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Amb. Marc Ginsberg

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Time to Reset Russia's Syrian Offense

Posted: 02/ 1/2012 3:20 pm

It's high time to toss aside diplomatic niceties and place Russia in the diplomatic stockade, along with China and India for good measure (which are Russia's fellow UN Security Council offenders), in its conspiracy to shelter the illegitimate Bashar al-Assad from global wrath. Pure and simple, the Kremlin's ignoble efforts to "slow mo" any collective international action against the outlaw Syrian regime is, I regret to say, the diplomatic equivalent of facilitating felony murder. Moscow deservedly earns the indictment given Russia's reckless racketeering on behalf of Assad's regime as it transforms Syria into a free fire zone.

So where are the marches of outraged fraternal Arab allies on Russia's Middle East diplomatic posts?

Under the cover of Vladimir Putin's full court protection, Assad's security forces have unleashed the bloodiest offensive yet against defenseless Syrians. Major Syrian cities are under indiscriminate tank and artillery fire, including the outskirts of Damascus, which had been under growing rebel control. By latest count over 6,500 Syrian civilians have died, and countless tens of thousands more have been tortured and wounded.

Assad has reverted full throttle to his father, Hafez's "Hama Rules" 1982 playbook -- surround Syrian cities and unleash a merciless barrage of indiscriminate fire power against any edifice in the crosshairs: homes, buildings, schools, hospitals, you name it no matter who and how many men, women and children are killed and wounded.

If Americans and the rest of the world could see for themselves what is now taking place in Syria's restive cities, the media would be in a feeding frenzy demanding concerted international action against the perpetrators. Alas, if there is one thing Assad did right to save his regime, it was to deny the media independent access to Syria.

In 1982, the elder Assad massacred 20,000 of his own citizens. "Baby Doc" Bashar is nothing more than a crueler chip off the old block -- who would have guessed that the once gentle ophthalmologist could muster the evilness to wreak such havoc on his population? Good tutoring from Putin and Ahmadinejad? At the rate the younger Assad is murdering his own people he just may exceed his father's 1982 atrocity.

The Kremlin ordered its envoy to the UN Security Council to block a benign draft resolution proposed by Morocco on behalf of its fellow Arab League members to propose that Bashar al-Assad yield the Syrian presidency to his deputy and develop a transitional unity government that would organize elections within two months. The draft resolution has been so watered down as a sop to Russian sensitivities by its Arab and European sponsors that it neither calls for military action by Council members, much less additional economic sanctions. Yet Moscow has warned that the draft is "unacceptable" (aka veto bait).

Perhaps Prime Minister Putin should use this interregnum between Council meetings to reflect on the consequences of his actions. If Russia vetoes the resolution, which is a reasonable path to a political settlement inside Syria, it would constitute a vote against fundamental principles of the UN Charter and a good part of the democratic world should be outraged; but, knowing Putin, not surprised.

It may take longer, but Assad and his clique will eventually be gone -- but at what cost to Syria's future stability? An all-out civil war brought to us no less than by a callous Kremlin?

As I wrote in these pages last October, Russia and China vetoed a draft resolution which merely "condemned" the violence committed by the Assad regime, portending Russia's determination to shelter Assad from any pressure to make tangible concessions to his political opponents.

Russia has been the Assad family's steadfast global "muscle" for over 50 years. Syria is one of the Kremlin's most profitable arms purchasers (and as we speak Russian arms are pouring into Syria). But Putin has made a bad bet staying in bed with Assad. In the end, when Assad is brought before the World Court in the Hague, or is hunted down like Gaddafi, the Syrian people will not soon forget that it was Russia that enabled Assad's killing fields.

Unfortunately, given the diplomatic squabble over a relatively toothless resolution the impending showdown in the Security Council will not produce a decisive plan to force Assad's finger off the trigger. It will take the leadership of the Arab League's key players, along with Turkey, to lay the groundwork for something more than what the Russians will abide by.

Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov stated that it was his government's goal to facilitate an internal Syrian solution without outside military intervention. So why is Russia rushing more and more arms to Syria -- if that is not military intervention by design, what is? If he is to be believed, the U.S., Europe and their Arab allies should keep the Security Council in round the clock session until hell freezes over (to coin a historic demarche made by then U.S. envoy to the U.N. Adlai Stevenson during the 1962 Cuban missile crisis) to force Russia into accepting a resolution that paves the way for that very internal solution the Russians claim they support.

