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Ariel Edwards-Levy
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Ariel Edwards-Level is the Associate Polling Editor and Open Reporting Editor at The Huffington Post.

Entries by Ariel Edwards-Levy

HUFFPOLLSTER: What You Need To Know About That 'Nerd Fight'

(0) Comments | Posted September 19, 2014 | 8:43 AM

We recap the Senate model debate that you have (or haven't) been following all week. Polls in Kansas give the independent an edge without Chad Taylor on the ballot. And Republicans in 2014 may be likeable..enough. This is HuffPollster for Friday, September 19, 2014.


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Polls Show Kansas Court Decision Could Boost Orman In Senate Race

(112) Comments | Posted September 18, 2014 | 6:35 PM

A Thursday night court decision knocking Democrat Chad Taylor off the Kansas Senate ballot may boost independent Greg Orman's campaign to unseat Sen. Pat Roberts (R-Kan.).

Taylor announced this month he was dropping out of the race, but the Republican secretary of state, Kris Kobach, sought to keep...

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HUFFPOLLSTER: It's Election Day! (In Scotland)

(2) Comments | Posted September 18, 2014 | 8:17 AM

It's Election Day in Scotland. We have the latest on what the Scottish polls are predicting and the challenges they face. Republicans have a good day in Senate polls. And Gallup finds views of both parties now about equally lukewarm. This is HuffPollster for Thursday, September 18, 2014.


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HUFFPOLLSTER: A Quarter Of Gubernatorial Races Look Like Tossups

(36) Comments | Posted September 17, 2014 | 8:22 AM

Our newly-released gubernatorial forecasts shows plenty of close races. A new poll shows the Republican leading in Iowa. And is it possible that pollsters have called nearly everyone in New Hampshire? This is HuffPollster for Wednesday, September 17, 2014.


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HUFFPOLLSTER: Poll Finds Pat Roberts Trailing Independent Candidate

(335) Comments | Posted September 16, 2014 | 8:27 AM

Polling shows the potential for a major upset in Kansas. Both parties back action against ISIS -- but that's where the consensus ends. And decades of survey data demonstrates Americans' reluctance toward making major constitutional changes. This is HuffPollster for Tuesday, September 16, 2014.


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HUFFPOLLSTER: Another Poll Shows Increasingly Close Race In New Hampshire

(83) Comments | Posted September 15, 2014 | 8:54 AM

A flurry of new Senate polls released over the weekend suggest a closer race in New Hampshire, an emerging consensus that Hagan is leading in North Carolina, and internal polling continues to favor the people releasing it. This is HuffPollster for Monday, September 15, 2014.


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David Perdue Holds A Narrow Lead In Georgia Senate Polls

(26) Comments | Posted September 12, 2014 | 5:02 PM

Two new polls in Georgia find Republican David Perdue running narrowly ahead of Democrat Michelle Nunn in one of the year's most competitive Senate races.

An Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll conducted by Abt SRBI and released Friday gave Perdue a 4-point edge, with his 45 percent to Nunn's 41...

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HUFFPOLLSTER: GOP Leads Nationally, While Democrats Do Well In Senate Polls

(183) Comments | Posted September 12, 2014 | 8:04 AM

A national poll finds the Republicans ahead, while state-level Senate surveys have some good news for Democrats. This year's gubernatorial races look as competitive as everything else, but most GOP incumbent have an edge. And a large number of independents complicates the Alaska Senate race. This is HuffPollster for Friday,...

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Poll Shows Scott Brown Continuing To Trail Jeanne Shaheen

(42) Comments | Posted September 11, 2014 | 12:51 PM

Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D-N.H.) continues to lead Republican challenger Scott Brown, according to a poll conducted by Mayday, a campaign finance reform super PAC, and released Thursday to The Huffington Post.

The automated phone survey, conducted by the Democratic firm Global Strategy Group, finds Shaheen leading the former...

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HUFFPOLLSTER: Terrorism Fears Rise, But Few Call It Most Important Issue

(0) Comments | Posted September 11, 2014 | 8:39 AM

As polls find Americans find increasing concern in reaction to ISIS, very few mention terrorism as the most important problem facing the country. Democrats get some good Senate news from a new poll in Michigan. And 'other stuff' can make for better election predictions. This is HuffPollster for Thursday, September...

