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Andrew Sum

Andrew Sum

Posted: October 8, 2010 04:53 PM

The Great Recession of 2008-2009 and its persistence in labor markets through 2010 has generated a massive increase in joblessness and rising unemployment. Job losses were very unevenly distributed across gender, age, educational attainment, and occupational groups, as well as across family income groups. Males, younger workers (under 30), blue collar workers and clerical workers, those without college degrees, and Black men experienced sharply above average job losses. Low to middle income workers also bore a highly disproportionate share of the economic burden. The labor market outcomes of the recent recession stand in sharp contrast to those of the 2001 recession which some analysts claimed to have resulted in a "democratization" of unemployment with better educated and professional/managerial workers absorbing a higher than normal share of the job losses.

There are a variety of labor market problems experienced by the nation's current workers that go well beyond the official unemployment statistics as bad as they are. For example, underemployment problems reflecting an inability of the employed to obtain desired full-time employment (35 or more hours of work per week) have reached historical proportions in the labor market recession with nine million of the employed encountering such a problem on average during 2010. There are both large losses in weekly hours of work and weekly earnings from such underemployment. High levels of joblessness and lengthening durations of unemployment also have discouraged a growing number of workers (especially the young, less educated, and lower income) from actively looking for work and have influenced some of the unemployed to withdraw from active labor force participation. During the first eight months of this year, there were between 5.5 and 6.0 million persons who wanted a job but were not actively looking. If we add these unemployed, underemployed, and hidden unemployed workers together, we end up with 30 million individuals.

Who are these underutilized workers? Do they come evenly from all income classes in America or are they heavily concentrated in certain income groups? To answer this key question, we divided American workers into seven household income categories, ranging from those with annual incomes below $20,000 at the bottom to those with annual income over $150,000 at the top. For workers in each of the above seven income groups, we estimated the percent of those in the labor force who were unemployed, and the ratio of the number of hidden unemployed to the labor force.

For each of the above three labor market problems, the relative size of the problem fell steadily and steeply as their household incomes increased. The official unemployment rates of workers were at a depression era rate of 26% for the lowest income groups to 9% for those with incomes between $40 and $60 thousand, to a low of between 3 and 4 percent for those in the highest income category. The official unemployment rate of the lowest income group was six times as high as that of the highest income groups.

Similar patterns prevailed among the underemployed and the hidden unemployed. Among employed workers from the lowest income group, 18 of every 100 were underemployed versus only 4 to 5 percent of workers in household with incomes being $60 and $75 thousand and only 2 percent of the employed with family income above $150,000. Underemployment problems were 9 times as high among low income workers as among those from the highest income group. A relative gap of six to one prevailed among the hidden unemployed.

The economic losses during the Great Recession in U.S. labor markets have been disproportionately concentrated among the nation's low and middle income workers. The incidence of each labor market problem between 2007 and 2010 also worsened most among these same income groups. Unlike the prior recession of 2001, the labor market losses were extremely regressive, creating much more economic pain in the lower half of the income distribution than at the top. A future labor market recovery must target more direct assistance to re-employing those workers in the bottom half of the income distribution from young (under 25) to middle aged to older workers.

Andrew Sum is the Director of the Center for Labor Market Studies at Northeastern University and Ishwar Khatiwada, a Senior Research Analyst at the Center.

 
The Great Recession of 2008-2009 and its persistence in labor markets through 2010 has generated a massive increase in joblessness and rising unemployment. Job losses were very unevenly distributed ac...
The Great Recession of 2008-2009 and its persistence in labor markets through 2010 has generated a massive increase in joblessness and rising unemployment. Job losses were very unevenly distributed ac...
 
 
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01:55 PM on 10/10/2010
We were warned...

http://www.counterpunch.org/roberts10082010.html
Paul Craig Roberts: America's Third World Economy

"For a number of years I reported on the monthly nonfarm payroll jobs data. The data did not support the praises economists were singing to the “New Economy.” The “New Economy” consisted, allegedly, of financial services, innovation, and high-tech services.

This economy was taking the place of the old “dirty fingernail” economy of industry and manufacturing. Education would retrain the workforce, and we would move on to a higher level of prosperity.

Time after time I reported that there was no sign of the “New Economy” jobs, but that the old economy jobs were disappearing. The only net new jobs were in lowly paid domestic services such as waitresses and bartenders, retail clerks, health care and social assistance (mainly ambulatory health care services), and, before the bubble burst, construction.

The facts, issued monthly by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, had no impact on the ”New Economy” propaganda. Economists continued to wax eloquently about how globalism was a boon for our future.

The millions of unemployed today are blamed on the popped real estate bubble and the subprime derivative financial crisis. However, the US economy has been losing jobs for a decade. As manufacturing, information technology, software engineering, research, development, and tradable professional services have been moved offshore, the American middle class has shriveled. The ladders of upward mobility that made American an “opportunity society” have been dismantled..."
12:04 PM on 10/09/2010
In response to the Great Depression, the 40 hour work week was instituted. With all the technological progress and labor saving innovations that have occurred in the last 80 years and the entry of most women into the workplace, isn't it time to reduce the standard workweek (to say 32 hours). This should soak up a lot of unemployment in a hurry, while giving the dual income families a little more time with their children. On top of this, double time as opposed to time and a half for overtime would also encourage businesses to hire more workers rather than revert to mandatory overtime. Overtime makes no sense in a country in the midst of an unemployment crisis.
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frank day
Republican = FAIL
07:51 PM on 10/09/2010
Well said Jerry,
I would only add, raise the minimum wage by 50%.
oilfield
small manufacturing business owner
12:23 AM on 10/11/2010
so what happens when someone cant afford to live on 32 hours of work....not enough money. they will never get ot to make ends meet....or will they have to get another job? what a Utopian solution.
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frank day
Republican = FAIL
04:12 AM on 10/09/2010
These are the voiceless unemployed, the low wage earners who supposedly are unlikely to vote.

They aren't children, elderly,or disabled so they don't qualify for most social services.

This is our surplus army of labor. Subsisting on p/t makeshift work and the largesse of family.

How can any 'Great Nation' afford to waste so much of its manpower?

What does it say about the Fairness of our economic system?
09:01 AM on 10/09/2010
it says EMPs are expendable
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02:39 PM on 10/09/2010
Smart and kind! People need to get going in the morning whether they have a job or not. We had a beautiful old lady who walked around the neighborhood every morning and prayed for the safety and well being of all of us. She said the walking was her medicine and never needed a doctor. She died peacefully at 96.
Jobless doesn't have to mean worthless or lazy.
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frank day
Republican = FAIL
07:49 PM on 10/09/2010
The myth that the jobless are shiftless layabouts, simply justifies the abuse of our working class.