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The Biofuel Boom |
A couple years ago, investing in biofuels was the shit. Incentivizing biofuel production was thought to be good for business and good for the environment, a win-win. It's that rare cause that could bring together Al Gore, President Bush, and Willie Nelson.
Oops. It turns out now that we've had a few years to study things, and worldwide investment in biofuels has risen from $5 billion in 1995 to $38 billion in 2005, everybody's wrong, and we're all fucked. The biofuel boom is actually accelerating global warming. Time has an excellent cover story this week, The Clean Energy Scam, with all the details, but the basic problem is simple: "using land to grow fuel leads to the destruction of forests, wetlands, and grasslands that store huge amounts of carbon." Yes, switchgrass, sugarcane ethanol, even corn ethanol are all cleaner energy sources than oil-based gasoline, but those crops replace vegetation and soils that suck up even more carbon. So it's a big net loss. In order to get these biofuels, we're devastating huge swaths of land--a Rhode Island-size chunk of the Amazon rain forest was deforested just in the second half of 2007. And the demands to kill more carbon-absorbing land are only growing: the energy bill signed last year mandates producing 36 billion gallons of biofuel by 2022 (we do 7 billion now). It's not just the farmers in Iowa getting rich off this, agribusiness has plants going up in several other states. The beast is loose: "biofuels increase demand for crops, which boosts prices, which drives agricultural expansion, which eats forests."
Scientists have been on the biofuel bandwagon; how did they get it so wrong? As Time puts it, "It was as if the science world assumed biofuels would be grown in parking lots. The deforestation in Indonesia shows that's not the case. It turns out the carbon lost when wilderness is razed overwhelms the gains from cleaner-burning fuels."
Just as bad, apparently some people in the world still use land to grow real food, and the 800 million people in the world with cars are taking food from the 800 million people in the world who are hungry and putting it in our gas tanks. I, for one, think that's rude. Going up to a poor Brazilian boy, snatching the hot dog out of his hand and shoving it in the nozzle of your Prius, that's wrong. But this is happening: four years ago, two University of Minnesota researchers predicted hunger would drop to 625 million but last year they revised that estimate to 1.2 billion, a significant gain, because of biofuels.
What do we do? I don't know. If global warming really is a planetary emergency, we need socialized medicine for our environment. As long as the profit motive is what it is, deforestation will continue to be a problem. Railing against it has to become hip again, like it was in the early 90s. But what do we do for fuel, now that even switchgrass isn't even that good? Filling our cars with Chinese people is looking better and better everyday.










posted 12:25 pm on 04/19/2008
You're now a Fan of Dennison.
I like you too, you're a very funny guy and an almost fearless commentator. But the anti-ethanol crowd does not seem to want to do much research. The members have a bad habit of talking off the top of their heads about various aspects of ethanol production while not being particularly well informed on the subject. That especially applies to the anti-cellulosic ethanol crowd that refuses to understand that CE can be produced from biomass that is grown on land that will not support food crops.
For example, the enormous expanses of desert in the southwest and western USA will not support commercial food agriculture but that land will support native species such as mesquite (Prosopis glandulosa) and sagebrush (genus Salvia, S. leucophylla which is Purple Sage for a common example) that can be cultivated with very little human attention, water or fertilizer. Using coppicing techniques mesquite and sagebrush, and other native species can provide a regular supply of biomass for CE production from what is today non-productive land. The southwestern and western deserts in the USA presently support virtually zero food agriculture.
"Going up to a poor Brazilian boy, snatching the hot dog out of his hand and shoving it in the nozzle of your Prius, that's wrong."
That 6 oz. hot dog requires 48 oz. of grain (animal feed) to produce.
* * * * * * * * * * * * * *
Diets are changing radically in nations such as China, India, Brazil and Russia, where economic growth has boosted meat consumption. In China, meat consumption is up by 150 per cent since 1980. In India, it has risen by 40 per cent in the past 15 years. The demand for meat from across all developing countries has doubled since 1980.
Because cattle and chickens are fed on corn -- it takes 8kg of grain to produce 1kg of beef -- the price has risen.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/politics/the-ot
* * * * * * * * * * * * * *
posted 10:45 am on 04/19/2008
You're now a Fan of Decipherer.
Well, you did it again last night (April 18). You just can't seem to help yourself by blaming biofuels, specifically ethanol, for the world's food crisis. Apart from your good point about vegetarianism, which actually would make a huge contribution if the world moved in that direction, you couldn't resist the impulse to slime ethanol despite the facts that people like me and others have provided you.
Even your panelists last night on "Real Time" did not rise to support your indictment.
