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Andreas Schleicher

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U.S. Education Is Getting Left Behind

Posted: 12/10/2012 11:00 am

The U.S. is now the only country in the industrialised world in which the generation entering the workforce does not have higher college attainment levels than the generation about to leave the workforce. In part, that is of course due to the traditionally high levels of college attainment in the U.S. It is simply much harder to move the frontier than to catch up with it. But it is also clear that an increasing number of countries have approached and surpassed U.S. graduation levels and others are bound to follow over the coming years. In 1995, the U.S. ranked second after New Zealand in terms of college graduation among 19 countries with comparable data. In 2010, it ranked 13th among 25 countries with comparable data. While the college graduation rate in the U.S. grew from 33 percent to 38 percent over this period, on average across OECD countries it virtually doubled, from 20 percent to 39 percent.

What is more troubling is that the odds of attaining a college degree are clearly stacked up against disadvantaged Americans. Of course, the U.S. is not alone in this. In every OECD country, the odds that a 20-34 year-old attends higher education increase with the educational attainment level of his or her parents. However, in the U.S. this relationship is far more pronounced than in many other countries. Only 29 percent of the children of parents without a high school degree obtain a college degree, compared with a OECD average of 44 percent. These odds are below every other OECD country except Canada and New Zealand. By contrast, the odds that a young person in the U.S. will be in higher education if his or her parents have a college degree are 158 percent.

The increasing impact of advanced skills on people's life chances -- whether it is employment, earnings or social participation, makes it a priority to do better in providing all talented students, regardless of their background, with access to advanced education.

Rising levels of tuition, already the highest in the industrialised world by a large margin, can make it harder for disadvantaged students to obtain a tertiary degree. Of course, social inequities in access to college education that result from a high financial burden on households need to be balanced against inequities that would have been the result of limited growth because of financial and capacity constraints. That may also explain why OECD data show no cross-country relationship between the level of tuition countries charge and the participation of disadvantaged youth in tertiary education.

But one reason why some countries do well with providing equitable college access despite charging high levels of tuition is that they provide universal and income-contingent loan systems for students. The loans reduce the liquidity constraints faced by individuals at the time of study while the income-contingent nature of the loans system addresses the risk and uncertainty faced by individuals (insurance against inability to repay) and improve the progressiveness of the overall system (lower public subsidy for graduates with higher private returns). In these systems the repayments of graduates correspond to a proportion of their earnings and low earners make low or no repayments and graduates with low lifetime earnings end up not repaying their loans in full. But even the best loan system is often not sufficient.

There is ample evidence that youth from low-income families or from families with poorly educated parents, but also youth who just don't have good information on the benefits of tertiary education, underestimate the net benefits of tertiary education. That is why many countries now complement their loan schemes with means-tested grants or tuition waivers for vulnerable groups. In some cases, these grants address the full extent the financial barriers students face in accessing tertiary education, by raising both the loan entitlement and the student grant to levels adequate to cover tuition and living costs.

Surely, those loan and grant systems cost money. But the costs are just a tiny fraction of the added fiscal income due to better educated individuals paying higher taxes.

But there is something else the U.S. needs to become better at if it wants to improve equitable access to college: The impact of students' social background on their learning outcomes at age 15, as measured by PISA in 2000, explained 37 percent of the between-country variation in the proportion of students from families with low levels of education who were enrolled in higher education in 2009. In other words, where countries do not succeed to moderate the impact of social background on success in school, they are unlikely to address the equity challenge in tertiary education. That is a much tougher policy challenge than figuring out the financing of higher education. But the outcomes from PISA show that it can be addressed. Whether it is Finland in Europe, Canada in North America or Japan or Korea in Asia, these countries achieve strong learning outcomes not just overall but also for their most disadvantaged students. The data also show that rapid improvement is possible. A major overhaul of Poland's school system helped to dramatically reduce performance variability among schools, turn around the lowest performing schools and raise overall performance by more than half a school year. Portugal was able to consolidate its fragmented school system and improve both overall performance and equity. And so did Chile, Germany and Hungary.