That, at the very least, is what it has come down to at the UN when dealing with Assad's atrocities and may be the last best chance to avert an even bloodier and dangerous civil war inside Syria that would spill over throughout the region.

P.S. Memo to the White House: The Kremlin is acting at the UN and bilaterally as if there was no reset in relations. Further Russian arms shipments to Syria as long as the violence escalates is like pouring fuel on an escalating fire. It is outrageous and the Russians should be called out on the continuing arms transfers to Assad. Time to get that button out again.

 

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09:03 PM on 02/02/2012
Bashar's dad had little to no objection of his fellow Islamic leaders, as he slaughtered 20,000 plus of his own citizens some 30 years ago. And, it appears that Bashar has a green light to follow in dad's murderous footsteps without much in the way of opposition from the other 56 Islamic states. At least, to date, Israel hasn't been blamed for the Syrian slaughters, or the killings that took place in Egypt yesterday courtesy of the much heralded "Arab Spring." But, I'm certain that the so-called "progressives" will somehow relate these tragic murders to Israel's existence.
jhNY
Mercy.
02:54 PM on 02/02/2012
As there aren't nearly enough qualifiers damning those with whom the author takes umbrage, nor enough qualifiers letting the reader just who the good guys or the good policies are, I don't know how to react.
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Paul Stacey
01:28 PM on 02/02/2012
Just another step in the revival of the cold war. Wouldn't surprise me if there turned out to be anice little slush fund hidden away for Mr Putin by the Western MIC.
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10:43 AM on 02/02/2012
The Syrian people has proven beyond any doubt that it is the part of humanity that is ready to pay more than any other part of humanity to get democracy and dignity.
This people will win and become a major decider in the ME. Those human rights disdainers like Russia and China will regret their present shameful positions. The Steve Jobs of Syria will make it also become the most prosperous country in the ME.
10:12 AM on 02/02/2012
I live for the day when the corporate mass-media no longer allows such hypocritical articles be published in their names.

The US and Saudi Arabia have no business interfering in the relationship between Russia and Syria.

For once, stop focusing on the idea of Anglo-American empire to restructure the banking system.
10:10 AM on 02/02/2012
not sure why israeli firsters like the author are so adament to get rid Assad. I'm sure any group that takes over will be more hostile to Israel than Assad. At least Assad is secular.
There is no way assad will leave power without a civil war which is terrible for the region. They need somehow negotiate with assad and push reforms similar to whats happening in morocco and jordan
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Sam Damon
Do or do not, there is no try.
06:35 AM on 02/02/2012
Bashar Assad isn't in control of Syria. Well entrenched political and military power coalitions that existed from his fathers era control the governments actions. These people are not going to hand over power quietly. Should the regime fall, who will take power? Smart money is on the Muslim Brotherhood or another Islamist political entity. Regardless regime change in Syria has enormous regional stability implications and moreover security implications for Israel. Behind closed doors we should be thanking the Russians for blocking further UN action.
05:27 AM on 02/02/2012
Hi guys. In Saudi Arabia, all rallies and demonstrations against the regime's policies are outlawed. Where is your indignation?
10:12 AM on 02/02/2012
because they are our puppet. We only hate tyrants that don't listen to us. other tyrants are ok as long they give us cheap oil and don't hate israel. they can torture their people all they want.
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BARRISTER
05:00 AM on 02/02/2012
Why is it that when a Country does not agree with U.S/Israeli Policy that Country is a " Rogue Nation " ( my words, Ginsberg's meaning ) ? What makes us "Correct" and/or "Right" everytime? Why must we be so dictatorial - and, by definition, hypocritical ??
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Alois SaintMartin
aloistmartinsequinox.blogspot.com
02:28 AM on 02/02/2012
Does this mean you wont be coming over for Russian Sushi this evening Amb. Ginsbourg ?
02:16 AM on 02/02/2012
Syria is, for the foreseeable future, a no-win scenario. The Assad regime, supported by such fine democratic nations as Russia and Iran, is a brutal mafia that does not hesitate to repress the Syrian people with surveillance, torture and execution. It supports Hizbullah and Hamas and interferes with Lebanese politics, seeing a vision of "Greater Syria" as its mandate. On the other hand...if the Assad machine crumbles, it's likely that secular, educated Syrians will not be able to guide the restructuring of Syria; it will be motivated Islamists, which bodes well for none.
Then there's another issue: million of Arab refugees of former British Mandatory Palestine, still languishing in squalid UN-run camps after over 60 years, many in Syria and Syrian-influenced Lebanon, denied citizenship, homes, jobs, and opportunity....
07:46 AM on 02/02/2012
Syria is, for the foreseeabl¬e future, a no-win scenario.
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You are right

