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Entries by Mark Blumenthal from 05/2010

Polling in the UK

| Posted 05.03.2010 | Politics

My column this week takes a closer look at the mechanics of pre-election polling in the United Kingdom in advance of Thursday's parliamentary election...

Lost in the Tweets

| Posted 05.05.2010 | Politics

This morning, White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs passed along a link for his "poll obsessed" Twitter followers pointing to a possibly overlooked...

Roundup of Final UK Vote & Seat Projections

| Posted 05.05.2010 | Politics

The final UK polls have been released and our colleagues at PollingReport/UK and PoliticsHome have updated their averages and seat projections. Here i...

UK Exit Polls

| Posted 05.06.2010 | Politics

Today is Election Day in Britain and with it come the inevitable questions about exit polls. UK Exit polls are handled a bit differently than ours. In...

AAPOR's Keeps 2011 Conference in Arizona

| Posted 05.06.2010 | Politics

The American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) alerted its membership this afternoon that it will "continue with long-standing plans" to...

Looking Back at the UK Polls

| Posted 05.10.2010 | Politics

My column for this week looks back at how the exit poll, the pre-election polls and seat projections did in last week's elections in Great Britain. Pl...

AAPOR's Transparency Initiative

| Posted 05.11.2010 | Politics

Later this week, I'll be in Chicago for the annual conference of the American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR). One of the more newswo...

On Small Samples and Statistical Noise

| Posted 05.12.2010 | Politics

Three new polls out this morning on Pennsylvania's Senate primary all lead to the same conclusion: The race between Senator Arlen Specter and Congres...

Greetings from the AAPOR Conference

| Posted 05.14.2010 | Politics

This post is the first of a series of video interviews we'll be doing over the next few days at this year's conference of the American Association for...

AAPOR2010: Doug Rivers

| Posted 05.14.2010 | Politics

Yesterday, I interviewed Douglas Rivers, President and CEO of YouGov Polimetrix and professor of political science at Stanford University, on a paper ...

AAPOR2010: Peter Woolley

| Posted 05.14.2010 | Politics

At the AAPOR Conference yesterday, I interviewed Peter J. Woolley, director of Fairleigh Dickinson University's Public Mind Poll, on an experiment he ...

AAPOR2010: Jeff Jones

| Posted 05.14.2010 | Politics

Today at the AAPOR Conference in Chicago, I interviewed Jeff Jones, managing editor of the Gallup Poll, on his work using the generic House vote to pr...

AAPOR2010: Peter Miller & AAPOR's Transparency Initiative

| Posted 05.14.2010 | Politics

Today at the AAPOR Conference in Chicago, I interviewed Peter V. Miller, Northwestern University professor and the organization's outgoing president j...

AAPOR2010: David Rothschild

| Posted 05.16.2010 | Politics

This latest interview from the AAPOR Conference in Chicago features David Rothschild, a PhD candidate at the Wharton School of the University of Penns...

AAPOR2010: Robert Erikson

| Posted 05.16.2010 | Politics

This latest interview from the AAPOR Conference in Chicago features Columbia University Political Science Professor Robert Erikson discussing his pape...

AAPOR2010: George Bishop

| Posted 05.16.2010 | Politics

One last AAPOR interview (from me) for tonight: On Saturday, I talked to University of Cincinnati Political Science Professor George Bishop, who pres...

AAPOR2010 Interviews Wrap-Up

| Posted 05.17.2010 | Politics

I'm back in DC and just filed a column that should appear on NationalJournal.com later this afternoon about the Transparency Initiative announced over...

Column: AAPOR's Transparency Initiative

| Posted 05.17.2010 | Politics

My new column reviews AAPOR's Transparency Initiative as described in detail this past weekend by outgoing AAPOR President Peter Miller. I hope you'l...

Incumbent Armageddon Effect?

| Posted 05.18.2010 | Politics

As you almost certainly know, hotly contested primary and special elections are being held today in what NBC's Chuck Todd has dubbed Super Senate Tues...

Super Senate Tuesday Live Blog

| Posted 05.18.2010 | Politics

We're live blogging! Remember: (1) No exit polls tonight, at least not the ones conducted by the network consortium and (2) we'll have at least one sp...

Incumbent Armageddon Effect: Epilogue

| Posted 05.19.2010 | Politics

Yesterday I speculated about whether we might see the return of largely abandoned "incumbent rule" which some of us used to interpret pre-election pol...

DFA Survey: Priming the Vote in Arkansas?

| Posted 05.20.2010 | Politics

This morning, we posted results from a new survey of Arkansas conducted by the firm Research 2000 on behalf of Democracy for America. The survey was c...

Reliance on Cable News: More Than We Thought?

| Posted 05.21.2010 | Politics

Ezra Klein shares my fascination with the questions in the monthly tracking poll by the Kaiser Family Foundation (KFF) that ask Americans how they get...

Column: Definites for Sestak

| Posted 05.24.2010 | Politics

My column for this week looks back at how the polls performed in Pennsylvania's Democratic primary for Senate and one potentially overlooked finding: ...

Cell Phones and Coverage Bias

| Posted 05.26.2010 | Politics

Last Thursday the Pew Research Center released an analysis drawing on their extensive ongoing investigation of the impact of the growing cell-phone on...