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Entries by Mark Blumenthal from 07/2008

Comment of the Day

| Posted 07.01.2008 | Politics

From last Friday, posted by Michael McDonald: [About the] Gallup Editors' Election Poll Analysis that attempts to place Gallup's tracking poll hors...

Independent Leaners

| Posted 07.01.2008 | Politics

I neglected to link last week to a Washington Times op-ed by Gary Andres, a Republican who conducts and analyzes public policy polling projects for th...

POLL: Strategic Vision Florida, Georgia

| Posted 07.02.2008 | Politics

The web site Political Wire published a sneak peak of at two new Strategic Vision (R) polls yesterday. While they included no information about survey...

POLL: Quinnipiac University Connecticut

| Posted 07.02.2008 | Politics

Quinnipiac University Connecticut n=2,437 likely voters, interviewed June 26-29 Obama 56%, McCain 35% ...

Poll: Daily Tracking for 7-02

| Posted 07.02.2008 | Politics

Gallup Daily 6/29-7/1/08; 2,665 RV National Obama 46, McCain 44 Also from Gallup: As Independents Shrink, Democrats Gain Hispanic Voters Solidly Behin...

Comment of the Day

| Posted 07.02.2008 | Politics

From "joejoejoe," regarding yesterday's release of a new national survey from CNN/ORC: Here's the headline to the CNN story that accompanies the po...

On Trackers

| Posted 07.03.2008 | Politics

My Nationaljournal.com column, on the differences between rolling-average tracking polls and other "traditional" surveys, is now online. Regular reade...

Two Weeks Worth of "Outliers!"

| Posted 07.03.2008 | Politics

Desmoinesdem has some surprising advice for partisans on the receiving end of message testing polls they find offensive: don't hang up. Kathy Frankovi...

Rasmussen's Unweighted Party ID

| Posted 07.07.2008 | Politics

Yesterday, Rasmussen Reports did something a little unusual: They published what their party identification results would have been for every release ...

A Dog of a Poll Story

| Posted 07.09.2008 | Politics

Yesterday, the Associated Press wrote up results from an AP/Yahoo poll showing that John McCain does better than Barack Obama among pet owners than am...

Rasmussen's State Level Party ID Weighting

| Posted 07.10.2008 | Politics

I received an email reply from Scott Rasmussen to the questions I posted on Monday about their party identification numbers for June and about their p...

Measuring Nader and Barr

| Posted 07.10.2008 | Politics

My Nationaljournal.com column, on the challenge posed to pollsters by third party candidates like Ralph Nader and Bob Barr, is now online. The topic i...

Dog Days "Outliers"

| Posted 07.12.2008 | Politics

Justin Wolfers (subs. only) trusts political markets more than polls, Bob Erikson bets he's wrong, John Sides has all the links. Jon Cohen sees a gap ...

POLL: Quinnipiac Univ. National

| Posted 07.15.2008 | Politics

Quinnipiac University National n=1,725 likely voters, interviewed July 8-13, margin of sampling error +/- 2.4% Obama 50%, McCain 41% ...

POLL: ABC/Washington Post National - Iraq/Economic Security

| Posted 07.15.2008 | Politics

ABC News (Iraq/Afghanistan story, charts and results; economic security story, charts and results; Washington Post (story, results, graphic) National ...

The Times, Obama and Race

| Posted 07.16.2008 | Politics

While I was busy column-writing this morning, the blogosphere was busy discussing today's New York Times story on the just released CBS/New York Times...

Ready To Be Chief?

| Posted 07.17.2008 | Politics

My NationalJournal.com column, on perceptions of Barack Obama's experience and readiness to be president and their importance to the outcome of the ra...

New Pew Data on Cell Phones

| Posted 07.17.2008 | Politics

The Pew Research Center, which has been at the forefront of efforts to measure the impact of "cell phone only" households on political surveys, has a ...

Summer Doldrums "Outliers"

| Posted 07.18.2008 | Politics

Frank Newport tries to make sense of the summer "campaign doldrums." Rhodes Cook sees a new electorate in the making. Jennifer Agiesta examines what i...

The Enthusiasm Gap from 2004

| Posted 07.18.2008 | Politics

Kathy Frankovic, the director of surveys for CBS News, devotes her column this week to a subject you have been reading a lot about lately, the "enthus...

Pardon Our Dust

| Posted 07.21.2008 | Politics

If you follow this site closely, you have probably noticed that my posts have been a bit sparse lately, and you may have experienced a few"site not av...

Weekend "Outliers" (Illustrated!)

| Posted 07.22.2008 | Politics

[Brought to you on Monday morning due to a Sunday evening power outage...] Gary Langer and the ABC Polling Unit chart Obama's ascent in delegates and ...

How to Find Charts on the New Pollster.com

| Posted 07.22.2008 | Politics

Apologies for not posting this item sooner. Unfortunately, we ran into some unexpected problems this morning with the update. Among other things, we w...

New Contributors

| Posted 07.23.2008 | Politics

Yesterday, I explained some of the changes to the structure of Pollster.com. Today I want to tell you more about some of the new names that we have ad...

POLL: NBC/WSJ National (7/18-21)

| Posted 07.23.2008 | Politics

NBC News/Wall Street Journal (WSJ story, results, WashingtonWire, NBC story, results, FirstRead) n=1,003 registered voters, 7/18-21, margin of samplin...