the people in Iran who yeard for freedom, we are with you. Instead he made some tepid comments about robust debate, and plans to engage the regime even if Achmadinajad is the head of it. http://theclosetconservative.com
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AsISaid
02:12 PM on 06/16/2009
Harris and Ken Blackwell were both complicit in questionable elections. If you think elections aren't manipulated in this country, you are extremely naive. Harris and Blackwell just weren't slick enough. Yes, you'd expect fraud in a country led by a despot. You wouldn't expect it in the good 'ol USA.

As far as Obama getting publically involved, that would be the dumbest thing he could do right now and to suggest so is assinine. You assume that Obama's recent speech had nothing to do with people standing up in Iran, and that's a wrong assumption. Geo-political events are a little more subtle than you, your mentor Mr. Cheney, or your brains Mr. Limbaugh or Mr. O'Reilly would have you believe.
09:05 AM on 06/16/2009
hah hah hah ,, you are so funny..... Actually , ACORN has descended on IRAN
dmac
I'll explain later.
09:57 AM on 06/16/2009
Listen to a news source other than Fox sometimes. See, ACORN made the mistake pf paying people per voter registered. Those people padded their numbers, making up names in order to be paid more. NO VOTER FRAUD OCCURRED....unless, of course, Mickey Mouse actually turned up at the polls and was allowed to vote.

I bet you still think the problem in Florida in 2000 was hanging chads, too. Sound Bites are the fast food of news --- not meant to be your sole diet.