iPhone app iPad app Android phone app Android tablet app More

Featuring fresh takes and real-time analysis from HuffPost's signature lineup of contributors
Ayaan Hirsi Ali

Ayaan Hirsi Ali

Posted: February 8, 2011 03:35 PM

WASHINGTON -- In 1985 as a teenager in Kenya, I was an adamant member of the Muslim Brotherhood. Seventeen years later, in 2002, I took part in a political campaign to win votes for the conservative party in the Netherlands. Those two experiences gave me some insights that I think are relevant to the current crisis in Egypt. They lead me to believe it is highly likely but not inevitable that the Muslim Brotherhood will win the elections to be held in Egypt this coming September.

As a participant in an election campaign, I learned a few basic lessons.

  1. The party must have a political program all members commit to with a vision of how to govern the country until the next election. Dissent within the party is a sure way of losing elections.
  2. Candidates must articulate not only what they will do for the country but also why the other party's program will be catastrophic for the nation.
  3. The party has to be embedded in as many communities as possible, regardless of social class, religion or even political views.
  4. Candidates must constantly remind potential voters of their party's record of success and the opponent's record of failure.


The secular democratic and human rights groups in Egypt and in the rest of the Arab world show little sign of understanding these facts of political life. The Muslim Brotherhood, on the other hand, gets at least three out of four. True, they have never been in office. But they have a political program and a vision not only until the next elections, but in their view until the Hereafter. And they are very good at reminding Egyptians of why the other party's policies will be ungodly and therefore catastrophic for Egypt. Above all, they have succeeded in embedding themselves in Egyptian society in ways that could prove crucial.

When I was 15-years-old and considered myself a member of the Muslim Brotherhood movement, there were secular political groups in the diasporas of Pakistanis, Yemenis and Somalis in Nairobi who lived in exile like my family. These loosely organized groups had vague plans for restoring their respective countries and building them into peaceful, prosperous nations. These were dreams they never realized.

The Muslim Brotherhood did more than dream. With the help of money from Saudi Arabia and other oil-rich countries, they established cells in my school and functioning institutions in my neighborhood. There were extracurricular activities for students. There were prayer and chant hours, as well as communal Quran readings. We were encouraged to become volunteers, to help the indigent, to spread Allah's message. There were classes and activities for all age groups. They established charities to which we could give Zakat (tithe for charity), which was then used to provide health and educational centers.

The Brotherhood also provided the only functioning banking networks, based on trust. They rescued teenagers from lives of drug addiction and excited them about a purposeful future for justice. Each of us was expected to recruit more people for the Muslim Brotherhood, creating a perpetual campaign. The mosques and Muslim centers were the main areas of association, but they visited us at home too. Most importantly, their message transcended ethnicity, social class and even educational levels.

It is true that the movement was violent, but we tend to underestimate in the West the Brotherhood's ability to adapt to reality and implement lessons learned. One such adaptation is the ongoing debate within the network on the use of violence. There are two schools of thought within the network, and both of them invoke the Prophet Mohammed as an example.

Those who want instant Jihad hark back to the time when the Prophet had small armies that defeated massive ones, as in the battles of Badr and Uhud. The nonviolent branch of the Brotherhood emphasizes the Prophet's perseverance and patience. They emphasize Da'wa (persuasion through preaching and by example) and above all a gradual multi-generational process in coming to power and holding on to it. Above all, they argue for Taqiyyah, a strategy to collaborate with your enemies until the time is ripe to defeat them or convert them to Islam.

Why are the secular democratic forces in Egypt so much weaker than the Muslim Brotherhood? There are a number of factors. One reason is that they are an amalgam of very diverse elements: There are tribal leaders, free-market liberals, socialists, hard-core Marxists and human rights activists. In other words, they lack common ideological glue comparable to the one that the Brotherhood has. Finally, there is a deep-seated fear that opposition to the Muslim Brotherhood, whose aim is to install Sharia once they come to power, will be seen by the masses as a rejection of Islam altogether.

What the secular groups fail to do is to come up with a message of opposition that says "yes" to Islam, but "no" to Sharia -- in other words, a campaign that emphasizes a separation of religion from politics. For Egypt and other Arab nations to escape the tragedy of either tyranny or Sharia, there has to be a third way that separates religion from politics while establishing a representative government, the rule of law, and conditions friendly to trade, investment and employment.

