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Ariel Edwards-Levy
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Entries by Ariel Edwards-Levy

Americans Stubbornly Unmoved By Parties' Best Midterm Pitches

(194) Comments | Posted August 26, 2014 | 7:36 AM

After months of campaigning and with primary season nearly at a close, the midterm elections landscape remains decidedly un-gamechanged.

Americans are pessimistic and broadly anti-incumbent, President Barack Obama's ratings are mediocre, and neither party is exactly surging ahead. In short, the situation looks pretty much the same as...

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HUFFPOLLSTER: Does Hating Congress Lead To Higher Turnout?

(0) Comments | Posted August 25, 2014 | 6:11 PM

Gallup finds that turnout correlates with congressional approval, based on just six elections. Daily Kos launches another poll based Senate forecast. And Nate Silver highlights the continuing accuracy of statewide Senate and Governor election polls despite the major challenges roiling the polling world. This is HuffPollster for Monday, August 25,...

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HUFFPOLLSTER: Stop Freaking Out Over The Results Of One Poll

(24) Comments | Posted August 22, 2014 | 5:06 PM

A new poll shows a distinctly different picture of the New Hampshire Senate race than other surveys. Reactions to the shooting and protests in Ferguson, Missouri show stark racial divisions by nearly any measure. And Americans' ice bucket challenge picks could start a different kind of cold war. This is...

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America Nominates Obama, Putin And Kim Jong Un To Take The Ice Bucket Challenge

(35) Comments | Posted August 22, 2014 | 2:22 PM

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HUFFPOLLSTER: Reviewing The Polls On Ferguson, The Police And Racial Tensions

(0) Comments | Posted August 21, 2014 | 6:02 PM

National polls shed light on the broader issues raised by the Ferguson, Missouri police shooting. Fewer Americans are naming the economy as the most important issue. And data journalism is coming for your tarot deck. This is HuffPollster for Thursday, August 21, 2014.

AMERICANS OPPOSE POLICE MILITARIZATION - Emily Swanson:...

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Americans Are Divided On Obama's Response To Ferguson

(12) Comments | Posted August 21, 2014 | 10:17 AM

Americans give President Barack Obama mixed, but narrowly positive, ratings for his response in the aftermath of the fatal police shooting of a black teenager in Ferguson, Missouri, a new poll finds.

Forty-one percent of Americans say they're satisfied with Obama's performance, with 34 percent dissatisfied and the remaining quarter...

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HUFFPOLLSTER: North Carolina's Senate Race Remains Competitive

(0) Comments | Posted August 20, 2014 | 6:00 PM

The North Carolina Senate race is close. Gallup finds a racial gap in views of the police. And four political scientists argue that presidential poll swings are largely the artifacts of who chooses to respond to surveys. This is HuffPollster for Wednesday, August 20, 2014.

FIRST SUFFOLK/USA TODAY MIDTERM POLL...

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New Senate Candidate Isn't Improving Democrats' Chances In Montana, Poll Finds

(3) Comments | Posted August 20, 2014 | 1:39 PM

Sen. John Walsh's (D-Mont.) decision to withdraw from his Senate race has steepened Democrats' already uphill battle to hang onto his seat, according to the first survey including new nominee Amanda Curtis, a 34-year-old state representative.

A Rasmussen automated phone survey found Curtis trailing Rep. Steve Daines (R-Mont.)...

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HUFFPOLLSTER: Will The Polls Get It Right In Alaska?

(0) Comments | Posted August 19, 2014 | 5:53 PM

Alaska holds this year's last competitive GOP primary. Will the polls accurately forecast the winner? And USA Today teams with Suffolk University to conduct statewide polls in 2014. This is HuffPollster for Tuesday, August 19, 2014.

ALASKA AND WYOMING GO TO THE POLLS - Samantha Lachman: "As the midterm elections...

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HUFFPOLLSTER: Polling Shows Support For Iraq Air Strikes

(0) Comments | Posted August 18, 2014 | 5:49 PM

Another national poll finds support for the airstrikes in Iraq. Two new surveys find a big racial gap in perceptions of events in Ferguson, Mo. And Nate Cohn warns about polling errors in Alaska. This is HuffPollster for Monday, August 18, 2014.

AMERICANS SUPPORT AIR STRIKES, BUT CONCERNED ABOUT...

