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Entries by Mark Blumenthal from 02/2007

Two Sides of the Giuliani Coin

| Posted 02.01.2007 | Politics

Should he formally enter the race for president, Rudy Giuliani begins as a very popular figure among Republicans, according to the Gallup poll releas...

NAES Data for 2004

| Posted 02.05.2007 | Politics

I need to take a moment to note something I overlooked during the very busy final days of last fall's campaign. In late October, the National Ann...

Economic Anxiety and the Middle Class

| Posted 02.06.2007 | Politics

Last week, the USA Today "Gallup Guru" blog of Gallup editor in chief Frank Newport took up the issue of economic anxiety among the middle...

Pew: Can We Trust What Polls Say About Obama's Prospects?

| Posted 02.07.2007 | Politics

Against the backdrop of Barack Obama's strong showing in recent national general election head-to-head polls, the Pew Research Center's Scott...

Update: Gallup on Giuliani's Social Views

| Posted 02.07.2007 | Politics

An update on my post last week on a new USA Today/Gallup poll that tested awareness of Rudy Giuliani's positions on social issues among Republica...

Update: Harris on Party ID

| Posted 02.09.2007 | Politics

Last week, I noted the release of a report by the Gallup Organization on long term trends in party identification. The Gallup surveys in 2006 showed ...

Bialik on Nielsen's New College Numbers

| Posted 02.09.2007 | Politics

Carl Bialik, the "Numbers Guy" at the Wall Street Journal, devotes his column this week (free to non-subscribers) to a change in the Nielse...

Update: Economic Angst

| Posted 02.09.2007 | Politics

Gallup's Frank Newport responded yesterday to my comments on his original "Gallup Guru" post on whether "middle class angst" ...

When Is a "Lead" Really a Lead?

| Posted 02.13.2007 | Politics

In a post last week that presented an automated survey of North Carolina voters, we described a three-point lead for John Edwards over Hillary Clinto...

Pew Center on Past Presidential Trial Heats

| Posted 02.17.2007 | Politics

The Pew Research Center's Nilanthi Samaranayake and Scott Keeter have posted another useful review examining the reliability of early trial heat ...

ABCs Langer on Misreporting of Survey Data

| Posted 02.17.2007 | Politics

Gary Langer, the Director of Polling at ABC News, has posted a review of four recent examples of "flat footed" misreporting of "scient...

Mystery R&R

| Posted 02.17.2007 | Politics

Just a quick note that the "Mystery Family" and I will be taking a week off for some much needed R&R. In my absence, the incomparable Eric will be po...

Post/ABC: Black Voters Shift to Obama?

| Posted 02.28.2007 | Politics

"Black Voters Shift Support." That's the front page headline on the Washington Post's story today summarizing new results from the latest Post/ABC Ne...