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Anya Kamenetz

Anya Kamenetz

Posted: August 11, 2010 11:58 PM

$830 Billion in Student Loans: The New Mortgage Bubble


A strange milestone was marked this week in the history of student loans. The total balance of all outstanding US student loans (given as $730 billion in DIY U, based on OMB estimates) is now estimated by Mark Kantrowitz of Finaid.org at more like $830 billion -- $605.6 billion in federally guaranteed student loans, which have interest rates fixed and in some cases interest subsidized by the government, and a further $167.8 billion in private student loans, with interest rates that hover around 18-20%. Furthermore, Kantrowitz says, $300 billion in federal student loan debts have been incurred in the last four years.

This means the total balance of student loans has just surpassed the total balance of credit card debt for the first time in history. Each makes up roughly a third of the money Americans owe, mortgages excluded.

The good news here is that at least since the credit crisis in 2008, credit card debt has been going down slightly. Americans are saving more and spending less.

The bad news, of course, is that student loan debt is much more severe than credit card debt, because it can't be discharged in bankruptcy. That means your only "recourse" if you can't manage your loans is default, and in the case of federal loans, that means being pursued until you die. The federal government can and will seize your tax refunds, Social Security and disability payments until your dying day.

From where I'm sitting, the buildup of the national student loan balance looks like a massive betrayal of trust. People have been told for decades that this is "good" debt. In fact it's really, really bad debt. Increasingly, high unmanageable debt burdens are falling on those least prepared to deal with the stresses and costs of college: the so called "nontraditional" adult, working-class student who is more and more likely to attend for-profit colleges that cost an average of around $14,000. And 40% and higher of these students are defaulting. (The same students default on their loans at higher rates when they attend for-profits, even controlling for demographics.)

This is starting to look more and more like the mortgage bubble. What was first depicted as an exapansion of opportunity now starts to look like a massive scam perpetrated on the socially disadvantaged. The difference is that while the mortgage bubble was happening, homeownership in the US actually rose to an all-time high. Whereas while we were adding $300 billion to our national student loan tab, college attainment among young people actually fell.

Someone with experience in the for-profit college marketing business told me that the same online sales geniuses who used to work for mortgage brokers are now employed by for-profit colleges. Their business is the same: fill out the forms, get the money, consequences be damned. Will we stop them this time?

If you are moved to action, check out the good folks at Student Loan Justice , who advocate restoring bankruptcy protection for all student loans.

 
 
 

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A strange milestone was marked this week in the history of student loans. The total balance of all outstanding US student loans (given as $730 billion in DIY U, based on OMB estimates) is now estimate...
A strange milestone was marked this week in the history of student loans. The total balance of all outstanding US student loans (given as $730 billion in DIY U, based on OMB estimates) is now estimate...
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
shamanbart
12:18 AM on 08/24/2010
Can someone tell me why private colleges are $ 38 to $ 50+K per year??? That's up almost 10x from 25 years ago. I want a congressional investigation!
01:31 PM on 08/21/2010
yes, a degree is worth something to your job future - however, borrowing $30,000 for 9 years of college - it took me a while to work days and go to college at night - and now is $63,000+ due to interest that compounds while the banks held my student loans. there have been some recent changes on payments - but I've lost 2 jobs since I got my degree, I was on unemployment, I deferred, and finally took my last deferrment but the fact remains -- My income now is 1/3 what it was when I was working full time, and there is no way that I can make $400 a month payments. the banks took students to the cleaners, selling our loans weeks after we signed them. Now that it is out of the banks' hands, we are still trying to function with our consolidated loans. Yes, they should be able to file bankrupcy on student loans. I am now, having never made over $35,000 a year, on SS with less than $1000 a month. I have no apt, I now rent a room from a friend at church. But I still owe $63k in student loans. It is not as if I never tried, many of the jobs I could have done, no longer exist. So it was a good game while the banks ran it and ran us and yes, there should be some point in time - when one can file bankrupcy on student loans.
05:16 AM on 08/17/2010
Right on, Anya. Saying there's good debt and bad debt-- that's like saying there's good cancer and bad cancer, or good heroin and bad heroin. Didn't Oprah push the idea of good and bad debt? What can you expect from someone who was promoting that stupid flim-flam book "The Secret" on her show? Now even RN graduates are having trouble finding jobs. That's a bad situation to be in if you owe the Sallie Mae loan sharks money.

