November 24, 2008

Nate Silver knew you were gonna do that

Silver knew there was a 96% chance he'd look nerdy in this pic.

Nate Silver is more machine than man, now. Yesterday's big projection concerned the Minnesota recount, which Nate projects Franken will win by 27 votes.

27, Nate? Not 26? Not by "a slim margin." But you're predicting it down to the vote?

He's using his can't-fail algorithm to go more and more specific with his stats, and it's starting to get a little creepy. Check below for today's Nate Silver projections from fivethirtyeight.com. Betcha they all come true:

Today's World, As Projected By Nate "Nerdstrodamus" Silver

***When Leon Holtzman of Flagstaff, AZ sees a Dunkin Donuts box in the break room this morning, Nate Silver projects an 87% chance that Leon will say "Screw my diet" and go for the bear claw.

***Based on statistics dating back to 1967, today 33 American babies will die of SIDS. Nate knows which babies, but he's not tellin'.

***Matthew Langtry of Tallahassee, FL is going to fart in 5, 4, 3, 2...

***When Mrs. Arnold Carter of Anaheim, CA arrives home from work this evening, Nate says there's a 99% chance that Mr. Arnold Carter is gonna tap that. According to Nate, there's a 40% chance he's going to tap it "Arnie Carter Style."

***The long-shot: There's a .000067% chance that today will be the day when not a single American citizen orders a Cobb salad at lunch.

Check fivethirtyeight.com tomorrow, when Nate will offer his projections concerning whether or not you're ever going to love again (spoiler alert: it ain't lookin' good!).

Posted by: Bob Powers      I’m a fan of Bob Powers
Related Stories

Electoral projections done "rightish"

The seven wonkiest things you never thought you'd say

Ross Raffin
The McCain Effect: We're Voting for the N***ger
The country may be post-racial, but Joe Biden is still Joe Biden
The country may be post-racial, but Joe Biden is still Joe Biden
Comments (5)
Comments FAQ  | 0 comments pending
Commenting is disabled
punkrockchopstix
posted 10:15 pm on 11/24/2008
See profile | I'm a fan of punkrockchopstix
I must admit, I have a mad, geeky, fangirl crush on Nate Silver. o0o0o, statistics!

dutchy - 1 Reply
posted 3:33 pm on 11/24/2008
See profile | I'm a fan of dutchy
37.8% of 23/6 readers are reading this with their pants off.

replying to dutchy; posted 5:14 pm on 11/24/2008
Wow. You just blew my mind.
Oscarinborrance - 1 Reply
posted 2:00 pm on 11/24/2008
See profile | I'm a fan of Oscarinborrance
I was going to lunch after I read this,
but now?
What is wrong with cobb salad?

replying to Oscarinborrance; posted 3:53 pm on 11/24/2008
I'm allergic to cobs.
Daily   Weekly
Get Our Newsletter