Those comparisons show what is possible in education. They take away excuses from those who are complacent. And they help to set meaningful targets in terms of measurable goals achieved by the world's educational leaders.

 
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10:16 PM on 01/10/2013
Schleisher claims that the rate of college attainment among today’s young people entering the workforce is less than it was for the generation that is nearing retirement. According to the U.S. Census Bureau, in 2009, among adults aged 25-34, 30.9% had attained a bachelor’s degree or more, while among adults aged 45-64, 28.6% had attained at least a bachelor’s degree. This statistic includes higher degrees. When only bachelor’s degrees are considered, the 25-34 age group outpaces the 45 to 64 years old group by nearly 3 percentage points.
Schleisher also claims that the U.S. now ranks 13th among 25 comparable countries in the OECD, whereas it used to rank 2nd among 19 comparable countries, citing rates of tertiary education among different OECD countries. However, tertiary education may not be comparable between different countries. Tertiary education is defined in the OECD report as at least a 2 year postsecondary education program, which may or may not be officially recognized nationally. Perhaps a better comparison would be amongst 4 year accredited programs, or similar such programs.
Furthermore, in the same report that Schleisher cited, when considering Tertiary-type A and advanced research programs (such as PhD programs), the U.S. ranks number 2 behind Norway for the entire population age 25-64, which is important considering that many individuals might not begin advanced degrees until later.

By: Darren Wurz
10:23 AM on 01/10/2013
Interesting that he mentioned the Polish system. Poland and other east-European countries have free universities and that only results into a many people with completely useless degrees. And that only means people have trouble finding job, because everyone can have a degree now. That´s even more troubling. That´s why they often prefer to study abroad and then go back. It may be expensive, but the quality of education is better. Still, US universities have such a great name worldwide and people will rather chose to go there than somewhere else. Not only the famous ones, but some of my friends who got scholarships thanks to playing sports were quite content with the education.