The bravery of the secular groups that have now unified behind Mohamed ElBaradei cannot be doubted. They have taken the world by surprise, by mounting a successful protest against a tyrant. Mubarak may be deaf, but the message is loud and clear: He has to go.

The secular democrats' next challenge is the Brotherhood. They must waste no time in persuading the Egyptian electorate why a Sharia-based government would be bad for them. Unlike the Iranians in 1979, the Egyptians have before them the example of a people who opted for Sharia -- the Iranians of 1979 -- and who have lived to regret it.

The 2009 Green Movement in Iran was not a "no" to a strongman, but a "no" to Sharia. ElBaradei and his supporters must spell out over and over again that a Sharia-based regime is repressive at home and aggressive abroad. Moreover, as the masses cry out against unemployment, rising food prices and corruption, Egypt's secular groups must show that a Sharia-based government would exacerbate these agonies.

The Muslim Brotherhood will insist that a vote for them is a vote for Allah's law. But the positions of power in government will not be filled by God and his angels. These positions will be filled by men so arrogant as to put themselves in the position of Allah. And as the Iranians of 2009 have learned to their cost, it is harder to vote such men out of office than to vote them in.

The Obama administration can help the secular groups with the resources and the skills necessary to organize, campaign and to establish competing economic and civil institutions so that they can defeat the Muslim Brotherhood at the ballot box. As I have come to learn over the years, few things in democratic politics are inevitable. But without effective organization, the secular, democratic forces that have swept one tyranny aside could easily succumb to another.

Ayaan Hirsi Ali is the author of "Nomad" and "Infidel." She is a fellow of the American Enterprise Institute and founder of the AHA Foundation, which works to protect the rights of Muslim women.

© 2011 Global Viewpoint Network; Dist. by Tribune Media SERVICES.

 
 
 
  • Comments
  • 297
  • Pending Comments
  • 0
  • View FAQ
Comments are closed for this entry
View All
Favorites
Highlights
Recency  | 
Popularity
Page: 1 2 3 4 5  Next ›  Last »  (6 total)
11:33 PM on 02/10/2011
I love you Miss Hirsi. May your good heart permeate this planet. Thank you for all of your work.
09:36 PM on 02/10/2011
Ayaan Hirsi Ali is correct here. The forces of secular, progressive democratic change should be working to build a solid footing and foundation in Egyptian society while working to remove the autocratic Mubarak regime. Their revolution has been inspirational, but the real work begins once the regime is out and its time to build a new Egypt. They can't just dust off their hands and say "our work's done here." If they do that, the Brotherhood will be more than willing to step into the leadership role.
05:26 AM on 02/10/2011
I have always admired Ayaan but there is one thing that never will change. Not by revolution, war, election, religion, foreign intervention or just hope/faith. What never will change is corruption and greed. This world is ruled by corruption, even though we bless the few like Ayaan that believe in a better one. Corruption rules in every country and in every organization. Corruption comes from greed which changes people using too often religion or a revolt as an excuse for their “good” cause. Corruption is not only about money but perhaps more about power. Countries like Egypt deal with power differently than the ones in Europe for example but the results are the same. Socialists in developed countries like the Netherlands have learned socialism is hard to sell these days but still can be used to keep their posts and power in the many political seats despite new political needs & waves. They keep on using their socialist opinions as an excuse to rule in the important seats of the government, city halls and institutions. So, in short, Egypt might become a different setting and other kind of corruption but the next group of people in power will just sell it differently. There is nothing new under the sun but I hope people like Ayaan continue with their resistance to show us how wrong we are.
photo
patience1
“There is reward for kindness to every living th
11:37 PM on 02/09/2011
while the people in EGYPT still protesting to get their basic freedom that we all enjoy here, all these so called 'experts' tried to come up with all kind of theories to suggest what is the ' best ' thing for the Egyptian people. Looked what happens in Iraq, while we gave them democracy following Bush' doctrine for about 10 years now. EGYPTIAN people is capable to choose what they want for their future. When we are ever going to learn to honor and respect other people' cultures and belief? We all different for a reason. Let's humble ourselves and not jump all to conclusion that something 'horrible' will happens. 30 years under the brutal regime and no freedom that is horrible where all these experts the defender of democracy then?
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Jeff Richard
11:13 PM on 02/09/2011
"Above all, they argue for Taqiyyah, a strategy to collaborat­e with your enemies until the time is ripe to defeat them or convert them to Islam."