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HUFFPOLLSTER: Recent Surveys Don't Agree On Midterm Outlook

(0) Comments | Posted August 15, 2014 | 5:54 PM

If the election were today, some U.S. House generic ballot estimates would be very wrong. African-Americans feel their relationship with the police has worsened in the past two decades. And time has vastly changed opinions of gay rights. This is HuffPollster for Friday, August 15, 2014.

AMERICANS ARE FRUSTRATED...

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HUFFPOLLSTER: Plurality Of Americans Believe Cops Use Lethal Force Too Frequently

(0) Comments | Posted August 14, 2014 | 5:58 PM

Initial reaction to the Ferguson Missouri shooting divides along partisan and racial lines. All southern state migration trends are not created equal. And if crowdfunding worked for potato salad, maybe it'll work for pollsters. This is HuffPollster for Thursday, August 14, 2014.

LITTLE TRUST IN JUSTICE SYSTEM'S...

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Nearly Half Of Americans Don't Believe Cops Who Kill People Will Be Brought To Justice

(9) Comments | Posted August 14, 2014 | 5:00 PM

Nearly half of Americans don't trust that justice will be served after police officers kill civilians, according to a HuffPost/YouGov poll conducted days after unarmed teenager Michael Brown was fatally shot by police in Ferguson, Missouri.

Forty-five percent of Americans say they don't trust the justice...

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HUFPOLLSTER: Introducing Pollster's New Homepage

(0) Comments | Posted August 13, 2014 | 6:17 PM

Pollster has a new home page. The Fox News poll finds support for the air strikes in Iraq. And we have a handy way to summarize the latest "SHOCK POLL" from the Drudge Report. This is HuffPollster for Wednesday, August 13, 2014.

HUFFPOLLSTER'S NEW DASHBOARD AND HOME PAGE IS...

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If It's Not Their Water Being Banned, Americans Shrug Off Safety Concerns

(27) Comments | Posted August 13, 2014 | 5:32 PM

WASHINGTON -- More than a week after authorities lifted the tap water ban in Toledo, Ohio, a wary Darlene Blakely is still trying to remember not to turn on the faucet.

"When I get up in the morning and go brush my teeth and use the tap water,...

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HUFFPOLLSTER: New Survey Finds Obama Hurting Democrats' Midterm Chances

(1) Comments | Posted August 12, 2014 | 6:05 PM

A new national poll gives Republicans the edge on the generic House vote. Most Americans support the authorization of air strikes in Iraq. And apparently it's not too soon to start talking about the 2020 election. This is HuffPollster for Tuesday, August 12, 2014.

MCCLATCHY-MARIST: BAD NUMBERS FOR OBAMA, DEMS...

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Americans Support Air Strikes In Iraq, But Strongly Oppose Sending In Troops

(219) Comments | Posted August 12, 2014 | 1:46 PM

Americans back President Barack Obama's decision to begin conducting air strikes in Iraq, but strongly oppose sending American ground troops to fight the Islamic State, also known as ISIS, a new HuffPost/YouGov poll finds.

Fifty-eight percent of Americans in the new poll supported Obama's authorization of...

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Poll Gives Mitch McConnell The Edge In Kentucky Senate Race

(185) Comments | Posted August 12, 2014 | 1:02 PM

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell has the edge over Democratic rival Alison Lundergan Grimes in Kentucky's competitive Senate race, according to a poll released Tuesday by the Democratic firm Public Policy Polling.

The survey gives McConnell 44 percent to Grimes' 40 percent, with libertarian David Patterson taking 7 percent. In...

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HUFFPOLLSTER: How Good Polling Is Like LeBron James

(0) Comments | Posted August 11, 2014 | 6:03 PM

FiveThirtyEight finds some pollsters may be piggybacking off others' results. A Republican pollster argues that the "enthusiasm gap" is overstated. And pollsters and journalists remember CBS political editor Dotty Lynch. This is HuffPollster for Monday, August 11, 2014.

ARE 'BAD POLLSTERS' COPYING OTHERS' RESULTS? - Harry Enten: "The problem is...

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HUFFPOLLSTER: Forty Years After Nixon Resignation, Trust In Government Remains Low

(10) Comments | Posted August 8, 2014 | 5:57 PM

Memories of Watergate are fading among younger generations. Memories of the Iraq War may remain fresh as Americans assess further action. And opinions on immigration remain conflicted. This is HuffPollster for Friday, August 8, 2014.

GENERATIONAL DIVIDE ON MEMORIES OF WATERGATE - Paul Steinhauser: "Four decades after President Richard Nixon...

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