This week, the results from Iowa demonstrated that, even in the age of social media-powered protests ("convenience fee" this, Verizon!), unlimited money and going negative still pack a potent political punch. These early contests are supposed to be about small-scale retail politics but, post-Citizens United, Romney didn't win by winning over people in diners, he won with a blizzard of negative ads funded by "outside groups." While outside money killed Newt, all the dollars spent by Romney and his allies weren't enough to buy Mitt the caucus-goers' love, as he scraped by with an eight-vote win and a lower percentage of votes than he attracted in 2008. In the aftermath, Bachmann bailed, Perry said he was heading back to Texas -- then abruptly decided to stay in the race, and Santorum became the latest darling of the Not Mitt crowd. Now the unreal reality show, minus its female lead, rolls into New Hampshire.
Follow Arianna Huffington on Twitter: www.twitter.com/ariannahuff
Michelangelo Signorile: The Laughable Attempt to Soften Santorum
The Iowa Caucuses - NYTimes.com
Iowa Caucus Results: Rick Santorum, Mitt Romney Both Talk Like ...
Let's hope Sunday Roundup for Jan. 15, 2012 would get more comments, and more coverage on:--
-- the upward racheting war fever and war-provocative actions like assassination of Iranian scientist, strangulating economic embargo, and banking sanctions on Iran,
-- the S&P sweeping downgrade of almost entire range of European sovereign debt ratings, except for Germany's,
-- and their ramifications on US economy and national security,
-- and less endless coverage on the stultifying "elephants primaries circus".
"At least I am not as bad as John McCain".
"US finalizes sale $30billion of F15 fighterjets to SaudiArabia" (Dec29,2011):--
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/huff-wires/20111229/us-us-saudi-arabia/
http://www.bing.com/search?q=saudi+f-15+sale&FORM=MFESRP&PUBL=RSTEST&CREA=RSTESTMFESRPMSNA1230UF20111230133972
"Thousands of American troops deployed to Israel" (Jan5,2012):--
http://rt.com/usa/news/us-troops-israel-iran-257/
"Iranian officials believe that this is latest most blatant warning that US will soon be attacking Tehran."
Why thousands of US troops in Israel?
"IDF will begin working from base in Germany."
Why Israeli troops in Germany?
"Iran holds naval exercise near HormuzStrait" (Jan3,2012):--
http://search.huffingtonpost.com/search?o_q=Iranian+naval+exercise&s_it=topsearchbox.search&q=Iranian+naval+exercise+in+strait+of+hormuz
"Iran: HormuzStrait Maneuvers Planned For February" (Jan6, 2012 ReutersNews):--
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/01/06/iran-hormuz-strait_n_1189222.html
WAR SCENARIO:--
Millions die.
US + Iran war imminent to lessthan 6-12months away ?
War on Iran another neocon "cakewalk" ? Missiles exact shocking toll.
HormuzStrait blockaded + closed to tankers, tanker insurance skyrocket to prohibitive ?
Crude oil $150-$250/barrel? gasoline $8-$15/gallon? During 1970's oil crisis, oil price QUADRUPLED.
Iran infrastructure destroyed, large regions radioactive.
USDollar crashes? Debtladen Euro crashes?
Oil pricing severed from USDollar? Resultant Dollar devaluation, hyperinflation ?
Stockmarkets drop 1,000points first day, 2,000points within week, drop 4,000points within month ?
401K's, pension funds wiped out.
Treasury bonds crash, interest rates skyrocket ?
Unemployement?
Urban unrests, riots, NDAA roundup begins.
GUARANTEED UNPREDICTABLE DISASTROUS OUTCOME !
As you said, there's doubtless lots of saber-rattling posturing, from all sides.
BUT,
1)one significant "time-tested" historical signal of imminent or unavoidable war-preparation -- troop mobilization. In last century, WW1 + WW2 were preceded by massive national troop mobilizations, the last step before launching attacks or anticipating attacks. Past major wars were preceded by calling up and deploying troops in hundreds of thousands to millions, in divisions and armies. Contemporary wars are now more mechanized than troop-intensive, thereby explaining why only thousands of US troops were observed to be deployed in Israel, and Israeli IDF deployed in Germany. What on earth are they doing there, if not preparing for missile defense, logistics, etc.?
2)Iranian interpretation of overt war preparation isn't clearly known, but canbe guessed. Rational fear is when Iranian leaders interpreting signs, finally decide war is coming + unavoidable. They'd be tempted to strike preemptively for maximum initial advantage. Same applies to US + Israeli perspectives. BarbaraTuchman wrote eminently about final inevitability of WW1 precipitated by long series of multilateral miscalculations. Similar international dynamics might apply now.
China already is making bargain deals for Iranian oil. If war starts, suppose by necessity China sends tankers through HormuzStrait, what happens to US fleetcommand? Shoot?
Most people assume political year wouldn't start war. That's normal assumption. But it's abnormal world predicament. There's overwhelming mutual suspicions + psychological factor of "wagthedog" war. If either Obama's pollratings drop in summer2012, or Iranian (March)election outcome is politically precarious, what happens?
Therefore, China and Iran will see mutual advantage to take a risky bold move on the international political stage and global financial markets -- mount frontal challenge to exclusive enduring dominance of USDollar as world reserve currency, because of war obliterating last vestige of fears and reservations on frontal challenge.
Every observant thinking person knows Saudi Arabia is firmly in the grip of US imperial orbit. $30 billion F-15 fighter jets sale to SA in January 2012 is objective confirmation of that fact. Chinese leaders would be abject fools to rely on Saudi promises or "guarantees" of oil supply in wartime.
Those so called law and order Republicans oversaw the most corrupt, lawless government in human history under Bush and Cheney and these Republicans in the judicial and legislative branches of the U.S. Government refused to stop or investigate or prosecute those criminals involved in the most serious crimes anyone can commit so one can only conclude that these Republicans are HYPOCRITES!!! and the U.S. Government's checks and balances no longer exist.
When we will learn?
http://signon.org/sign/citizen-imposed-congressiona?source=c.fwd&r_by=462982
if ever there was a case for activist judges it's the Roberts Court. History will judge this time and the Supreme Court as when big business finally secured all 3 branches of our gov't that no longer is for the people and by the people.
http://signon.org/sign/citizen-imposed-congressiona?source=c.fwd&r_by=462982
Remember, only one political ideology is CORRECT.... and that's their political ideology.