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HUFFPOLLSTER: More Say America Is As Unsafe As It's Been Since 9/11

(1) Comments | Posted September 10, 2014 | 8:30 AM

Americans are more concerned about their safety from terrorism than they have been since 9/11. Another poll finds Republicans more enthusiastic about voting in 2014 than Democrats. And we explain how a new Kansas surveys shifts our Senate ratings. This is HuffPollster for Wednesday, September 10, 2014.


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HUFFPOLLSTER: Americans Deeply Worried By ISIS

(2) Comments | Posted September 9, 2014 | 8:15 AM

Concerns about terrorism are leading to increased support for airstrikes. A new Kansas poll finds incumbent Pat Roberts vulnerable. And the year's primary cycle is nearly at a close. This is HuffPollster for Tuesday, September 9, 2014.

AMERICANS WORRIED BY ISIS - Mark Preston: "Americans are increasingly concerned that ISIS...

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Sen. Pat Roberts Tied With Independent Challenger In New Poll

(5) Comments | Posted September 8, 2014 | 7:01 PM

Sen. Pat Roberts (R-Kan.) is running dead even against independent challenger Greg Orman, according to the first Kansas Senate poll since the Democratic nominee announced last week that he was withdrawing from the race.

The SurveyUSA poll, conducted for KSN News, gave Orman 37 percent of...

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Americans Support Obama's ISIS Policies, But Give Him Low Approval Rating

(100) Comments | Posted September 8, 2014 | 6:01 PM

Americans agree with most of the Obama administration's specific policies for taking on ISIS, but that isn't translating to strong approval ratings for the president on foreign policy.

Three quarters of Americans favor continuing airstrikes against the terrorist group, a new CNN/ORC polls finds, and 83 percent agree...

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HUFFPOLLSTER: New Polls Show How Close The Midterms Remain

(25) Comments | Posted September 8, 2014 | 8:19 AM

A new round of Senate polling shows a stable, slightly GOP-friendly midterm environment. We look at where the polls do, and don't agree, and how the new data affects our polling model. This is HuffPollster for Monday, September 8, 2014.

A big batch of new polls released since Friday helped...

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Senate Polls Show Edge For GOP

(1331) Comments | Posted September 7, 2014 | 11:49 AM

Two sets of polls released Sunday find an edge for the GOP in a closely contested Senate midterm environment, although they differ on the size of that advantage.

A set of online CBS/New York Times/YouGov polls conducted in every Senate race finds an electoral landscape that has remained...

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Americans Are Not Totally Sure Which Countries We're Bombing

(207) Comments | Posted September 5, 2014 | 12:52 PM

Recent turmoil in the Middle East has left Americans confused as to where exactly the U.S. is conducting airstrikes and drone strikes.

A YouGov poll released Thursday finds that just about a third of Americans knew for sure that the U.S. hasn't conducted any recent strikes in Syria...

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HUFFPOLLSTER: How Do You Ask About A Senate Race Like Kansas?

(2) Comments | Posted September 5, 2014 | 8:00 AM

The upheaval in the Kansas Senate race creates one set of challenges for pollsters and another for forecasters. Americans are more optimistic about jobs, but not the economy. And Obama's job approval is down...or is it? This is HuffPollster for Friday, September 5, 2014.


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HUFFPOLLSTER: Kansas Senate Race Shakeup Could Leave Roberts Vulnerable

(75) Comments | Posted September 4, 2014 | 7:53 AM

A major shakeup in Kansas throws a wrench into Senate predictions. A handful of new surveys all tell the same story about the Kentucky Senate race. And white Americans' circles of friends may not be as uniformly white as previously assumed. This is HuffPollster for Thursday, September 4, 2014.


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Latest Polls Agree On Tough Kentucky Senate Race

(110) Comments | Posted September 3, 2014 | 8:07 PM

In an election year hinging on a handful of remarkably close Senate races, recent surveys are reaching something of a consensus on Kentucky. Three polls released in the last week show Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R) with a 4- or 5-point edge over Kentucky Secretary of State...

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