http://www.topix.net/forum/source/los-angeles-daily-news/TD2D51IQI3T16N5DM
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03:29 AM on 08/17/2010
Our country is way overpopulated, there will never be enough jobs for everyone and thats a fact.When the bubble burst's we are all in trouble.It's just ashame that our country is going in the direction It's in, and alot of good people are going to lose,because of our corrupt government.I hope the capitalist are happy, they have ruined our country.
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JayDDrew
Facts are neither conservative or liberal.
09:17 PM on 08/15/2010
I disagree with the author totally. The entire purpose of getting a college education is to get a better, ie, higher paying job. The reason it is called "good debt" is you are investing in your education and, thus, your financial future. http://usgovinfo.about.com/gi/o.htm?zi=1/XJ&zTi=1&sdn=usgovinfo&cdn=newsissues&tm=29&gps=373_161_1020_570&f=00&tt=2&bt=1&bts=1&zu=http%3A//www.census.gov/prod/2002pubs/p23-210.pdf
To save you the trouble of digging thru the reference, a college degree is worth $900,000 more in lifetime earnings. I think that's worth 20, 30 or even $50,000 in student loans. But, buyer beware: make sure you're getting a degree in a field that is hiring.
Yes, there are always people who have problems, particularly health problems. Sixty Minutes had a segment on earlier this year with some examples of that and other student loan problems people have. But that should be the exception, not the rule.
01:46 PM on 08/16/2010
That million dollar college degree boost is a myth. Don't forget 4 years of underemployment. Buyer beware? Are you kidding?

GIVE EVERYONE A DEGREE! MAKE ALL EXISTING DEGREES WORTHLESS!

Read this:

http://mba-underground.686460.n3.nabble.com/Altucher-College-Is-A-Scam-And-The-College-Presidents-Know-It-Is-td833515.html#a833515
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George Hanshaw
There are none so blind as those who will not see.
08:53 PM on 08/15/2010
One of the many things that increased the cost of higher education over the last several decades was the proliferation of degree programs of rather dubious utility, many of whose graduates can find jobs only if they manage to find some other hitherto uninfected college to hire them to start new degree programs in a manner that puts one to mind of a self-licking ice cream cone.

Back in the 1960s we built things, and one of the most popular fields of study was engineering. By the seventies the emphasis was on the social 'sciences' as we churned out legions of MSWs. But also started in the 1970s were program after program of ethnic and gender and LGBT degree programs.

Don't get me wrong, I have nothing in particular against ethnic or gender or LGBT issues. Let me explain:

I had a friend who loved anthropology. He asked his anthro prof what someone could do with a PhD in anthropology. He was told he could teach anthropology. He asked how about a bachelor;s degree? He was told, with it you could apply for a graduate program to get a PhD.

The point is, due to political correctness we mass produced (at great expense) the machinery for a niche market. All that overhead costs, and it's paid for by everyone. We need to consolidate programs. You want an LGBT program at a university in your state? Sure. You want them in ALL universities in your state? Ridiculous.
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JayDDrew
Facts are neither conservative or liberal.
09:19 PM on 08/15/2010
Great point. The lesson is to get a degree in something you can get a job in. Take Anthropology as an elective, along with basket-weaving.
11:20 AM on 08/16/2010
Employers don't hire degrees, they hire people. There are enough college students in most majors that a degree alone won't get you anything by default. The better lesson is "Pick a degree that works for your goals and become someone a boss would want to hire."
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
shrinkbcoz
08:02 PM on 08/17/2010
I think there are more LGBT studies degree holders than LGBT people themselves.
America needs to rethink education. Everything is online, you only need some mentor to study.

I am working on the a possible alternative - online community based schools where volunteers teach for bare minimum to no costs. If I succeed I should be able to offer 3 credit hours for under 200-300. Wish me luck.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Vegan Girl
Compassion for all
08:37 PM on 08/15/2010
I think the initial idea was to keep young people in line with their debts. They can't go and make the world a better place pro bono if they have to pay back a s%*tload of money. By the time they paid off their student loans, they have conformed...