The Muslim Brotherhoo­d is Sunni (as opposed to Shia).
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Atif Ahmed Choudhury
J.D. Candidate, William and Mary College of Law
11:50 PM on 02/09/2011
dear God this obscure historical notion of Taqiyyah (which simply allowed oppressed Muslims under direct threat of physical torture or death to conceal their faith) is perhaps the biggest Islamophobic red-herring of all time:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Taqiyya
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Fractal122635
04:23 AM on 02/10/2011
Islamophobic? Perhaps you missed the part where she is a proud, and practicing Muslim?
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Doug Sandlin
We See The World Not As It Is But As We Are
09:00 PM on 02/09/2011
Interesting article in the Washington Post, written by a member of the Muslim Brotherhood:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2011/02/09/AR2011020905222.html

And, FYI to All:

I have no idea yet if I agree or disagree with the article's contents; I just started reading it, myself ... and I'm posting it here, per its potential general interest to all who have interest in Ayaan Hirsi Ali's article, above, regardless of their exact perspective or views.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Fractal122635
04:25 AM on 02/10/2011
It is useless to read any of these articles. What is needed is to read the statements of these leaders, and others in the Arab world, in the original Arabic. If you are unable, avail yourself of the various cites that watch the Middle East press, such as CAMERA, or MEMRI.
04:49 PM on 02/09/2011
How does an expression of opinion constitute "meddling"? Perhaps the best thing for the US government indeed is to keep quiet and let the Egyptians sort it out. But such tactical wisdom is not the same thing as a strategy of unilateral ideological disarmament. If we do not believe that freedom of thought is a universal good and that the Sharia law (as any other religious law) is an obstacle to this freedom, what do we stand for? I applaud Ms Ali for her courage in saying clearly what many others are afraid to say.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
JimRinX
Ex-Chef with Neuropathy on SSDI
09:25 PM on 02/09/2011
The Egyptians say, "We want what you have, in America."
I say we 'meddle' a plenty - and help them to GET IT!
They actually need us more than ever; especially since, as you can see by this wise Muslim womans clarifying for all to see statement about the too-radical ambitions of the Muslim Brotherhood (and my above comment; look up "Young Turks", if you don't really know who or what they actually were - other than a figure of speach, that is), as well as the nature of and reasons for their broad-based appeal (and, infinitivesplit, that's largely because there are so many poor uneducated refugees and underemployed types in the "Muslim World" who they can so manipulate for their own purposes).
We need to show them, because the Muslim Brotherhood isn't likely to, what it is, EXACTLY, that "We have, in America" that they should be "wanting".
I must ad that, though a pan-religionist/Mystic/Noor-stander-inner, and not specifically a "Muslim", I think Islam is a lovely religion - minus the killing in the Name of God who said not to Kill, while masking ones covetting ones neighbors goods as 'spreading the Faith' (Christianity has done no better), and I think the Muslim Brotherhood has done many, many wonderful things; I honestly believe that All Of You, in 'The Muslim World', would be much happier if you adopted a Highest Law like the First Ammendment - it's "very Umma"; it Really Offers "Real Protection" for everyone.
Syllogizer
Barely Left of Pobedonostsev
02:55 PM on 02/09/2011
2 & 3 are what will hard for the MB. So the secularists had better pay attention and take advantage of it.
01:15 PM on 02/09/2011
You are a beautiful human Ms. Ali - your bravery is an inspiration. Keep writing!
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Atif Ahmed Choudhury
J.D. Candidate, William and Mary College of Law
12:55 PM on 02/09/2011
Simply amazing how the some of the very people who have been so vocal in supporting the Egyptian peoples' inalienable right to self-determination can so quickly jump on the "the Muslim Brotherhood are Al-Qaeda trained Taliban Khomeinistas who the US must work to suppress" bandwagon...but I guess that's what fear and ignorance will do to even the well-meaning and the good-hearted.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
GZLives
02:46 PM on 02/09/2011
Excuse me but it's realistic to be concerned that the likes of an Ayman al-Zawahiri could seize power in Egypt. Anyone NOT concerned is just just very naive
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Atif Ahmed Choudhury
J.D. Candidate, William and Mary College of Law
10:08 PM on 02/09/2011
umm newsflash: Ayman al-Zawahiri BROKE OFF the Muslim Brotherhood and formed the Egyptian Islamic Jihad because the MB renounced all violence and wanted to advance their goals through the political system. The differences between a socio-political movement like MB and a terrorist organization like the EIJ is like night and day.
02:48 PM on 02/09/2011
There should be no confusion over the fact that imperialism does not only run within the ranks of the US government, it is supported by a large number of its citizens who want to rule OVER us and dictate to us how we should conduct our lives.