The Assad regime, supported by such fine democratic nations as Russia and Iran, is a brutal mafia that does not hesitate to repress the Syrian people with surveillan¬ce, torture and execution.
------------------------------------
You are too optimistic

It supports Hizbullah and Hamas and interferes with Lebanese politics, seeing a vision of "Greater Syria" as its mandate.
--------------------------------
Greater Syria ? Sounds funny…
08:06 AM on 02/02/2012
Here's a link about "Greater Syria." Very important in understanding Syrian political thinking and ambitions.
http://www.aljazeera.com/focus/arabunity/2008/02/2008525183842614205.html
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Boduognat
Lasciate ogne speranza, voi ch'entrate.
03:45 PM on 02/02/2012
"...Then there's another issue: million of Arab refugees of former British Mandatory Palestine..."

You're absolutely right. They should be allowed to return home.

And amm foreign occupation(s) ought to be put to a halt as well.
02:25 AM on 02/03/2012
The so-called "right of return" is a sixty-plus year old delusion that will never happen. Utterly unrealistic. The key is resettlement.
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Freenation
01:56 AM on 02/02/2012
I will start taking ambassador seriously the day he will start acting like one, till date the only material which I see coming from him is: war, war and more wars...he should have taken a job in some defense establishment instead of being a diplomat.,
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Greg Mirsky
Riga dimd, Riga dimd, Kas to Rigu dimdinaj?
01:23 AM on 02/02/2012
"The Kremlin is acting at the UN and bilaterally as if there was no reset in relations. "
What "reset"? Anyone who reads Russian press, watches Russian TV (there's no independent TV, BTW), listens to radio talk shows, would not even mention "reset". What a joke! On par with "I've looked in the eyes of Vladimir ..."
Not only Putin and Medvedev felt cheated, this time by Obama, on UN Resolution of Libya, but Putin, as certain next President for another 12 years, sees Libyan and now Syrian scenario as possibility for himself. And he most certainly doesn't want another precedent of interference into what he sees as internal affair on UN blessing. He's concerned that "Arab Spring" might become "Russian Spring". Hence Russia's position or, more precisely, opposition to UN Resolution.
Now what would I do, I was Director (it was well-known series of articles in the Literaturnaya Gazeta). I'd bring Resolution, US abstains, Russia or China vetoes and Arab League can do whatever they want. But Russia is exposed as unfriendly to the Arab League and it might make easier to convince them to increase oil production that would not only hit Iran (great) but will hurt Putin (extra bonus). Remember, fall of oil prices significantly contributed to fall of the Soviet Union.
07:21 AM on 02/02/2012
What "reset"? Anyone who reads Russian press, watches Russian TV (there's no independen¬t TV, BTW), listens to radio talk shows, would not even mention "reset". What a joke!
------------------------------
And what does it mean for Russia “Reset” ?
I read a lot of Russian press.. Everybody in Russia know this word..
But what the REAL results for Russia ?

Putin, as certain next President for another 12 years, sees Libyan and now Syrian scenario as possibilit¬y for himself.
----------------
You are from West my friend – you know nothing ‘bout Russia – only what you received
from independent press/TV

He's concerned that "Arab Spring" might become "Russian Spring".
-------------------------------------------
May be European spring ? or American ? Why not ? Who goes bust ?

But Russia is exposed as unfriendly to the Arab League and it might make easier to convince them to increase oil production that would not only hit Iran (great) but will hurt Putin (extra bonus).
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It’s good thing to think about geopolitics…
BUT my friend – you are from Latvia – now this country bankrupt and surviving only
thank to EU aid
Before attacking Putin think about your little problems

Remember, fall of oil prices significan¬tly contribute¬d to fall of the Soviet Union
-----------------------------------
No it is not – at this time we have tooo much people who can’t work and earn money –
now they have independence… and no many at all

Its fare
11:31 PM on 02/01/2012
an israeli firster trying to make sense of something he knows nothing about....
10:50 PM on 02/01/2012
Russia's obduracy on behalf of Syria's clapped out dictator is a typical example of Putin's myopic view of world affairs. He does not seem to realise that the Arab Spring represents the start of a fundamental shift in Middle East affairs. The Arab league has had the good sense to realise this and by opposing them at the UN he is acting against Russia's long term interests, until such time he is replaced by someone with more commonsense.