Clearly, and disappointingly, you do not seem to want to be confused with the facts, and instead are relying on highly erroneous stories in the unlamented Time magazine the other week, the cover photo of which was NOT of an ear of corn actually used to make ethanol, but rather sweet corn which humans actually eat directly, which is only about 10% of the corn grown in the U.S.
You would have known that fact if you or your "researchers" bothered to read some of the comments here on your very own 23/6 blog.
Bill, you are an incisive, thoughtful, and wickedly funny observer of current events and the human condition. But I am having a hard time understanding why you are being so gullible about this issue and unquestioningly accept the pablum Big Oil is spoonfeeding all of us.
Let me know if you'd like to talk about this so we can help you get your facts straight on biofuels before you embarrass yourself again.
A good start is having a look at www.25x25.org.
posted 12:05 am on 04/11/2008
You're now a Fan of Dennison.
~10% human consumption
~90% livestock feed
"We grow animal feed, not human food in the United States," Dale said. "We could feed the country's population with 25 million acres of cropland, and we currently have 500 million acres. Most of our agricultural land is being used to grow animal feed."
"Ethanol production has been linked to a rise in the price of everything from tortillas to gummy bears. Unfortunately, this argument is very nearly ridiculous. The fact is that very little U.S. corn (about 10 percent) is fed directly to people; most of it is fed to animals."
-- Dr Bruce Dale, Michigan State University
http://www.physorg.com/news94224070.html
http://www.nj.com/opinion/times/editorials/index.ssf?/base/news
0/120737075044810.xml&coll=5
CV and Contact Page for Dr Dale:
http://www.chems.msu.edu/php/faculty.php?user=bdale
posted 1:44 pm on 04/05/2008
You're now a Fan of bencohen.
posted 11:23 pm on 04/04/2008
You're now a Fan of misterstudebaker.
posted 9:31 pm on 04/04/2008
You're now a Fan of peachfuzz.
problem-solving into 5 years because of lobbying & greed.
That can't really amount to much good when you
are using a tiny bandaid to cover a festering, gangrene gut.
The answer, always the inhumane answer, is what benefits the rich.
When have the poor not been thrown under the bus in time of chaos
and for war profit?
posted 7:30 pm on 04/04/2008
You're now a Fan of vfx.
What to do is to put all that investment money into directly converting solar and wind (wind is also sun powered) into useable energy and into the storage batteries to power homes and electric vehicles.
This renewable technology is close.
See:
http://www.teslamotors.com/
And
http://www.phoenixmotorcars.c
posted 5:24 pm on 04/04/2008
You're now a Fan of mcgrat2003.
You're now a Fan of Decipherer.
Yes, you can make methanol out of a number of biomass feedstock as you can ethanol, butanol, and other alcohols which have great promise. However, nearly 100% of methanol made today is from natural gas (a fossil fuel), with the remainder from landfill gas (renewable), or coal (fossil fuel).
The problem for methanol today is that its use as a transportation fuel would compete with its use in the chemical industry as an intermediate -- a product used to make other products. As such, methanol's current price is at historically high levels as are many commodities today due to rampant speculation and massive new demand.
Methanol as a transportation fuel cannot compete in that environment.
Oh, and by the way, the other previous and current "fuels of the future" include natural gas (confined almost exclusively now to the urban bus market) and hydrogen for fuel cells (we'll all burn up before that is viable and competitive).
posted 4:44 pm on 04/04/2008
You're now a Fan of cls105.
posted 4:12 pm on 04/04/2008
You're now a Fan of Decipherer.
Until this post, I was your biggest fan. Now, not so much.
For as guy who is as obviously well-read and -informed as you are, it is a real pity that you bought that extraordinarily erroneous Time magazine article hook, line, and sinker. It might as well have been written by the good people at the American Petroleum Institute, or their fat 'n' happy members, like ExxonMobil, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, or BP . . . etc.
I suggest you take a real good look at www.25x25.org for a few facts and a specific rebuttal to that piece of lazy journalism.
The fact of the matter is, the biofuels industry, while in its relative infancy compared to well over 100 years of Big Oil's stranglehold on our economy, transportation system, and way of life, is doing everything possible to ensure that its practices are sustainable and those which aren't will be shut down. This is a global issue and both governments, NGOs, and the private sector are hard at work to make sure that the lifecycle of biofuels is fully sustainable and as green as it possibly can be.
Regrettably, in this day and age, you can't believe everything you read either in venerable magazines like Time, or on the "Internets," of course. I would like to discuss this with you further before any of us have to waste time having to explain ourselves!
Please let me know what telephone number I should call or provide me some other way to contact you directly on this matter.
Otherwise, keep up the good work!