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Arlene M. Roberts

Arlene M. Roberts

Posted: December 30, 2007 08:19 PM

Caucus Countdown: Women Keep One Eye on Iowa, the Other on New Hampshire


The countdown to the caucuses in Iowa and New Hampshire has begun. Recent poll results indicate that women not only make up a significant block of undecided voters, but even those in New Hampshire who have decided on a candidate are predisposed to switching their allegiance if their candidate does not win in Iowa. Before Christmas, candidates ran ad campaigns in Iowa and New Hampshire replete with holiday greetings. If I were communications director or media strategist to a frontrunner, I would now suggest running ad campaigns that address issues of concern to women.

In the days before Christmas, several candidates ventured into previously uncharted territory, and ran ad campaigns in Iowa and New Hampshire -- some of which waxed sentimental. There was Barack Obama and his family sitting beside a Christmas tree and fireplace; Hillary Clinton wrapped presents labeled with cards imprinted "Bringing Our Troops Home"; and Rudy Giuliani kept company with Santa Claus and talked about his wishes. Mike Huckabee greeted viewers saying, "At this time of year, sometimes it's nice to pull aside...and remember that what really matters is the celebration of the birth of Christ, and being with our family and friends. I hope that you and your family will have a magnificent Christmas season. And on behalf of all of us, God bless, and Merry Christmas".

Now that the holidays are behind us, and all eyes are on Iowa, it is an appropriate time to launch ad campaigns addressing issues of importance to women voters. Last Wednesday, I participated in Lifetime's Every Woman Counts audio press conference where the results of a new Zogby/Lifetime Television poll were released. The poll results shed light on how women will vote in the presidential race and on the concerns that motivate them -- even if the issues vary somewhat by age and party affiliation.

So you ask, why focus on women? One significant finding of the polls is that women will likely be very important to the outcome of the race to the White House. More than nine in 10 women said they planned to vote; more than six in ten say this is the most important election of their lifetime. Moderates are equally influential -- and 62 percent of moderates are women.

In the Zogby/Lifetime poll, education ranks as the number one issue nationally for likely voters, followed closely by jobs and the economy, healthcare and the war in Iraq. Equal pay ranked higher than foreign policy, immigration and the environment -- an issue that has not received a great deal of attention on the campaign trail. Young women ages 18 to 24 cited prevention of domestic abuse and sexual assault as their number one issue, tied with education. In New Hampshire, the war in Iraq is still the number one issue, followed by healthcare.

Additionally, the Zogby/Lifetime poll has identified a possible "Iowa Effect". One in four New Hampshire women -- especially Republican women -- said they would actually switch their allegiance if their candidate does not win in Iowa.

At the beginning of December, there was talk about Barack Obama getting in touch with his 'feminine side.' In a new video and speeches targeted at women, Mr. Obama was portrayed as sensitized not only to the needs but also aspirations of women, "a man comfortable with strong women in his life." He said, "I know what it's like to be raised by a single mom who's trying to work and go to school and raise two kids at the same time, doesn't have any support from the father. These are issues I'm passionate about." Let's hope he continues down this road. Moreover, as we count down the days left to the Iowa caucus and the media blitz increases, maybe other candidates will follow this trend and run ad campaigns addressing issues dear to their female constituents.

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06:21 PM on 12/31/2007
I am sorry. As a woman, my concerns are over the slaughter of children and women in Iraq. Hillary Clinton, touted as the defender of women and children, voted to let the slaughter happen.

This is not an election in these primaries, over women's rights. Not. This is an electon over who is going to do the best to try to reverse the horrendous policies of George Bush and his criminal applications to the running of this country. Hillary Clinton,and Bill, who is buddy buddy with the father of his mainiac who has wrecked this country, will not do so. The will make a deal with Bush, IMO.

The hell with women's rights. It is not a big issue right now, and when women's organisations back Hillary, such as Emily's choice, I really have to wonder what the hell they are backing. Invasion and killing of women in Iraq is all that comes to mind. Feh. These feminists brought it upon themselves.
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01:16 PM on 12/31/2007
I don't think anyone has mentioned Senator Biden's most effective work on this issue: The Violence Against Women Act, 1994.

We can allow argue the fine points on this, but the fact is that before Biden helped bring this issue to the national conscious and Federal Law, thousands of families suffered abuse. There's more to be done, but this is how Biden makes things happen.
12:06 PM on 12/31/2007
I guess what RepubicanBrain is saying is that you can't pitch to women because men are petty and jealous if they are not the center of attention. I guess that is why I got a robo survey call last night, obviously targetted toward GOP voters, that asked about guns and abortion and concluded by asking whether I was male or female. It reminds me of how the GOP is able to get men to vote for their candidates by stating that the Dems will take away their guns. It woeks every time.
03:04 AM on 12/31/2007
I think the smartest mailer any Democrat candidate could put out for the women who will caucus, would be a photo of the Supreme Court Justices..and put the caption "CHOOSE or LOSE."
photo
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OtayPanky
You're welcome
01:37 AM on 12/31/2007
Arlene Roberts: "One significant finding of the polls is that women will likely be very important to the outcome of the race to the White House."

===

One significant finding of another recent poll is that MEN will likely be very important to the outcome of the race to the White House.

And according to the same poll, neither dogs nor cats were likely to have any material effect on the outcome in either the race to the White House, or any of the congressional races either.

Wow!

Talk about news you can use!
10:14 PM on 12/30/2007
As one who has done much work in media strategy, what you are suggesting is disastrous. People always say that they are going to vote, but they never do. They forget to, it slips their mind, or such. Remember how few people actually do vote.

Second, pitching a campaign to women should always be secondary. Never pitch to one group, especially not to women. Men notice, and they get turned off. They get annoyed and offended, as if the things they want do not matter to the candidate. This is key to turning people off.

If you notice, a lot of the things that matter to women matter to men too. The things that are only of interest to women are better off left to the issues column of the website. The people will look for those things if it matters to them.

A tactic like that is just begging for both criticism and low overall turnout. Don't fall victim to it.
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LizM
My micro-bio is too long for this space.
08:41 PM on 12/30/2007
Based on your analysis of what women voters are most concerned about, it should be a no-brainer as to who they would support for the Democratic nominee for President.

If they are smart, then they would have done their homework and come to the conclusion that Senator Biden is the most worthy of their support.

If they insist on allowing the MSM to think - and uncritically at that! - for them and support any one of the featherweight frontrunner pretenders, then they could be described in a whole other manner.