iOS app Android app

Entries by Mark Blumenthal from 02/2009

"Hired Gun" Polling and Card Check (EFCA)

| Posted 02.03.2009 | Politics

A week or so ago, my colleague Marc Ambinder (anchor of the new Atlantic Politics Channel), did a series of blog posts on some privately commissioned ...

AAPOR Censures Lancet Iraq Casualty Survey

| Posted 02.04.2009 | Politics

My colleagues at the American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) announced yesterday that an eight month investigation found that Dr. Gil...

Is Support for the Stimulus Plan Falling?

| Posted 02.06.2009 | Politics

Is support for the economic stimulus legislation falling? Three polls provide data on point this week: Gallup says support is flat, while CBS News and...

Romantic Outlier "Outliers"

| Posted 02.06.2009 | Politics

Gallup retests Limbaugh, Max Blumenthal (no relation) finds more from the Greenberg poll I cited last week. Rasmussen reports 55% of Republicans want ...

Lessons in Declining Approval?

| Posted 02.09.2009 | Politics

From the left side of the commentariat, we have a new conventional wisdom: Bipartisanship is a bust. As Andrew Sullivan summarizes this morning: Pa...

Re: Lessons

| Posted 02.12.2009 | Politics

I'm a day late on this, but I want to post a few more thoughts following up on Nate Silver's response to my critique of his post from earlier this wee...

Hill on Pollster Ethics

| Posted 02.13.2009 | Politics

In his The Hill column this week, Republican pollster David Hill ponders the changes to the polling profession that have resulted from the lower barri...

Yet More Twitter Themed "Outliers"

| Posted 02.13.2009 | Politics

The Pew Internet & American Life Project says 11% of online Americans say they use "a service like Twitter." Nancy Scola has a quibble. The Johns ...

Greenberg's Dispatches from the War Room

| Posted 02.17.2009 | Politics

About a week ago, Armando Lorens took me to task, in part, for looking at how the ongoing economic stimulus debate might affect Barack Obama's job app...

Dispatches: Warning Signs for Obama?

| Posted 02.18.2009 | Politics

First, a quick status report: At least two and possibly three of my colleagues here at Pollster are working up posts on the Greenberg book today, but as they do have day jobs it looks like most will not post until sometime this evening (East Coast time).   

"Outliers" With a Touch of Grace

| Posted 02.20.2009 | Politics

Obama Bigger Than Jesus, asks Dan Froomkin? Hokum says Gary Langer. Republican pollster David Hill thinks GOP unity on the stimulus package was a blun...

Dispatches: Greenberg vs. Penn

| Posted 02.23.2009 | Politics

Of the many stories in Democratic pollster Stan Greenberg's new book, Dispatches from the War Room, the most newsworthy may be his slashing condemnati...

Dispatches: Penn's Rejoinder to Greenberg

| Posted 02.23.2009 | Politics

Mark Penn has emailed a second response to Greenberg, which I have reproduced in full below. One aspect of this back-and-forth is still not quite reso...

A Tuppence Worth

| Posted 02.24.2009 | Politics

A reader, a European politico who "witnessed the working of the Labour war rooms in both 2001 and 2005," emails to share his "tuppence worth" on the G...

Smith Reports on the Greenberg-Penn Feud

| Posted 02.24.2009 | Politics

Over at Politico, Ben Smith picks up the story of the Greenberg-Penn feud: Greenberg’s new book ups the stakes. He argues that Penn played di...

Speech Reactions

| Posted 02.24.2009 | Politics

Some initial survey and focus group reactions to tonight's "non State of the Union" speech by President Obama. CBS News conducted a nationally represe...

46 "Outliers"

| Posted 02.27.2009 | Politics

Kaiser's Drew Altman identifies a key health reform polling number to watch; Ezra Klein, Kevin Drum and Andrew Sullivan ponder it further. David Weige...