But by now it's just savage predatory behavior. These for profit, often online schools drop students after they got their federal loans.
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OneTop
Uh, is that a beer hall?
08:14 PM on 08/15/2010
Shouldn't some consideration be given to the current bankruptcy law ?
Possibly changing / amending it to allow student debt to be discharged in bankruptcy.

This would put the brakes on the "fill out the forms, get the money, consequences be damned." boiler rooms.
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JayDDrew
Facts are neither conservative or liberal.
09:11 PM on 08/15/2010
That doesn't affect the "boiler rooms". They got their money upfront, just like the colleges. the Fed is on the hook.
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OneTop
Uh, is that a beer hall?
10:32 PM on 08/15/2010
I don't know all the mechanics, however, if the Fed wanted to, could it not easily change the rules regarding recourse if the Institutions want the Fed to guarantee the loans?
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
provgrays1
06:41 PM on 08/15/2010
Student loan debt ruins credit and lives.
If only the jobs existed to match all of the borrowing.
07:49 PM on 08/15/2010
That depends on what the student decides to go into . . . if they major in something worthless like so many of today's kids then the money will never match.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
provgrays1
08:56 PM on 08/15/2010
Viking,

Which begs the question...
Why are so many worthless majors offered in the first place?
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06:08 PM on 08/15/2010
The USA despises the educated and educators - every possible roadblock is put in the way of those seeking to better themselves through education. Every school and university is a battlefield in the unrelenting class warfare the oligarchs - who are themselves well-educated and know its power - wage on everyday citizens.

Capitalists no longer even pretend we need educated workers - they outsource American work and jobs at the speed of light to countries who DO subsidize education, ensuring they reap the benefits of an educated workforce without having to pay for it. Efficient, no?
11:13 AM on 08/16/2010
James Madison once said the function of government is to protect the interests of the opulent minority. The notion of government by the people and for the people excludes the ignorant rabble. By keeping people uneducated and or unemployed, we make subjugate them to the interests of the opulent few. It is not in the interests of government to have educated people. Hence the dreadful state of the US, which spends woefully too little in education as many support the notion of freedom as waged in the $1 billion/day war waged by the US.
HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
GeorgeBurnsWasRight
My micro-bio is running on empty.
05:48 PM on 08/15/2010
Two issues not addressed in this article.

First, college students are also encouraged by credit card companies to run up huge balances for personal expenses, further burdening them upon graduation. Colleges ought to have a required course for all students in their first year in managing personal finances. Learning as least as important to their students futures as any other required course they'll take, and it's not something many of them got in high school.

Second, at least the interest portion, and probably the entire student loan should be deductible for more college degrees than currently. If the profession you're working in requires a degree, then all the courses you took to obtain that degree ought to be deductible from your taxes. Unless we're now trying to discourage people from getting degrees, in which case the government ought to formally announce this, not just slide it in via the tax regulations.
05:47 PM on 08/15/2010
It is absolutely the worst debt if you have a degree in Women's Studies or the like.
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06:10 PM on 08/15/2010
It is the sign of a small mind to mistake a college or university for a trade school. Not all valuable knowledge is readily convertible into cash...
12:38 AM on 08/19/2010
No, it's the sign of a practical mind given the reality of the working world.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
rory talbot
Former Dem but they r now wing of Corp. party
05:39 PM on 08/15/2010
The banksters on Wall Street figured out that the only thing better than an uneducated hourly wage slave is a salaried indentured servant with a college degree. Thus, student loans were born. Thank you Reagan for exempting student loans from bankruptcy protection. That way, even our estates have to pay after we die.
05:52 PM on 08/15/2010
only a real rotter would expect you to pay your debts.
07:27 PM on 08/15/2010
lucky you for not having financial difficulty.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
realitytrumpsbull
Two 'alves of coconut!
05:06 PM on 08/15/2010
This translates as(to me): If you think I'm signing either student loan papers, or mortgage papers, you're @#$@#$ stoned. Have a nice day! In someone else's wallet.
05:05 PM on 08/15/2010
The public employee unions are killing out eduction system. The unrealistic pension system is mathematically impossible. Why don't the mathematicians help more people understand that?
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06:01 PM on 08/15/2010
I'm sure all budgetary problems can be solved by aggressive red-baiting...