These are no conspiracy theories.

They with their media are conspiring to control OUR lives!!
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Ricardo Aviles
12:13 PM on 02/09/2011
The worst type of tyranny is religious political tyranny, because this type of tyranny takes away all your freedoms. If political religion takes over Egypt, they will never be free!
12:28 PM on 02/09/2011
Yes, especially, in Islam, I think there is even a hadith that states that a believer shouldn't ask questions.
09:51 PM on 02/09/2011
both types of tyranny were found in history and you cannot tell which were worst! for example stallins russia (secular) or midieval europe(Christian)?? and also there were democratic example of both, my point is that tyranny is evil weather it was religious, or secular! will Muslim brotherhood practice democracy or dictatorship? we'll never know because they will never be in office imo the western media try to exaggerate their size!!
and no, there is no such hadith in Islam, except if you misinterpreted the meaning of"dont ask questions thats beyond human mind like :what was before god?" Islam encourages human to work his mind in every aspect and ESPECIALLY religious issues! :)
photo
Amryxx
politeness rules, but with sharpened edges
07:49 PM on 02/10/2011
"even a hadith that states that a believer shouldn't ask questions."

[citation required], especially since the Qur'an asks for the direct opposite.
02:41 PM on 02/09/2011
That's not for you decide.

Funny these comments are coming from a country that is barely 300 years old and which has already engaged in all kind of horrible things from genocide against the native Indians, the nuclear bombing of civilians, napalming villages in Asia to the institutional racism against one its minorities.

How many millions of people did the tyranny of the US government kill in the last 30 years?

Answer me the above question and tell me who is responsible.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
JimRinX
Ex-Chef with Neuropathy on SSDI
12:40 AM on 02/10/2011
Oh, I see.....and just how long did the longest of the Caliphates hold together, before it fissioned into, well, several 'smaller' Caliphates?
Is that what "Umma" means? Or is what really bothers you the fact that the Truly Inclusive Protections of our Consitution (a work in progress, unlike certain other texts pertinent to this conversation) - the undeniable benefits of our "dhimmi free" E Pluribus Umma (Out of Many, Umma) - make you ashamed of your History; as the Muslim World has never really fulfilled the Dream expressed by the very concept of Umma, has it?
We're all sorry about the Palastinian thing - and doing in Mossadegh, as well; but, even though those were the wrong things to do, Pol Pot and Chariman Maos disasterous Reigns proved that our Motives were Pure.
If we did change our ways - which we are trying to do just that - could you, also, do the same?
As it is, hatered only begets hatered, violence more violence.
How many did Saddam kill - or the Revolutionary Guard?
How much Money did America send to Germany AND Japan after WW2 to pay for rebuidling the coutries our Armies and Air Forces destroyed?
Hpow much would we have sent to Vietnam - how much have we sent to Afghanistan and Iraq?
We've made mistakes - but you'll never be 'defeated by' a Nobler 'Enemy'.
11:15 AM on 02/09/2011
If there's any hope for success it's the model shown by Turkey which has managed to stay democratic even with an Islamist leaning government. But Egypt looks much more problematic and much of it is due to the terrible plight of the Palestinians. I don't see how the Muslim Brotherhood can be turned away. Egypt looks like a big problem. But I haven't a bit of pity for Israel, they deserve what they will get, they've set this conflict up by brutalizing the Palestinians and ignoring the many opportunities for peace. If there had been peace, the whole region would look different economically and geopolitically. As for the US, for once, we should step back and just let the Egyptians decide for themselves. If its the Brotherhood, so be it.
01:05 PM on 02/09/2011
Let's see, Egypt's people will give up all their basic human rights and let themselves be ruled by an intolerant radical Islamic clerical class because of the "plight of the Palestinians." I don't think so. In fact, your comments show no concern for the Egyptian people, just a hope that Egypt and Israel will restart a war between them. And incidentally, Israel has made dozens of peace offers to the Palestinians but their leadership knows they cannot stay in power if there is peace with Israel.
10:40 AM on 02/09/2011
"1.The party must have a political program all members commit to with a vision of how to govern the country until the next election. Dissent within the party is a sure way of losing elections.