However, I just read this article about Canada quickly becoming the number one in world education : http://jamiesarner.com/toronto-life/2012/12/canada-most-educated-country/ I think it´s a nice counter article to this post. Do you think that maybe in the near future students from abroad will rather go there?
04:03 PM on 01/07/2013
From the UK, US higher ed looks pretty darn good! We have a whole market for sending students to the US, attracted by all the financial aid opportunities and the great Liberal Arts programs. See "Uni in the USA", for example - a guide specially written for British students.
03:59 PM on 01/07/2013
If you come from the UK, you realise just how lucky the US is to have the amazing higher education that it does. Not just because of the quality of teaching. It's expensive yes, but there's so much financial aid available in comparison to what we're used to. Hence there's a whole market for sending UK students to US unis, like this website: http://www.uniintheusa.com/ - Brits love it!
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perlin
07:51 PM on 12/12/2012
Mr. Schleicher can you say " thank you, NCLB and RTTT for your exceptional qualities in bringing U.S. education down ?
07:50 AM on 12/12/2012
The public schools in the US started declining when the Federal government came in and took over. Now the schools are ran by judges, lawyers, and politicians. They have tied the hands of teachers and principals when it comes to school discipline. Teachers have to teach the test, not subject material. Students graduate with a diploma in: "a, b, c, or d" and are now at a disadvantage when it comes to thinking and problem solving without four choices.
04:52 AM on 12/12/2012
Dear Andreas, the problem is not catching up with a college education which is over 90% useless in the internet technological 21st century. We can no longer graduate liberal arts majors in huge quantities which can't find jobs in the real world. WHAT you teach is more important than how much you teach and we need quality education and not dysfunctional quantity education in our bureaucratic education system. We need a heavy emphasis on CALCULATOR mathematics, budgeting, and probability. Teaching words without making logical connections by using Venn diagrams does not train students to think logically but lets them continue to exist in an emotionally driven lifestyle devoid of problem solving abilities. All students should be taught that we live in a probabilistic world where reaching goals is not a certainty but only a probability and basic phrases like most of the time, some of the time, and rarely should predominate in our verbal discussions. My book EDUCATION REFORM available on Kindle or Nook Book by searching under may name shows all the necessary solutions to bringing about a just educational system which knows WHAT to teach and how to teach it so that slow learners and fast learners are not penalized by teaching to the average student in the classroom. The solution is ultimately individualized interactive audio visual computer education where you can proceed at your own pace and reach appropriate educational achievement skill levels and even graduate early if you are a fast learner.
08:53 AM on 12/13/2012
Uh," individualized interactive audio visual computer education" was tried in the late 80's, 90's and totally abandoned after that. It does not work alone. Human beings learn best with social interaction - it's called scaffolding and anyone who knows and understands how people learn like say, teachers know this. Throw a kid in front of a computer or tablet and I guarantee they will be playing Angry Birds within 10 seconds.
09:02 AM on 12/13/2012
Angry bird rewards on the screen and other interesting rewards for getting answers right on the screen have never been tried and the traditional dry subject matter presented on the screen will just not work. It is still in its infancy but computer education can be made to be educational and fun at the same time only it hasn't been done yet correctly!!!
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AvgJoeBlow
We are smarter than any of us.
06:00 AM on 12/11/2012
The 800lb Gorilla in the room is:
Your odds of College achievement and acceptance are dependant primarily on the Zip code your parents are paying property taxes. A great system for the wealthy, no so much for the rest of our kids.
professor
Correkt the Spelling and Pick on the Moniker
02:39 AM on 12/11/2012
If you try to hold children to a standard, and give them the grades they have actually earned, they will give you bad student evaluations, and they will tell everybody in the world that you are a bad teacher. So you had better lower your standards and give them the grades they want if you don't want your reputation besmirched and your job lost forever.
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AvgJoeBlow
We are smarter than any of us.
05:57 AM on 12/11/2012
Seems to me, we are testing them at wrong end.
ACT/SAT how about a National Matriculation Exam, and rewarded Gov't loans to performing Colledges.
Think what happens when Vermont State's Seniors outperforms Vanderbuilt?
02:37 AM on 12/11/2012
It comes down to two things-- Parents and Culture. The parents who maintain their children and their children's expectations in life. And the culture which allows us to neglect education. Independence is being used as more of an excuse than a virtue. The system, teachers, funding, and school system can come after these two things are established properly.
professor
Correkt the Spelling and Pick on the Moniker
02:34 AM on 12/11/2012
They don't need no college education. Just ask them. They're going to get a job at Old Navy, so what do they need a college education for.
08:54 AM on 12/13/2012
Not Old Navy, Walmart.
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wbearl
Retired Manager Mechanical Operations
02:12 AM on 12/11/2012
Yet we have the most expensive education system in the world. Money isn't the answer to our education problems. We have proven you can't buy a good education for everyone. Before spending more money for the same thing, let's identify our problems and fix them, then see where we stand.
08:55 AM on 12/13/2012
No we do not have the most expensive education system in the world. Where did you get that information?
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William50
12:28 AM on 12/11/2012
With no child left behind we in fact lowered the expectation.
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Chris Herz
12:18 AM on 12/11/2012
Well, my generation, the boomers are responsible for this. We took the excellent educational opportunities we had and used them to take down the Vietnam War and Jim Crow. The authorities have moved steadily to make education in the US more expensive and less available ever since.
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realitytrumpsbull
Two 'alves of coconut!
09:42 PM on 12/10/2012
Education...if commercial/industrial mass production is being taken over by automation, aren't humans just kind of in the way, obsolete and replaceable/replaced by further propagation of automation and labor-saving devices throughout the service spectrum? Change is the only constant, rise of the machines...machines that eventually, will be 'smarter' than the people wandering around looking for something to do, and constantly being tracked/monitored by their electroshocking GPS collars...