2.Candidates must articulate not only what they will do for the country but also why the other party's program will be catastrophic for the nation.


3.The party has to be embedded in as many communities as possible, regardless of social class, religion or even political views.


4.Candidates must constantly remind potential voters of their party's record of success and the opponent's record of failure."

This is basically the republican political model as espoused by the American Enterprise Institute. Too bad the Tea Party has done an end run around it's agenda. I find it a little strange that a person that seems so involved with protecting the rights of women espouses a political agenda aimed at winning without really providing any real protections for those they profess to champion.

Or perhaps she feels that pointing out that the Muslim Brotherhood does not follow the "republican scripted" marketing agenda means they have failed in some way. Or is it that they are following it on three points mean they are being deceptive...not sure what she's trying to prove. Or is she trying to instill fear that they may end up being as successful as "republicans"? They're lessons she's learned not mine.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
SRPinPGH
Winter is coming
01:41 PM on 02/09/2011
And the American Democratic Party doesn't follow the same points? Stop being naive.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
sharon40
10:38 AM on 02/09/2011
I hope someone in the administration reads this. Ms. Ali is one of the most realistic and thoughtful commentators regarding radical Islam in the media today. Everyone in this country should read her memoirs.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
GZLives
11:55 AM on 02/09/2011
Amen
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
BennBell
09:36 AM on 02/09/2011
This is a very cogently stated article by Ayaan Hirsi Ali. The Muslm Brotherhood should not be allowed to come to power in Egypt. Of course the choice should be by the Egyptians but, as stated by Ali, "the Obama administration can help the secular groups with the resources and the skills necessary to organize, campaign and to establish competing economic and civil institutions so that they can defeat the Muslim Brotherhood at the ballot box."
09:49 AM on 02/09/2011
Absolutely! This is very necessary and important! People must be allowed the freedom to THINK. Being ruled by Shariah law will not allow people the freedom to THINK and ask questions and debate. I believe in democracy in Egypt... but democracy that continues to allow people freedom...not democracy that takes away their freedoms..
10:22 AM on 02/09/2011
Obama actually cut the funding for civic groups in Egypt while maintaining the usual financial aid to the military. This event is really bringing out the hypocrisy of governments like the US and Israel who claim to support democracy - only if it suits their needs apparently. And while I'm no fan of Islamic (or any other kind of ) fundamentalism, I am weary of having every Muslim group tabbed with this label. We need to be more specific about the aims and beliefs of groups like the Muslim Brotherhood as they exist TODAY. There is a report by some researchers at NYU apparently making the case that the Taliban in Afghanistan is a group that can be negotiated with but this idea doesn't sit well with the US military who would rather kill them (and civiliams as well) than deal with them.. There needs to be a stop to automaticaly equating every Mulsim group with terrorism.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
GZLives
12:04 PM on 02/09/2011
When a group like the MB suddenly does a 180 professing to have had an epiphany or to have suddenly "evolved" it should signal that it's time to be more vigilant and not more trusting.

Trust needs to be earned slowly over a period of time.
03:56 AM on 02/10/2011
i think you have not learned from recent history ;when the islamic party in algeria won the election your government conspired to nullify it spawning a decade of ultra radical terrorism, the original "moderate" Islamists were replaced by al queda in north africa. When will you learn and allow people the right to self determine unhindered by your MEDDLING and patronizing condescension of any system or idea that is not yours.